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UNLV

UNLV 27 at San José State 16

SJSU
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2024 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDSAFETYFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:37 · Trent Carrizosa punt for 66 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 6 yds to the UNLV 13 UNLV Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaden Bradley) to the UNLV 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior−2.7Home team on offense−29.0Score differential−9.3Garbage-time factor−8.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:36: Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 5 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK) — UNLV win probability +7.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:02: Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 33 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +12.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:11: Caden Chittenden 52 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +5.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:44: Jai'Den Thomas run for 25 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK) — UNLV win probability +21.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:29: Kylin James run for 7 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK) — UNLV win probability +12.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UNLV made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:24SJSU 4th & 16 at SJSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:07SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:22UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:31SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 27, down 3
    Close callPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:28UNLV 4th & 4 at SJSU 35, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.4%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:54UNLV 4th & 6 at SJSU 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:39SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:25UNLV 4th & 9 at SJSU 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    63.3%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:51UNLV 4th & 3 at SJSU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:07SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 33, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:11UNLV 4th & 13 at SJSU 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−1.5
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:47SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−2.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:20UNLV 4th & 1 at SJSU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−6.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−3.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:10UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:25SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−3.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:55SJSU 4th & 6 at UNLV 39, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−2.0
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%−1.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:26UNLV 4th & 1 at SJSU 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.8%−6.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−7.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:37SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:26SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:36UNLV Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:02SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:44UNLV Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:29UNLV Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:3530% → 31%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 6 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
30.0%
Jabari Bates run for 1 yd to the SJSU 32Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
30.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
30.6%
Jabari Bates run for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSU 35Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 16
OWN 35
0
30.7%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 16
OWN 35
0
30.7%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
30.6%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 43 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for no gain to the UNLV 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:0934% → 33%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
33.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 18Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
33.8%
CHALK, Floyd rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the SJSU23 (WHITMORE, Alexander;BALDWIN, Johnathan), clock 00:00. PENALTY UNLV Offsides on POWELL, Mani enforced 5 yards from the SJSU18 to the SJSU23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
33.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the SJSU 24Similar
Q2 14:31
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
33.3%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+7
33.1%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 56 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 7 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:5269% → 68%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
30.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
31.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+4
31.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
31.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-1
31.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
31.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
32.2%
Marshall Nichols punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4332% → 32%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
31.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 5 yds to the SJSU 25Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
31.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-1
32.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 27Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
31.6%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 14 yds, downed at the SJSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5268% → 67%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
31.8%
Greg Burrell run for 2 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+4
31.8%
Jacob De Jesus run for 4 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
31.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the SJSU 35Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+52
32.6%
Caden Chittenden 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · -18 yds · 1:0933% → 34%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
32.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 6 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
33.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 5 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-29
33.8%
Walker Eget run for a loss of 29 yards to the SJSU 17 Walker Eget fumbled, recovered by UNLV Antonio Doyle Jr. A. Doyle Jr. return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1668% → 67%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
31.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the SJSU 13Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
31.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the SJSU 13Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
32.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
33.2%
Caden Chittenden 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1533% → 32%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.1%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
33.0%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
32.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
32.4%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 32 yds, downed at the SJSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0268% → 66%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
32.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 44Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+3
32.6%
Devin Green run for 3 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
32.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
33.6%
Marshall Nichols punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10INT TD
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:4166% → 61%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
33.7%
Kylin James run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-40
39.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass intercepted Isiah Revis return for 40 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:5061% → 69%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
38.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 12 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
38.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
38.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
38.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
38.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+7
38.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 7 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
38.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Justin Stearns for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSU 45Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+8
39.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 8 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+5
38.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 5 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+17
40.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 17 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
38.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the SJSU 9Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+4
38.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the SJSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
31.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 5 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3432% → 48%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
32.1%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 24Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+27
31.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 27 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
34.9%
Walker Eget run for 8 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+8
35.1%
Walker Eget run for 8 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
36.1%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
36.3%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+33
48.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 33 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13SF
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:5055% → 46%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
44.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 17 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
44.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
43.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+5
44.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
43.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
44.8%
Jacob De Jesus run for 5 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
44.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 3
OWN 47
-47
53.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 47 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5354% → 55%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
54.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-2
54.7%
(00:17) Kneel down by EGET, Walker at SJSU29 (team loss of 2), clock 00:16.Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+4
53.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
54.8%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 45 yds, downed at the UNLV 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15FG
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:3949% → 50%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
50.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by John Ward and Soane Toia for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+19
52.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Corey Thompson Jr. for 19 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
49.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
50.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+11
50.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 11 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
49.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the SJSU 29Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-1
48.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 30Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-4
51.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSU 34Similar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 13
OPP 34
+52
50.4%
Caden Chittenden 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2450% → 49%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the SJSU 25Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
50.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the SJSU 25Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
49.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
49.0%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 60 yds, downed at the UNLV 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:2350% → 48%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
50.5%
Kylin James run for 3 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
51.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+12
52.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 12 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
49.9%
(08:32) JAMES, Kylin rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the UNLV35 (COBBS, Jordan), clock 08:26. PENALTY Before the snap, SJSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UNLV30 to the UNLV35. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+11
48.3%
Kylin James run for 11 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
47.3%
Kylin James run for 2 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+7
47.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 7 yds to the SJSU 45Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
46.6%
Kylin James run for no gain to the SJSU 45Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-8
49.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds UNLV Penalty, Illegal Block (Ricky White III) to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
52.5%
Marshall Nichols punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:3454% → 53%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
54.4%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 9 yds to the SJSU 15Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+11
55.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 11 yds to the SJSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
56.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-5
56.3%
Jabari Bates run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSU 25Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
54.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
53.3%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 49 yds, downed at the UNLV 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:2745% → 74%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+29
55.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 29 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
50.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 14 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
47.6%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the SJSU 25Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
47.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+25
26.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 25 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 1:4929% → 31%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.1%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
28.7%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
27.6%
UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
33.7%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
32.9%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Peseti Lapuaho) to the SJSU 47Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
30.2%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+10
28.9%
(00:58) EGET, Walker pass up the middle incomplete intended for MACALUSO, Sebastian thrown to the UNLV44, clock 00:54. PENALTY UNLV Holding on ELAD, Jett enforced 10 yards from the SJSU47 to the UNLV43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
33.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
33.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
33.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
30.8%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:2070% → 91%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
30.0%
Kylin James run for 24 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
27.0%
Kylin James run for no gain to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-3
27.0%
Kylin James run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+14
29.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 14 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
25.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
24.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-1
24.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 41Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 6
OPP 41
+5
25.6%
(10:34) NICHOLS, Marshall punt 41 yards to the SJSU0, Touchback, clock 10:27. PENALTY SJSU Running Into the kicker on NORWOOD, John enforced 5 yards from the SJSU41 to the SJSU36 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
25.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
21.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
21.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+20
23.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 20 yds to the SJSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
21.1%
Kylin James run for 6 yds to the SJSU 7Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
8.7%
Kylin James run for 7 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4910% → 9%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
10.1%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the SJSU 7Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
9.5%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
9.3%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 10
OWN 7
+6
8.9%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 66 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 6 yds to the UNLV 13 UNLV Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaden Bradley) to the UNLV 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23END OF GAME
20 plays · 64 yds · 6:4391% → 98%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
9.2%
Greg Burrell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
8.3%
Greg Burrell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
8.4%
Greg Burrell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
7.8%
Greg Burrell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
6.4%
Greg Burrell run for 8 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+9
6.1%
Greg Burrell run for 9 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
5.5%
Greg Burrell run for 1 yd to the SJSU 46Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+3
5.4%
Greg Burrell run for 3 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
3.9%
Greg Burrell run for no gain to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 6
OPP 43
+15
2.7%
(02:25) NICHOLS, Marshall punt 43 yards to the SJSU0, Touchback, clock 02:19. PENALTY SJSU Roughing the Kicker on NORWOOD, John enforced 15 yards from the SJSU43 to the SJSU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
2.4%
San José State Penalty, Personal Foul (John Ward) to the SJSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
1.6%
(01:56) [NH] Kneel down by WILLIAMS, Hajj-Malik at SJSU11 (team loss of 1), clock 01:49.Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
1.5%
(01:17) Kneel down by WILLIAMS, Hajj-Malik at SJSU12 (team loss of 1), clock 01:11.Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-1
1.6%
(00:38) Kneel down by WILLIAMS, Hajj-Malik at SJSU13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:44
Jai'Den Thomas run for 25 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)
-21.1
TD · Q4 8:29
Kylin James run for 7 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q2 5:02
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 33 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com