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JMU

James Madison 30 at Charlotte 7

CLT
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:27 · Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 62 yds, downed at the JMU 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Home team on offense−18.0Score differential−5.1Pregame prior−3.0Garbage-time factor−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:09: Max Brown pass complete to Isaiah Myers for 26 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — CLT win probability +7.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:49: Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 33 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas PAT MISSED) — JMU win probability +16.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:16: Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 73 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +11.9 pts (now 70%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. PUNT · Q3 2:53: Ryan Hanson punt for 49 yds, downed at the CLT 1 — JMU win probability +6.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:15: Ayo Adeyi run for 8 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +11.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 9JMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:28CLT 4th & 3 at JMU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:11JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:44JMU 4th & 3 at CLT 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    63.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:33CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:41JMU 4th & 10 at CLT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:55JMU 4th & 4 at CLT 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.6%
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    52.2%−0.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:15CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 47, down 2
    Close callPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:25CLT 4th & 6 at JMU 46, down 9
    Close callPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    26.4%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:25JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 21, up 9
    Numbers favored punt by 2.5 ptsWent for it · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.0%−2.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:53JMU 4th & 10 at midfield, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:27CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 1, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−4.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:15CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 41, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:07CLT 4th & 5 at JMU 16, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:28JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 29, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:28CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 33, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:35CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 47, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1JMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 8:09CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:49JMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:16JMU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:15JMU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:10JMU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:3240% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
39.6%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+6
39.6%
Max Brown pass complete to Henry Rutledge for 6 yds to the CLT 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+9
39.6%
Max Brown pass complete to Colin Weber for 9 yds to the CLT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
39.6%
Max Brown pass complete to Colin Weber for 10 yds to the JMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
39.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-15
39.6%
BROWN, Max pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to KENNON, Bryce caught at the JMU42 and advanced to the JMU42 (EAGLIN, Justin), out of bounds. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on MYERS, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the CLT39 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 39
0
39.6%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 39
+20
39.6%
Max Brown run for 20 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
41.4%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
40.7%
Charlotte Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the JMU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:4459% → 58%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+3
40.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 2
OWN 49
-2
40.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 47Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
41.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+43
41.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 43 yds to the CLT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
40.9%
Charlotte Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Stone Handy) to the CLT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
40.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the CLT 2Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the CLT 1Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
41.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 3Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
41.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 5:1143% → 44%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
42.5%
Terron Kellman run for 2 yds to the CLT 5Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+10
42.4%
Terron Kellman run for 10 yds to the CLT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
42.5%
Terron Kellman run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 14Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+1
42.5%
Terron Kellman run for 1 yd to the CLT 15Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+10
42.2%
Max Brown pass complete to Sean Brown for 10 yds to the CLT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.6%
Max Brown run for 4 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
42.7%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 27 Cartevious Norton fumbled, recovered by CLT Cartevious Norton C. Norton return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
42.2%
Max Brown pass complete to Hahsaun Wilson for no gain to the CLT 27Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
42.0%
Charlotte Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the CLT 22Similar
Q1 1:33
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
43.7%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 3 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5258% → 58%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
41.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for no gain to the CLT 25Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
41.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
42.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
42.3%
Noe Ruelas 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1943% → 44%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
43.0%
Terron Kellman run for 7 yds to the CLT 37Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-3
43.3%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 34Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+13
41.6%
Terron Kellman run for 13 yds to the CLT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
43.6%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
43.4%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-7
43.7%
Max Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the CLT 44 Max Brown fumbled, recovered by JMU Immanuel Bush I. Bush return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:2760% → 60%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
40.5%
Ayo Adeyi run for 9 yds to the CLT 35Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+10
39.7%
Alonza Barnett III run for 10 yds to the CLT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-11
39.7%
Alonza Barnett III sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the CLT 36 Alonza Barnett III fumbled, recovered by CLT Colin Coates , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 3:0543% → 53%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
43.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the CLT 37Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+16
42.8%
Max Brown pass complete to Sean Brown for 16 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
44.6%
Max Brown pass complete to Sean Brown for 18 yds to the JMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
45.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the JMU 25Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-1
45.5%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 26Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+26
52.7%
Max Brown pass complete to Isaiah Myers for 26 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:0949% → 47%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
51.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 23Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
51.4%
George Pettaway run for 3 yds to the JMU 26Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
52.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass intercepted Dontae Balfour return for no gain to the CLT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5153% → 52%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
52.6%
Max Brown pass complete to Jake Clemons for 1 yd to the CLT 37Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
52.3%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+2
51.9%
Max Brown pass intercepted Justin Eaglin return for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:1449% → 46%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
51.4%
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 33Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+4
52.2%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 37Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+7
51.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 7 yds to the JMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+41
50.1%
Cam Ross run for 41 yds to the CLT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
48.0%
George Pettaway run for 13 yds to the CLT 2 James Madison Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CLT 20Similar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+10
48.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 10 yds to the CLT 10Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-1
52.0%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 11Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+2
52.4%
Alonza Barnett III run for 2 yds to the CLT 9Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 4
OPP 9
0
54.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:0155% → 55%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
55.1%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the CLT 13Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+12
55.2%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 12 yds to the CLT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.3%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
55.0%
Max Brown pass complete to Colin Weber for 6 yds to the CLT 31Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
55.2%
Max Brown pass intercepted Chris Fitzgerald return for no gain to the CLT 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
38.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 33 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:3443% → 41%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
43.1%
Max Brown run for 2 yds to the CLT 41Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
44.3%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+6
39.9%
Max Brown pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 6 yds to the CLT 47Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
40.8%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
42.6%
[NH] Kneel down by JMU at JMU18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4458% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the JMU 27Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
29.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 73 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:5130% → 25%
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
30.1%
Charlotte Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CLT 13Similar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 20
OWN 13
0
29.9%
Terron Kellman run for no gain to the CLT 13Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 20
OWN 13
-4
29.8%
Max Brown sacked by Jacob Dobbs for a loss of 4 yards to the CLT 9Similar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 24
OWN 9
+41
28.7%
Terron Kellman run for 41 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
50
+1
32.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the JMU 49Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
27.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 1 yd to the JMU 48Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+2
26.5%
Max Brown pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 2 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
25.0%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 41 yds · 6:3271% → 76%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
28.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Tyler Purdy for 3 yds to the JMU 12Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+6
28.9%
George Pettaway run for 6 yds to the JMU 18Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 18
-2
28.9%
Logan Kyle run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 16Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
30.0%
Ayo Adeyi run for no gain to the JMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
28.4%
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the JMU 26Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-10
27.4%
BARNETT III, Alonza scrambles to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the JMU27 (CULP, Elijah). PENALTY JMU Holding on PHIFER, Josh enforced 10 yards from the JMU26 to the JMU16 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+19
28.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 19 yds to the JMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
27.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
50
-13
26.1%
run for a loss of 13 yards to the JMU 37Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 23
OWN 37
+12
28.5%
Ayo Adeyi run for 12 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+1
27.0%
Alonza Barnett III run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 3
OWN 16
+5
30.3%
HANSON, Ryan punt 34 yards to the JMU50 downed by REGAN, Chase. PENALTY CLT Running Into the kicker on HOPKINS, Adam enforced 5 yards from the JMU16 to the JMU21 and results in a 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 10
50
0
24.0%
Ryan Hanson punt for 49 yds, downed at the CLT 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2619% → 18%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
19.4%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
19.3%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
18.7%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
18.0%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 62 yds, downed at the JMU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:1278% → 93%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
22.4%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
21.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+16
21.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Brionne Penny for 16 yds to the CLT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
20.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the CLT 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+27
18.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 27 yds to the CLT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
18.3%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the CLT 8Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
6.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 8 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20DOWNS
16 plays · 59 yds · 5:086% → 5%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the CLT 28Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
6.0%
Max Brown pass complete to Colin Weber for 8 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
6.1%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
5.9%
Max Brown sacked by Trent Hendrick for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 33Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+8
5.7%
Max Brown pass complete to Sean Brown for 8 yds to the CLT 41Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+8
7.7%
Max Brown pass complete to Sean Brown for 8 yds to the CLT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
6.5%
Max Brown pass complete to Colin Weber for 8 yds to the JMU 43Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
8.6%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
7.9%
Terron Kellman run for 3 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
6.7%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
6.6%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+19
6.4%
Max Brown pass complete to Isaiah Myers for 19 yds to the JMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
7.3%
Max Brown pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 5 yds to the JMU 16Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
8.7%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
8.7%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 5
OPP 16
0
4.6%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:3995% → 97%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
4.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 4 yds to the JMU 20Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+9
4.9%
Tyler Purdy run for 9 yds to the JMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
4.8%
QB Keeper BARNETT III, Alonza rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the JMU30 (WALLACE-BEMAH, Prince), out of bounds. PENALTY JMU Personal Foul on PHIFER, Josh enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the JMU29 to the JMU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 24
OWN 15
-1
4.9%
George Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 14Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 25
OWN 14
+15
5.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 15 yds to the JMU 29Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
4.9%
PENALTY JMU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on BARNETT III, Alonza CLT Unsportsmanlike Conduct on BUTLER, Dre , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
3.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
2.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jairus Mack at the CLT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 1:533% → 1%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.6%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.6%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.6%
Max Brown pass complete to Terron Kellman for 8 yds to the CLT 33Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
3.1%
Max Brown pass complete to Colin Weber for 4 yds to the CLT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
2.7%
Max Brown pass complete to Sean Brown for 10 yds to the CLT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
2.9%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
2.9%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
2.7%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+5
1.4%
Max Brown pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 5 yds to the JMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:1998% → 100%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 14
OWN 48
+1
1.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the JMU 49Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 13
OWN 49
-4
1.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 45Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+36
1.6%
Alonza Barnett III run for 36 yds to the CLT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
1.5%
George Pettaway run for 5 yds to the CLT 14Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+6
0.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 6 yds to the CLT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
0.6%
Tyler Purdy run for 7 yds to the CLT 1Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
George Pettaway run for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 19 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.2%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 10 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.2%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the CLT 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
0.2%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the CLT 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:49
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 33 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas PAT MISSED)
-16.7
TD · Q3 14:16
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 73 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
-11.9
TD · Q4 14:15
Ayo Adeyi run for 8 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com