AF
Air Force 31 at San Diego State 20
SDS2024 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2024 · Snapdragon Stadium
Win probability · SDS
modelSDS aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · Q. Hayes takes a knee
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:57
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 50 yds , Parker Menefee return for 4 yds to the AFA 19
0.0
Q1 14:46
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AFA 24
-2.8
Q1 14:20
Quentin Hayes run for 11 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q1 13:45
Quentin Hayes run for 4 yds to the AFA 39
0.0
Q1 13:10
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the AFA 43
-1.1
Q1 12:31
Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 11:47
Owen Allen run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line
-0.5
Q1 11:11
Quentin Hayes run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 47
-0.5
Q1 10:32
Brandon Engel pass complete to Jared Roznos for 52 yds to the SDSU 1 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 10:02
Dylan Carson run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)
-14.3
Q1 9:57
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 61 yds , Ja'Shaun Poke return for 20 yds to the SDSU 24
+1.3
Q1 9:51
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 11 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST down
+3.8
Q1 9:34
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 36
0.0
Q1 9:10
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 3 yds to the SDSU 39
+0.1
Q1 8:37
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 7 yds to the SDSU 46 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 8:27
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the SDSU 46
+0.8
Q1 8:00
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 10 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 7:19
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 20 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q1 7:03
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the AFA 20
+0.9
Q1 6:29
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 13 yds to the AFA 7 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 6:00
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
+14.9
Q1 6:00
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 64 yds
-2.5
Q1 5:54
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the AFA 29
-3.7
Q1 5:17
Quentin Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 28
+0.3
Q1 4:44
Quentin Hayes run for 18 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 4:08
Dylan Carson run for 9 yds to the SDSU 45
-2.1
Q1 3:28
Kade Frew run for 5 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 2:52
Owen Allen run for 12 yds to the SDSU 28 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 2:12
Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the SDSU 27
0.0
Q1 1:37
Kade Frew run for 14 yds to the SDSU 13 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 1:00
Dylan Carson run for 12 yds to the SDSU 1 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 0:29
Quentin Hayes run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)
-14.2
Q1 0:25
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 59 yds , Ja'Shaun Poke return for 17 yds to the SDSU 23
+1.3
Q1 0:00
Danny O'Neil sacked by Blake Fletcher for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 21
+4.1
Q2 14:52
Marquez Cooper run for 11 yds to the SDSU 32
+0.1
Q2 14:33
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:57
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 12 yds to the SDSU 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:44
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the SDSU 47
+0.8
Q2 12:55
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jude Wolfe for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 46
0.0
Q2 12:40
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun Poke
-0.5
Q2 12:33
Tyler Pastula punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Engel at the AFA 10
0.0
Q2 12:33
Tyler Pastula punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Engel at the AFA 10
0.0
Q2 12:26
Dylan Carson run for 17 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down
-4.5
Q2 11:44
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AFA 32
0.0
Q2 11:06
Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the AFA 33
+0.3
Q2 10:25
Quentin Hayes run for 4 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q2 9:50
Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the AFA 39
-0.6
Q2 9:12
Timeout Air Force, clock 09:12
-0.7
Q2 9:03
Kade Frew run for 23 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST down San Diego State Penalty, (15 Yards) to the SDSU 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:41
Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the SDSU 20
-0.3
Q2 8:08
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the SDSU 18
-1.4
Q2 7:35
(07:39) No Huddle Frew,Kade rush left for 7 yards gain to the SDSU11 (White,Trey) PENALTY AFA Holding (Harris,Cade) 10 yards from SDSU18 to SDSU28. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 7:09
Quentin Hayes run for no gain to the SDSU 28
0.0
Q2 6:31
Matthew Dapore 45 yd FG GOOD
-1.9
Q2 6:26
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 60 yds , Jordan Napier return for 12 yds to the SDSU 17
+0.9
Q2 6:17
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the SDSU 25
+0.1
Q2 5:59
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 26
+0.1
Q2 5:24
Danny O'Neil run for 1 yd to the SDSU 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 4:57
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Cam Davis for 2 yds to the SDSU 25
+0.8
Q2 4:24
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Cam Davis for 4 yds to the SDSU 29
0.0
Q2 3:36
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Michael Harrison for 14 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 3:21
Danny O'Neil sacked by Blake Fletcher for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSU 40
+0.1
Q2 2:46
Marquez Cooper run for 18 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:16
Danny O'Neil run for 19 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST down
+2.4
Q2 2:00
Timeout San Diego State, clock 02:00
-0.1
Q2 1:53
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun Poke
0.0
Q2 1:46
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jude Wolfe for 13 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:28
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the AFA 3
-1.9
Q2 0:53
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the AFA 2
+0.2
Q2 0:25
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
+16.8
Q2 0:25
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.2
Q2 0:00
Kaden Cloud run for 6 yds to the AFA 31
-5.5
Q3 14:59
Matthew Dapore kickoff for 21 yds , Brady Anderson return for no gain to the SDSU 44
+1.7
Q3 14:52
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the SDSU 48
+5.1
Q3 14:26
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
+0.5
Q3 13:41
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 6 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 13:30
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 4 yds to the AFA 40
+1.2
Q3 13:06
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q3 12:44
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 37
0.0
Q3 12:02
Danny O'Neil run for 3 yds to the AFA 34
0.0
Q3 11:19
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 19 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 10:56
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Jordan Napier
+0.2
Q3 10:52
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Louis Brown IV
0.0
Q3 10:37
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 9 yds to the AFA 6
-0.2
Q3 10:09
Timeout San Diego State, clock 10:09
-0.3
Q3 10:04
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 12
+0.5
Q3 9:56
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the AFA 16
-7.9
Q3 9:19
Dylan Carson run for 6 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 8:42
Quentin Hayes run for 2 yds to the AFA 24
0.0
Q3 8:03
Quentin Hayes pass complete to Cade Harris for 76 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)
-14.0
Q3 7:55
Matthew Dapore kickoff for 56 yds , Chris Johnson return for 33 yds to the SDSU 42
0.0
Q3 7:55
PENALTY AFA Personal Foul 15 yards from SDSU42 to AFA43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
+0.4
Q3 7:47
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the AFA 34
+1.7
Q3 7:21
(07:25) Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete short left to Bennett,Nate thrown to AFA30 PENALTY SDSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Fuimaono,Saipale) 5 yards from AFA34 to AFA39. NO PLAY.
-0.4
Q3 7:11
Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the AFA 38
0.0
Q3 6:45
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun Poke
+0.2
Q3 6:37
Danny O'Neil run for 4 yds to the AFA 34
-0.3
Q3 6:30
Dylan Carson run for 6 yds to the AFA 40
-3.1
Q3 5:56
Dylan Carson run for 6 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down
-1.5
Q3 5:15
Dylan Carson run for 8 yds to the SDSU 46
-0.8
Q3 4:37
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 3:59
Kade Frew run for 8 yds to the SDSU 35
+0.1
Q3 3:25
Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the SDSU 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:59
Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the SDSU 31
0.0
Q3 2:13
Cade Harris run for 7 yds to the SDSU 24
0.0
Q3 1:39
Kade Frew run for 10 yds to the SDSU 14 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q3 1:00
Dylan Carson run for 14 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)
-7.3
Q3 0:54
Matthew Dapore kickoff for 62 yds , Ja'Shaun Poke return for 23 yds to the SDSU 26
+0.1
Q3 0:39
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Michael Harrison for 9 yds to the SDSU 35
+1.4
Q3 0:32
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Nate Bennett
0.0
Q3 0:30
PENALTY SDSU False Start (Williams,Nate) 5 yards from SDSU35 to SDSU30. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 0:18
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 9 yds to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 0:00
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 15 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q4 14:34
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 36 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down
-1.1
Q4 14:28
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the AFA 8
+0.3
Q4 13:54
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+9.9
Q4 13:50
Gabriel Plascencia kickoff for 55 yds , Cade Harris return for 15 yds to the AFA 25
-2.1
Q4 13:42
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AFA 30
-4.2
Q4 12:59
Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the AFA 32
-0.3
Q4 12:17
Kade Frew run for 13 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down
-1.3
Q4 11:33
Dylan Carson run for no gain to the AFA 45
-0.4
Q4 10:53
Quentin Hayes run for 2 yds to the AFA 47
0.0
Q4 10:06
Kade Frew run for 4 yds to the SDSU 49
-0.3
Q4 9:31
Luke Freer punt for 40 yds
-0.3
Q4 9:18
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 3 yds to the SDSU 12
+5.4
Q4 9:01
Marquez Cooper run for 15 yds to the SDSU 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:34
Danny O'Neil run for 5 yds to the SDSU 32
+0.1
Q4 8:07
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 34
0.0
Q4 7:39
Danny O'Neil run for 1 yd to the SDSU 35
0.0
Q4 6:41
Tyler Pastula pass complete to Chris Johnson for 6 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q4 6:11
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the SDSU 41
-1.2
Q4 5:53
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny rush right for 5 yards gain to the SDSU46 (Fletcher,Blake), out of bounds PENALTY SDSU Holding (Fuimaono,Saipale) 10 yards from SDSU41 to SDSU31. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 5:32
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Louis Brown IV
-1.6
Q4 5:21
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 17 yds to the SDSU 48
0.0
Q4 4:46
Timeout Air Force, clock 04:46
-0.3
Q4 4:37
Danny O'Neil run for 4 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 4:21
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Mekhi Shaw
-0.5
Q4 3:43
Danny O'Neil run for no gain to the AFA 48 Danny O'Neil fumbled, recovered by AFA Marquez Cooper
-1.1
Q4 3:43
San Diego State Penalty, (-8 Yards) to the SDSU 44
0.0
Q4 2:24
Danny O'Neil sacked by Aiden Swartz for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSU 37
-0.5
Q4 2:09
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the SDSU 32
-1.2
Q4 2:00
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the SDSU 29
0.0
Q4 1:54
Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the SDSU 28
-0.3
Q4 1:54
Timeout San Diego State, clock 01:54
+0.4
Q4 1:51
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Hayes,Quentin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU27 (White,Trey) PENALTY SDSU Offside (McLaughlin,Jelani) 5 yards from SDSU28 to SDSU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 1:24
Timeout Air Force, clock 01:24
+0.2
Q4 1:07
Q. Hayes takes a knee
0.0
Q4 0:00
Q. Hayes takes a knee
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:25
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
+16.8
TD · Q1 6:00
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
+14.9
TD · Q1 10:02
Dylan Carson run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)
-14.3