AS
App State 20 at Georgia Southern 29
GS2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Win probability · GS
modelGS aheadAS aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:17 · JC French run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 25
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 28
0.0
Q1 14:39
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 18 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 14:17
Jalen White run for 17 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q1 13:49
JC French run for 4 yds to the APP 33
+1.3
Q1 13:11
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the APP 30
0.0
Q1 12:32
JC French run for 6 yds to the APP 24 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 12:00
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the APP 24
+0.3
Q1 11:29
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 7 yds to the APP 17
0.0
Q1 10:49
JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 2 yds to the APP 15
-0.3
Q1 10:02
JC French run for 2 yds to the APP 13 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q1 9:24
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the APP 10
+0.8
Q1 8:47
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 10 yds for a TD (M. Daniel Run For Two-point Conversion)
+14.9
Q1 8:40
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the APP 15
-2.3
Q1 8:03
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 32 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 7:22
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the GASO 47
-1.0
Q1 6:45
(06:45) AGUILAR, Joey sacked for a loss of 4 yards at the APP49 (RHODES, Davion), clock 06:40. PENALTY APP Personal Foul on LANGLO, Garner enforced 15 yards from the GS47 to the APP38 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.5
Q1 6:35
Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Jacob Ferguson return for no gain to the APP 33
+1.0
Q1 6:28
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the APP 28
+3.3
Q1 5:55
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the APP 24
0.0
Q1 5:31
(05:31) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the APP8, clock 05:26. PENALTY GS Pass Interference on BURGESS JR., Derwin enforced 15 yards to the APP39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.2
Q1 5:26
JC French pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 5:18
(05:18) SMITH, Alex punt 35 yards to the APP4 downed by SMYTH, Jeffrey, clock 05:11. PENALTY Before the snap, GS Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the APP39 to the APP44. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.3
Q1 5:10
(05:10) SMITH, Alex punt 39 yards to the APP5 downed by THOMPSON, Joshua, clock 05:03. PENALTY Before the snap, GS Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the APP44 to the APP49. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.5
Q1 5:01
punt for 39 yds, downed at the APP 10
0.0
Q1 4:52
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 04:52
-0.4
Q1 4:52
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 16
0.0
Q1 4:16
(04:16) MARSHALL, Ahmani rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the APP19 (MEYERS, Justin;PIKES, Troy), clock 04:12. PENALTY APP Holding on LANGLO, Garner enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the APP16 to the APP8 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q1 4:02
Ahmani Marshall run for 10 yds to the APP 18
0.0
Q1 3:16
Ahmani Marshall run for 12 yds to the APP 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 2:37
Maquel Haywood run for 17 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 2:03
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
-0.4
Q1 2:00
Maquel Haywood run for no gain to the APP 47
0.0
Q1 1:14
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 1:04
Conner Maynard punt for 44 yds , Josh Dallas returns for 10 yds to the GASO 19
+0.3
Q1 0:57
JC French run for 10 yds to the GASO 29 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q1 0:24
JC French sacked by Nate Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 25
0.0
Q2 14:59
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 2 yds to the GASO 27
-0.1
Q2 14:30
(14:30) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin broken up by CHAMBERS, Jason at the GS46, clock 14:26. PENALTY APP Offsides on HARRINGTON, Brendan enforced 5 yards from the GS27 to the GS32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q2 14:25
JC French pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 14:21
Alex Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Makai Jackson at the APP 39
-0.6
Q2 14:12
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the APP 46
+0.1
Q2 13:44
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the APP 47
-0.5
Q2 12:58
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 4 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:24
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the GASO 42
-0.2
Q2 12:21
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 12:21
-0.6
Q2 11:50
Ahmani Marshall run for 21 yds to the GASO 21 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 11:30
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 4 yds to the GASO 17
0.0
Q2 10:56
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the GASO 13
+0.3
Q2 10:32
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the GASO 7 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 9:54
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the GASO 4
0.0
Q2 9:11
(09:11) MARSHALL, Ahmani rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the GS3 (MEYERS, Justin;DEDMAN, Reid), clock 09:06. PENALTY Before the snap, APP Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GS4 to the GS9. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q2 8:48
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-18.5
Q2 8:42
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 08:42
+8.9
Q2 8:42
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 3 yds to the GASO 19
0.0
Q2 8:23
(08:23) FRENCH, JC pass to the left incomplete intended for DALLAS, Josh thrown to the GS30, clock 08:18. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Nick enforced 15 yards to the GS34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q2 8:17
JC French run for no gain to the GASO 34
0.0
Q2 7:38
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 7 yds to the GASO 41
+1.1
Q2 7:04
JC French run for 4 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q2 6:17
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 20 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q2 5:42
David Mbadinga run for 1 yd to the APP 34
+1.0
Q2 5:09
JC French run for 13 yds to the APP 21 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 4:25
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 7 yds to the APP 14
+0.2
Q2 3:43
Dalen Cobb run for no gain to the APP 14
0.0
Q2 3:11
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the APP 9 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q2 3:04
App State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jason Hertz) to the APP 4 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q2 2:51
Jalen White run for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+12.0
Q2 2:40
Anderson Castle run for 5 yds to the APP 33
-2.7
Q2 2:16
Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the APP 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:11
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 02:11
-0.5
Q2 1:59
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 14 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 1:44
Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the GASO 44
-1.0
Q2 1:21
Anderson Castle run for 6 yds to the GASO 38
0.0
Q2 1:04
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST down
+3.1
Q2 0:46
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
-0.6
Q2 0:40
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 15 yds to the GASO 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:28
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
-0.2
Q2 0:25
(00:25) AGUILAR, Joey pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Makai broken up by GAMBLE, Chance at the GS2, clock 00:21. PENALTY GS Personal Foul on MORRIS, Deontre enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards from the GS20 to the GS10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q2 0:20
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:16
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 00:16
0.0
Q2 0:16
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:12
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 00:12
+0.7
Q2 0:10
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 9 yds to the GASO 1
0.0
Q2 0:07
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 00:07
+0.8
Q2 0:06
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the GASO 1
0.0
Q2 0:01
JC French run for 1 yd to the GASO 2
+0.8
Q3 14:54
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 30
-1.7
Q3 14:23
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:52
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 17 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:15
Maquel Haywood run for 13 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q3 12:40
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 15 yds to the GASO 19 for a 1ST down
-1.1
Q3 11:54
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
+1.9
Q3 11:49
Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Tracy Hill Jr. return for no gain to the GASO 16
0.0
Q3 11:42
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 13 yds to the GASO 29 for a 1ST down
+4.6
Q3 11:09
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 34 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 10:43
JC French run for 2 yds to the APP 35 JC French fumbled, recovered by APP Joshua Donald J. Donald return for 0 yds
+0.6
Q3 10:35
Maquel Haywood run for 8 yds to the APP 43
-2.6
Q3 9:59
Maquel Haywood run for a loss of 2 yards to the APP 41
+0.1
Q3 9:12
Joey Aguilar run for 4 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST down
+1.9
Q3 8:31
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the APP 47
0.0
Q3 7:56
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 12 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:45
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 07:45
-1.4
Q3 7:22
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the GASO 40
0.0
Q3 6:52
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the GASO 37
+1.7
Q3 6:12
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 6:08
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 06:08
+0.3
Q3 6:06
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 31 yds to the GASO 6 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 5:24
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
-0.8
Q3 5:19
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the GASO 6
0.0
Q3 4:33
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
-25.1
Q3 4:33
JC French pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 16 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST down
+8.8
Q3 3:59
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the GASO 49
+0.6
Q3 3:23
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q3 2:51
(02:51) QB Keeper FRENCH, JC rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the APP45 (JOHNSON, Nate), out of bounds, clock 02:44. PENALTY GS Holding on STRONG, Chandler enforced 10 yards from the APP47 to the GS43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
+0.3
Q3 2:27
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the APP 49
-0.5
Q3 1:46
JC French pass complete to Beau Johnson for 11 yds to the APP 38
+0.5
Q3 1:04
Dalen Cobb run for 6 yds to the APP 32 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q3 0:25
JC French pass incomplete
+0.2
Q3 0:20
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the APP 25
0.0
Q4 14:59
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the APP 22 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q4 14:25
JC French run for 19 yds to the APP 3 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q4 13:36
Jalen White run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+19.7
Q4 13:34
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the APP 27
-3.0
Q4 12:55
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the APP 28
+2.1
Q4 12:51
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 12:51
0.0
Q4 12:33
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 13 yds to the APP 41 for a 1ST down
+1.8
Q4 12:04
Ahmani Marshall run for 17 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q4 11:29
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 23 yds to the GASO 19 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q4 11:03
Maquel Haywood run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 21
-0.4
Q4 10:25
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 10:21
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 10:14
Georgia Southern Penalty, Delay Of Game (Marc Stampley II) to the GASO 16
+0.3
Q4 10:14
App State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GASO 21
0.0
Q4 10:12
run for a loss of 23 yards to the GASO 44
0.0
Q4 10:10
JC French run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line
+0.7
Q4 9:26
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the 50 yard line
+0.5
Q4 8:45
JC French sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the GASO 41 JC French fumbled, recovered by APP Nate Johnson , return for 0 yards
0.0
Q4 8:36
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 40 yds to the GASO 1 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q4 8:27
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 08:27
-0.6
Q4 8:16
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
-29.2
Q4 8:16
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 26
+12.3
Q4 7:32
JC French sacked by Thomas Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 23
+0.6
Q4 7:28
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 07:28
+1.6
Q4 6:43
JC French run for 1 yd to the GASO 24
0.0
Q4 6:12
Alex Smith punt for 44 yds , Makai Jackson returns for 12 yds to the APP 44
+0.5
Q4 6:00
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the APP 46
-11.7
Q4 5:30
(05:30) MARSHALL, Ahmani rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the APP48 (STAMPLEY II, Marc;FERGUSON, Jacob), clock 05:26. PENALTY APP Holding on HOLLIFIELD, Jack enforced 10 yards from the APP46 to the APP36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.3
Q4 5:12
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Anderson Castle for 6 yds to the APP 42
+2.0
Q4 4:35
Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd to the APP 43
+1.1
Q4 3:57
Conner Maynard punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Josh Dallas at the GASO 14
+0.3
Q4 3:51
Jalen White run for 10 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST down
+10.6
Q4 3:09
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the GASO 33
+0.6
Q4 2:24
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q4 2:20
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 02:20
+1.0
Q4 1:58
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 43
+1.7
Q4 1:54
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 47
+0.2
Q4 1:53
Timeout App State, clock 01:53
+0.4
Q4 1:48
App State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Avarion Cole) to the APP 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:23
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the APP 34
+3.7
Q4 1:19
Timeout App State, clock 01:19
+0.9
Q4 1:18
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 35
0.0
Q4 1:11
Timeout App State, clock 01:11
+1.8
Q4 1:05
Jalen White run for 35 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+8.8
Q4 1:03
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Ahmani Marshall for 14 yds to the APP 39 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q4 0:49
Joey Aguilar run for 9 yds to the APP 48
+0.2
Q4 0:43
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 0:39
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 16 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:30
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
-0.6
Q4 0:29
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 10 yds to the GASO 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:22
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete
+0.3
Q4 0:20
Michael Hughes 44 Yard Field Goal Missed
0.0
Q4 0:17
JC French run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 25
+1.2
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:16
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
-29.2
TD · Q3 4:33
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
-25.1
TD · Q4 13:36
Jalen White run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+19.7