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UTSA

UTSA 10 at Texas State 49

TXST
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
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Win probability · TXST
modelTXST aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTXST scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+4.7TXST 96.0%L.Pare rushed for 45 yards. TOUCHDOWN.AWAY 3 - HOME 35 · Q2 2:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:00 · L.Pare rushed for 45 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Home team on offense+26.4Score differential+16.6Blowout margin+7.2Garbage-time factor+7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Pregame prior+3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:27: J.McCloud rushed for 17 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — TXST win probability +3.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:33: J.McCloud rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — TXST win probability +5.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:50: J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 46 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — TXST win probability +7.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:44: D.Hankins rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — TXST win probability +7.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:00: L.Pare rushed for 45 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — TXST win probability +4.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TXST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UTSA made the numbers' call on 13 of 13
  1. Q1 12:53UTSA 4th & 8 at TXST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    43.0%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:34TXST 4th & 2 at UTSA 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:48UTSA 4th & 9 at TXST 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    35.3%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:57UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:02UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:39TXST 4th & 9 at UTSA 47, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:29TXST 4th & 14 at TXST 48, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:52UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:59UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 30, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:00TXST 4th & 1 at UTSA 45, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−1.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:19UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 28, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:07UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 31, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:06TXST 4th & 3 at TXST 45, up 32
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:45TXST 4th & 1 at UTSA 33, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:40UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 38, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:28UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 43, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:06UTSA 4th & 2 at TXST 2, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:21UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 36, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:30TXST 4th & 10 at TXST 14, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:29UTSA 4th & 4 at TXST 4, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:20TXST 4th & 3 at TXST 11, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TXST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:27TXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:33TXST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:50TXST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:44TXST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:00TXST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:27TXST Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:06UTSA Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:54TXST Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSTDrive 1INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:5556% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.4%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by K.Fox for 2 yards. Tackled by E.Davison at TXST 27.Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
56.4%
I.Mahdi rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by O.Pewee; K.Robinson at TXST 27.Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
56.4%
J.McCloud pass INTERCEPTED at TXST 40. Intercepted by Z.Morris at TXST 40. Tackled by TXST at TXST 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0544% → 44%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
56.3%
R.Henry rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by K.Culp at TXST 34.Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-4
56.3%
O.McCown pass complete. Catch made by R.Henry for -4 yards. Tackled by TXST at TXST 38.Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
56.3%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for O.Cardenas.Similar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+5
56.5%
O.McCown pass complete. Catch made by D.McCuin for 5 yards. Tackled by TXST at TXST 33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:1457% → 57%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
56.6%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by K.Wilson for 18 yards. Tackled by K.Robinson at UTSA 49.Similar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
56.9%
I.Mahdi rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Robinson at UTSA 42.Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+16
57.0%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 16 yards. C.Dawn ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
57.2%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by I.Mahdi for 13 yards. I.Mahdi ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
57.3%
T.Burgess rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Simon at UTSA 11.Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
57.4%
T.Burgess rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Robinson at UTSA 9.Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
57.3%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Williams.Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+4
57.1%
PENALTY on UTSA-UTSA, Disqualification / Defense, 4 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+1
57.2%
D.Hankins rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by UTSA at UTSA 4.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 4TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:4358% → 61%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
57.5%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Walley at UTSA 37.Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+7
57.6%
I.Mahdi rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by E.Brow at UTSA 30.Similar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
57.8%
I.Mahdi rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Milton at UTSA 27.Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-4
57.9%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Sacked at UTSA 31 for -4 yards (J.Walley). PENALTY on UTSA-J.Lewis, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
61.0%
J.McCloud rushed for 17 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 4:3140% → 42%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.1%
O.McCown pass complete. Catch made by W.Henderson for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Moore at UTSA 30.Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+44
60.1%
O.McCown pass complete. Catch made by H.Thomas for 44 yards. H.Thomas ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
58.9%
PENALTY on UTSA-H.Thomas, Offensive Facemask, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
59.4%
R.Henry rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by S.Parker at TXST 40.Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+14
59.6%
O.McCown pass complete. Catch made by D.McCuin for 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by R.Nolan at TXST 26.Similar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
59.1%
O.McCown pass complete. Catch made by P.Overmyer for 7 yards. Tackled by R.Nolan at TXST 19.Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+4
59.1%
O.McCown pass complete. Catch made by D.McCuin for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at TXST 15.Similar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
59.2%
R.Henry rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Langi at TXST 11.Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
59.3%
R.Henry rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at TXST 8.Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
60.1%
K.Barnes rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at TXST 4.Similar
Q1 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.2%
O.McCown scrambles for 0 yards. Tackled by R.Nolan at TXST 4.Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.4%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.McCuin.Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
60.1%
PENALTY on UTSA-C.Godinet, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
60.2%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for P.Overmyer.Similar
Q1 1:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
58.2%
C.Allen 26 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-UTSA, Holder-UTSA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1059% → 65%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.7%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Harris at TXST 28.Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
58.8%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Dawn.Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
58.2%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 10 yards. Tackled by M.Wilkerson at TXST 38.Similar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
59.4%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Hobert.Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+60
59.2%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 60 yards. Tackled by S.Dumas at UTSA 2.Similar
Q1 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.1%
J.McCloud rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3236% → 35%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.0%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for UTSA.Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.1%
O.McCown pass complete. Catch made by D.McCuin for 4 yards. Tackled by B.Crosby at UTSA 29.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
64.5%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.McCuin.Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+32
65.2%
C.Hogan punts 32 yards to TXST 39, Center-UTSA. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:5865% → 75%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
65.4%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by K.Alexander for 4 yards. Tackled by O.Pewee at TXST 43.Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
65.8%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Griffin.Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
65.2%
J.McCloud scrambles for 8 yards. Tackled by UTSA at UTSA 49.Similar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
67.6%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Williams.Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
67.5%
I.Mahdi rushed for 3 yards. UTSA ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+46
74.6%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 46 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:4126% → 24%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
74.0%
R.Henry rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at UTSA 34.Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
73.1%
R.Henry rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Harris at UTSA 36.Similar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
74.4%
K.Barnes rushed for -2 yards. Tackled by T.Moore at UTSA 34.Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+2
75.1%
K.Barnes rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by S.Parker at UTSA 36.Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
75.6%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for UTSA.Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+43
75.8%
C.Hogan punts 43 yards to TXST 21, Center-UTSA. K.Wilson returned punt from the TXST 21. Tackled by UTSA at TXST 22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:2276% → 78%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
76.4%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 15 yards. Tackled by A.Simon at TXST 37.Similar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
77.0%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 15 yards. Tackled by S.Dumas at UTSA 48.Similar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
77.9%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Wilson.Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-3
77.9%
I.Mahdi rushed for -3 yards. Tackled by K.Robinson at TXST 49.Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+4
78.0%
J.McCloud scrambles for 4 yards. Tackled by M.French at UTSA 47.Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
78.0%
D.Nunez punts yards to UTSA 1, Center-TXST. Downed by TXST. PENALTY on TXST-TXST, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 14
OWN 48
+37
77.8%
D.Nunez punts 37 yards to UTSA 15, Center-TXST. Fair catch by C.Carpenter.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:2922% → 22%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
77.8%
W.Henderson rushed for 1 yards. R.Nolan ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-2
77.4%
K.Barnes rushed for -2 yards. Tackled by UTSA at UTSA 14.Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+22
77.7%
O.McCown pass complete. Catch made by D.Allen for 22 yards. Tackled by UTSA at UTSA 36.Similar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.2%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for H.Thomas.Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
77.4%
K.Barnes rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by TXST at UTSA 38.Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
77.5%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.McCuin.Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+22
78.1%
C.Hogan punts 22 yards to TXST 40, Center-UTSA. Fair catch by K.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:0079% → 88%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
79.4%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Wilson.Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
79.4%
T.Burgess rushed for 15 yards. Tackled by K.Robinson at UTSA 45.Similar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+37
80.0%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by I.Mahdi for 37 yards. Tackled by K.Robinson at UTSA 8.Similar
Q2 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
80.1%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Williams. PENALTY on UTSA-UTSA, Defensive Pass Interference, 6 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
80.2%
D.Hankins rushed for -2 yards. Tackled by O.Pewee at UTSA 4.Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
80.6%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Williams. PENALTY on UTSA-UTSA, Defensive Holding, 2 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.7%
D.Hankins rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4017% → 17%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.6%
R.Henry rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Nolan at UTSA 26.Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
83.0%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for R.Henry.Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
83.3%
O.McCown pass complete. Catch made by R.Henry for 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Eaton at UTSA 30.Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+24
83.3%
C.Hogan punts 24 yards to TXST 46, Center-UTSA. Downed by UTSA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 14TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:3991% → 96%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
91.1%
T.Burgess rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by Z.Frazier; K.Blackshire at UTSA 47.Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
91.2%
T.Burgess rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Blackshire; R.Triplette at UTSA 47.Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
91.4%
D.Hankins rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Lewis at UTSA 45.Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+45
96.0%
L.Pare rushed for 45 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:334% → 3%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.5%
O.McCown scrambles for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Harris at UTSA 28.Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.6%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for H.Thomas.Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
96.8%
O.McCown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Sparkman.Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+46
96.7%
C.Hogan punts 46 yards to TXST 26, Center-UTSA. K.Wilson returned punt from the TXST 26. Tackled by A.Simon at TXST 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 16END OF HALF
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:0597% → 97%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
96.6%
J.McCloud rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Leonard at TXST 28.Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+24
96.8%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 24 yards. Tackled by Z.Morris at UTSA 48.Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
97.0%
L.Pare rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.French at UTSA 45.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-3
97.2%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Sacked at UTSA 48 for -3 yards (J.Robinson).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:453% → 3%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
96.8%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by D.McCuin for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Eaton at UTSA 32.Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-1
97.1%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by D.McCuin for -1 yards. Tackled by TXST at UTSA 31.Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
97.3%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Allen.Similar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+31
97.3%
C.Hogan punts 31 yards to TXST 38, Center-UTSA. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5797% → 98%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
97.4%
I.Mahdi rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Evans; B.Brown at TXST 39.Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
97.7%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by I.Mahdi for 3 yards. Tackled by E.Davison at TXST 42.Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+3
97.9%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by I.Mahdi for 3 yards. Tackled by M.French at TXST 45.Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+44
98.0%
D.Nunez punts 44 yards to UTSA 11, Center-TXST. Fair catch by C.Carpenter.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19INT
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:422% → 2%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.0%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by W.McCoy for yards. Tackled by B.Crosby at UTSA 20. PENALTY on TXST-B.Crosby, Defensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
98.0%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by R.Griffin for 4 yards. R.Griffin ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
98.3%
R.Henry rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Coleman at UTSA 26.Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+25
98.2%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by C.Carpenter for 25 yards. Tackled by B.Crosby at TXST 49.Similar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
97.9%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by W.McCoy for 17 yards. Tackled by TXST at TXST 32.Similar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-23
97.8%
E.Marburger pass INTERCEPTED at TXST 25. Intercepted by B.Crosby at TXST 25. Tackled by C.Carpenter at TXST 48.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:4199% → 99%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.8%
T.Burgess rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Robinson; R.Triplette at TXST 48.Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
98.8%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Hobert. PENALTY on UTSA-UTSA, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
98.9%
T.Burgess rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Robinson at UTSA 41.Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+7
98.9%
I.Mahdi rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by O.Pewee; B.Randle at UTSA 34.Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
98.9%
I.Mahdi rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by B.Randle at UTSA 33.Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+12
99.0%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by K.Fox for 12 yards. Pushed out of bounds by E.Davison at UTSA 21.Similar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.3%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 21 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21TD
23 plays · 98 yds · 7:061% → 1%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
R.Griffin rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Bass at UTSA 27.Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.4%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Allen.Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.4%
E.Marburger scrambles for 8 yards. E.Marburger ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.4%
PENALTY on UTSA-D.Allen, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+9
99.4%
E.Marburger scrambles for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Neal at UTSA 39.Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
99.5%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for W.McCoy.Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-1
99.5%
E.Marburger rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Adeleye; K.Alexander at UTSA 38.Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
99.6%
C.Allen punts yards to TXST 18, Center-UTSA. Downed by UTSA. PENALTY on TXST-TXST, Running Into the Kicker, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+6
99.5%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by P.Overmyer for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at UTSA 49.Similar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.6%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by J.Sparkman for 3 yards. Tackled by TXST at TXST 48.Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+18
99.6%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by C.Carpenter for 18 yards. Tackled by TXST at TXST 30.Similar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.5%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for W.McCoy.Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.6%
R.Griffin rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Ratcliff at TXST 28.Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+17
99.6%
E.Marburger rushed for 17 yards. E.Marburger FUMBLES, forced by B.Bell. Fumble RECOVERED by UTSA-P.Overmyer at TXST 36. Tackled by B.Bass at TXST 28.Similar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.6%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Sparkman.Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+9
99.6%
E.Marburger rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Nunnery at TXST 4.Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
99.6%
R.Griffin rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at TXST 1.Similar
Q3 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.4%
R.Griffin rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Neal; K.Culp at TXST 2.Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.6%
R.Griffin rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by TXST at TXST 2.Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.6%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for W.McCoy.Similar
Q3 0:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by W.McCoy for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 5:06100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.6%
L.Pare rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Blackshire at TXST 28.Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+6
99.7%
L.Pare rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by V.Shaw; J.Lewis at TXST 34.Similar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
99.7%
L.Pare rushed for -3 yards. Tackled by M.French at TXST 31.Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 13
OWN 31
0
99.7%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for TXST. PENALTY on UTSA-M.Wilkerson, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.7%
L.Pare rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Lewis; B.Randle at UTSA 49.Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
99.8%
L.Pare rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Wyrick; O.Pewee at UTSA 46.Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
99.8%
L.Pare rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Clayton; M.French at UTSA 43.Similar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
99.8%
L.Pare rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by D.Harris; J.Lewis at UTSA 33.Similar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
L.Pare rushed for 33 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by J.Wilson for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at UTSA 33.Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
R.Griffin rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by B.Bass at UTSA 34.Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by D.Allen for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Moore at UTSA 36.Similar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Wilson.Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Allen.Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for W.Henderson.Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+50
99.9%
C.Allen punts 50 yards to TXST 14, Center-UTSA. Fair catch by K.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
L.Pare rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Randle at TXST 14.Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
99.9%
D.Hankins rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Ligon; B.Randle at TXST 15.Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-1
99.9%
R.Martinez rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by B.Brown at TXST 14.Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 10
OWN 14
+31
99.9%
L.Rau punts 31 yards to TXST 45, Center-TXST. Fair catch by C.Carpenter.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
B.High rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Neal at TXST 43.Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+40
99.9%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by W.McCoy for 40 yards. Tackled by C.Grogan at TXST 3.Similar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for W.McCoy.Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Sparkman.Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.9%
B.High rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Polk at TXST 4.Similar
Q4 4:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
99.9%
D.Hankins rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Blackshire; R.Triplette at TXST 6.Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+4
99.9%
D.Hankins rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Lewis at TXST 10.Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
D.Hankins rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Robinson at TXST 11.Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 3
OWN 11
+34
99.9%
L.Rau punts 34 yards to TXST 45, Center-TXST. Fair catch by C.Carpenter.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:160% → 0%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by D.Dishman for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Grogan at TXST 43.Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+18
100.0%
E.Marburger pass complete. Catch made by P.Overmyer for 18 yards. P.Overmyer FUMBLES, forced by D.Mourning. Fumble RECOVERED by TXST-R.Nolan at TXST 25. Tackled by E.Marburger at TXST 37.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:50
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 46 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+7.2
TD · Q2 4:44
D.Hankins rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+7
TD · Q1 0:33
J.McCloud rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com