Try the model
WYO

Wyoming 15 at Washington State 14

WSU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:45 · Nick Haberer punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+3.0Home team on offense+16.3Garbage-time factor+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:42: John Mateer run for 2 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 2:07: John Hoyland 42 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +9.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:24: Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 18 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WYO win probability +68.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:24: John Mateer pass incomplete — WSU win probability +19.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:02: (00:02) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at WSU47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00. — WYO win probability +22.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WYO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:01WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:46WSU 4th & 12 at WYO 37, tied
    Close callWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.9%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:24WYO 4th & 20 at WYO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:04WYO 4th & 15 at WSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:00WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:12WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:03WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 16, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:21WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:13WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 36, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:07WYO 4th & 6 at WSU 24, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−8.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:20WSU 4th & 20 at WSU 16, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−6.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:31WSU 4th & 3 at WYO 38, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    78.5%−3.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:45WSU 4th & 9 at WYO 49, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:59WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 19, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%−8.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:24WYO 4th & 14 at WSU 18, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−3.9
    79% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−4.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WYO made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 6:08WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:42WSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:24WYO Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.8 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.1%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5911% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.8%
Jamari Ferrell run for 3 yds to the WYO 28Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
88.6%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 27Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
88.5%
Evan Svoboda run for 1 yd to the WYO 28Similar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
88.3%
Jack Culbreath punt for 34 yds, downed at the WSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:0588% → 87%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
88.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+9
88.2%
Wayshawn Parker run for 9 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
88.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 12 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
88.1%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WYO 32Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-9
88.0%
John Mateer sacked by Tyce Westland and Connor Shay for a loss of 9 yards to the WYO 41Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 16
OPP 41
+4
87.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the WYO 37Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 12
OPP 37
-2
87.3%
John Mateer sacked by Ethan Day and Jaden Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:1513% → 13%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.1%
Evan Svoboda run for no gain to the WYO 39Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
86.9%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WYO 34Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 15
OWN 34
0
86.9%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 15
OWN 34
0
87.0%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 15
OWN 34
-5
87.0%
Wyoming Penalty, Delay Of Game (Shae Suiaunoa) to the WYO 29Similar
Q1 8:24
4TH & 20
OWN 29
0
87.0%
Jack Culbreath punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:1187% → 88%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
86.8%
John Mateer run for 16 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
86.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 45Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+15
86.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 15 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
86.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 3 yds to the WYO 37Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+37
88.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 37 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 6:0512% → 15%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.6%
Evan Svoboda run for 7 yds to the WYO 32Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
87.3%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 6 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
87.3%
Evan Svoboda run for 1 yd to the WYO 39Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
87.2%
Jamari Ferrell run for 4 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+7
87.0%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Will Pelissier for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
50
+32
86.6%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 32 yds to the WSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
85.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the WSU 15Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-1
85.7%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 16Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 8
OPP 16
-7
85.9%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Ansel Din-Mbuh and Quinn Roff for a loss of 7 yards to the WSU 23Similar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+40
85.2%
John Hoyland 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 5:1785% → 89%
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
84.9%
John Mateer run for 7 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+20
85.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 20 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
85.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 7 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+12
85.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 12 yds to the WYO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
85.2%
John Mateer run for 7 yds to the WYO 21Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+9
84.7%
John Mateer run for 9 yds to the WYO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 21
0
85.1%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
84.9%
John Mateer run for 10 yds to the WYO 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
84.8%
Wayshawn Parker run for no gain to the WYO 2Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.8%
John Mateer run for 2 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:4013% → 12%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.5%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 4 yds to the WYO 29Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
87.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
87.0%
Justin Stevenson run for 7 yds to the WYO 45Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-1
86.8%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 44Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
86.9%
Evan Svoboda run for 5 yds to the WYO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
86.6%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
86.7%
Jamari Ferrell run for 2 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-2
86.8%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Ansel Din-Mbuh for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 49Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
87.7%
Jack Culbreath punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4388% → 87%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
87.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WSU 13Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
87.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for no gain to the WSU 13Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-1
87.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Djouvensky Schlenbaker for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 12Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
87.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
87.2%
Evan Svoboda pass intercepted Jamorri Colson return for no gain to the WSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10FUMBLE
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:0588% → 89%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
88.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 15 yds to the WSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd to the WSU 26Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
88.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 12 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
88.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 19 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
89.1%
Leo Pulalasi run for 2 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
89.1%
John Mateer run for 3 yds to the WYO 38Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-5
88.7%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Brock Dieu) to the WYO 43Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+8
88.6%
John Mateer run for 8 yds to the WYO 35 John Mateer fumbled, recovered by WYO Ethan Day E. Day return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 0:4213% → 17%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
87.5%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 10 yds to the WYO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
86.7%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 20 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
85.5%
Evan Svoboda run for 12 yds to the WSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+17
86.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 17 yds to the WSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
86.0%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for 1 yd to the WSU 5Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
86.0%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
83.1%
John Hoyland 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4987% → 86%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
87.0%
John Mateer run for 6 yds to the WSU 19Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+2
87.0%
John Mateer run for 2 yds to the WSU 21Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 2
OWN 21
-5
86.5%
John Mateer run for a loss of 5 yards to the WSU 16Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
85.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3615% → 14%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
85.1%
Jamari Ferrell run for 5 yds to the WYO 46Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
84.4%
Jamari Ferrell run for no gain to the WYO 46Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
84.6%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
86.0%
Jack Culbreath punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:0186% → 85%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
86.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for 15 yds to the WSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
86.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+4
87.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 4 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
86.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-7
87.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 7 yards to the WSU 31Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 14
OWN 31
-5
85.7%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Fa'alili Fa'amoe) to the WSU 26Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+10
85.6%
John Mateer run for 10 yds to the WSU 36Similar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
85.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 5:5915% → 25%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
85.5%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
85.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the WYO 23Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+7
85.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the WYO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
85.7%
Jamari Ferrell run for 7 yds to the WYO 37Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-10
84.5%
Wyoming Penalty, Offensive Holding (Justin Stevenson) to the WYO 31Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
85.8%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+15
86.7%
(05:20) SVOBODA, Evan pass to the right incomplete intended for DURR, Chris broken up by GUSHIKEN, Kapena at the WYO45, clock 05:16. PENALTY WSU Face mask on LATAIMUA, Jackson enforced 15 yards from the WYO31 to the WYO46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
84.3%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 12 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
84.1%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
84.2%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 3 yds to the WSU 39Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+11
84.3%
Evan Svoboda run for 11 yds to the WSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
84.0%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
84.4%
Jamari Ferrell run for 4 yds to the WSU 24Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
85.1%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
75.4%
John Hoyland 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:4279% → 77%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
79.3%
(02:02) MATEER, John pass up the middle incomplete intended for MEREDITH, Josh thrown to the WSU40, clock 01:55. PENALTY WSU Holding on TIALAVEA, Roderick enforced 10 yards from the WSU26 to the WSU16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 20
OWN 16
0
78.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 20
OWN 16
0
78.7%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 16Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 20
OWN 16
0
77.4%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:20
4TH & 20
OWN 16
0
76.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 43 yds, downed at the WYO 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 19 yds · 4:5226% → 26%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
74.5%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Jamari Ferrell for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 1
50
+2
71.8%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 2 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
72.1%
Jamari Ferrell run for 2 yds to the WSU 46Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+6
71.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+7
71.1%
Evan Svoboda run for 7 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
69.5%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Kyle Thornton for a loss of 5 yards to the WSU 38Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 15
OPP 38
-2
72.9%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 40Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 17
OPP 40
-15
74.3%
Evan Svoboda sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the WYO 45 Evan Svoboda fumbled, recovered by WSU Taariq Al-Uqdah , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3484% → 82%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
84.0%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
83.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for 4 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+3
83.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WYO 38Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+2
81.6%
John Mateer run for 2 yds to the WYO 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:4527% → 29%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
72.7%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Trey Olsen for 4 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+12
70.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 12 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
70.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
69.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the WSU 39Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
70.7%
Evan Svoboda run for 2 yds to the WSU 37 Evan Svoboda fumbled, recovered by WSU Taariq Al-Uqdah T. Al-Uqdah return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:3987% → 87%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
86.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
50
+5
88.1%
Wayshawn Parker run for 5 yds to the WYO 45Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
88.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-6
88.5%
John Mateer sacked by Connor Shay for a loss of 6 yards to the WYO 49Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
87.0%
Nick Haberer punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21TD
21 plays · 90 yds · 3:1421% → 79%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
78.7%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Khalil Laufau for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 7Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+12
79.9%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 12 yds to the WYO 19Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
80.2%
Jamari Ferrell run for no gain to the WYO 19Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+2
81.3%
Evan Svoboda run for 2 yds to the WYO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
79.4%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Jack Harvey for 3 yds to the WYO 24Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+15
85.4%
(01:46) SVOBODA, Evan pass short to the left incomplete dropped by SCOTT, Sam thrown to the WYO29, clock 01:40. PENALTY WSU Face mask on O'CONNOR, Ethan enforced 15 yards from the WYO24 to the WYO39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
82.5%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Khalil Laufau for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 37Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+13
86.2%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
50
+7
81.8%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 7 yds to the WSU 43Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-5
83.1%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (Wrook Brown) to the WSU 48Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+20
84.0%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Will Pelissier for 20 yds to the WSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 25
OPP 43
+29
85.9%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 29 yds to the WSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
79.9%
(01:00) SVOBODA, Evan pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to PELISSIER, Will caught at the WSU24 and advanced to the WSU24 (HALL, Stephen), out of bounds, clock 01:01. PENALTY WYO Chop Block on WAYLEE, Harrison enforced 15 yards from the WSU28 to the WSU43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
79.6%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-4
79.7%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the WSU 18Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 14
OPP 18
0
88.2%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 14
OPP 18
+18
21.0%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 18 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:1440% → 29%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.3%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
32.2%
Washington State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (John Mateer) to the WSU 21Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-2
28.7%
John Mateer pass intercepted Tyrecus Davis return for 2 yds to the WSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
6.3%
(00:02) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at WSU47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:24
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 18 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-68
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:02
(00:02) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at WSU47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.
-22.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:24
John Mateer pass incomplete
+19.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com