Try the model
CCU

Coastal Carolina 19 at Marshall 31

MRSH
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:21 · Emile Sebafundi punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the MRSH 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorDefense timeouts
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense+9.4Pregame prior+6.6Score differential+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Garbage-time factor+0.8Defense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:06: Chuck Montgomery 14 Yd pass from Braylon Braxton (Nathan Totten Kick) — MRSH win probability +5.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:47: Jacobie Henderson 65 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Nathan Totten Kick) — MRSH win probability +10.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:02: Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 7 yds for a TD (Nathan Totten KICK) — MRSH win probability +12.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:55: Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Totten KICK) — MRSH win probability +7.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:04: Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 47 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +7.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 7CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 8:19MRSH 4th & 4 at CCU 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    67.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:32CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:47MRSH 4th & 3 at CCU 21, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.5%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:38MRSH 4th & 17 at CCU 32, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    63.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:47CCU 4th & 18 at MRSH 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−1.9
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:19CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:21MRSH 4th & 9 at CCU 34, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:52CCU 4th & 12 at CCU 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:44MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−1.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:21CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:44CCU 4th & 5 at MRSH 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−3.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:15MRSH 4th & 14 at MRSH 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−1.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:10CCU 4th & 6 at MRSH 10, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:12CCU 4th & 12 at MRSH 16, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:46MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 22, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:04CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:06MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:47MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:02MRSH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:55MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:04CCU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5231% → 34%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
68.5%
Ethan Vasko run for 9 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
68.4%
Christian Washington run for 11 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
68.2%
Jameson Tucker run for 15 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
68.1%
Jameson Tucker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
68.0%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the MRSH 34Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+30
68.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 30 yds to the MRSH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
67.8%
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the MRSH 4Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
66.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:3867% → 66%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
66.8%
Jordan Houston run for 12 yds to the MRSH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
66.7%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 6 yds to the MRSH 44Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
66.8%
Braylon Braxton run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
50
0
66.6%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
50
+2
66.5%
Braylon Braxton run for 2 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+4
66.0%
Braylon Braxton run for 4 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
65.6%
Alec Clark punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3535% → 36%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
65.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 24Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-10
64.5%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (Senika McKie) to the CCU 23Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
64.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
64.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
64.5%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the MRSH 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:3964% → 65%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
64.4%
Braylon Braxton run for 1 yd to the MRSH 27Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+33
64.0%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 33 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
64.9%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
65.1%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+7
64.5%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 7 yds to the CCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
64.8%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
64.8%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Ethan Payne for no gain to the CCU 28Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+7
64.0%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Ethan Payne for 7 yds to the CCU 21Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
65.4%
Nathan Totten 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:4635% → 37%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
64.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
63.9%
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
63.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-4
62.8%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCU 37 Braydon Bennett fumbled, recovered by MRSH Mike Green M. Green return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
13 plays · 37 yds · 5:5666% → 69%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
65.5%
Tychaun Chapman run for 5 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+7
66.0%
Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the CCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
65.8%
Braylon Braxton run for 2 yds to the CCU 23Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-5
65.7%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCU 28Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
65.3%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the CCU 28Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 13
OPP 28
-15
63.5%
(12:38) BRAXTON, Braylon pass short up the middle complete for 27 yards to CHESTER, Carl caught at the CCU27 and advanced to the CCU1 (POWELL, Juan;CONYER, Cristian), clock 12:31. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on PAYNE, Toby enforced 15 yards to the CCU43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 28
OPP 43
+11
63.0%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 11 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 17
OPP 32
+18
61.7%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 18 yds to the CCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
65.2%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCU 19Similar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+2
64.9%
Ethan Payne run for 2 yds to the CCU 17Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+3
64.5%
Braylon Braxton run for 3 yds to the CCU 14Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
68.6%
Chuck Montgomery 14 Yd pass from Braylon Braxton (Nathan Totten Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7MISSED FG TD
12 plays · 37 yds · 5:1734% → 24%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
66.2%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 33Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+11
67.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 11 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
65.4%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCU 39Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+7
66.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 7 yds to the CCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
65.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 16 yds to the MRSH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
64.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 39Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+19
64.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 19 yds to the MRSH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
63.2%
Ethan Vasko sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 25 Ethan Vasko fumbled, recovered by CCU , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 15
OPP 25
-5
64.4%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MRSH 30Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+2
64.5%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 2 yds to the MRSH 28Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 18
OPP 28
0
65.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 18
OPP 28
+65
76.3%
Jacobie Henderson 65 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Nathan Totten Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2825% → 23%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.7%
Christian Washington run for no gain to the CCU 25Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
75.7%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-2
76.7%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 46 yds , Chuck Montgomery returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9END OF HALF
10 plays · 28 yds · 1:2879% → 83%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
78.7%
Braylon Braxton run for 2 yds to the MRSH 25Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
80.2%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 6 yds to the MRSH 31Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-5
79.2%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (Ethan Payne) to the MRSH 26Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+8
80.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 8 yds to the MRSH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
81.1%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
80.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 5 yds to the MRSH 39Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+23
81.1%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 23 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-11
82.6%
Braylon Braxton sacked by Gavin Ransaw for a loss of 11 yards to the CCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2880% → 78%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
79.9%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-2
80.0%
Braylon Braxton run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 34Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
79.3%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+8
78.2%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 8 yds Chuck Montgomery fumbled, recovered by MRSH Elijah Ellis E. Ellis return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:1821% → 20%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
78.7%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCU 26Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-10
79.1%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bryson Graves) to the CCU 20Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+17
79.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 17 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
78.5%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cameron Wright for 11 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
77.7%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 46Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
78.6%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
79.6%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
80.5%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 42 yds, downed at the MRSH 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:5879% → 78%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
78.6%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the MRSH 15Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+7
78.9%
Braylon Braxton run for 7 yds to the MRSH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
79.3%
Ethan Payne run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRSH 19Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 13
OWN 19
-9
79.0%
Braylon Braxton sacked by Cohen Fuller for a loss of 9 yards to the MRSH 10Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 22
OWN 10
+10
78.4%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 10 yds to the MRSH 20Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
77.9%
Alec Clark punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1521% → 20%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
79.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
78.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCU 47Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
78.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
80.3%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the MRSH 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
15 plays · 92 yds · 4:1080% → 96%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
80.4%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the MRSH 8Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
80.3%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+23
79.5%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 23 yds to the MRSH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
81.9%
(04:51) BRAXTON, Braylon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MONTGOMERY, Charles thrown to the CCU20, clock 04:49. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on CODY, Zach enforced 15 yards to the MAR46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
83.3%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
83.1%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 10 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
83.7%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 15 yds to the CCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
84.0%
(03:32) BRAXTON, Braylon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FITZPATRICK, Christian thrown to the CCU0, clock 03:33. PENALTY CCU Offsides on DIGGS, Deamontae enforced 5 yards from the CCU29 to the CCU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 5
OPP 24
+2
84.0%
Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the CCU 22Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+11
84.1%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Justin Holmes for 11 yds to the CCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
84.8%
Ethan Payne run for 2 yds to the CCU 9Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
85.3%
(02:10) BRAXTON, Braylon pass up the middle incomplete intended for PAYNE, Toby thrown to the CCU0, clock 02:08. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on FLETCHER, Tobias enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the CCU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
84.3%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (Cade Conley) to the CCU 7Similar
Q3 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.4%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 7 yds for a TD (Nathan Totten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:147% → 11%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
92.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 10 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
92.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Tray Taylor for 5 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
92.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 4 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
93.2%
Ethan Vasko run for 1 yd to the CCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
93.2%
Marshall Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TyQaze Leggs) to the MRSH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
92.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
92.8%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the MRSH 29Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
93.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+46
88.7%
Kade Hensley 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1797% → 97%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
97.1%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the MRSH 47Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-5
97.2%
Tychaun Chapman run for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 42Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 14
OWN 42
0
97.2%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
96.9%
Alec Clark punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
92.5%
Ethan Vasko sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the CCU 2 Ethan Vasko fumbled, recovered by MRSH Chris Thomas Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Totten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:511% → 8%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.9%
Braydon Bennett run for 9 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+19
98.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 19 yds to the MRSH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
91.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 47 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:508% → 7%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
91.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the MRSH 32Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
90.7%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+18
91.5%
Braydon Bennett run for 18 yds to the MRSH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
90.7%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-5
90.7%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (Heston Edwards) to the MRSH 19Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+9
91.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 9 yds to the MRSH 10Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
91.3%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 6
OPP 10
-11
92.8%
Ethan Vasko sacked by Mike Green for a loss of 11 yards to the MRSH 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21SF
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:1499% → 98%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.6%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
98.6%
Braylon Braxton run for 11 yds to the MRSH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
98.7%
Braylon Braxton run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRSH 29Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+3
98.7%
Braylon Braxton run for 3 yds to the MRSH 32Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 10
OWN 32
-32
98.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 32 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22DOWNS
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:386% → 4%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
93.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+11
93.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Tray Taylor for 11 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
93.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-1
93.6%
Ethan Vasko run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 41Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+22
94.5%
Ethan Vasko run for 22 yds to the MRSH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
94.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
94.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 4 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+19
95.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 19 yds to the MRSH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-2
95.2%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 16Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
95.6%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 12
OPP 16
0
95.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:2199% → 99%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.2%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the MRSH 19Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
99.2%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 3 yds to the MRSH 22Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
99.1%
Alec Clark punt for 67 yds, downed at the CCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:443% → 3%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
96.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Juan Powell for 4 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
97.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+20
97.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 20 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
96.9%
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Josh Moten return for 1 yd to the MRSH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 6 yds to the MRSH 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:02
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 7 yds for a TD (Nathan Totten KICK)
+12.1
TD · Q2 3:47
Jacobie Henderson 65 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Nathan Totten Kick)
+10.5
TD · Q4 11:55
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Totten KICK)
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com