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NWST

Northwestern State 10 at South Alabama 87

USA
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 12, 2024 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadNWST aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreNWST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD—USA 98.2%Jamaal Pritchett 62 Yd Punt Return(Laith Marjan Kick)AWAY 0 - HOME 7 · Q1 13:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:24 · Jamaal Pritchett 62 Yd Punt Return (Laith Marjan Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+47.8Home team on offense+0.3Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:30: Timeout South Alabama, clock 07:30 — USA win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: Lead backed by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 5:07: Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 12 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — USA win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: Lead backed by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q1 0:00: JT Fayard pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 75 yds for a TD (Reed Honshtein KICK) — NWST win probability +1.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: NWST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:15: Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — USA win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 10:15: Fluff Bothwell run for 7 yds for a TD Northwestern State Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian Williams) to the NWST 0 (Laith Marjan KICK) — USA win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NWST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:24NWST 4th & 10 at NWST 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:30NWST 4th & 4 at USA 14, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:10NWST 4th & 11 at NWST 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:03USA 4th & 5 at NWST 10, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:36NWST 4th & 9 at NWST 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:17NWST 4th & 20 at NWST 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:45USA 4th & 27 at NWST 32, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:45NWST 4th & 4 at NWST 38, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:29NWST 4th & 11 at NWST 35, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:50NWST 4th & 8 at NWST 27, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:48NWST 4th & 5 at NWST 38, down 77
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 12 of 12NWST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:24USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:58USA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:07USA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:00NWST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:15USA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:15USA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 9:25USA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 2:04USA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 14:18USA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:48USA Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 2:40USA Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 0:55USA Touchdown, up 69 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 3:57USA Touchdown, up 76 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NWSTDrive 1PUNT TD
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 26Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
98.3%
Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 25Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+62
98.2%
Jamaal Pritchett 62 Yd Punt Return (Laith Marjan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 2INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:112% → 2%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.2%
Kennieth Lacy run for 14 yds to the NWST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.1%
Kennieth Lacy run for 3 yds to the NWST 42 Kennieth Lacy fumbled, recovered by NWST Matthew BroadSimilar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+14
98.1%
JT Fayard pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for 14 yds to the USA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
98.0%
JT Fayard pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 45Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
98.0%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
98.0%
JT Fayard pass intercepted Jaden Voisin return for no gain to the NWST 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3TD
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
98.1%
Jeremiah Webb 39 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Laith Marjan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 4FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:192% → 2%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
98.1%
JT Fayard pass complete to Twon Hines for 18 yds to the NWST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
98.1%
Zay Davis run for 3 yds to the NWST 46Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
98.0%
JT Fayard pass complete to Joseph Moreland for 3 yds to the NWST 49Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+31
98.0%
JT Fayard pass complete to Twon Hines for 31 yds to the USA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
97.9%
Zay Davis run for 1 yd to the USA 21Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+7
97.9%
JT Fayard pass complete to Chance Newman for 7 yds to the USA 14Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
97.8%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
97.7%
Reed Honshtein 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:1698% → 99%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
98.1%
Kentrel Bullock run for 20 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
98.1%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Shamar Sandgren for 9 yds to the NWST 43Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+4
98.1%
Fluff Bothwell run for 4 yds to the NWST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+27
98.1%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Devin Voisin for 27 yds to the NWST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.5%
Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 12 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:512% → 2%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.0%
Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 24Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
98.0%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
98.0%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
98.0%
Reed Honshtein punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:5798% → 99%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
98.4%
Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 18 yds to the USA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
98.5%
Fluff Bothwell run for 8 yds to the NWST 47Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+9
98.4%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Devin Voisin for 9 yds to the NWST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
98.5%
Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the NWST 33Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+18
98.4%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 18 yds to the NWST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.5%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.5%
Iverson Celestine run for 6 yds to the NWST 9Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-5
98.3%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Celestine,Iverson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:45 PENALTY USA Illegal Shift (Pritchett,Jamaal) 5 yards from NSU09 to NSU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+4
98.3%
Gio Lopez run for 4 yds to the NWST 10Similar
Q1 0:03
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
98.5%
Laith Marjan 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 8TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.3%
JT Fayard pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 75 yds for a TD (Reed Honshtein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:3398% → 99%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
97.8%
Fluff Bothwell run for 56 yds to the NWST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
97.9%
Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the NWST 13Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+5
97.8%
Northwestern State Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Isaiah Robinson) to the NWST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
97.8%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Bullock,Kentrel rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:32 PENALTY USA Illegal Formation 5 yards from NSU05 to NSU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
97.8%
Kentrel Bullock run for 9 yds to the NWST 1Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:322% → 2%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
JT Fayard run for 1 yd to the NWST 26Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
98.4%
Chance Newman run for 5 yds to the NWST 31Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.4%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
98.4%
(11:53) PENALTY NSU False Start (Rhone,Cadillac) 5 yards from NSU31 to NSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+27
98.4%
Reed Honshtein punt for 44 yds , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 27 yds to the NWST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+35
98.7%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 35 yds to the NWST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
98.6%
Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the NWST 7Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.1%
Fluff Bothwell run for 7 yds for a TD Northwestern State Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian Williams) to the NWST 0 (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 12INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:381% → 1%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds to the NWST 23Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.1%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.1%
JT Fayard pass intercepted Amarion Fortenberry return for no gain to the NWST 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 4 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 1 yds · 3:001% → 0%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Ray Mckneely-Harris run for no gain to the NWST 25Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Chance Newman run for 3 yds to the NWST 28Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.5%
JT Fayard pass complete to Ray Mckneely-Harris for 8 yds to the NWST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.5%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
99.5%
(07:11) Shotgun Davis,Zay rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NSU43 (Webb Jr.,Lardarius; Goodwill,Ty) PENALTY NSU Holding (Ballard,Stevie) 10 yards from NSU36 to NSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 20
OWN 26
0
99.5%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 20
OWN 26
0
99.6%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 20
OWN 26
+35
99.6%
Reed Honshtein punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NWST 26 , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 35 yds to the USA 39 Northwestern State Penalty, Illegal Formation (Twon Hines) to the NWST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · -6 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.5%
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the NWST 27Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+12
99.5%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 12 yds to the NWST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
99.5%
Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the NWST 9Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-10
99.5%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Bullock,Kentrel rush left for 9 yards gain to the NSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:29 PENALTY USA Holding (Thomas,Trent) 10 yards from NSU09 to NSU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 14
OPP 19
+2
99.5%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Shamar Sandgren for 2 yds to the NWST 17Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 12
OPP 17
-15
99.5%
South Alabama Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Malachi Preciado) to the NWST 32Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 27
OPP 32
+50
99.5%
Laith Marjan 50 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.7%
Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 31Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+1
99.7%
Chance Newman run for 1 yd to the NWST 32Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.7%
Chance Newman pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 6 yds to the NWST 38Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Reed Honshtein punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jamaal Pritchett at the USA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:18100% → 100%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+57
99.6%
Fluff Bothwell run for 57 yds to the NWST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Fluff Bothwell run for 5 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 18END OF HALF
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Zay Davis run for 7 yds to the NWST 32Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
99.7%
Zay Davis run for 8 yds to the NWST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.7%
Zay Davis run for 3 yds to the NWST 43Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-1
99.7%
Zay Davis run for 14 yds to the USA 43 Northwestern State Penalty, Personal Foul (Twon Hines) to the NWST 32Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+3
99.7%
Ryan Tyler run for 3 yds to the NWST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:26100% → 100%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.7%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Devin Voisin for 11 yds to the USA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.8%
Kentrel Bullock run for 59 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:400% → 0%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Kennieth Lacy run for 6 yds to the NWST 19Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+7
99.8%
Kennieth Lacy run for 7 yds to the NWST 26Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.8%
JT Fayard pass complete to Twon Hines for 10 yds to the NWST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Kennieth Lacy run for no gain to the NWST 36Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.9%
JT Fayard sacked by Maurice Strong Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 35Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Reed Honshtein punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 8 yds to the USA 39Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+18
99.8%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Iverson Celestine for 18 yds to the NWST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
99.8%
PJ Martin run for 43 yds South Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Malachi Preciado) to the USA 49Similar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 18
OWN 49
+4
99.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the NWST 47Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+33
99.8%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 33 yds to the NWST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.9%
PJ Martin run for 4 yds to the NWST 10Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 10 yds for a TD (Davis Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Zay Davis run for 2 yds to the NWST 27Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Zay Davis run for 5 yds to the NWST 32 Northwestern State Penalty, False Start (Kareame Cotton Jr.) to the NWST 27Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
JT Fayard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Reed Honshtein punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+45
99.9%
PJ Martin run for 45 yds to the NWST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
99.9%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Martin,PJ rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NSU01 (Owens,Chancellor) PENALTY USA Illegal Formation 5 yards from NSU06 to NSU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
-10
99.9%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Davenport,Bishop rush right for 11 yards gain to the NSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:03 PENALTY USA Holding (Gibbs,Rod) 10 yards from NSU11 to NSU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 21
+8
99.9%
PJ Martin run for 8 yds to the NWST 13Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+9
99.9%
PJ Martin run for 9 yds to the NWST 4Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
PJ Martin run for 4 yds for a TD (Davis Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 24INT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Zay Davis run for 1 yd to the NWST 26Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Quaterius Hawkins run for 3 yds to the NWST 29Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-30
100.0%
Chrystyile Caldwell 30 Yd Interception Return (Davis Little Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Quaterius Hawkins run for no gain to the NWST 22 Quaterius Hawkins fumbled, recovered by USA Julien DembySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 11:03100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.9%
Dorian Smith run for 9 yds to the NWST 13Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+4
100.0%
Jarvis Durr run for 4 yds to the NWST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
100.0%
Jarvis Durr run for 2 yds to the NWST 7Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
100.0%
Jarvis Durr run for 3 yds to the NWST 4Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Jarvis Durr run for 4 yds for a TD (Davis Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
100.0%
Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 6 yds to the NWST 39Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+4
100.0%
Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 4 yds to the NWST 35Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 3 yds to the NWST 38Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Reed Honshtein punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
100.0%
Jarvis Durr run for 3 yds to the USA 4Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 4
-1
100.0%
Kneel down by South Alabama at USA03 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 3
-1
100.0%
Kneel down by South Alabama at USA02 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:00
JT Fayard pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 75 yds for a TD (Reed Honshtein KICK)
-1.3
TD · Q2 13:15
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 10:15
Fluff Bothwell run for 7 yds for a TD Northwestern State Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian Williams) to the NWST 0 (Laith Marjan KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com