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M-OH

Miami (OH) 38 at Eastern Michigan 14

EMU
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:14 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 39 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 2 yds to the M-OH 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Home team on offense−5.8Score differential−1.6Garbage-time factor−1.8Pregame prior−7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:04: Cole Snyder run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +2.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:02: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Connor Briggs for 5 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +6.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:35: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 19 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +22.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:41: Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +18.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:55: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cole Weaver for 24 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +11.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 6:37M-OH 4th & 8 at EMU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    53.7%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:13EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 16, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:40EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:28M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:14EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−2.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:46M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:32EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.5%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:51EMU 4th & 2 at M-OH 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−1.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−7.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:15M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 10, up 14
    Close callPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:04EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:42M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 25, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:43EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 38, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:01M-OH 4th & 4 at EMU 26, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:54EMU 4th & 13 at M-OH 33, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:50M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:04EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:02M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:35M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:41EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:55M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:30M-OH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
37.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 75 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4437% → 40%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.3%
Max Reese run for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
37.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 7 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
37.3%
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the EMU 37Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
37.4%
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
37.3%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Defensive Holding (Corban Hondru) to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
37.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 4 yds to the M-OH 34Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+7
37.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 7 yds to the M-OH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
37.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 13 yds to the M-OH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
37.9%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
37.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for 7 yds to the M-OH 7Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+6
37.9%
Cole Snyder run for 6 yds to the M-OH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.8%
Cole Snyder run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:2661% → 60%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
39.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 17 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
38.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 11 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
38.7%
Kevin Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 48Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-5
38.9%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 5 yards to the M-OH 47Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 16
OWN 47
+8
39.7%
Brett Gabbert run for 8 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
39.9%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:5240% → 41%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
40.0%
Cole Snyder run for 6 yds to the EMU 15Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
40.2%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+1
39.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 1 yd to the EMU 16Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
39.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 35 yds , Cade McDonald returns for no gain to the M-OH 49Similar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
41.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for a loss of 4 yards to the EMU 47Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 14
OWN 47
-2
41.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Deion Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 45Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+2
41.0%
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
40.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0659% → 58%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
40.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the M-OH 19Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 19
-1
40.7%
Brett Gabbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 18Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+2
41.6%
Josh Ringer run for 2 yds to the M-OH 20Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
42.3%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Oran Singleton at the M-OH 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:4859% → 67%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
40.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 19 yds to the EMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
40.0%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+3
39.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
39.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+2
40.1%
Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
39.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 22 yds to the EMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
39.5%
Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the EMU 5Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
32.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Connor Briggs for 5 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:4636% → 34%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 6 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
36.3%
(09:27) SNYDER, Cole pass short up the middle incomplete dropped by SINGLETON, Oran thrown to the EMU36, clock 09:24. PENALTY MIA Offsides on UGWU, Brian enforced 5 yards from the EMU31 to the EMU36 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
36.1%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
36.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 6 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
35.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 3 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
36.0%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the EMU 39Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 18
OWN 39
+4
34.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 4 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
33.9%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 14
OWN 43
+2
33.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 39 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 2 yds to the M-OH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1962% → 62%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
38.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 14 yds to the M-OH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
37.3%
Miami (OH) Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the M-OH 29Similar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 15
OWN 29
0
38.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 15
OWN 29
-5
38.6%
Miami (OH) Penalty, False Start (Cade McDonald) to the M-OH 24Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 20
OWN 24
+7
38.6%
Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the M-OH 31Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 13
OWN 31
+8
39.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the M-OH 39Similar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
37.8%
punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0040% → 40%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
40.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 12 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
40.8%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-10
40.5%
(03:04) SNYDER, Cole pass to the right complete for 11 yards to LOCKETT, Terry caught at the EMU43 and advanced to the EMU43, out of bounds, clock 03:00. PENALTY EMU Holding on INDESTAD, Mack enforced 10 yards from the EMU32 to the EMU22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 20
OWN 22
0
40.0%
Cole Snyder pass intercepted Matt Salopek return for no gain to the EMU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:5367% → 85%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
33.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 9 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
36.8%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the EMU 25Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+6
37.7%
Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the EMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
15.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 19 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:3319% → 20%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
19.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
50
+8
20.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 8 yds to the M-OH 42Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+12
20.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 12 yds to the M-OH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
21.6%
Cole Snyder run for 11 yds to the M-OH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+37
19.5%
Jesus Gomez 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12DOWNS
15 plays · 57 yds · 6:5924% → 21%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
24.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for 3 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
24.7%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+5
24.3%
Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+4
24.4%
Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
24.7%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
24.5%
Delbert Mimms III run for 4 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+7
23.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 7 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
23.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the M-OH 36Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
22.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 4 yds to the M-OH 32Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+19
22.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 19 yds to the M-OH 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
23.1%
Delbert Mimms III run for 6 yds to the M-OH 7Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
22.9%
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the M-OH 5Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
22.0%
Delbert Mimms III run for no gain to the M-OH 5Similar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+1
20.6%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the M-OH 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3084% → 84%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
16.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the M-OH 8Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+2
15.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the M-OH 10Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 4
OWN 10
0
15.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 4
OWN 10
+48
15.8%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 48 yds , Oran Singleton returns for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:2319% → 36%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
18.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 16 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
18.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 4 yds to the M-OH 39Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
18.2%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+15
17.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 15 yds to the M-OH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
18.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
17.7%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+12
17.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 12 yds to the M-OH 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
17.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 10 yds to the M-OH 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
17.7%
Cole Snyder run for no gain to the M-OH 2Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
17.5%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Delay Of Game (Savio Frazier) to the M-OH 1Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.1%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:3774% → 90%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
26.2%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Quentavius Scandrett) to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
22.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 8 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+3
21.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
21.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for no gain to the EMU 24Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
10.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cole Weaver for 24 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:507% → 6%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.9%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
6.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 7 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
6.7%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
6.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1491% → 93%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
8.7%
Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the M-OH 18Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+7
8.4%
Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the M-OH 25Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
7.6%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 25Similar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
7.5%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Oran Singleton at the EMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:536% → 5%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
5.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 28Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+5
5.5%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Offsides (Brian Ugwu) to the EMU 33Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
5.7%
Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
4.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for no gain to the EMU 38Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
4.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 48 yds, downed at the M-OH 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:3195% → 97%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
4.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 17Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+17
4.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 17 yds to the M-OH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+34
4.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 34 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
3.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the EMU 31Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-1
3.2%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 32Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+6
3.0%
Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the EMU 26Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
2.8%
Dom Dzioban 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 31 yds · 3:001% → 1%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
1.0%
Cole Snyder sacked by Ty Wise for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 17Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+14
0.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Elijah Jackson-Anderson for 14 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
0.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 14 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.9%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+10
0.9%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 10 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
0.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 5 yds to the M-OH 40Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
1.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 3 yds to the M-OH 37Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+7
1.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Elijah Jackson-Anderson for 7 yds to the M-OH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-8
1.0%
Cole Snyder sacked by Brian Ugwu for a loss of 8 yards to the M-OH 38Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 18
OPP 38
+5
0.9%
Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the M-OH 33Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 13
OPP 33
0
0.8%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 13
OPP 33
-16
0.7%
Cole Snyder sacked by Ty Wise and Brian Ugwu for a loss of 16 yards to the M-OH 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 0:1599% → 100%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
1.0%
Jordan Brunson run for 4 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
1.0%
Jordan Brunson run for 3 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+44
0.3%
Jordan Brunson run for 44 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Delbert Mimms III run for 5 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
0.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 5 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
0.1%
Delbert Mimms III run for 3 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
0.1%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-7
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the EMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:35
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 19 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
-22.3
TD · Q3 2:41
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
+18.6
TD · Q4 14:55
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cole Weaver for 24 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
-11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com