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ORST

Oregon State 18 at Boise State 34

BOIS
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-10.7BOIS 85.4%Ben Gulbranson pass complete toDarrius Clemons for 12 yds for a TD(Ben Gulbranson pass to DarriusClemons for Two-Point Conversion)AWAY 18 - HOME 27 · Q4 11:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:51 · Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 12 yds for a TD (Ben Gulbranson pass to Darrius Clemons for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Pregame prior+9.7Home team on offense+10.0Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Score differential+5.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:48: Anthony Hankerson run for 83 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +4.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:20: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +4.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:34: Jonah Dalmas 43 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +3.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:50: Everett Hayes 37 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +3.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:51: Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 12 yds for a TD (Ben Gulbranson pass to Darrius Clemons for Two-Point Conversion) — ORST win probability +10.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ORST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:56BOIS 4th & 1 at ORST 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:57ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:06BOIS 4th & 1 at ORST 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%−0.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:29BOIS 4th & 11 at BOIS 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:26ORST 4th & 22 at ORST 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−1.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:36ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:34BOIS 4th & 9 at ORST 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:50ORST 4th & 6 at BOIS 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:28BOIS 4th & 7 at ORST 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:40ORST 4th & 2 at BOIS 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:34BOIS 4th & 13 at ORST 48, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:53ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 41, down 9
    Numbers favored punt by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:08BOIS 4th & 3 at ORST 3, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−5.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:57ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 32, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:26ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 38, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 7:49BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:11BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:48ORST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:51ORST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    10.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:58BOIS Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 7:0389% → 89%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
89.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 23Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+16
89.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 16 yds to the BOIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
89.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+3
89.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.9%
Maddux Madsen run for no gain to the BOIS 49Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
88.7%
Jambres Dubar run for 2 yds to the ORST 49Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+15
88.5%
(11:14) MADSEN, Maddux pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CAMPER, Cameron thrown to the OSU30; QB hurried by AYERS, Exodus, clock 11:09. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on VADRAWALE III, Sailasa enforced 15 yards to the OSU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
88.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 33Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
88.5%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+8
88.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 8 yds to the ORST 25Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
88.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
88.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the ORST 24Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+10
88.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 10 yds to the ORST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
87.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the ORST 11Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
88.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:4512% → 12%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
88.5%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORST 7Similar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 15
OWN 7
0
88.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 15
OWN 7
-2
88.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 5Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 17
OWN 5
-2
88.6%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the ORST 3Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 19
OWN 3
+9
88.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 9 yds to the ORST 12Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 10
OWN 12
+5
88.5%
Josh Green punt for 46 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 5 yds to the BOIS 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:3689% → 91%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
88.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 9 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
88.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
88.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
88.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+9
88.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 9 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
88.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the ORST 28Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
88.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+7
88.0%
Maddux Madsen run for 7 yds to the ORST 21Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+3
87.7%
Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the ORST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
88.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 11 yds to the ORST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
90.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1611% → 11%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
89.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for no gain to the ORST 31Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
89.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
89.5%
Josh Green punt for 51 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 5 yds to the BOIS 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1690% → 90%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
90.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
90.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 22Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
90.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
89.8%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 64 yds, downed at the ORST 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:5510% → 10%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
89.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+6
89.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 6 yds to the ORST 20Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+21
89.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 21 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
89.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 19 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
89.0%
(11:29) HANKERSON, Anthony rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the BSU30 (SIMPSON, Andrew), clock 11:24. PENALTY OSU Holding on GONZALEZ, Flavio enforced 10 yards from the BSU40 to the OSU50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 20
50
+1
89.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the BOIS 49Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 19
OPP 49
-5
89.4%
(10:21) GULBRANSON, Ben pass to the right complete for 24 yards to WALKER, Trent caught at the BSU50 and advanced to the BSU25 (BENEFIELD, Ty), out of bounds, clock 10:14. PENALTY Before the snap, OSU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the BSU49 to the OSU46. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 24
OWN 46
+5
89.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 5 yds to the BOIS 49Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 19
OPP 49
-3
89.7%
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Braxton Fely for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 48Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 22
OWN 48
0
89.8%
Josh Green punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the BOIS 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7FUMBLE
11 plays · 79 yds · 5:5390% → 91%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
90.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the BOIS 21Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+12
90.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 12 yds to the BOIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
90.2%
Maddux Madsen run for 10 yds to the BOIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
90.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+8
90.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 8 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
90.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the ORST 46Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
90.8%
Jambres Dubar run for 7 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+3
90.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 3 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
91.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the ORST 29Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+8
91.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 8 yds to the ORST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
91.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the ORST 8 Ashton Jeanty fumbled, recovered by ORST Nikko Taylor N. Taylor return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8TD
3 plays · 92 yds · 0:2610% → 15%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
90.4%
Salahadin Allah run for 9 yds to the ORST 17Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+83
84.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 83 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:2885% → 90%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
85.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 10 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
85.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 14 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
86.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the ORST 47Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+19
86.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 19 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
86.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 20 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
86.3%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
86.3%
Maddux Madsen run for 2 yds to the ORST 6Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:1910% → 10%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.1%
Jake Reichle run for 9 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-3
89.7%
Kneel down by TEAM at OSU31 (team loss of 3); OSU turnover on downs, clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:239% → 9%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
90.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 29Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
90.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+3
91.2%
Josh Green punt for 50 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 3 yds to the BOIS 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12FG
17 plays · 50 yds · 5:5092% → 95%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
91.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 23Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
91.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+17
91.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 17 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
92.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
92.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 49Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
91.9%
Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
92.3%
Maddux Madsen run for 9 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
92.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
91.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+5
91.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 5 yds to the ORST 29Similar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
91.5%
(09:05) JEANTY, Ashton rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the OSU29, End of Play, 1ST DOWN, clock 08:57. PENALTY BSU Holding on STRACHAN, Prince OSU Face mask on AYERS, Exodus , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+2
91.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the ORST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
92.3%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
92.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 26Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
91.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
94.9%
Jonah Dalmas 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:436% → 9%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.8%
Salahadin Allah run for 1 yd to the ORST 26Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+22
94.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 22 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
93.5%
Salahadin Allah run for 4 yds to the BOIS 48Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
93.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 4 yds to the BOIS 44Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
93.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
94.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the BOIS 39Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+15
94.0%
(04:15) GULBRANSON, Ben pass to the right incomplete intended for NOGA, Jeremiah thrown to the BSU29, clock 04:11. PENALTY BSU Roughing the Passer on NOTARAINNI, Marco enforced 15 yards from the BSU39 to the BSU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
93.3%
Salahadin Allah run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 25Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
93.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+5
94.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 5 yds to the BOIS 20Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
90.6%
Everett Hayes 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14FG
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:1994% → 96%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+60
94.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 60 yds to the ORST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
94.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the ORST 12Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
94.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
95.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
95.7%
Jonah Dalmas 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:365% → 15%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 28Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
95.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 19 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
95.1%
Gevani McCoy run for 2 yds to the ORST 49Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
95.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+10
95.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 10 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
95.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 9 yds to the BOIS 32Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 1
OPP 32
-1
94.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 33Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
95.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the BOIS 33Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+21
96.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 21 yds to the BOIS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
85.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 12 yds for a TD (Ben Gulbranson pass to Darrius Clemons for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:1690% → 88%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
90.3%
Boise State Penalty, False Start (Hall Schmidt) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 15
50
-10
90.0%
(11:47) JEANTY, Ashton rush to the left for a gain of 25 yards to the OSU25 (AYERS, Exodus), out of bounds, clock 11:42. PENALTY BSU Holding on CARREON, Roger enforced 10 yards from the OSU50 to the BSU40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 25
OWN 40
+12
89.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 12 yds to the ORST 48Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 13
OPP 48
0
89.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
88.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
88.1%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:3510% → 8%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
90.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 21 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-12
88.3%
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Marco Notarainni for a loss of 12 yards to the ORST 29Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 22
OWN 29
+1
90.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 1 yd to the ORST 30Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 21
OWN 30
+11
90.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 11 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
91.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:4296% → 97%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+26
95.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 26 yds to the ORST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
96.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 10 yds to the ORST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 4Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
97.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 3Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.1%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:067% → 6%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
92.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+27
92.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 27 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
92.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 5 yds to the ORST 35Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-3
91.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to David Wells Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 32Similar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
94.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
9 plays · 32 yds · 1:5198% → 99%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
98.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
98.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the ORST 30Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+26
98.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 26 yds to the ORST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
98.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 3Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the ORST 3Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:311% → 1%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 13 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
99.5%
(00:22) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at OSU40 (team loss of 2), clock 00:18.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:51
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 12 yds for a TD (Ben Gulbranson pass to Darrius Clemons for Two-Point Conversion)
-10.7
TD · Q2 1:48
Anthony Hankerson run for 83 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q2 0:20
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com