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APP

App State 20 at Georgia Southern 29

GASO
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:21 · Alex Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Makai Jackson at the APP 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorDefense timeouts
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Home team on offense+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score differential+0.8Garbage-time factor+1.0Pregame prior+1.8Defense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:51: Jalen White run for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +10.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:33: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +18.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:36: Jalen White run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +16.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:16: Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +27.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:16: Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 26 — GASO win probability +12.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:02GASO 4th & 1 at APP 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:01GASO 4th & 26 at APP 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:04APP 4th & 10 at APP 47, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:21GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 32, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:06APP 4th & 1 at GASO 1, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−3.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−8.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:06APP 4th & 6 at GASO 37, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    22.0%−1.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:12APP 4th & 12 at GASO 21, down 9
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%−2.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−7.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 6:12GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 24, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−8.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:57APP 4th & 11 at APP 43, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:47GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    60.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:48APP Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    40.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:51GASO Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:33APP Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:36GASO Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:16APP Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−1.0
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:05GASO Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:1352% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.4%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
52.4%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 18 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
52.6%
Jalen White run for 17 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
52.7%
JC French run for 4 yds to the APP 33Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
53.0%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the APP 30Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+6
53.1%
JC French run for 6 yds to the APP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
53.3%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the APP 24Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
53.5%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 7 yds to the APP 17Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+2
53.5%
JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 2 yds to the APP 15Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
53.4%
JC French run for 2 yds to the APP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
54.1%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the APP 10Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
56.4%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 10 yds for a TD (M. Daniel Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:0544% → 43%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
56.1%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the APP 15Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+32
56.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 32 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
56.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-15
56.3%
(06:45) AGUILAR, Joey sacked for a loss of 4 yards at the APP49 (RHODES, Davion), clock 06:40. PENALTY APP Personal Foul on LANGLO, Garner enforced 15 yards from the GS47 to the APP38 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 19
OWN 38
0
57.3%
Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Jacob Ferguson return for no gain to the APP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
8 plays · -16 yds · 1:2758% → 57%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
57.9%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the APP 28Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
58.3%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the APP 24Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-15
58.2%
(05:31) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the APP8, clock 05:26. PENALTY GS Pass Interference on BURGESS JR., Derwin enforced 15 yards to the APP39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 16
OPP 39
0
57.8%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 16
OPP 39
-5
57.2%
(05:18) SMITH, Alex punt 35 yards to the APP4 downed by SMYTH, Jeffrey, clock 05:11. PENALTY Before the snap, GS Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the APP39 to the APP44. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 21
OPP 44
-5
57.3%
(05:10) SMITH, Alex punt 39 yards to the APP5 downed by THOMPSON, Joshua, clock 05:03. PENALTY Before the snap, GS Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the APP44 to the APP49. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 26
OPP 49
0
57.4%
punt for 39 yds, downed at the APP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:4842% → 39%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
58.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 16Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 4
OWN 16
-3
58.5%
(04:16) MARSHALL, Ahmani rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the APP19 (MEYERS, Justin;PIKES, Troy), clock 04:12. PENALTY APP Holding on LANGLO, Garner enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the APP16 to the APP8 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+10
58.9%
Ahmani Marshall run for 10 yds to the APP 18Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+12
59.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 12 yds to the APP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
59.0%
Maquel Haywood run for 17 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
58.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
58.8%
Maquel Haywood run for no gain to the APP 47Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
59.6%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+10
60.7%
Conner Maynard punt for 44 yds , Josh Dallas returns for 10 yds to the GASO 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3659% → 59%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
59.3%
JC French run for 10 yds to the GASO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
59.7%
JC French sacked by Nate Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 25Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+2
59.6%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 2 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+5
59.2%
(14:30) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin broken up by CHAMBERS, Jason at the GS46, clock 14:26. PENALTY APP Offsides on HARRINGTON, Brendan enforced 5 yards from the GS27 to the GS32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
59.7%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
59.0%
Alex Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Makai Jackson at the APP 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:2440% → 48%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
60.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+1
59.9%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the APP 47Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
60.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 4 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
60.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+21
59.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 21 yds to the GASO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
59.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 4 yds to the GASO 17Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
59.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the GASO 13Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+6
60.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the GASO 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
59.9%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the GASO 4Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
60.1%
(09:11) MARSHALL, Ahmani rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the GS3 (MEYERS, Justin;DEDMAN, Reid), clock 09:06. PENALTY Before the snap, APP Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GS4 to the GS9. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
51.8%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 5:5158% → 74%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
58.4%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 3 yds to the GASO 19Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+15
58.2%
(08:23) FRENCH, JC pass to the left incomplete intended for DALLAS, Josh thrown to the GS30, clock 08:18. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Nick enforced 15 yards to the GS34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
58.7%
JC French run for no gain to the GASO 34Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
59.4%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 7 yds to the GASO 41Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+4
60.5%
JC French run for 4 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
62.1%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 20 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
63.0%
David Mbadinga run for 1 yd to the APP 34Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+13
63.0%
JC French run for 13 yds to the APP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
63.4%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 7 yds to the APP 14Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 3
OPP 14
0
63.7%
Dalen Cobb run for no gain to the APP 14Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+5
62.9%
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the APP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
64.0%
App State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jason Hertz) to the APP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
74.0%
Jalen White run for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8DOWNS
18 plays · 71 yds · 2:3433% → 27%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
67.5%
Anderson Castle run for 5 yds to the APP 33Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+7
67.2%
Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the APP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
69.8%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 14 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
68.4%
Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+6
68.7%
Anderson Castle run for 6 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
68.2%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
66.5%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
66.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 15 yds to the GASO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
65.6%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
66.0%
(00:25) AGUILAR, Joey pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Makai broken up by GAMBLE, Chance at the GS2, clock 00:21. PENALTY GS Personal Foul on MORRIS, Deontre enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards from the GS20 to the GS10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
65.9%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
66.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
71.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 9 yds to the GASO 1Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the GASO 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
73.9%
JC French run for 1 yd to the GASO 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10INT
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:0531% → 32%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
69.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 30Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+6
68.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
68.8%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 17 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
67.5%
Maquel Haywood run for 13 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
66.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 15 yds to the GASO 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
67.8%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
68.2%
Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Tracy Hill Jr. return for no gain to the GASO 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:5973% → 76%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
73.2%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 13 yds to the GASO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+34
73.7%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 34 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
75.9%
JC French run for 2 yds to the APP 35 JC French fumbled, recovered by APP Joshua Donald J. Donald return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 6:0228% → 47%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
71.9%
Maquel Haywood run for 8 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-2
71.0%
Maquel Haywood run for a loss of 2 yards to the APP 41Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+4
71.9%
Joey Aguilar run for 4 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
72.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the APP 47Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+12
74.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 12 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
72.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the GASO 40Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+3
73.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
73.7%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+31
74.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 31 yds to the GASO 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
71.2%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
71.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the GASO 6Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
53.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:5760% → 84%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
59.9%
JC French pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 16 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
62.9%
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the GASO 49Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
64.2%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
64.9%
(02:51) QB Keeper FRENCH, JC rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the APP45 (JOHNSON, Nate), out of bounds, clock 02:44. PENALTY GS Holding on STRONG, Chandler enforced 10 yards from the APP47 to the GS43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+8
61.8%
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the APP 49Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+11
62.9%
JC French pass complete to Beau Johnson for 11 yds to the APP 38Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+6
65.2%
Dalen Cobb run for 6 yds to the APP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
67.3%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
67.1%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the APP 25Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+3
65.8%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the APP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
67.6%
JC French run for 19 yds to the APP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.3%
Jalen White run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 3:2219% → 17%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.6%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the APP 27Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
81.1%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the APP 28Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
83.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 13 yds to the APP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
80.1%
Ahmani Marshall run for 17 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+23
78.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 23 yds to the GASO 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
77.1%
Maquel Haywood run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 21Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
78.9%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 12
OPP 21
0
80.9%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+5
83.5%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Delay Of Game (Marc Stampley II) to the GASO 16Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 7
OPP 16
-5
82.3%
App State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GASO 21Similar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 12
OPP 21
-23
83.5%
run for a loss of 23 yards to the GASO 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:2592% → 92%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
92.0%
JC French run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 4
50
0
92.3%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 4
50
-9
92.2%
JC French sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the GASO 41 JC French fumbled, recovered by APP Nate Johnson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:2020% → 49%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+40
80.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 40 yds to the GASO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.9%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:0463% → 70%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
63.2%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 26Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
62.8%
JC French sacked by Thomas Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 23Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
66.6%
JC French run for 1 yd to the GASO 24Similar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+12
70.1%
Alex Smith punt for 44 yds , Makai Jackson returns for 12 yds to the APP 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:0341% → 32%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
59.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-10
58.5%
(05:30) MARSHALL, Ahmani rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the APP48 (STAMPLEY II, Marc;FERGUSON, Jacob), clock 05:26. PENALTY APP Holding on HOLLIFIELD, Jack enforced 10 yards from the APP46 to the APP36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 18
OWN 36
+6
63.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Anderson Castle for 6 yds to the APP 42Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+1
66.2%
Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd to the APP 43Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
67.9%
Conner Maynard punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Josh Dallas at the GASO 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 2:4676% → 99%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
76.3%
Jalen White run for 10 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
75.8%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the GASO 33Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+6
77.8%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
83.4%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
84.0%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+15
85.7%
App State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Avarion Cole) to the APP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
88.3%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the APP 34Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-1
89.9%
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 35Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+35
98.8%
Jalen White run for 35 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20MISSED FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 0:432% → 3%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
97.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Ahmani Marshall for 14 yds to the APP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
97.7%
Joey Aguilar run for 9 yds to the APP 48Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
97.6%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+16
97.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 16 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.2%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+10
97.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 10 yds to the GASO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
96.7%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+44
97.0%
Michael Hughes 44 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
98.8%
JC French run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:16
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
-27.5
TD · Q3 4:33
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
-18.4
TD · Q4 13:36
Jalen White run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+16.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com