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2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadGWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreGWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGEnd of GameFG+3.1JMU 92.1%Noe Ruelas 48 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 10 · Q3 7:14
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:14 · Noe Ruelas 48 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+27.7Home team on offense+10.0Garbage-time factor+4.0Score differential+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:30: Tyler Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +4.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 1:35: Jay Billingsley 30 yd FG GOOD — GWEB win probability +3.4 pts (now 14%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 11:14: Noe Ruelas 26 yd FG GOOD — JMU win probability +6.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:01: Tyler Ridell pass incomplete — JMU win probability +4.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:14: Timeout Gardner-Webb, clock 02:14 — JMU win probability +3.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8GWEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:25JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:47GWEB 4th & 5 at JMU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:06JMU 4th & 2 at JMU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:11GWEB 4th & 2 at JMU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55JMU 4th & 2 at GWEB 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:51GWEB 4th & 4 at JMU 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.2%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:03JMU 4th & 13 at JMU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:50GWEB 4th & 1 at GWEB 14, up 3
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:49JMU 4th & 9 at GWEB 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:34GWEB 4th & 10 at JMU 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00JMU 4th & 1 at JMU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.6%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:06GWEB 4th & 8 at GWEB 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:14JMU 4th & 8 at GWEB 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:33GWEB 4th & 1 at GWEB 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:35GWEB 4th & 13 at JMU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−5.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:14JMU 4th & 4 at GWEB 8, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%−0.8
    90% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−10.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:45GWEB 4th & 6 at GWEB 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.3%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:24GWEB 4th & 2 at JMU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−0.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−9.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:37GWEB 4th & 14 at JMU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−6.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 10:30JMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3598% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 1 yd to the JMU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
98.0%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Pius Njenge for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 25Similar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.8%
Ryan Hanson punt for 53 yds , Anthony Lowe returns for 6 yds to the GWEB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:382% → 3%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
97.8%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Caleb Borders for 5 yds to the GWEB 33Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
97.8%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Caleb Borders for 8 yds to the GWEB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.8%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
97.8%
Edward Saydee run for 8 yds to the GWEB 49Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+6
97.8%
Edward Saydee run for 6 yds to the JMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.8%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Quasean Holmes for 4 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
97.8%
Quasean Holmes run for 1 yd to the JMU 40Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
97.8%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
97.3%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4197% → 97%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
97.4%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the JMU 41Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
97.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 6 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+1
97.4%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the JMU 48Similar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
97.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 4INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:053% → 4%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
97.0%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-5
96.8%
Gardner-Webb Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Tyler Ridell) to the JMU 46Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+6
96.8%
Edward Saydee run for 6 yds to the JMU 40Similar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+5
96.8%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Edward Saydee for 5 yds to the JMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
96.7%
Edward Saydee run for 5 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
96.3%
Tyler Ridell pass intercepted Jacob Thomas return for no gain to the JMU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5MISSED FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:0697% → 96%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
96.5%
George Pettaway run for 13 yds to the JMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
96.5%
George Pettaway run for 9 yds to the JMU 33Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+13
96.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 13 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
96.6%
Alonza Barnett III run for 3 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-10
96.6%
BARNETT III, Alonza scrambles to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the GWU46 (ROSE, Steven). PENALTY JMU Holding on SWEAZIE, Carter enforced 10 yards from the JMU49 to the JMU39 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 17
OWN 39
+17
96.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 17 yds to the GWEB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
96.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the GWEB 40Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+6
96.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 6 yds to the GWEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
96.7%
James Madison Penalty, Illegal Snap on DAVIS, Brett enforced (-5 Yards) to the GWEB 39Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 15
OPP 39
-4
96.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for a loss of 4 yards to the GWEB 46 Ayo Adeyi fumbled, recovered by JMU Ayo AdeyiSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 22
OPP 46
+2
96.6%
Alonza Barnett III run for 2 yds to the GWEB 44Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 20
OPP 44
+18
95.6%
George Pettaway run for 18 yds to the GWEB 26Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+54
95.6%
Noe Ruelas 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 6FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 6:045% → 8%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
95.2%
Carson Gresock run for 3 yds to the GWEB 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+10
95.2%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Camden Overton for 10 yds to the GWEB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
95.0%
Carson Gresock run for 3 yds to the GWEB 42Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
95.0%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+3
94.5%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Quasean Holmes for 3 yds to the GWEB 45Similar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+10
94.6%
RIDELL, Tyler pass to the right incomplete thrown to the GWU45. PENALTY JMU Holding on EAGLIN, Justin enforced 10 yards from the GWU45 to the JMU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
94.2%
Tyler Ridell run for 7 yds to the JMU 38Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
94.2%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the JMU 36Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
94.2%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Camden Overton for 4 yds to the JMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
94.1%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the JMU 31Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+3
94.1%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the JMU 28Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+2
94.2%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the JMU 26Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
92.4%
Jay Billingsley 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4893% → 92%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
92.9%
George Pettaway run for 12 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
93.4%
George Pettaway run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 7
50
0
93.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 7
50
-6
93.2%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Jackson Marshall and Raquon Hartley for a loss of 6 yards to the JMU 44Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
91.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 51 yds, downed at the GWEB 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:138% → 9%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
91.9%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the GWEB 5Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+6
91.9%
Tyler Ridell run for 6 yds to the GWEB 11Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+3
91.9%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 3 yds to the GWEB 14Similar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
90.9%
Nick Bigelow punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0192% → 90%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
91.6%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the GWEB 46Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+2
91.5%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the GWEB 44Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
91.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
90.0%
Ryan Hanson punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 2:1510% → 14%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
89.8%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Anthony Lowe for 12 yds to the GWEB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
89.4%
RIDELL, Tyler pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BORDERS, Caleb thrown to the JMU50. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Jordan enforced 15 yards to the GWU47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
88.9%
Edward Saydee run for 13 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
88.5%
RIDELL, Tyler pass to the left complete for 18 yards to CAPERS, Ze'Vian caught at the JMU27 and advanced to the JMU22 (FLOWE, KJ). PENALTY GWU Personal Foul on FERGUSON, Evan enforced 15 yards from the JMU40 to the GWU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 25
OWN 45
+8
87.3%
Edward Saydee run for 8 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 17
OPP 47
+3
86.9%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+4
86.9%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the JMU 40Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
86.3%
Nick Bigelow punt for 37 yds, downed at the JMU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:3486% → 86%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
85.9%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Pat McMurtrie) to the JMU 2Similar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+19
86.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 19 yds to the JMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
86.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 7 yds to the JMU 28Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
87.1%
Alonza Barnett III run for 2 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
86.7%
Alonza Barnett III run for no gain to the JMU 30Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
86.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5414% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.8%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.9%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the GWEB 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
86.3%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.2%
Nick Bigelow punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Cam Ross at the JMU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:3687% → 91%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
87.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 7 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+6
87.4%
Tyler Purdy run for 6 yds to the GWEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
87.6%
Tyler Purdy run for 9 yds to the GWEB 36Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+5
87.6%
Tyler Purdy run for 5 yds to the GWEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
86.8%
Tyler Purdy run for 10 yds to the GWEB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
86.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+20
86.8%
George Pettaway run for 20 yds to the GWEB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for no gain to the GWEB 1Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.8%
Tyler Purdy run for no gain to the GWEB 1Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
Tyler Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 14INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:2810% → 10%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
89.7%
Tyler Ridell sacked by Chris Fitzgerald and Khairi Manns for a loss of 2 yards to the GWEB 23Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
89.8%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 1 yard to the GWEB 22Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
89.8%
Tyler Ridell pass intercepted Chauncey Logan return for no gain to the GWEB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 15FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4891% → 92%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
91.2%
George Pettaway run for no gain to the GWEB 32Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-8
91.2%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Trevor Moffitt for a loss of 8 yards to the GWEB 40Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+10
89.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 10 yds to the GWEB 30Similar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
92.1%
Noe Ruelas 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 16FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:3910% → 14%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.3%
Carson Gresock run for 3 yds to the GWEB 28Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
90.0%
Tyler Ridell run for 6 yds to the GWEB 34Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
90.0%
Carson Gresock run for no gain to the GWEB 34Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
90.6%
Carson Gresock run for 1 yd to the GWEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+39
90.0%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Camden Overton for 39 yds to the JMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
87.7%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the JMU 26Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+16
88.0%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Caleb Borders for 16 yds to the JMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
87.6%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
87.6%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the JMU 8Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
88.6%
Gardner-Webb Penalty, False Start (Aaron McIver) to the JMU 13Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
89.6%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
86.2%
Jay Billingsley 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 17FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:2187% → 92%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
86.8%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-2
86.8%
George Pettaway run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 28Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+9
85.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Dylan Williams for 9 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
86.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Logan Kyle for 22 yds to the GWEB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
87.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 7 yds to the GWEB 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+4
88.1%
Tyler Purdy run for 4 yds to the GWEB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
88.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 6 yds to the GWEB 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+10
88.1%
Tyler Purdy run for 10 yds to the GWEB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
88.1%
Tyler Purdy run for 6 yds to the GWEB 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-5
88.1%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Carter Sweazie) to the GWEB 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+5
88.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 5 yds to the GWEB 8Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
85.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
91.8%
Noe Ruelas 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 18DOWNS
16 plays · 61 yds · 8:3710% → 8%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the GWEB 25Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
89.8%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Giovanni Adopte for 10 yds to the GWEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
88.7%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Anthony Lowe for a loss of 1 yard to the GWEB 34Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
89.3%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Camden Overton for 5 yds to the GWEB 39Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
88.1%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the GWEB 39Similar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+22
89.2%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Anthony Lowe for 22 yds to the JMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
86.8%
Edward Saydee run for 19 yds to the JMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
85.5%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Edward Saydee for 8 yds to the JMU 12Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 12
0
85.4%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the JMU 12Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 2
OPP 12
0
86.6%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+7
87.8%
Tyler Ridell pass complete to Camden Overton for 7 yds to the JMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
84.7%
Tyler Ridell run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 7Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-7
84.7%
Tyler Ridell sacked by Chris Fitzgerald and Amar Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the JMU 14Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
88.7%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
0
91.6%
Tyler Ridell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19END OF GAME
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:1495% → 97%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
95.3%
George Pettaway run for 7 yds to the JMU 21Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+23
95.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for 23 yds to the JMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
96.5%
Tyler Purdy run for 7 yds to the GWEB 49Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-5
96.5%
[SG] Kneel down by BARNETT III, Alonza at JMU46 (team loss of 5).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-2
96.9%
[SG] Kneel down by BARNETT III, Alonza at JMU44 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 11:14
Noe Ruelas 26 yd FG GOOD
+6.1
TD · Q3 10:30
Tyler Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+4.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:01
Tyler Ridell pass incomplete
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com