Try the model
UAB

UAB 6 at UL Monroe 32

ULM
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Malone Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGSAFETYTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:03 · Makenzie Ryan punt for 46 yds, downed at the UAB 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior−16.8Home team on offense+10.8Score differential+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Garbage-time factor+5.6Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:10: Ahmad Hardy run for 16 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK) — ULM win probability +7.7 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:34: Jonah Delange 26 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +3.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  3. SAFETY · Q3 10:19: Billy Pullen Safety — ULM win probability +1.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:52: Hunter Herring run for 4 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK) — ULM win probability +17.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:34: Jacob Zeno pass intercepted Car'lin Vigers return for 30 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK) — ULM win probability +7.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:49UAB 4th & 16 at UAB 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:19ULM 4th & 8 at UAB 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:34UAB 4th & 8 at ULM 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:21ULM 4th & 9 at UAB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:22UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:34UAB 4th & 6 at ULM 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:29ULM 4th & 1 at UAB 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−1.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:03ULM 4th & 6 at midfield, up 10
    Close callPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:46ULM 4th & 8 at UAB 49, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:08UAB 4th & 27 at UAB 40, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:45ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 19, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:51UAB 4th & 19 at UAB 39, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:57UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 40, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:09ULM 4th & 2 at UAB 33, up 26
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:10ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:52ULM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:34ULM Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:0383% → 82%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
17.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-4
17.4%
(14:51) BEEBE JR., Lee rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the UAB20 (VIGERS, Car'lin;WELLS, Kevontay), clock 14:46. PENALTY UAB Holding on YATES, Quez enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the UAB16 to the UAB8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 18
OWN 8
+2
17.5%
Jacob Zeno run for 2 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 16
OWN 10
0
17.8%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 16
OWN 10
+13
17.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 35 yds , Davon Wells returns for 13 yds to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2FG
12 plays · 24 yds · 4:2018% → 21%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
18.1%
James Jones run for 2 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+9
18.4%
James Jones run for 9 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
18.8%
James Jones run for 6 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+1
19.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the UAB 14Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+5
19.4%
UAB Penalty, Offsides (LD Cox) to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
19.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q1 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
19.5%
UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Carter Miller) to the UAB 14Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-2
19.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 14Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+6
19.9%
Taven Curry run for 6 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q1 9:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
21.0%
Max Larson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:4579% → 79%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
20.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 19 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
20.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+9
20.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 9 yds to the ULM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
20.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 4 yds to the ULM 40Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
20.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the ULM 35Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+6
21.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the ULM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
20.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
21.3%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
21.6%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+46
21.2%
Jonah Delange 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 4:1322% → 24%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.5%
General Booty pass complete to Davon Wells for 4 yds to the ULM 29Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
21.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
22.1%
Taven Curry run for 8 yds to the ULM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
22.9%
General Booty pass complete to Taven Curry for 9 yds to the ULM 48Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
23.9%
James Jones run for 5 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
24.3%
(03:30) JONES, James rush to the left for no gain to the UAB47 (COX, LD;JONES, Tyjon), clock 03:24. PENALTY ULM Holding on MILLER, Carter enforced 10 yards from the UAB47 to the ULM43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
23.9%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 20
OWN 43
0
23.9%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 20
OWN 43
+11
23.6%
Taven Curry run for 11 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
24.0%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:5277% → 75%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
23.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 18Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+9
23.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 9 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
23.7%
Amare Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 8
OWN 22
-5
25.1%
UAB Penalty, Delay Of Game (Patrick Foley) to the UAB 17Similar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
25.2%
punt blocked by JD Stewart blocked by JD StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:0627% → 35%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
27.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+12
27.2%
General Booty pass complete to Rylan Green for 12 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
34.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 16 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:2870% → 68%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
30.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+5
29.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 5 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
30.5%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
30.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 9 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
30.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the ULM 48Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+7
30.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
31.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for 9 yds to the ULM 32Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+6
30.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 6 yds to the ULM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
30.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 3 yds to the ULM 23Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+6
31.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 6 yds to the ULM 17Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+5
32.7%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the ULM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
32.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the ULM 7Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
32.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for no gain to the ULM 7Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+4
34.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the ULM 3Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 1
OPP 3
-5
36.1%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Tyjon Jones) to the ULM 8Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
32.5%
Jonah Delange 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 41 yds · 4:0535% → 40%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
35.2%
General Booty pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 20 yds to the ULM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
37.6%
James Jones run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 5
50
+7
38.4%
James Jones run for 7 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
39.5%
UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Javon Campbell) to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+2
38.9%
General Booty pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 2 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+10
39.4%
Taven Curry run for 10 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
40.3%
Taven Curry run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
40.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2262% → 63%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
37.7%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+1
36.7%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+6
38.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 6 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-9
37.4%
Jacob Zeno sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 38 Jacob Zeno fumbled, recovered by ULM Earl Barquet Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10FG
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:2745% → 47%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
44.6%
Taven Curry run for no gain to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
45.2%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+10
44.1%
Taven Curry run for 10 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
46.7%
Taven Curry run for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
47.6%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+5
46.5%
Taven Curry run for 5 yds to the UAB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 3:5753% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.7%
James Jones run for 5 yds to the ULM 30Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
54.0%
James Jones run for 5 yds to the ULM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
54.9%
General Booty pass complete to Davon Wells for 1 yd to the ULM 36Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
56.7%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-5
55.7%
UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Elijah Fisher) to the ULM 31Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+15
54.8%
General Booty pass complete to Davon Wells for 15 yds to the ULM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
59.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 6
50
0
60.0%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 6
50
0
59.9%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 6
50
0
58.4%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 46 yds, downed at the UAB 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12SF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3442% → 41%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
58.2%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 5Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 5
-5
59.4%
Billy Pullen SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 5:2260% → 87%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
60.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the ULM 43Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
61.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the ULM 47Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+2
60.9%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
63.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 19 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
65.0%
Taven Curry run for 2 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+2
66.9%
General Booty run for 2 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+18
66.4%
General Booty pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 18 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
68.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.7%
Hunter Herring run for 4 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14FUMBLE
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:3521% → 18%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.0%
Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
79.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 13 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
78.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
78.3%
Jacob Zeno run for 6 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+5
79.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
50
0
79.8%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 10
50
-10
79.9%
(02:52) ZENO, Jacob scrambles up the middle for a gain of 46 yards to the ULM4 (WILLIAMS JR., Wydett;RANDLE, Travor), out of bounds, clock 02:41. PENALTY UAB Holding on JONES, DJ enforced 10 yards from the ULM50 to the UAB40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+13
82.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 13 yds to the ULM 47Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+11
81.4%
Jacob Zeno run for 11 yds to the ULM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
81.8%
Isaiah Jacobs run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 37 Isaiah Jacobs fumbled, recovered by ULM Travor Randle T. Randle return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:2095% → 97%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
94.7%
James Jones run for 9 yds to the ULM 46Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
95.3%
James Jones run for 3 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.6%
James Jones run for no gain to the ULM 49Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
96.0%
General Booty pass complete to Javon Campbell for 6 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+1
96.2%
Taven Curry run for 1 yd to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 3
OPP 44
-5
96.8%
UL Monroe Penalty, Delay Of Game (Makenzie Ryan) to the UAB 49Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
96.8%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 43 yds, downed at the UAB 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16INT TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:0311% → 2%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
88.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 10
0
88.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+8
89.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 8 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
90.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 4 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+8
91.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 8 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-30
98.5%
Jacob Zeno pass intercepted Car'lin Vigers return for 30 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:181% → 1%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
98.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for 16 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.6%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+20
98.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for 20 yds to the ULM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
98.7%
UAB Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Quez Yates) to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 22
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for no gain to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 22
OWN 45
-5
98.9%
UAB Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 27
OWN 40
0
98.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 27
OWN 40
0
98.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:19100% → 100%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.6%
Taven Curry run for 2 yds to the ULM 16Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+3
99.6%
Taven Curry run for 3 yds to the ULM 19Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
99.8%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 33 yds, downed at the UAB 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:411% → 0%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-9
99.3%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Tristan Shorter for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 19
OWN 39
-6
99.5%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Kevontay Wells and Billy Pullen for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 25
OWN 33
+6
99.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 6 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 19
OWN 39
-2
99.6%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Wydett Williams Jr. and Dylan Howell for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.8%
UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Michael Moore) to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-15
99.8%
UL Monroe Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 24
OPP 27
+3
99.8%
Bennett Galloway run for 3 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 21
OPP 24
+2
99.8%
Bennett Galloway run for 2 yds to the UAB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
100.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 4 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+9
100.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 9 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-15
100.0%
UAB Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jacob Zeno) to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+15
100.0%
Jacob Zeno run for 15 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 1 yd to the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Charlie Norman run for 4 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Aidan Armenta run for 4 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Charlie Norman run for no gain to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Charlie Norman run for no gain to the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
100.0%
Lee Witherspoon run for 13 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:52
Hunter Herring run for 4 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)
+17.3
TD · Q2 14:10
Ahmad Hardy run for 16 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q4 10:34
Jacob Zeno pass intercepted Car'lin Vigers return for 30 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)
+7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com