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ULM

UL Monroe 17 at South Alabama 46

USA
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:45 · Makenzie Ryan punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jamaal Pritchett at the USA 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Pregame prior+11.7Home team on offense−3.3Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:06: Hunter Herring 44 Yd Run (Max Larson Kick) — ULM win probability +5.6 pts (now 41%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Max Larson 28 Yd Field Goal — ULM win probability +8.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:56: F. Bothwell run for 3 yds for a TD (L. Marjan KICK) — USA win probability +14.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:45: K. Bullock run for 13 yds for a TD (L. Marjan PAT MISSED) — USA win probability +10.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:13: G. Lopez run for 5 yds for a TD (L. Marjan KICK) — USA win probability +7.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ULM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:19ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:41USA 4th & 8 at USA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:15ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:36USA 4th & 3 at USA 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:14ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:02USA 4th & 3 at USA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:24USA 4th & 4 at ULM 31, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%−0.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:45ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 31, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:08USA 4th & 10 at ULM 47, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00ULM 4th & 1 at USA 10, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%−3.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−14.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:08ULM 4th & 17 at ULM 18, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:53ULM 4th & 1 at USA 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−2.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−6.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:54ULM 4th & 1 at USA 17, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−1.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−6.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:23ULM 4th & 7 at USA 7, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:02ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 36, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:19USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:07ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:06ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:56USA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:45USA Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:13USA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:54USA Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:47USA Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2328% → 28%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.9%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Julian Nixon for 3 yds to the ULM 22Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
71.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
71.7%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Rylan GreenSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
71.7%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jamaal Pritchett at the USA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:5272% → 73%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
71.6%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 4 yds to the USA 34Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
71.6%
Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 4 yds to the USA 38Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
71.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the USA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
71.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 22 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
71.7%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 10 yds to the ULM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
71.7%
Kentrel Bullock run for 14 yds to the ULM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
71.6%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 9 yds to the ULM 4Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
72.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:0728% → 30%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
72.5%
James Jones run for 8 yds to the ULM 43Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
72.4%
James Jones run for 1 yd to the ULM 44Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
72.5%
Hunter Herring run for 5 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
70.0%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Davon Wells for 51 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:1171% → 70%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
71.0%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Devin Voisin for 12 yds to the USA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
70.8%
Fluff Bothwell run for 2 yds to the USA 39Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+8
70.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 8 yds to the USA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
71.1%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Shamar SandgrenSimilar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
70.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 2 yds to the USA 49Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
70.5%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Jamaal PritchettSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
70.0%
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:1830% → 31%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 9
OWN 10
+8
69.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the ULM 18Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+4
69.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the ULM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
69.4%
(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Armenta,Aidan pass incomplete deep right to Griffin,Tyler thrown to ULM42 PENALTY USA Pass Interference (Webb Jr.,Lardarius) 15 yards from ULM22 to ULM37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
69.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
68.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 41Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+1
68.4%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to James Jones for 1 yd to the ULM 42Similar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+18
68.6%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 31 , Devin Voisin returns for 18 yds to the USA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3370% → 70%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
70.3%
Kentrel Bullock run for 7 yds to the USA 38Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
71.1%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
70.4%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
69.7%
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1032% → 32%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
68.3%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Davon Wells for 9 yds to the ULM 26Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+8
67.6%
James Jones run for 8 yds to the ULM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
67.6%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
67.8%
James Jones run for 2 yds to the ULM 32Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+4
68.4%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Wesley Campbell VI for 4 yds to the ULM 36Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
68.5%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0670% → 69%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
69.7%
Fluff Bothwell run for 2 yds to the USA 28Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
69.7%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds to the USA 33Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
69.2%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
68.7%
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5135% → 41%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.4%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
65.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+20
64.8%
Hunter Herring run for 20 yds to the ULM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
63.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the USA 46Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
64.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the USA 44Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+44
59.2%
Hunter Herring 44 Yd Run (Max Larson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10FUMBLE
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:1164% → 63%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.7%
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 29Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+20
63.3%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Devin Voisin for 20 yds to the USA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
64.7%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+27
64.3%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 27 yds to the ULM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
65.3%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 4 yds to the ULM 20Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
65.3%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+10
63.4%
Kentrel Bullock run for 10 yds to the ULM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
64.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for 8 yds to the ULM 2Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.8%
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the ULM 1Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.5%
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the ULM 5 Kentrel Bullock fumbled, recovered by ULM Wydett Williams Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11SF
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0839% → 37%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+25
60.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 25 yds to the ULM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
59.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the ULM 29Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
60.5%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-4
61.1%
Aidan Armenta sacked by Blayne Myrick for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 25Similar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
63.1%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:5563% → 60%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
63.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for 11 yds to the ULM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
64.0%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 9 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
63.5%
Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
63.8%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
63.6%
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
63.0%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+48
59.5%
Laith Marjan 48 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:3539% → 35%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.9%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
63.9%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
64.8%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jamaal Pritchett at the USA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:2860% → 58%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
59.7%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Shamar Sandgren for 16 yds to the ULM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
62.2%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
61.7%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
59.7%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
58.0%
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 0:5936% → 47%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+44
63.7%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Javon Campbell for 44 yds to the USA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
59.3%
Aidan Armenta run for 17 yds to the USA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
57.6%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Rylan Green for 3 yds to the USA 16Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
57.5%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+6
59.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the USA 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+28
52.9%
Max Larson 28 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:5356% → 72%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
55.7%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds to the USA 31Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
54.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 35Similar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+17
55.2%
Kentrel Bullock run for 17 yds to the ULM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
57.2%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds to the ULM 43Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+4
57.1%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Devin Voisin for 4 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+14
56.2%
Fluff Bothwell run for 14 yds to the ULM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
57.8%
Fluff Bothwell run for 9 yds to the ULM 16Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+13
57.6%
Fluff Bothwell run for 13 yds to the ULM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.1%
F. Bothwell run for 3 yds for a TD (L. Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.0%
Aidan Armenta pass intercepted Wesley Miller return for no gain to the ULM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18TD
9 plays · 28 yds · 1:5572% → 82%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
71.8%
Gio Lopez run for 14 yds to the ULM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
71.8%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Lopez,Gio pass complete short right to Pritchett,Jamaal caught at ULM11, for 9 yards to the ULM05 (Williams Jr.,Wydett), out of bounds PENALTY ULM Face Mask offsetting USA Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
71.8%
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the ULM 8Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
71.8%
Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the ULM 5Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
70.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the ULM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
71.9%
PENALTY USA False Start (Carney,Malachi) 5 yards from ULM03 to ULM08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
71.8%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Lopez,Gio pass complete short right to Thomas-Jones,DJ caught at ULM00, for 8 yards to the ULM00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:50 PENALTY USA Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Buys,Reed) 5 yards from ULM08 to ULM13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
82.0%
K. Bullock run for 13 yds for a TD (L. Marjan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:3222% → 20%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
77.9%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Ahmad Hardy for a loss of 6 yards to the ULM 22Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-4
79.6%
Aidan Armenta sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 18Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
80.4%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:5082% → 93%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
81.9%
Braylon McReynolds run for 3 yds to the USA 43Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+14
83.5%
Braylon McReynolds run for 14 yds to the ULM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
84.2%
Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
84.2%
Braylon McReynolds run for 3 yds to the ULM 36Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+6
84.6%
Gio Lopez run for 6 yds to the ULM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
85.7%
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the ULM 24Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+19
85.8%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 19 yds to the ULM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.8%
Fluff Bothwell run for no gain to the ULM 5Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.3%
G. Lopez run for 5 yds for a TD (L. Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21DOWNS
20 plays · 68 yds · 7:4211% → 6%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
88.9%
James Jones run for 24 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
87.0%
South Alabama Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Carlos Johnson Jr.) to the ULM 49Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
89.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the USA 45Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+7
89.2%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Wesley Campbell VI for 7 yds to the USA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
89.1%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
89.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 9 yds to the USA 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
89.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the USA 29Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+3
89.4%
Hunter Herring run for 3 yds to the USA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
88.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the USA 25Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-5
89.2%
PENALTY ULM Delay Of Game (Armenta,Aidan) 5 yards from USA25 to USA30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+11
89.6%
Aidan Armenta run for 11 yds to the USA 19Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+2
90.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the USA 17Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+7
91.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the USA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
90.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the USA 7Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
90.6%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
91.3%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.3%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 6:1999% → 100%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+24
98.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 24 yds to the USA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.8%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds to the USA 36Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
98.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the USA 39Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
99.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the USA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the USA 45Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+20
99.1%
Fluff Bothwell run for 20 yds to the ULM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
99.2%
Fluff Bothwell run for 18 yds to the ULM 17 for a 1ST down UL Monroe Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Griffin) to the ULM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.2%
Fluff Bothwell run for 4 yds to the ULM 13Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+8
99.3%
Fluff Bothwell run for 8 yds to the ULM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.3%
Fluff Bothwell run for 4 yds to the ULM 1Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:331% → 0%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.5%
Taven Curry run for 3 yds to the ULM 30Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
99.5%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 6 yds to the ULM 36Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Taven Curry run for no gain to the ULM 36Similar
Q4 2:02
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Taven Curry run for no gain to the ULM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:08100% → 100%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
99.9%
Braylon McReynolds run for 12 yds to the ULM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
100.0%
B. McReynolds run for 24 yds for a TD, (L. Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25INT
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+33
100.0%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Javon Campbell for 33 yds to the USA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Aidan Armenta pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
100.0%
(00:54) Kneel down by South Alabama at USA18 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-1
100.0%
(00:32) Kneel down by South Alabama at USA17 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:56
F. Bothwell run for 3 yds for a TD (L. Marjan KICK)
+14.5
TD · Q3 9:45
K. Bullock run for 13 yds for a TD (L. Marjan PAT MISSED)
+10.2
FG · Q2 0:00
Max Larson 28 Yd Field Goal
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com