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App State 24 at Coastal Carolina 38

CCU
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 7, 2024 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.1CCU 57.9%Jackson Moore 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 17 · Q2 10:23
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:23 · Jackson Moore 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Home team on offense+5.6Score differential+1.9Pregame prior−7.4Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:03: Braydon Bennett run for 37 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +7.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 13:25: Kade Hensley 29 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +11.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:07: Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK) — APP win probability +8.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:02: Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +20.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:19: Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK) — APP win probability +10.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q2 13:25CCU 4th & 12 at APP 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−6.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:23APP 4th & 11 at CCU 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−9.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:38CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:07APP 4th & 2 at CCU 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    28.6%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−6.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:57CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07APP 4th & 10 at CCU 35, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.2%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    37.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:44APP 4th & 3 at APP 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:19APP 4th & 2 at CCU 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    -1.2%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:48CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:48APP 4th & 9 at APP 21, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:40CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:03CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:07APP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:02CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:05CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:19APP Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:26CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:40APP Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 4:1439% → 43%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+25
39.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 25 yds to the APP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
39.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 4 yds to the APP 39Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+4
39.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 4 yds to the APP 35Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
39.2%
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the APP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+24
39.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Christian Washington for 24 yds to the APP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
39.2%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the APP 7Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
39.2%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the APP 12Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
42.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 12 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · 50 yds · 4:0958% → 56%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
42.1%
Joey Aguilar run for 12 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
41.9%
Joey Aguilar run for 15 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
41.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
41.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
41.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+32
41.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 32 yds to the CCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-21
43.7%
Joey Aguilar sacked for a loss of 21 yards to the CCU 32 Joey Aguilar fumbled, recovered by CCU Naejaun Barber , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:2845% → 55%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
45.4%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the CCU 37Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+7
45.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
47.3%
QB Keeper VASKO, Ethan rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the CCU48 (HARRINGTON, Brendan), out of bounds. PENALTY CCU Holding on EDWARDS, Heston enforced 10 yards from the CCU44 to the CCU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+4
46.3%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+6
46.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cameron Wright for 6 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+19
47.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cameron Wright for 19 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
55.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 37 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4INT
4 plays · 32 yds · 2:0748% → 48%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+27
52.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for 27 yds to the APP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
51.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the APP 47Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+1
50.9%
Anderson Castle run for 1 yd to the APP 48Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
52.2%
Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Courtney Eubanks return for no gain to the APP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:2557% → 69%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
56.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 16 yds to the APP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+24
57.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cane Berrong for 24 yds to the APP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
57.8%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the APP 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
57.8%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the APP 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
57.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
68.5%
Kade Hensley 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:0238% → 42%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
61.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the APP 32Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+39
60.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 39 yds to the CCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
59.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for 9 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+2
59.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the CCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
59.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-1
59.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 19Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
60.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+38
57.9%
Jackson Moore 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4562% → 62%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the CCU 26Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
61.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the CCU 19 fumbled, recovered by CCU Ethan Vasko E. Vasko return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+10
60.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 10 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
61.7%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 5:3139% → 44%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
60.6%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the APP 25Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
60.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 31Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+49
60.1%
Joey Aguilar run for 49 yds to the CCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
57.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+4
57.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the CCU 11Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
58.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the CCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
57.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the CCU 6Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
57.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
64.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the CCU 2Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0358% → 56%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
57.8%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
57.6%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
56.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
55.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 57 yds, downed at the APP 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 1:5040% → 36%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
59.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for no gain to the APP 14Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
61.9%
Joey Aguilar run for 4 yds to the APP 18Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+36
62.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 36 yds to the CCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
57.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
57.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Ahmani Marshall for 9 yds to the CCU 37Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
57.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
55.8%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
55.9%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
61.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
63.9%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
64.3%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at CCU34 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1640% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
60.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the APP 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
58.6%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the APP 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
60.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
62.6%
Conner Maynard punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13TD
17 plays · 87 yds · 8:4262% → 86%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
62.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds to the CCU 19Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 4
OWN 19
-1
62.5%
Ethan Vasko run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 18Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+6
61.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 6 yds to the CCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
62.7%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
62.4%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+11
61.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 11 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
64.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+8
64.9%
Ethan Vasko run for 8 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
65.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Senika McKie for 7 yds to the APP 41Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+9
65.2%
Ethan Vasko run for 9 yds to the APP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
65.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the APP 25Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+6
65.4%
Christian Washington run for 6 yds to the APP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
65.4%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the APP 17Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+6
65.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the APP 11Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+3
64.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the APP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
65.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds to the APP 2Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-35
82.8%
Joey Aguilar pass intercepted AJ Williams return for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4287% → 94%
Q3 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.6%
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the APP 1Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 1 yd for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:465% → 13%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the APP 25Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.1%
Joey Aguilar run for 3 yds to the APP 28Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
95.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 12 yds to the APP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
94.8%
AGUILAR, Joey pass deep to the right incomplete intended for STROMAN, Dalton thrown to the CCU18. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on CODY, Zach enforced 15 yards to the CCU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
94.8%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+17
94.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 17 yds to the CCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
94.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
94.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+2
94.6%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the CCU 23Similar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+15
96.6%
AGUILAR, Joey pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JACKSON, Makai thrown to the CCU4, clock 00:42. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on CONYER, Cristian enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the CCU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
96.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 4 yds to the CCU 4Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
96.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the CCU 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.7%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the CCU 2Similar
Q4 14:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 5:3191% → 95%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
91.5%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 6 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
91.5%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the CCU 36Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
91.6%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
91.5%
VASKO, Ethan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MCKIE, Senika thrown to the APP30. PENALTY APP Offsides on COLLINS, Shawn enforced 5 yards from the CCU38 to the CCU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
91.7%
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the CCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
92.0%
Simeon Price run for 1 yd to the CCU 47Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
94.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the CCU 49Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-2
94.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 47Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
94.7%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18DOWNS
15 plays · 16 yds · 5:279% → 5%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the APP 21Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-5
91.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the APP 16 fumbled, recovered by APP Joey Aguilar J. Aguilar return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+5
91.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Ahmani Marshall for 5 yds to the APP 21Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+12
91.6%
Joey Aguilar run for 12 yds to the APP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
90.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Ahmani Marshall for no gain to the APP 33Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
90.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 11 yds to the APP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
89.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 11 yds to the CCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
89.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 9 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+11
89.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Ahmani Marshall for 11 yds to the CCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
88.3%
AGUILAR, Joey pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SHORT, Zavier thrown to the CCU0. PENALTY Before the snap, CCU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the CCU25 to the CCU20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 5
OPP 20
0
88.2%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-17
88.2%
App State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Joey Aguilar) to the CCU 37Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 22
OPP 37
-9
90.7%
Joey Aguilar sacked by Clev Lubin for a loss of 9 yards to the CCU 46Similar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 31
OPP 46
-18
95.1%
Joey Aguilar sacked by Clev Lubin for a loss of 18 yards to the APP 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:5599% → 100%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
98.5%
Christian Washington run for 20 yds to the APP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
98.8%
Simeon Price run for 3 yds to the APP 13Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+1
98.8%
Simeon Price run for 1 yd to the APP 12Similar
Q4 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 6 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:461% → 4%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 11 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.5%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Sawyer Goram-Welch) to the CCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Ahmani Marshall for 3 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+13
99.3%
AGUILAR, Joey pass up the middle incomplete intended for JACKSON, Makai thrown to the CCU27. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on CODY, Zach enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the CCU25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
96.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 25 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:3899% → 100%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+27
99.4%
Christian Washington run for 27 yds to the APP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
99.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at APP22 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-1
99.5%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at APP23 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:02
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
+20.7
FG · Q2 13:25
Kade Hensley 29 yd FG GOOD
+11.5
TD · Q4 14:19
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)
-10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com