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TROY

Troy 17 at Memphis 38

MEM
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:41 · Robert Cole punt for 39 yds, downed at the MEM 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+37.6Home team on offense+1.3Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:51: Goose Crowder run for 11 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK) — TROY win probability +3.4 pts (now 16%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:35: Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Costa KICK) — MEM win probability +4.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:07: Mario Anderson run for 21 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK) — MEM win probability +3.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:16: Caden Costa 32 yd FG GOOD — MEM win probability +2.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:32: Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 4 yds for a TD PENALTY TRO Roughing the Passer on LEE, Phillip MEM Unsportsmanlike Conduct , Offsetting deadball penalties, result of the play stands. (Caden Costa KICK) — MEM win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 14:16TROY 4th & 3 at TROY 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:41TROY 4th & 1 at TROY 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:58MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:11TROY 4th & 8 at TROY 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:59TROY 4th & 5 at TROY 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:39MEM 4th & 7 at MEM 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:16MEM 4th & 5 at TROY 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:20TROY 4th & 8 at TROY 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:29TROY 4th & 4 at MEM 4, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:58TROY 4th & 3 at MEM 8, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:54MEM 4th & 2 at TROY 44, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TROY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:35MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:51TROY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:35MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:07MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:32MEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:03MEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:47TROY Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:439% → 9%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.5%
Gerald Green run for 7 yds to the TROY 32Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
91.4%
Goose Crowder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
91.3%
Goose Crowder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
91.3%
Robert Cole punt for 38 yds, downed at the MEM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:2891% → 91%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
91.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+20
91.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
50
0
91.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 10
50
+6
91.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 6 yds to the TROY 44Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+4
91.0%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the TROY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
90.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 8 yds to the TROY 32Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 2
OPP 32
-6
90.8%
Mario Anderson run for 9 yds to the TROY 23 Memphis Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the TROY 46Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+5
90.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 5 yds to the TROY 41Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+12
90.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 12 yds to the TROY 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
90.4%
Mario Anderson run for 10 yds to the TROY 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
90.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 4 yds to the TROY 15Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
90.0%
Troy Penalty, Roughing the Passer on LEE, Phillip Pass Interference on YANCEY, Damaje enforced (Phillip Lee) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.9%
Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:529% → 10%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.6%
Jordan Lovett run for 4 yds to the TROY 29Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
90.4%
Jordan Lovett run for 5 yds to the TROY 34Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
90.3%
Jordan Lovett run for no gain to the TROY 34Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
90.3%
Robert Cole punt for 39 yds, downed at the MEM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:3390% → 90%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
90.3%
(06:31) HENIGAN, Seth pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Roc thrown to the TRO35; QB hurried by LEE, Phillip, clock 06:25. PENALTY TRO Holding on STARLING, Darrell enforced 10 yards from the MEM27 to the MEM37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.4%
Mario Anderson run for no gain to the MEM 37Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
90.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+4
90.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 4 yds to the MEM 41Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
89.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 59 yds for a touchback, PENALTY Before the snap, MEM Illegal Formation enforced at the deadball spot for 5 yards after the change of possession from the MEM 20 to the MEM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:5810% → 16%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.0%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Brody Dalton for 9 yds to the TROY 34Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
89.6%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the TROY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
89.5%
Goose Crowder run for 5 yds to the TROY 45Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
89.2%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
88.9%
Gerald Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 49Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+7
89.0%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 7 yds to the MEM 44Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+8
88.7%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 8 yds to the MEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
88.5%
Memphis Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Patrick Lucas Jr.) to the MEM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
88.0%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 1 yd to the MEM 23Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-3
87.9%
Gerald Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the MEM 26Similar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+12
88.5%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 12 yds to the MEM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
87.6%
Jordan Lovett run for 3 yds to the MEM 11Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
84.1%
Goose Crowder run for 11 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1486% → 89%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
86.0%
Mario Anderson run for 26 yds to the TROY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
86.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 13 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
86.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+12
86.4%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 12 yds to the TROY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
86.5%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 7 yds to the TROY 17Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-3
86.3%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 20Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+9
85.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 9 yds to the TROY 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
85.9%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the TROY 9Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+4
85.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 4 yds to the TROY 5Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+4
84.9%
Troy Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Damaje Yancey) to the TROY 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.1%
Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:3712% → 12%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.8%
(07:34) LOVETT, Jordan rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards to the TRO22 (DENIS, Javon), clock 07:31. PENALTY MEM Offsides on DENIS, Javon enforced 5 yards from the TRO25 to the TRO30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+1
87.3%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the TROY 31Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
87.3%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the TROY 32Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
87.5%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 7 yds to the TROY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
86.8%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Landon Parker for 1 yd to the TROY 40Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+1
86.8%
Jordan Lovett run for 1 yd to the TROY 41Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
86.9%
Matthew Caldwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 8
OWN 41
+36
87.6%
Robert Cole punt for 45 yds , Koby Drake returns for 36 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
50
+15
88.5%
(03:57) HENIGAN, Seth pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Roc thrown to the TRO20, clock 03:53. PENALTY TRO Pass Interference on GREEN, LJ enforced 15 yards to the TRO35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:4589% → 92%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
88.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 14 yds to the TROY 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
92.0%
Mario Anderson run for 21 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:079% → 9%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.9%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 6 yds to the TROY 31Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
90.9%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 5 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
90.3%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 5 yds to the TROY 41Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
89.9%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the TROY 41Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
90.4%
Matthew Caldwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
90.7%
Robert Cole punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:2991% → 91%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
91.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 19Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+7
90.8%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 7 yds to the MEM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2092% → 92%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.3%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the MEM 29Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
92.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 28Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
92.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
91.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the TROY 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
91.5%
Gerald Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the TROY 31 Gerald Green fumbled, recovered by MEM Elijah Herring E. Herring return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 3:1093% → 95%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
92.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 8 yds to the TROY 23Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+4
92.9%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the TROY 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
92.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Jamari Hawkins for 1 yd to the TROY 18Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+5
93.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 5 yds to the TROY 13Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-1
92.8%
Mario Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 14Similar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
94.9%
Caden Costa 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:476% → 6%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
94.0%
(10:07) CALDWELL, Matthew pass to the left incomplete intended for PARKER, Landon thrown to the TRO25, clock 10:04. PENALTY MEM Pass Interference on ROSS, Davion enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the TRO25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.1%
Damien Taylor run for 7 yds to the TROY 32Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
93.7%
Jordan Lovett run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 30Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-3
93.9%
Matthew Caldwell sacked by Elijah Herring for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 27Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
94.4%
Robert Cole punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:4096% → 98%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
95.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcello Bussey for 13 yds to the MEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
95.8%
Mario Anderson run for 10 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
95.9%
Mario Anderson run for 22 yds to the TROY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+20
96.0%
Seth Henigan run for 20 yds to the TROY 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 4 yds for a TD PENALTY TRO Roughing the Passer on LEE, Phillip MEM Unsportsmanlike Conduct , Offsetting deadball penalties, result of the play stands. (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:022% → 1%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.9%
Jordan Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 24Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
98.2%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 10 yds to the TROY 34Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+24
98.1%
Damien Taylor run for 24 yds to the MEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
98.3%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 8 yds to the MEM 34Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 2
OPP 34
-4
98.1%
Damien Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the MEM 38Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+33
98.6%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 33 yds to the MEM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
98.2%
Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the MEM 4Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.5%
Matthew Caldwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.6%
Matthew Caldwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
98.6%
Scott Taylor Renfroe 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2499% → 100%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.7%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the MEM 29Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
98.8%
(14:59) HENIGAN, Seth pass up the middle incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Roc broken up by GREEN, LJ at the MEM40, clock 14:57. PENALTY TRO Pass Interference on GREEN, LJ enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the MEM40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.8%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+28
98.8%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 28 yds to the TROY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+26
99.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 26 yds to the TROY 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.0%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the TROY 4Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:120% → 1%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Matthew Caldwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the TROY 33Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
Troy Penalty, Illegal Snap on STANLEY, Boaz enforced (Boaz Stanley) to the TROY 28Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.9%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 15 yds to the TROY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Matthew Caldwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Matthew Caldwell run for 4 yds to the TROY 47Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+15
99.9%
Memphis Penalty, Roughing the Passer on BALDWIN, Devin enforced (15 Yards) to the MEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
99.9%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 16 yds to the MEM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
99.9%
Devonte Ross run for 7 yds to the MEM 8Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 3
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Matthew Caldwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Matthew Caldwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+4
99.9%
Matthew Caldwell run for 4 yds to the MEM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the MEM 2Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the MEM 1Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Matthew Caldwell run for 1 yd for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:4499% → 100%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
99.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 7 yds to the MEM 17Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+4
99.4%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the MEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.4%
Mario Anderson run for 7 yds to the MEM 28Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+15
99.4%
Troy Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Darrell Starling) to the MEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.5%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 5 yds to the TROY 47Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
99.6%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 3 yds to the TROY 44Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for no gain to the TROY 44Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds, downed at the TROY 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
99.5%
Tucker Kilcrease run for 4 yds to the TROY 5Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+2
99.5%
Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the TROY 7Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+8
99.5%
Tucker Kilcrease run for 8 yds to the TROY 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:35
Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q2 12:51
Goose Crowder run for 11 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)
-3.4
TD · Q2 3:07
Mario Anderson run for 21 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com