Try the model
CCU

Coastal Carolina 7 at James Madison 39

JMU
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 10, 2024 · Bridgeforth Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:46 · Ryan Hanson punt for 50 yds, downed at the CCU 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Home team on offense+19.8Score differential+14.1Pregame prior+7.5Garbage-time factor+7.1Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:30: Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 40 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +3.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:01: Taylor Thompson 25 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Taylor Thompson Pass to Josh Phifer for Two-Point Conversion) — JMU win probability +5.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:51: Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Lloyd Summerall III return for 35 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK) — JMU win probability +5.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:47: Alonza Barnett III run for 5 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK) — JMU win probability +9.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:41: Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Dylan Williams for 3 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK) — JMU win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CCU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 12:42CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:56JMU 4th & 20 at JMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:21CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:19CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 32, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:11CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 48, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:55JMU 4th & 2 at JMU 39, up 22
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:59CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 14, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:46JMU 4th & 15 at JMU 47, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:57CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 31, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:41JMU 4th & 3 at CCU 3, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:29JMU 4th & 2 at CCU 35, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:30CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 36, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:25JMU 4th & 1 at JMU 46, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:40CCU 4th & 22 at CCU 37, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:38JMU 4th & 10 at CCU 46, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:45CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 16, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:14JMU 4th & 7 at CCU 17, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:09CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 29, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:51JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:30CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:01JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:51JMU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:47JMU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:41JMU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:1765% → 65%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
64.8%
George Pettaway run for 8 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+10
64.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Logan Kyle for 10 yds to the CCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
64.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 8 yds to the CCU 17 fumbled, recovered by CCU Wyatt Gedeon W. Gedeon return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5435% → 35%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
64.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 4 yds to the CCU 21Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
64.7%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCU 21Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
64.7%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
64.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:5165% → 68%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
64.7%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 35Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
64.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 6 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+4
64.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 4 yds to the JMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
64.8%
George Pettaway run for 18 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
65.0%
Tyler Purdy run for 5 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+2
65.1%
Tyler Purdy run for 2 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+6
64.9%
Tyler Purdy run for 6 yds to the CCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
65.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
65.1%
George Pettaway run for 1 yd to the CCU 23Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+14
64.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 14 yds to the CCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
67.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 9 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 2:1533% → 37%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
66.9%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+24
66.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cameron Wright for 24 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
66.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the JMU 46Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+6
66.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds to the JMU 40Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+40
62.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 40 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:3464% → 63%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
63.8%
George Pettaway run for 11 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
64.2%
PETTAWAY, George rush to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the JMU47 (POWELL, Juan), out of bounds. PENALTY JMU Holding on PHIFER, Josh enforced 10 yards from the JMU36 to the JMU26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 20
OWN 26
0
63.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 20
OWN 26
-2
63.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 24Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 22
OWN 24
+2
63.0%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the JMU 26Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 20
OWN 26
0
62.8%
Ryan Hanson punt for 63 yds, downed at the CCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3537% → 37%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
63.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the CCU 17Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+1
62.9%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the CCU 18Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+14
63.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Tray Taylor for 14 yds to the CCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
62.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-4
62.0%
Simeon Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCU 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
63.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
63.5%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 45 yds, downed at the JMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:2064% → 71%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+33
63.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 33 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
65.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+19
65.1%
George Pettaway run for 19 yds to the CCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
71.0%
Taylor Thompson 25 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Taylor Thompson Pass to Josh Phifer for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8INT TD
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:1030% → 25%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.3%
Simeon Price run for no gain to the CCU 25Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
70.4%
VASKO, Ethan pass to the left incomplete intended for TUCKER, Jameson thrown to the CCU40. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on EAGLIN, Justin enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the CCU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
69.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
70.0%
Kyre Duplessis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-35
75.1%
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Lloyd Summerall III return for 35 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3225% → 22%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.0%
Simeon Price run for 1 yd to the CCU 26Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
75.2%
Simeon Price run for 6 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+16
75.9%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 38 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 16 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
78.3%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:3278% → 89%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
77.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+5
77.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 5 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+19
77.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taji Hudson for 19 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
79.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 12 yds to the CCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
79.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 14 yds to the CCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
79.9%
Tyler Purdy run for 4 yds to the CCU 5Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
89.3%
Alonza Barnett III run for 5 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:3612% → 11%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
88.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 29 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
87.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-1
87.6%
Tray Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 47Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
87.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 11
OPP 47
-5
88.3%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ethan Vasko) to the CCU 48Similar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 16
OWN 48
0
89.1%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1690% → 91%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
90.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+17
90.1%
George Pettaway run for 17 yds to the JMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
90.2%
Alonza Barnett III run for 1 yd to the JMU 32Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+7
90.0%
Alonza Barnett III run for 7 yds to the JMU 39Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
91.1%
Ryan Hanson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5610% → 9%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
90.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+1
90.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 1 yd to the CCU 14Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
90.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 9
OWN 14
+7
90.9%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 41 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 7 yds to the CCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1393% → 92%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
92.6%
George Pettaway run for no gain to the CCU 48Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
92.5%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JMU 47Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
92.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 15
OWN 47
0
92.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
92.1%
Ryan Hanson punt for 50 yds, downed at the CCU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:179% → 8%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+12
91.5%
Braydon Bennett run for 12 yds to the CCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
91.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cameron Wright for 2 yds to the CCU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:038% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
91.5%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
91.6%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:57
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+11
92.3%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 44 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 11 yds to the JMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:0694% → 99%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
93.5%
Jayden Mines run for 24 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
93.6%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+17
93.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 17 yds to the CCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
93.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
93.8%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Courtney Eubanks) to the CCU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.8%
George Pettaway run for no gain to the CCU 8Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
93.8%
Tyler Purdy run for 5 yds to the CCU 3Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Dylan Williams for 3 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:211% → 1%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
98.9%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CCU 21Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.0%
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Terrence Spence return for no gain to the CCU 43Similar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
98.8%
PETTAWAY, George rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU45 (WHITSON, Will;POWELL, Juan). PENALTY JMU Holding on RAMIL, Jesse enforced 10 yards from the CCU43 to the JMU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:5199% → 99%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+5
98.8%
George Pettaway run for 5 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 15
OPP 48
-8
98.8%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Will Whitson for a loss of 8 yards to the JMU 44Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 23
OWN 44
-5
98.8%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Tanner Morris) to the JMU 39Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 28
OWN 39
+26
99.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 26 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+1
99.3%
Tyler Purdy run for 1 yd to the CCU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 3:0599% → 100%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.3%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 24Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+13
99.3%
Tyler Purdy run for 13 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.3%
Wayne Knight run for 9 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Tyler Purdy run for no gain to the JMU 46Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+16
99.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 46 yds , Tray Taylor returns for 16 yds to the CCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:450% → 0%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 9 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+3
99.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tray Taylor for 3 yds to the CCU 39Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
99.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Senika McKie for 6 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
99.5%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
99.6%
Noah Kim run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 47 Noah Kim fumbled, recovered by CCU Noah Kim N. Kim return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 47
-10
99.7%
Noah Kim run for a loss of 10 yards to the CCU 37 Noah Kim fumbled, recovered by CCU Noah Kim N. Kim return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 22
OWN 37
+33
99.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 42 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 33 yds to the CCU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.7%
Wayne Knight run for 1 yd to the CCU 45Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+4
99.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Tyler Purdy for 4 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 5
OPP 41
-5
99.6%
James Madison Penalty, Delay Of Game (Alonza Barnett III) to the CCU 46Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.8%
Simeon Price run for 2 yds to the CCU 11Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
99.8%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
99.8%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 8
OWN 11
+5
99.8%
James Madison Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the CCU 16Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 25FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 6:31100% → 100%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
99.8%
JC Evans run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 2
50
+3
99.8%
JC Evans run for 3 yds to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+23
99.8%
Wayne Knight run for 23 yds to the CCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.8%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the CCU 16Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+3
99.8%
JC Evans run for 3 yds to the CCU 13Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-5
99.8%
QB Keeper ATKINS, Billy rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the CCU3 (WOODS, Myles), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, JMU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the CCU13 to the CCU18. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+1
99.8%
JC Evans run for 1 yd to the CCU 17Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+35
99.9%
Max Lipinski 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Darren Lloyd run for 1 yd to the CCU 26Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Noah Kim run for 3 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Noah Kim pass complete to Darren Lloyd for no gain to the CCU 29Similar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 6 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jobi Malary run for no gain to the JMU 30Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
Jobi Malary run for 4 yds to the JMU 34Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+6
100.0%
Jobi Malary run for 6 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
Kneel down by KENDALL, Blake at JMU38 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-2
100.0%
Kneel down by KENDALL, Blake at JMU36 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:47
Alonza Barnett III run for 5 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK)
+9.4
TD · Q2 13:01
Taylor Thompson 25 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Taylor Thompson Pass to Josh Phifer for Two-Point Conversion)
+5.9
TD · Q2 11:51
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Lloyd Summerall III return for 35 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com