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MRSH

Marshall 23 at Georgia Southern 24

GASO
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.9GASO 47.3%Rece Verhoff 42 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 3 · Q2 12:28
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Q2 12:28 · Rece Verhoff 42 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Home team on offense−4.5Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0Pregame prior+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:49: Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 3 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:05: Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 11 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +12.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:31: Dexter Williams II run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — GASO win probability +10.0 pts (now 15%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:15: David Mbadinga run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +23.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 1:00: Dexter Williams II pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — GASO win probability +60.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 11:56MRSH 4th & 3 at GASO 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:41GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:19MRSH 4th & 2 at GASO 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    46.7%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:28MRSH 4th & 23 at GASO 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:13GASO 4th & 5 at MRSH 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:28MRSH 4th & 2 at GASO 24, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%−0.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:27GASO 4th & 3 at MRSH 43, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−2.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:38GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 44, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:40MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 36, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−2.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:03GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:55GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−2.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:58MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 6, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−2.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:21GASO 4th & 3 at MRSH 3, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−9.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:51MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 15, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:45GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 37, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:12MRSH 4th & 11 at GASO 41, up 12
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:20GASO 4th & 12 at GASO 6, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:49MRSH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:05MRSH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:31GASO Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    9.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:15GASO Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:00GASO Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    74.2%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:0447% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
53.5%
Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 11 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
53.5%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (Logan Osburn) to the MRSH 31Similar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+4
53.6%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the MRSH 35Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+40
53.6%
Stone Earle pass complete to Carl Chester for 40 yds to the GASO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
53.4%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the GASO 21Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
53.4%
Stone Earle run for 3 yds to the GASO 18Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
53.5%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
53.5%
Rece Verhoff 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0854% → 53%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
53.6%
(11:49) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the right incomplete intended for COBB, Dalen broken up by HENDERSON, Jacobie at the GS49, clock 11:41. PENALTY Before the snap, GS Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GS23 to the GS18. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+8
53.5%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+1
53.6%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 27Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
53.4%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
53.2%
Alex Smith punt for 35 yds, downed at the MRSH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:1347% → 47%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
53.3%
Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 11 yds to the MRSH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
53.2%
Stone Earle pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 8 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
53.1%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
53.2%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
53.5%
Alec Clark punt for 40 yds, downed at the GASO 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:5554% → 53%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
53.5%
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the GASO 8Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+10
53.2%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 10 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
53.4%
JC French run for 2 yds to the GASO 20 JC French fumbled, recovered by MRSH TyQaze Leggs T. Leggs return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5FG
7 plays · -13 yds · 2:4047% → 48%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
52.7%
Stone Earle run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 23Similar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
52.7%
Marshall Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ethan Payne) to the GASO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 13
OPP 23
-15
52.7%
Marshall Penalty, Personal Foul (Logan Osburn) to the GASO 38Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 28
OPP 38
+2
53.1%
Stone Earle run for 2 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 26
OPP 36
-5
53.4%
Marshall Penalty, Delay Of Game (Stone Earle) to the GASO 41Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 31
OPP 41
+8
53.4%
Stone Earle run for 8 yds to the GASO 33Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 23
OPP 33
+51
52.3%
Rece Verhoff 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:1552% → 54%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
52.2%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
52.1%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
52.3%
JC French run for 4 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+30
52.7%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 30 yds to the MRSH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
53.9%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
53.8%
(03:07) QB Keeper FRENCH, JC rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the MAR26 (YATES, Jaden), out of bounds, clock 03:00. PENALTY GS Holding on WALLACE, Weston enforced 10 yards from the MAR29 to the MAR39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 20
OPP 39
+15
52.5%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 15 yds to the MRSH 24Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
52.7%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
53.5%
Gavin Stewart 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:4447% → 53%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
52.9%
A.J. Turner run for 10 yds to the MRSH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.6%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
52.4%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the MRSH 39Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
52.0%
Stone Earle pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 15 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
51.1%
Ethan Payne run for 4 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
50.6%
Stone Earle pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for no gain to the GASO 42Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+10
50.7%
Stone Earle run for 10 yds to the GASO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
49.8%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
49.8%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+4
50.1%
Stone Earle pass complete to Bralon Brown for 4 yds to the GASO 24Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+42
47.3%
Rece Verhoff 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:0149% → 49%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
48.7%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
50
-1
50.3%
JC French sacked by Deeve Harris and Chris Thomas Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 49Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
49.1%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+8
48.3%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the MRSH 43Similar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
48.7%
Alex Smith punt for 39 yds, downed at the MRSH 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9TD
13 plays · 96 yds · 5:2952% → 66%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
48.0%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the MRSH 9Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+7
47.4%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 7 yds to the MRSH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
46.7%
A.J. Turner run for 9 yds to the MRSH 25Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 25
0
45.1%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+15
45.7%
Braylon Braxton run for 15 yds to the MRSH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
43.0%
Jordan Houston run for 8 yds to the MRSH 48Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
42.4%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 4 yds to the GASO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
42.0%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Jordan Houston for 12 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
41.6%
A.J. Turner run for 9 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+5
41.0%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+20
40.7%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 20 yds to the GASO 2Similar
Q2 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
40.6%
Ethan Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 3Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
34.2%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 3 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1136% → 34%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.9%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
35.6%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 19 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
36.7%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 2 yds to the GASO 49Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
36.2%
JC French run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 7
50
-6
35.2%
JC French sacked by Mike Green for a loss of 6 yards to the GASO 44Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 13
OWN 44
+9
33.7%
Alex Smith punt for 49 yds , Chuck Montgomery returns for 9 yds to the MRSH 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 1:4966% → 69%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
33.7%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the MRSH 18Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
-10
32.0%
Marshall Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jeremy Jones) to the MRSH 12Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+13
31.8%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Jordan Houston for 13 yds to the MRSH 25Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+10
31.9%
Braylon Braxton run for 10 yds to the MRSH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
31.1%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
31.2%
Braylon Braxton run for 1 yd to the MRSH 36Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
30.5%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
31.0%
Alec Clark punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:3132% → 31%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
32.4%
JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 4 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
32.2%
JC French run for 9 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
32.4%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
32.0%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
31.1%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
30.7%
Alex Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the MRSH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13INT
8 plays · 49 yds · 4:1234% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.6%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the GASO 25Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
33.0%
OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
32.9%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
33.1%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
33.1%
JC French run for 3 yds to the GASO 45Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
32.4%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+25
32.7%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 25 yds to the MRSH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
34.1%
JC French pass intercepted Jacobie Henderson return for 4 yds to the MRSH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:3474% → 92%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
26.3%
A.J. Turner run for 8 yds to the MRSH 28Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+30
25.5%
A.J. Turner run for 30 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
23.6%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
22.6%
Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+22
22.3%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 22 yds to the GASO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
20.6%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the GASO 11Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
7.8%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 11 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:0114% → 10%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
13.5%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 3 yds to the GASO 35Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
12.0%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 35Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-10
11.3%
(05:51) QB Keeper FRENCH, JC rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the GS41 (YATES, Jaden), clock 05:42. PENALTY GS Holding on BROADWAY, Bryson enforced 10 yards from the GS35 to the GS25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+4
10.6%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
10.1%
Alex Smith punt for 57 yds, downed at the MRSH 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4493% → 94%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
6.9%
Braylon Braxton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 6Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 11
OWN 6
0
6.6%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the MRSH 6Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 11
OWN 6
0
6.5%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for no gain to the MRSH 6Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 11
OWN 6
0
6.5%
Alec Clark punt for 50 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the GASO 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:318% → 9%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
7.5%
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 4
50
+11
7.6%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 11 yds to the MRSH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+35
7.6%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 35 yds to the MRSH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
9.3%
OJ Arnold run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 6Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
7.9%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
8.2%
JC French run for 3 yds to the MRSH 3Similar
Q3 0:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
8.8%
Jalen White run for no gain to the MRSH 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 12 yds · 7:2696% → 98%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
4.0%
Stone Earle pass complete to Carl Chester for 6 yds to the MRSH 9Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+3
3.9%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the MRSH 12Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+2
3.8%
Stone Earle run for 2 yds to the MRSH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-11
3.5%
(13:47) TURNER, A.J. rush to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the MAR25 (WILLIAMS, Cam), clock 13:39. PENALTY MAR Holding on JONES, Jeremy enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the MAR14 to the MAR7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 17
OWN 7
+5
3.5%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the MRSH 12Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+3
3.2%
Stone Earle run for 3 yds to the MRSH 15Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
3.2%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:51
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
3.1%
Alec Clark punt for 33 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the MRSH 48Similar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
2.8%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
2.8%
QB Keeper FRENCH, JC rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the MAR46 (FOSTER, Ian), clock 08:02. PENALTY GS Holding on BOYD, Dom enforced 10 yards from the MAR48 to the GS42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 20
OWN 42
0
2.5%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 20
OWN 42
0
2.5%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for no gain to the GASO 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:3798% → 97%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
1.9%
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the MRSH 2Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
2.9%
Marshall Penalty, intentional grounding (Stone Earle) to the MRSH 0 for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 0:144% → 15%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
4.3%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 39Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
4.5%
JC French run for no gain to the GASO 39Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-2
4.3%
JC French sacked by Deeve Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 37Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+12
4.1%
JC French run for 12 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+34
4.6%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 34 yds to the MRSH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
5.1%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 4 yds to the MRSH 13Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+12
5.1%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 12 yds to the MRSH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.9%
Dexter Williams II pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.9%
Dexter Williams II run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1894% → 94%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
6.3%
Stone Earle pass complete to A.J. Turner for 2 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
6.1%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
6.0%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-5
6.2%
Marshall Penalty, Delay Of Game (Stone Earle) to the GASO 41Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
6.3%
Alec Clark punt for 33 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the GASO 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:488% → 7%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
7.9%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Dexter Williams II) to the GASO 9Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-2
7.8%
OJ Arnold run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 6Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 12
OWN 6
0
7.2%
Dexter Williams II pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 12
OWN 6
0
7.2%
Alex Smith punt for 49 yds, downed at the MRSH 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0795% → 95%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
5.5%
Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the MRSH 47Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
5.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 5 yds to the GASO 49 Braylon Braxton fumbled, recovered by GASO Deontre Morris D. Morris return for 1 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 1:458% → 32%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
8.4%
Dexter Williams II pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
8.2%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 6 yds to the MRSH 45Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
6.9%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 5 yds to the MRSH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
7.0%
Dexter Williams II run for 20 yds to the MRSH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+17
8.7%
David Mbadinga run for 17 yds to the MRSH 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
32.4%
David Mbadinga run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:1290% → 92%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
10.5%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the GASO 26Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-10
10.2%
Marshall Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GASO 33Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 17
OPP 33
-1
7.6%
Braylon Braxton run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 34 Braylon Braxton fumbled, recovered by GASO Latrell Bullard L. Bullard return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 0:5423% → 84%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
22.5%
Dexter Williams II pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
22.1%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 10 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
22.1%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to OJ Arnold for 1 yd to the GASO 45Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-8
21.6%
Dexter Williams II sacked by Jude Okolo for a loss of 8 yards to the GASO 37Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 17
OWN 37
+19
15.7%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 19 yds to the MRSH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
19.8%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 10 yds to the MRSH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
83.9%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:1729% → 30%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
71.1%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the MRSH 28Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
69.8%
Stone Earle pass intercepted Marc Stampley II return for no gain to the MRSH 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
84.7%
(00:29) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at MAR46 (team loss of 1), clock 00:23.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:00
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+60.6
TD · Q4 2:15
David Mbadinga run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+23.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com