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MRSH

Marshall 35 at James Madison 33

JMU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Alonza Barnett III run for 5 yds to the MRSH 33 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+18.5+9.30−9.3−18.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 34Home team on offense+6.4Pregame prior+5.6Score differential+3.2Garbage-time factor+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:18: Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 16 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +16.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:11: Alonza Barnett III pass intercepted Jadarius Green-McKnight return for 28 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +10.1 pts (now 42%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:09: Jobi Malary run for 7 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +25.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:04: Braylon Braxton run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +35.4 pts (now 53%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Noe Ruelas 38 Yd Field Goal — JMU win probability +20.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 10:21MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:59MRSH 4th & 3 at JMU 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−1.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00JMU 4th & 3 at MRSH 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    70.8%−1.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:27JMU 4th & 5 at MRSH 5, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−6.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:07MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 44, down 17
    Close callPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:02JMU 4th & 6 at JMU 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:57MRSH 4th & 15 at JMU 42, down 17
    Close callPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    16.6%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:43MRSH 4th & 6 at JMU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:19JMU 4th & 15 at JMU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−3.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:06MRSH 4th & 19 at MRSH 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−3.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:55JMU 4th & 22 at JMU 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−3.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:09MRSH 4th & 9 at JMU 11, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.4 ptsWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%−3.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−13.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:04MRSH 4th & 1 at JMU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%−10.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−21.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:10JMU 4th & 3 at JMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:43JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:17JMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:18MRSH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:11MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:09JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−0.8
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:04MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1758% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
57.6%
George Pettaway run for 14 yds to the JMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
57.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
57.6%
George Pettaway run for 5 yds to the MRSH 45Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+10
57.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 10 yds to the MRSH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+34
57.9%
Wayne Knight run for 34 yds to the MRSH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
57.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 4 yards to the MRSH 5 fumbled, recovered by JMU Alonza Barnett III A. Barnett III return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
59.4%
George Pettaway run for 5 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1341% → 40%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
58.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 3 yds to the MRSH 31Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
58.9%
Braylon Braxton run for 4 yds to the MRSH 35Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-5
58.9%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MRSH 30Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
59.1%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 8
OWN 30
+3
59.6%
Alec Clark punt for 53 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 3 yds to the JMU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 6:0460% → 68%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
59.6%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 14Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
59.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Josh Phifer for 4 yds to the JMU 18Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+4
59.4%
Jobi Malary run for 4 yds to the JMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
59.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
59.6%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 26Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+15
59.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 15 yds to the JMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
59.9%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 45Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+9
60.0%
Alonza Barnett III run for 9 yds to the MRSH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+36
60.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 36 yds to the MRSH 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
60.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 1 yd to the MRSH 9Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
67.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 9 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:1135% → 34%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
65.2%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 47Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+1
65.4%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the MRSH 48Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+7
65.5%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Jordan Houston for 7 yds to the JMU 45Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
66.5%
Alec Clark punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5FG
16 plays · 83 yds · 8:3268% → 80%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
68.4%
Jobi Malary run for 4 yds to the JMU 16Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+12
68.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 12 yds to the JMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
68.5%
Jobi Malary run for 27 yds to the MRSH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
69.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
70.9%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the MRSH 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+3
70.5%
Jobi Malary run for 3 yds to the MRSH 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+5
69.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 5 yds to the MRSH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
70.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 5 yds to the MRSH 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
71.0%
George Pettaway run for 1 yd to the MRSH 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+6
70.6%
Alonza Barnett III run for 6 yds to the MRSH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
71.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Logan Kyle for 6 yds to the MRSH 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+6
71.0%
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the MRSH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
71.0%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the MRSH 7Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
74.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for 4 yds to the MRSH 3Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
74.3%
George Pettaway run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 5Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
79.7%
Noe Ruelas 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1223% → 22%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
77.5%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the MRSH 40Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
77.3%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 4 yds to the MRSH 44Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
76.9%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
77.7%
Alec Clark punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 4:0580% → 82%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
80.2%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 24Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-9
80.2%
Alonza Barnett III sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the JMU 15 Alonza Barnett III fumbled, recovered by JMU , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+14
79.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 14 yds to the JMU 29Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+5
79.1%
Marshall Penalty, Offsides (Mike Green) to the JMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
80.3%
Jobi Malary run for 1 yd to the JMU 35Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+8
80.2%
Wayne Knight run for 8 yds to the JMU 43Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
80.2%
Wayne Knight run for no gain to the JMU 43Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-5
79.5%
James Madison Penalty, Delay Of Game (Alonza Barnett III) to the JMU 38Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
82.4%
Ryan Hanson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the MRSH 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 2:0520% → 19%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
80.5%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+20
81.0%
Braylon Braxton run for 20 yds to the MRSH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
78.9%
Braylon Braxton run for no gain to the MRSH 48Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
79.5%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Bralon Brown for 15 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
77.5%
Braylon Braxton run for no gain to the JMU 37Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
79.5%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-5
79.9%
Braylon Braxton sacked by Immanuel Bush for a loss of 5 yards to the JMU 42Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
81.5%
Alec Clark punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:5786% → 84%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
86.2%
George Pettaway run for 5 yds to the JMU 12Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 12
-2
84.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 5:0917% → 18%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
82.7%
Braylon Braxton run for 2 yds to the MRSH 30Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
82.8%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+12
83.4%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Bralon Brown for 12 yds to the MRSH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
82.2%
Braylon Braxton sacked by Eric O'Neill for a loss of 7 yards to the MRSH 35Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+22
83.4%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 22 yds to the JMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
81.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 3 yds to the JMU 40Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+12
81.5%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Bralon Brown for 12 yds to the JMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
80.2%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-10
80.8%
Marshall Penalty, Offensive Holding (Toby Payne) to the JMU 27Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+7
80.5%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 7 yds to the JMU 20Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 2
OPP 20
-4
81.1%
Braylon Braxton run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 24Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
81.9%
Rece Verhoff 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:2485% → 86%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.9%
George Pettaway run for 5 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
84.9%
George Pettaway run for 8 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
85.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
85.3%
George Pettaway run for no gain to the JMU 38Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
85.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 10
OWN 38
-5
84.8%
James Madison Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the JMU 33Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
85.7%
Ryan Hanson punt for 25 yds, downed at the MRSH 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:1317% → 15%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
82.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to A.J. Turner for a loss of 4 yards to the MRSH 38Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
84.3%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 14
OWN 38
-5
84.5%
Braylon Braxton sacked by Eric O'Neill for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 33Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 19
OWN 33
+3
85.5%
Alec Clark punt for 50 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 3 yds to the JMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 2:1187% → 88%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
87.4%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the JMU 22Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-1
87.3%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 21Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-13
86.8%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Mike Green for a loss of 13 yards to the JMU 8Similar
Q3 3:55
4TH & 22
OWN 8
0
87.8%
Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the JMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:3715% → 32%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
85.1%
A.J. Turner run for 8 yds to the JMU 37Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
84.6%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the JMU 36Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+15
85.2%
James Madison Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the JMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
84.2%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
67.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 16 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 15INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-28
57.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass intercepted Jadarius Green-McKnight return for 28 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 6:0258% → 87%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
58.4%
Jobi Malary run for 7 yds to the JMU 42Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+13
61.5%
Jobi Malary run for 13 yds to the MRSH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
62.6%
Jobi Malary run for 2 yds to the MRSH 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+8
62.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for 8 yds to the MRSH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
64.0%
Jobi Malary run for 7 yds to the MRSH 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+10
64.0%
Jobi Malary run for 10 yds to the MRSH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
64.0%
Jobi Malary run for 7 yds to the MRSH 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-10
64.0%
BARNETT III, Alonza pass to the left complete for 10 yards to ROSS, Cam caught at the MAR12 and advanced to the MAR1 (MCGHEE, AG). PENALTY JMU Holding on THOMPSON, Taylor enforced 10 yards from the MAR11 to the MAR21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+11
63.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 11 yds to the MRSH 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
62.2%
Alonza Barnett III run for 3 yds to the MRSH 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.2%
Jobi Malary run for 7 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17TD
15 plays · 72 yds · 6:0520% → 53%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
80.0%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the MRSH 28Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+10
80.8%
BRAXTON, Braylon pass to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Bralon thrown to the MAR40. PENALTY JMU Holding on TAYLOR, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the MAR28 to the MAR38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+31
79.2%
Ethan Payne run for 31 yds to the JMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
75.1%
Braylon Braxton run for 6 yds to the JMU 25Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+13
74.5%
Tychaun Chapman run for 13 yds to the JMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
74.5%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
74.5%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the JMU 11Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
77.1%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+9
79.1%
Rece Verhoff run for 9 yds to the JMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
76.8%
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the JMU 1 Ethan Payne fumbled, recovered by MRSH Braylon Braxton B. Braxton return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.8%
Ethan Payne run for no gain to the JMU 1Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.4%
Braylon Braxton run for no gain to the JMU 1Similar
Q4 5:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.0%
Braylon Braxton run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5458% → 55%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.5%
Wayne Knight run for no gain to the JMU 25Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.1%
Jobi Malary run for 5 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
55.6%
Alonza Barnett III run for 2 yds to the JMU 32Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
54.7%
Ryan Hanson punt for 42 yds , Chuck Montgomery returns for 4 yds to the MRSH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19FUMBLE
14 plays · 45 yds · 3:1052% → 56%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
48.2%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the MRSH 35Similar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
44.7%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
46.0%
Jordan Houston run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 1
50
+20
42.9%
Jordan Houston run for 20 yds to the JMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
46.5%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the MRSH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
37.8%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Jordan Houston for 13 yds to the JMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
40.8%
Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the JMU 15Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-5
40.8%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (Jalen Slappy) to the JMU 20Similar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+1
41.0%
Braylon Braxton run for 1 yd to the JMU 19Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 19
-6
44.5%
Alec Clark run for a loss of 6 yards to the MRSH 43 Alec Clark fumbled, recovered by JMU Chris Shearin C. Shearin return for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
41.1%
Braylon Braxton run for 3 yds to the JMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21FG
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 60%
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+1
38.7%
Alonza Barnett III run for 1 yd to the MRSH 20Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+38
59.6%
Noe Ruelas 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-59.6
TD · Q4 5:04
Braylon Braxton run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)
-35.4
TD · Q4 11:09
Jobi Malary run for 7 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+25
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com