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JMU

James Madison 14 at Georgia Southern 28

GASO
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:54 · George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the GASO 17 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Home team on offense+25.6Pregame prior−0.3Score differential+10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.1Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:23: (02:23) COBB, Dalen pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FRENCH, JC thrown to the JMU40, clock 02:19. PENALTY JMU Holding on TAYLOR, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the GASO42 to the JMU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down). — GASO win probability +8.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:43: JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 15 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +15.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:20: JC French pass intercepted DJ Barksdale return for 11 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK) — JMU win probability +15.5 pts (now 25%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:43: JC French pass complete to Elija Walton for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +13.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:32: Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 35 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK) — JMU win probability +10.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4JMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:19JMU 4th & 12 at JMU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08JMU 4th & 16 at GASO 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:44JMU 4th & 6 at JMU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:33JMU 4th & 11 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:11GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:12JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:35JMU 4th & 16 at JMU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:09JMU 4th & 8 at GASO 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:58GASO 4th & 2 at JMU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:06JMU 4th & 11 at JMU 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:37JMU 4th & 8 at GASO 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:16GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.5%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:48GASO 4th & 9 at JMU 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:54JMU 4th & 1 at GASO 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−1.0
    77% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00JMU 4th & 13 at GASO 13, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4JMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:23GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:48GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:43GASO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:20JMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:43GASO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:32JMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4070% → 69%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.0%
George Pettaway run for 11 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
30.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
30.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the JMU 31Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+3
30.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 3 yds to the JMU 34Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
30.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2INT
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:3231% → 31%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
30.8%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 8 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
31.2%
JC French pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3MISSED FG
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2769% → 68%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
30.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
30.8%
George Pettaway run for 3 yds to the GASO 15Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 7
OPP 15
-9
31.1%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Elhadj Fall and Davon Hicks for a loss of 9 yards to the GASO 24Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 16
OPP 24
+42
31.9%
Max Lipinski 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:1632% → 33%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
31.7%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+15
31.9%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 15 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
32.5%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+6
32.8%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 6 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
33.1%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the JMU 43Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+11
33.4%
DeAndre Buchannon run for 11 yds to the JMU 32 DeAndre Buchannon fumbled, recovered by JMU Jacob Dobbs J. Dobbs return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5868% → 66%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
32.5%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 36Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
32.6%
George Pettaway run for 1 yd to the JMU 37Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+4
32.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 4 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-5
33.3%
James Madison Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ryan Hanson) to the JMU 36Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+4
33.8%
Ryan Hanson punt for 46 yds , Josh Dallas returns for 4 yds to the GASO 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:1134% → 40%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
33.6%
JC French pass complete to Jalen White for 4 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+15
33.9%
James Madison Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Thomas) to the JMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
35.0%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 3 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
35.3%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+17
35.0%
JC French pass complete to Jalen White for 17 yds to the JMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
39.6%
David Mbadinga run for 29 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 3:4162% → 58%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
38.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
38.4%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+8
39.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 8 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
38.7%
Wayne Knight run for 9 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+4
38.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 4 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
38.5%
Tyler Purdy run for 2 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-2
39.0%
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line fumbled, recovered by JMU Tyler Purdy , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 11
50
0
40.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 11
50
0
41.6%
Ryan Hanson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the GASO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1644% → 44%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
44.3%
David Mbadinga run for a loss of 5 yards to the GASO 5Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 15
OWN 5
0
44.3%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 15
OWN 5
+2
43.8%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 7Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
44.0%
Alex Smith punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:0359% → 54%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
41.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
41.7%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Jesse Ramil) to the JMU 38Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+11
42.4%
George Pettaway run for 11 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
41.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
42.8%
Ryan Hanson punt for 47 yds, downed at the GASO 4Similar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
46.0%
(13:01) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BUNKLEY-SHELTON, LV thrown to the GASO23, clock 12:57. PENALTY JMU Offsides on BARKSDALE, DJ enforced 5 yards from the GASO4 to the GASO9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
20 plays · 96 yds · 9:0846% → 66%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 5
OWN 9
+5
46.0%
JC French run for 5 yds to the GASO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
47.1%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 12Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+4
47.4%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 4 yds to the GASO 16Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+5
47.1%
James Madison Penalty, Offsides (Jacob Dobbs) to the GASO 21Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+3
47.6%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
49.2%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
50.1%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 3 yds to the GASO 33Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
49.8%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
51.4%
JC French run for 7 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
52.9%
David Mbadinga run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
50
+2
54.4%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the JMU 48Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+15
54.9%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 15 yds to the JMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
56.0%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
56.0%
David Mbadinga run for 1 yd to the JMU 32Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+11
55.9%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 11 yds to the JMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
57.7%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 17 yds to the JMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
57.7%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
57.8%
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 5Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.1%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2439% → 27%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.0%
George Pettaway run for 1 yd to the JMU 26Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
61.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
62.2%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Isaac Walker and Prince Green for a loss of 7 yards to the JMU 19Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+10
64.0%
punt for 39 yds , LV Bunkley-Shelton returns for 10 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
72.8%
(02:23) COBB, Dalen pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FRENCH, JC thrown to the JMU40, clock 02:19. PENALTY JMU Holding on TAYLOR, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the GASO42 to the JMU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 0:3473% → 85%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-12
73.2%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Intentional Grounding (JC French) to the GASO 40Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 22
OWN 40
+49
72.6%
Jalen White run for 49 yds to the JMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
70.6%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-4
71.2%
Jalen White run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 15Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+15
85.4%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 15 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 1:2719% → 18%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
81.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+20
82.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
50
0
80.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
50
+7
81.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 7 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-5
80.1%
(01:09) PURDY, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the GASO35 (MEYERS, Justin), clock 01:08. PENALTY Before the snap, JMU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GASO43 to the GASO48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+13
81.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 13 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
79.3%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Marques Watson-Trent for a loss of 10 yards to the GASO 45Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+6
82.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 6 yds to the GASO 39Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+6
82.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 6 yds to the GASO 33Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
82.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
88.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:5686% → 90%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
85.7%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
85.7%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 23Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+12
86.3%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 12 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
87.2%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (LV Bunkley-Shelton) to the GASO 34Similar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 11
OWN 34
+1
87.8%
JC French run for 1 yd to the GASO 35Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
88.3%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
50
+11
89.3%
JC French pass complete to Beau Johnson for 11 yds to the JMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
89.8%
JC French run for 7 yds to the JMU 32Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
-1
90.2%
JC French run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 33Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
90.6%
JC French pass complete to Terrance Gibbs for 2 yds to the JMU 31Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 2
OPP 31
0
90.1%
Jalen White run for no gain to the JMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4812% → 10%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
88.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 30Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
89.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
89.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
90.1%
Ryan Hanson punt for 53 yds, downed at the GASO 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17INT TD
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:3491% → 75%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
90.9%
David Mbadinga run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 16Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 11
OWN 16
-11
75.4%
JC French pass intercepted DJ Barksdale return for 11 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3576% → 95%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.9%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+31
76.4%
Jalen White run for 31 yds to the JMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
79.9%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the JMU 35Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+29
82.0%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 29 yds to the JMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
81.6%
David Mbadinga run for 3 yds to the JMU 3Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
82.1%
JC French pass complete to Beau Johnson for 1 yd to the JMU 2Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.3%
JC French pass complete to Elija Walton for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 5:056% → 13%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
93.7%
George Pettaway run for 6 yds to the JMU 24Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+3
93.5%
George Pettaway run for 3 yds to the JMU 27Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
93.9%
Tyler Purdy run for 2 yds to the JMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
94.2%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Pat McMurtrie) to the JMU 24Similar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 15
OWN 24
-5
94.7%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Jesse Ramil) to the JMU 19Similar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+10
94.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 10 yds to the JMU 29Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
95.5%
Alonza Barnett III run for 2 yds to the JMU 31Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+9
96.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 9 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
96.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 7 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
96.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+6
96.7%
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
96.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Logan Kyle for 9 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
96.3%
Tyler Purdy run for 3 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
86.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 35 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:5093% → 95%
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
93.0%
Jalen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 20Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+6
93.5%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 6 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+7
93.6%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 7 yds to the GASO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-37
94.5%
JC French pass intercepted Jacob Thomas return for 37 yds to the GASO 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2310% → 8%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
90.3%
Wayne Knight run for 7 yds to the GASO 33Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+1
89.2%
Wayne Knight run for 1 yd to the GASO 32Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-6
90.2%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Deontre Morris for a loss of 6 yards to the GASO 38Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+5
91.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 5 yds to the GASO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 5:4896% → 98%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
95.9%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
96.4%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 41Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+1
96.7%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 42Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+1
96.7%
JC French run for 1 yd to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
97.2%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 46Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+6
97.4%
(07:06) FRENCH, JC pass to the right incomplete intended for DALLAS, Josh broken up by BARKSDALE, DJ at the JMU48, clock 07:02. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on BARKSDALE, DJ enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the JMU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
97.5%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
97.7%
Jalen White run for no gain to the JMU 44Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+2
97.8%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the JMU 42Similar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 4
OPP 42
-5
97.9%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Delay Of Game (Dorrian Smith) to the JMU 47Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
97.9%
Alex Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 23DOWNS
26 plays · 79 yds · 4:384% → 1%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
96.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 7 yds to the JMU 15Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+6
96.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 6 yds to the JMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
96.7%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 25Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
96.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 5 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+6
96.8%
George Pettaway run for 6 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
96.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for 8 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+9
96.8%
George Pettaway run for 9 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
96.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 7 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+12
96.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 12 yds to the GASO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-6
96.3%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Davion Rhodes for a loss of 6 yards to the GASO 34Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 16
OPP 34
+12
96.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 12 yds to the GASO 22Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+3
96.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taji Hudson for 3 yds to the GASO 19Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+2
96.8%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the GASO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
97.0%
(00:43) BARNETT III, Alonza pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ROSS, Cam thrown to the GASO0, clock 00:39. PENALTY GASO Offsides on WALKER, Isaac enforced 5 yards from the GASO17 to the GASO12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
97.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+8
97.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taji Hudson for 8 yds to the GASO 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
98.4%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Marques Watson-Trent and Latrell Bullard for a loss of 9 yards to the GASO 13Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
98.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
0
98.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:20
JC French pass intercepted DJ Barksdale return for 11 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK)
-15.5
TD · Q2 1:43
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 15 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+15.3
TD · Q3 4:43
JC French pass complete to Elija Walton for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com