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UL

Louisiana 34 at Coastal Carolina 24

CCU
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:50 · Nathan Torney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior−7.6Home team on offense−5.3Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:44: Noah Kim pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +8.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 12:48: Ben Wooldridge run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +20.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:52: Braydon Bennett run for 49 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +25.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:58: Kenneth Almendares 38 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +16.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:34: Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 59 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +14.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 14:01CCU 4th & 7 at CCU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36UL 4th & 7 at CCU 35, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.9%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:02CCU 4th & 4 at UL 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    37.9%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:48CCU 4th & 18 at CCU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:23CCU 4th & 1 at UL 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%−1.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:11UL 4th & 4 at CCU 28, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.1%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:20UL 4th & 9 at UL 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:48CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:50UL 4th & 5 at UL 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:16CCU 4th & 11 at UL 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−2.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−12.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:48UL 4th & 1 at CCU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−6.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−23.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:58UL 4th & 4 at CCU 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%−0.9
    75% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−23.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:04CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 30, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:47CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:01CCU 4th & 4 at UL 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:09UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:28UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:50CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:44CCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:48UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:52CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:34UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5932% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.3%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 3 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
32.3%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
32.7%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 57 yds, downed at the UL 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:2567% → 66%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
32.7%
Zylan Perry run for 5 yds to the UL 20Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
32.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+13
32.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 13 yds to the UL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
32.7%
Ben Wooldridge run for 5 yds to the UL 38Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+11
32.6%
Zylan Perry run for 11 yds to the UL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
32.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 13 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
32.6%
Dre'lyn Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 39Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
32.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+4
32.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 4 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+53
34.4%
Kenneth Almendares 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:3435% → 35%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
34.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 16 yds to the UL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
35.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds to the UL 43Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
35.3%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
35.7%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
35.4%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 41 yds, downed at the UL 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4TD
7 plays · 98 yds · 3:5365% → 69%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
35.0%
Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the UL 6Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+23
35.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 23 yds to the UL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
34.9%
Bill Davis run for 11 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
34.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Bill Davis for 11 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
34.3%
Bill Davis run for 16 yds to the CCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
34.1%
Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the CCU 33Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
31.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 33 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:1633% → 32%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
32.5%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the CCU 23Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
32.6%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCU 23Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+5
32.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 5 yds to the CCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
32.6%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jameson Tucker) to the CCU 20Similar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 18
OWN 20
0
32.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 18
OWN 20
0
32.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 18
OWN 20
0
32.0%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 18
OWN 20
-6
31.5%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 41 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for a loss of 6 yards to the UL 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 4:2068% → 75%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
31.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 12 yds to the UL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
31.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 20 yds to the CCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
30.8%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the CCU 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+15
30.7%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the CCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
30.5%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
30.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+6
30.8%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 6 yds to the CCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
30.5%
Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the CCU 9Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
25.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Bill Davis for 9 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:3326% → 35%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
26.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 23 yds to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
27.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 12 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
27.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the UL 39Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+15
27.6%
Louisiana Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the UL 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
28.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds to the UL 16Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 4
OPP 16
0
28.0%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+3
27.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 3 yds to the UL 13Similar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+2
27.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the UL 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
35.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Kendall Karr for 11 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 5:3968% → 73%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
31.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 11 yds to the UL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
30.6%
Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the UL 39Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
30.1%
Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the UL 42Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+14
30.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 14 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
29.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 4 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-10
29.4%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass to the right complete for 3 yards to WILLIAMS, Robert caught at the CCU40 and advanced to the CCU37 (GEDEON, Wyatt). PENALTY LA Holding on WASHINGTON, Dre'lyn enforced 10 yards from the CCU40 to the LA50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 16
50
+16
30.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dre'lyn Washington for 16 yds to the CCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
29.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
29.4%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 3 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+3
27.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 3 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+45
27.3%
Kenneth Almendares 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9TD
15 plays · 90 yds · 2:2225% → 42%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
25.4%
Simeon Price run for 4 yds to the CCU 14Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+6
24.4%
Noah Kim run for 6 yds to the CCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
24.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Simeon Price for 5 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+18
25.0%
Simeon Price run for 18 yds to the CCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
25.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Simeon Price for 2 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
26.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Cameron Wright for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 3
50
+5
26.3%
Louisiana Penalty, Offsides (Antoine Baylis) to the UL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
26.9%
Simeon Price run for 4 yds to the UL 41Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-6
32.4%
Noah Kim sacked by Cameron Whitfield for a loss of 6 yards to the UL 47Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+43
31.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Bryson Graves for 43 yds to the UL 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
41.7%
Noah Kim pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:4462% → 62%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
38.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Bill Davis for 8 yds to the UL 33Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
37.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Bill Davis for 6 yds to the UL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
38.2%
Ben Wooldridge sacked by Clev Lubin for a loss of 6 yards to the UL 33Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+8
40.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Bill Davis for 8 yds to the UL 41Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
38.5%
Bill Davis run for no gain to the UL 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3163% → 60%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
37.4%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the UL 21Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
37.6%
Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the UL 21Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
38.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
40.3%
Nathan Torney punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3239% → 37%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
39.4%
Simeon Price run for 5 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
40.8%
Simeon Price run for 1 yd to the CCU 41Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
39.6%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
37.3%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 42 yds, downed at the UL 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:5862% → 63%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
37.6%
Bill Davis run for 12 yds to the UL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
36.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the UL 26Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 13
OWN 26
0
37.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+8
39.1%
Bill Davis run for 8 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
37.4%
Nathan Torney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:3438% → 50%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
37.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tray Taylor for 8 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+7
40.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
39.2%
Simeon Price run for 4 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+19
41.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Cane Berrong for 19 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
42.5%
Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds to the UL 35Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
43.7%
KIM, Noah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MCKIE, Senika thrown to the LA14. PENALTY LA Offsides on BAYLIS, Antoine enforced 5 yards from the LA35 to the LA30 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+26
43.7%
Tray Taylor run for 26 yds to the UL 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
43.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the UL 3Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
43.7%
KIM, Noah pass short up the middle incomplete thrown to the LA0. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on COURTNEY, Zach enforced 15 yards to the LA18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+7
42.8%
Noah Kim run for 7 yds to the UL 11Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
41.8%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
49.9%
Kade Hensley 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 7:2255% → 80%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
45.3%
Louisiana Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UL 14Similar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+12
45.6%
Bill Davis run for 12 yds to the UL 26Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
43.9%
Bill Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 28Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+1
44.7%
Ben Wooldridge run for 1 yd to the UL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
44.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Caden Jensen for 5 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+36
43.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 36 yds to the CCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
39.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Caden Jensen for 7 yds to the CCU 23Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+6
38.7%
Bill Davis run for 6 yds to the CCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
39.0%
Bill Davis run for 10 yds to the CCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
39.0%
Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the CCU 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
39.0%
Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the CCU 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.8%
Ben Wooldridge run for no gain to the CCU 1Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.2%
Ben Wooldridge run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:5226% → 55%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
25.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Bryson Graves for 9 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+23
28.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Kendall Karr for 23 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
30.5%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the UL 39Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-10
30.3%
BENNETT, Braydon rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the LA35 (MCDANIEL, Amir;OSSAI, K.C.). PENALTY CCU Holding on KARR, Kendall enforced 10 yards from the LA39 to the LA49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+49
55.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 49 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:5452% → 73%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
47.6%
Ben Wooldridge run for 8 yds to the UL 33Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+17
44.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
50
-7
42.0%
Ben Wooldridge sacked by Clev Lubin for a loss of 7 yards to the UL 43Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 17
OWN 43
-5
46.8%
Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Harvey Broussard) to the UL 38Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 22
OWN 38
+10
48.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Bill Davis for 10 yds to the UL 48Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+26
48.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 26 yds to the CCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
40.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 5 yds to the CCU 21Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
40.8%
Bill Davis run for 1 yd to the CCU 20Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
43.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:58
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+38
26.8%
Kenneth Almendares 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4935% → 31%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
35.4%
Noah Kim run for 6 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
38.0%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
34.5%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:04
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
31.3%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 46 yds, downed at the UL 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 2:3073% → 94%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
27.4%
Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the UL 27Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-5
26.9%
Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Jordan Lawson) to the UL 22Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+11
28.3%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass up the middle incomplete intended for BROUSSARD, Harvey thrown to the LA35. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on EUBANKS, Courtney enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the LA33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
26.1%
Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the UL 37Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
25.0%
Bill Davis run for 7 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
18.4%
Bill Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 46Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
18.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-5
20.0%
Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Landon Burton) to the UL 41Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+59
5.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 59 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 42 yds · 1:335% → 4%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.8%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
4.7%
Noah Kim pass complete to Kendall Karr for 7 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
5.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 6 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
5.3%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-8
3.8%
Noah Kim sacked by Mason Narcisse for a loss of 8 yards to the CCU 30Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+14
3.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Senika McKie for 14 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+17
3.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tray Taylor for 17 yds to the UL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
4.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 6 yds to the UL 33Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
5.6%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
4.1%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+50
3.5%
Kade Hensley 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:0197% → 97%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
3.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at LA32 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-1
3.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at LA31 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:52
Braydon Bennett run for 49 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
+25
TD · Q4 12:48
Ben Wooldridge run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-20.6
FG · Q4 5:58
Kenneth Almendares 38 yd FG GOOD
-16.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com