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Louisiana 37 at UL Monroe 23

ULM
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-3.5ULM 0.9%Bill Davis run for 24 yds for a TD(Kenneth Almendares KICK)AWAY 37 - HOME 23 · Q4 1:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:05 · Bill Davis run for 24 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Pregame prior−0.5Home team on offense−46.0Garbage-time factor−13.9Score differential−23.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−15.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:03: Chandler Fields pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 6 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +10.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:19: Max Larson 47 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +7.8 pts (now 40%) (top driver: 4th down).
  3. TD · Q3 11:09: Chandler Fields pass complete to Tavion Smith for 4 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +12.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:30: Zylan Perry run for 7 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +12.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:52: Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK) — ULM win probability +15.8 pts (now 17%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:18ULM 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:26ULM 4th & 7 at UL 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:22UL 4th & 17 at UL 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:22ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:10UL 4th & 1 at UL 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.8%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:16UL 4th & 16 at UL 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:19ULM 4th & 20 at UL 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−2.5
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:32ULM 4th & 11 at UL 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−11.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:44UL 4th & 1 at UL 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.0%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:10ULM 4th & 19 at ULM 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:07UL 4th & 6 at ULM 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−3.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:05UL 4th & 1 at ULM 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−0.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−3.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:51ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 2:14UL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:23ULM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:03UL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:09UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:30UL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:52ULM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−1.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:05UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:4224% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.2%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Davon Wells for no gain Davon Wells fumbled, recovered by ULMSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
24.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
24.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the ULM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
24.2%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Julian Nixon for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
24.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
50
0
24.2%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
50
0
24.2%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 10
50
0
25.5%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:0375% → 74%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
25.5%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
25.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 15 yds to the UL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
25.6%
Zylan Perry run for 6 yds to the UL 41Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-8
25.7%
Chandler Fields pass intercepted Lynard Harris return for 8 yds to the UL 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:4126% → 29%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
26.4%
Jake Godfrey run for 22 yds to the UL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
26.8%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for no gain to the UL 20Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
27.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the UL 17Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+11
27.4%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 11 yds to the UL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
27.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the UL 3Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
28.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 4 yards to the UL 7Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
28.3%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
28.7%
Max Larson 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:5771% → 69%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
28.6%
Bill Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
29.1%
Chandler Fields run for no gain to the UL 34Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-9
29.4%
Chandler Fields sacked by Kevontay Wells for a loss of 9 yards to the UL 25Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 17
OWN 25
0
30.6%
Nathan Torney punt for 40 yds, downed at the ULM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5INT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:0731% → 31%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
30.5%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
30.5%
James Jones run for 3 yds to the ULM 38Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-10
30.8%
(04:27) ARMENTA, Aidan pass short to the right complete for 6 yards to GODFREY, Jake caught at the ULM43 and advanced to the ULM44 (OSSAI, K.C.), clock 04:18. PENALTY ULM Holding on JONES, James enforced 10 yards from the ULM38 to the ULM28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 17
OWN 28
-16
30.5%
Aidan Armenta pass intercepted Kody Jackson return for 16 yds to the ULM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:3971% → 73%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
29.1%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+13
29.3%
Zylan Perry run for 13 yds to the ULM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
29.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Tavion Smith for 7 yds to the ULM 7Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 3
OPP 7
-1
29.7%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 8Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+7
30.1%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrance Carter for 7 yds to the ULM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.1%
Zylan Perry run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5127% → 27%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.3%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
27.0%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
26.9%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jacob Bernard at the UL 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 5 yds · 2:0171% → 70%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
28.7%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
29.0%
Chandler Fields run for 3 yds to the UL 36Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+6
29.3%
Bill Davis run for 6 yds to the UL 42Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+2
29.1%
Bill Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
28.2%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 43Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
28.7%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-5
29.2%
Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Robert Williams) to the UL 38Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 16
OWN 38
0
29.5%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 16
OWN 38
0
30.2%
Nathan Torney punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:4429% → 39%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+28
28.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 28 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
30.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 15 yds to the UL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
31.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the UL 24Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+10
31.4%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Artis Cole for 10 yds to the UL 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
31.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the UL 9Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+2
31.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the UL 7Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
39.4%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 7 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:3061% → 62%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
39.1%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 7 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+16
38.5%
Zylan Perry run for 16 yds to the UL 48 Zylan Perry fumbled, recovered by ULM Wydett Williams Jr. W. Williams Jr. return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0741% → 40%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
41.2%
Aidan Armenta pass intercepted Kody Jackson return for no gain to the UL 12Similar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
39.9%
Louisiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UL 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 5:3660% → 71%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+23
40.1%
Bill Davis run for 8 yds to the UL 15 for a 1ST down UL Monroe Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on GLASS JR., Carl enforced (Carl Glass Jr.) to the UL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
39.7%
Bill Davis run for 9 yds to the UL 39Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+4
38.9%
Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
39.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 9 yds to the ULM 48Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+20
38.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrance Carter for 20 yds to the ULM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
38.1%
Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the ULM 24Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+3
38.6%
Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the ULM 21Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+12
40.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Robert Williams for 12 yds to the ULM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
39.3%
Chandler Fields run for 4 yds to the ULM 5Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
39.8%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 6Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
29.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 6 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 3:3932% → 40%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
31.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+23
30.8%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Rylan Green for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
50
0
33.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
50
+9
34.1%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Artis Cole for 9 yds to the UL 41Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+8
34.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the UL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
36.6%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+14
36.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 14 yds to the UL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-18
36.8%
UL Monroe Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Aidan Armenta) to the UL 37Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 28
OPP 37
+8
33.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the UL 29Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 20
OPP 29
0
33.1%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 20
OPP 29
+47
39.9%
Max Larson 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
40.1%
(00:09) [NH] Kneel down by FIELDS, Chandler at ULL13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:4463% → 77%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
37.1%
Zylan Perry run for 7 yds to the UL 27Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
36.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 6 yds Lance LeGendre fumbled, recovered by UL Zylan Perry Z. Perry return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
36.9%
Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Robert Williams) to the UL 28Similar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+4
37.7%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+38
38.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 38 yds to the ULM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
34.3%
Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the ULM 29Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+25
34.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Robert Williams for 25 yds to the ULM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
22.7%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Tavion Smith for 4 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 8:3726% → 34%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.8%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Davon Wells for 3 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
26.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
25.7%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Ahmad Hardy for 11 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
28.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the ULM 49Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
29.4%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+4
28.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the UL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
30.0%
James Jones run for 2 yds to the UL 45Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+13
30.0%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Julian Nixon for 13 yds to the UL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
31.7%
Aidan Armenta run for 4 yds to the UL 28Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+8
32.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the UL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
31.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 10 yds to the UL 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
31.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the UL 5Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
32.1%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
30.2%
Aidan Armenta sacked by Kadarius Miller and Jordan Lawson for a loss of 6 yards to the UL 11Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
33.7%
Max Larson 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:4473% → 89%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
27.5%
Chandler Fields sacked by Dylan Howell and Travor Randle for a loss of 3 yards to the UL 32Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+9
29.2%
Bill Davis run for 9 yds to the UL 41Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
26.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Bill Davis for 3 yds to the UL 44Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
28.0%
Bill Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
25.7%
Bill Davis run for 1 yd to the UL 47Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+23
25.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 23 yds to the ULM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
23.6%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
23.8%
Bill Davis run for 2 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+6
25.4%
Bill Davis run for 6 yds to the ULM 22Similar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+5
26.7%
(12:54) ALMENDARES, Kenneth field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at ULM29], score nullified by penalty, clock 12:51. PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ULM22 to the ULM17 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
23.1%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
23.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 5 yds to the ULM 12Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+5
24.0%
Zylan Perry run for 5 yds to the ULM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
11.4%
Zylan Perry run for 7 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:2012% → 9%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-11
11.9%
Aidan Armenta sacked by Jordan Lawson for a loss of 11 yards to the ULM 16Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
9.6%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
9.1%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 34 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:5490% → 98%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
50
+7
10.3%
Zylan Perry run for 7 yds to the ULM 43Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
8.7%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+5
8.9%
Zylan Perry run for 5 yds to the ULM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
8.7%
Zylan Perry run for 25 yds to the ULM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
8.2%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the ULM 9Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+2
7.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Caden Jensen for 2 yds to the ULM 7Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-2
6.1%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 9Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
2.5%
Kenneth Almendares 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:142% → 17%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.2%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Artis Cole for 5 yds to the ULM 30Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
2.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 10 yds to the ULM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
2.3%
UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ULM 35Similar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+30
2.2%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 30 yds to the UL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
2.7%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
2.2%
Aidan Armenta run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 36Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+28
1.5%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 28 yds to the UL 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
17.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:4790% → 99%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
10.2%
Zylan Perry run for 21 yds to the UL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
7.7%
Zylan Perry run for 10 yds to the ULM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
6.8%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the ULM 40Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
5.3%
Zylan Perry run for 7 yds to the ULM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
4.0%
Zylan Perry run for 5 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
3.8%
Zylan Perry run for 2 yds to the ULM 26Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
3.7%
Chandler Fields run for 2 yds to the ULM 24Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+24
0.9%
Bill Davis run for 24 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:211% → 1%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.5%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 6 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
0.5%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
0.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the ULM 34Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
0.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the ULM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
0.5%
Aidan Armenta pass intercepted K.C. Ossai return for 3 yds to the ULM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
0.8%
(00:32) [NH] Kneel down by FIELDS, Chandler at ULM48 (team loss of 1), clock 00:27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:52
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)
+15.8
TD · Q4 11:30
Zylan Perry run for 7 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-12.6
TD · Q3 11:09
Chandler Fields pass complete to Tavion Smith for 4 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com