Try the model
WSU

Washington State 35 at New Mexico 38

UNM
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · University Stadium (NM)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:38 · Nick Haberer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the UNM 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior−13.1Home team on offense−10.9Garbage-time factor−4.1Score differential−3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:20: Devon Dampier run for 33 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +11.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:25: Eli Sanders run for 26 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +21.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 4:40: Luke Drzewiecki 19 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +14.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:12: John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 37 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +45.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:21: Devon Dampier run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +60.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:26UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:28UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:27UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:34WSU 4th & 13 at WSU 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:50WSU 4th & 1 at UNM 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    73.3%−1.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:19UNM 4th & 10 at WSU 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    19.1%
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:16WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:38WSU 4th & 13 at UNM 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−1.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−1.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:19UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 17, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:41WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:11WSU 4th & 15 at UNM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−4.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−3.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:25UNM 4th & 2 at WSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−5.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−8.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:40UNM 4th & 2 at WSU 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%−6.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−31.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:32UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:27WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:30WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:21WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:31UNM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:10WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:20UNM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:25UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:12WSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−1.0
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:21UNM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2719% → 24%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
18.9%
Devon Dampier run for 9 yds to the UNM 34Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
19.1%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 34Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
19.4%
NaQuari Rogers run for no gain to the UNM 34Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
19.6%
Washington State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
19.8%
Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters run for 8 yds to the UNM 47Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
20.1%
Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the WSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
20.5%
Devon Dampier run for 8 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+4
20.9%
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
21.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 3 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+19
21.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 19 yds to the WSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
21.8%
Devon Dampier run for 8 yds to the WSU 7Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+7
23.6%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:5777% → 78%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
23.2%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WSU 13Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+15
23.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 15 yds to the WSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
23.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd to the WSU 29Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+43
24.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 43 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
21.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 28 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5923% → 23%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
22.7%
Devon Dampier run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 24 Devon Dampier fumbled, recovered by UNM Eli Sanders E. Sanders return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
22.8%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
22.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:4877% → 80%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
23.1%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 25Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+11
23.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 11 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
23.4%
Wayshawn Parker run for 11 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
23.1%
Wayshawn Parker run for 7 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+11
23.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
23.3%
John Mateer run for 20 yds to the UNM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
23.4%
Leo Pulalasi run for 6 yds to the UNM 9Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-10
23.7%
(03:00) QB Keeper MATEER, John rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the UNM4 (WATTS, Cameron), clock 02:55. PENALTY WSU Holding on POLE, Esa enforced 10 yards from the UNM9 to the UNM19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 14
OPP 19
+10
24.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for 10 yds to the UNM 9Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+4
23.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 4 yds to the UNM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.2%
John Mateer run for 5 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0022% → 21%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
21.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 22 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
22.6%
Eli Sanders run for 9 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
23.0%
Devon Dampier run for no gain to the WSU 44Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-10
23.0%
(14:59) QB Keeper DAMPIER, Devon rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the WSU41 lateral to SANDERS, Eli for -13 yards to the WSU29 (GUSTA, David;GUSHIKEN, Kapena), clock 14:51. PENALTY UNM Holding on AGNELLO, McKenzie enforced 10 yards from the WSU44 to the UNM46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
21.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:28
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
21.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 4:0078% → 84%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
22.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for 4 yds to the WSU 11Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+13
22.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 13 yds to the WSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
21.8%
Leo Pulalasi run for 6 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+4
21.3%
Leo Pulalasi run for 4 yds to the WSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
21.6%
Leo Pulalasi run for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 31Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+50
22.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 50 yds to the UNM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
20.8%
John Mateer run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 20Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+20
16.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 20 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4517% → 17%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
17.2%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
16.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
16.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+5
16.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 58 yds , Tony Freeman returns for 5 yds to the WSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:4284% → 83%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+31
16.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 16 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HARRIS JR., Antoineo enforced (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
50
+5
15.7%
Leo Pulalasi run for 5 yds to the UNM 45Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
16.1%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-8
16.2%
John Mateer sacked by Moso'oipala Tuitele for a loss of 8 yards to the WSU 47Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
16.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the UNM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:5617% → 25%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
16.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 8 yds to the UNM 37Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+2
17.2%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
17.3%
NaQuari Rogers run for 19 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
17.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
24.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 42 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1978% → 86%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
21.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
21.2%
Wayshawn Parker run for 8 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+9
20.6%
John Mateer run for 9 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
20.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for no gain to the UNM 47Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
20.5%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+9
21.0%
John Mateer run for 9 yds to the UNM 38Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
20.4%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 2 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
19.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 6 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+1
18.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd to the UNM 29Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+29
13.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 29 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:4816% → 16%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
15.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 17 yds to the UNM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
16.7%
Devon Dampier run for 13 yds to the WSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
17.1%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
17.1%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
16.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
16.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 44 yds, downed at the WSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
14.8%
John Mateer run for 2 yds to the WSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:4385% → 84%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
15.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 12 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
14.8%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
14.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
15.2%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:16
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
15.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the UNM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:5016% → 29%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
15.8%
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the UNM 24Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
15.6%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the UNM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
15.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 1 yd to the UNM 32Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+7
15.3%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+2
16.1%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the UNM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
16.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 13 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
16.7%
NaQuari Rogers run for 13 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
17.1%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
28.8%
Devon Dampier run for 33 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:3377% → 77%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
23.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 7 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+3
22.2%
Leo Pulalasi run for 3 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
22.6%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+26
23.0%
John Mateer run for 26 yds to the UNM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
20.5%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Fa'alili Fa'amoe) to the UNM 46Similar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+3
20.7%
John Mateer run for 3 yds to the UNM 43Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-1
20.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 44Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 13
OPP 44
0
21.7%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
23.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the UNM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1225% → 24%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
24.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+6
24.6%
Devon Dampier run for 6 yds to the UNM 14Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+3
24.0%
Luke Wysong run for 3 yds to the UNM 17Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+34
23.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 yds , Tony Freeman returns for 34 yds to the WSU 49 Washington State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamorri Colson) to the WSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2277% → 79%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
22.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 5 yards to the WSU 24 Wayshawn Parker fumbled, recovered by WSU John Mateer J. Mateer return for 3 ydsSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+10
22.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Leo Pulalasi for 10 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
20.3%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
21.1%
Nick Haberer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the UNM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:1025% → 53%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
24.7%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the UNM 33Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+16
25.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 16 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
27.9%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-5
28.7%
(02:18) DAMPIER, Devon pass deep to the left complete for 26 yards to DAVIS, Ryan caught at the WSU32 and advanced to the WSU22 (GUSHIKEN, Kapena), out of bounds, clock 02:07. PENALTY UNM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on OWENS, Lajuan enforced 5 yards from the WSU48 to the UNM47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+16
26.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 16 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
29.1%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+4
30.8%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the WSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
52.6%
Eli Sanders run for 26 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:1258% → 55%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.8%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
41.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 8 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
40.6%
Leo Pulalasi run for 4 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+21
38.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 21 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
37.5%
Leo Pulalasi run for 3 yds to the UNM 36Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+2
37.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Leo Pulalasi for 2 yds to the UNM 34Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-10
38.4%
(12:48) MATEER, John pass to the left complete for 8 yards to HUTSON, Kris caught at the UNM28 and advanced to the UNM26 (WILLIAMS, Nigel), out of bounds, clock 12:44. PENALTY WSU Holding on FA'AMOE, Fa'alili enforced 10 yards from the UNM34 to the UNM44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 15
OPP 44
0
43.1%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
45.5%
Nick Haberer punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the UNM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20FG
14 plays · 86 yds · 7:2548% → 73%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+17
47.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 17 yds to the UNM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
49.0%
Eli Sanders run for 8 yds to the UNM 37Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
52.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+23
50.9%
Devon Dampier run for 23 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
55.6%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the WSU 39Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+4
56.1%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+3
56.2%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+5
53.8%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the WSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
59.3%
Devon Dampier run for 19 yds to the WSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
59.5%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the WSU 3Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
60.1%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (McKenzie Agnello) to the WSU 8Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
60.6%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the WSU 6Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
59.1%
Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the WSU 2Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
73.3%
Luke Drzewiecki 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2535% → 87%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
60.5%
Leo Pulalasi run for 18 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
58.4%
Leo Pulalasi run for 12 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
13.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 37 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:4929% → 93%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.7%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the UNM 26Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
28.4%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the UNM 33Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+33
28.7%
Eli Sanders run for 33 yds to the WSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
36.9%
Devon Dampier run for 9 yds to the WSU 25Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+5
37.8%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the WSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
37.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+8
37.2%
NaQuari Rogers run for 8 yds to the WSU 12Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+4
34.3%
Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the WSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
37.3%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the WSU 7Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
33.2%
Devon Dampier run for 6 yds to the WSU 1Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.2%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:1823% → 26%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
76.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Leo Pulalasi for 7 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
75.3%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+9
79.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
74.1%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:21
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+60
TD · Q4 3:12
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 37 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-45.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+25.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com