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WYO

Wyoming 10 at Colorado State 24

CSU
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2024 · Canvas Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:27 · Tommy Maher run for a loss of 21 yards to the WYO 25 Tommy Maher fumbled, recovered by WYO DeVonne Harris D. Harris return for 3 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Home team on offense+14.6Pregame prior+13.5Score differential+5.1Garbage-time factor+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:28: Dane Olson pass complete to Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi for 6 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK) — CSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:45: Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tommy Maher for 53 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK) — CSU win probability +8.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:42: Kaden Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +9.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:58: Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the CSU 13 — CSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:20: Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the WYO 48 — WYO win probability +3.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 10:20WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:00CSU 4th & 4 at WYO 26, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:16WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:15WYO 4th & 4 at CSU 32, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.9%−0.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:36CSU 4th & 4 at WYO 4, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.1%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:30WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.9%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:27CSU 4th & 1 at WYO 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    83.0%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−4.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:32WYO 4th & 7 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:11CSU 4th & 5 at CSU 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:50WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:04CSU 4th & 3 at CSU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:02WYO 4th & 6 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:31CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 21, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:50WYO 4th & 21 at WYO 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−2.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:11CSU 4th & 8 at WYO 39, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:19WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:10CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:48WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 22, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:01CSU 4th & 5 at CSU 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:37WYO 4th & 7 at CSU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:39CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:28CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:45CSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:42WYO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:2176% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.8%
Avery Morrow run for 6 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+38
75.7%
Justin Marshall run for 38 yds to the WYO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
75.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 6 yds to the WYO 25Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+14
75.6%
Avery Morrow run for 14 yds to the WYO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
75.6%
Avery Morrow run for no gain to the WYO 11Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
76.3%
Avery Morrow run for 11 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2524% → 24%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.0%
Jamari Ferrell run for no gain to the WYO 25Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
76.0%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
76.1%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Tyler King for 8 yds to the WYO 33Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
76.0%
Jack Culbreath punt for 14 ydsSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
76.5%
Colorado State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1776% → 76%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+4
76.3%
Justin Marshall run for 4 yds to the WYO 48Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+16
76.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Peter Montini for 16 yds to the WYO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
76.8%
Justin Marshall run for no gain to the WYO 32Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
76.8%
Justin Marshall run for 5 yds to the WYO 27Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+1
76.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 1 yd to the WYO 26Similar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
76.5%
Jordan Noyes 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
76.2%
(06:57) WAYLEE, Harrison rush to the right for a gain of 14 yards to the WYO40 (MORRIS, Dominic), clock 06:49. PENALTY WYO Holding on BARNETT, Caden enforced 10 yards from the WYO26 to the WYO16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:2224% → 24%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+16
76.3%
Tyler King run for 16 yds to the WYO 32Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+1
76.0%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the WYO 33Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+5
76.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
76.0%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
76.0%
Wyoming Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Wrook Brown) to the WYO 33Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+12
76.4%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Will Pelissier for 12 yds to the WYO 45Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
75.7%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the WYO 46Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
76.2%
Jack Culbreath punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 2:4377% → 82%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+46
76.6%
Caleb Goodie run for 46 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
77.2%
Avery Morrow run for 7 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+21
77.3%
Justin Marshall run for 21 yds to the WYO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
77.4%
Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the WYO 6Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.9%
Dane Olson pass complete to Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi for 6 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 3:0820% → 22%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
79.9%
Sam Scott run for 8 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+6
79.6%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Will Pelissier for 6 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
79.6%
(14:22) ANDERSON, Kaden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PELISSIER, Will thrown to the CSU30, clock 14:19. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on LARRY, Elias enforced 15 yards to the CSU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
79.5%
Jamari Ferrell run for 6 yds to the CSU 32Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
79.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the CSU 29Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 1
OPP 29
-3
79.8%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 3 yards to the CSU 32Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+49
78.0%
John Hoyland 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 78 yds · 6:3379% → 82%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
79.3%
(12:09) FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for DAILY, Stephon thrown to the CSU50, clock 12:05. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference on PARKS, Keany enforced 15 yards to the CSU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
79.4%
Colorado State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 28Similar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 15
OWN 28
-1
79.4%
Avery Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 27Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+8
79.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for 8 yds to the CSU 35Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+24
79.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jordan Ross for 24 yds to the WYO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
81.0%
Avery Morrow run for 12 yds to the WYO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
80.7%
Avery Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 30Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+12
80.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justin Marshall for 12 yds to the WYO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
80.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Peter Montini for 14 yds to the WYO 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
80.9%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the WYO 3Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
81.0%
Avery Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 4Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
80.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
82.1%
Jordan Noyes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:0618% → 17%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.0%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.2%
Jamari Ferrell run for 2 yds to the WYO 27Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
82.6%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 9 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
81.8%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 6 yds to the WYO 42Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
81.4%
Kaden Anderson run for 2 yds to the WYO 44Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
81.4%
Sam Scott run for no gain to the WYO 44Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
82.7%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:5885% → 85%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
84.6%
Justin Marshall run for 2 yds to the WYO 42Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+37
86.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 37 yds to the WYO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
86.0%
Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the WYO 2Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
86.2%
Justin Marshall run for no gain to the WYO 2Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.3%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the WYO 1Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-21
85.2%
Tommy Maher run for a loss of 21 yards to the WYO 25 Tommy Maher fumbled, recovered by WYO DeVonne Harris D. Harris return for 3 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.4%
(00:13) Kneel down by ANDERSON, Kaden at WYO24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:07.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:2814% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
85.8%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 22Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+25
86.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 25 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
85.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 7
50
0
84.7%
Jamari Ferrell run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 7
50
0
85.4%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 7
50
0
86.2%
Jack Culbreath punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kobe Johnson at the CSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:4187% → 95%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+32
87.4%
Avery Morrow run for 32 yds to the CSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
95.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tommy Maher for 53 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:576% → 16%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
94.4%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+62
94.5%
Jamari Ferrell run for 62 yds to the CSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
94.0%
Kaden Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 6Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
94.2%
(10:06) ANDERSON, Kaden pass to the left incomplete intended for PELISSIER, Will thrown to the CSU0, clock 10:04. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on PHELPS, Dylan enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the CSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.5%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the CSU 1Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.9%
Sam Scott run for no gain to the CSU 1Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.1%
Kaden Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2787% → 87%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
87.1%
Justin Marshall run for 2 yds to the CSU 19Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+3
87.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jamari Person for 3 yds to the CSU 22Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
87.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
87.1%
Paddy Turner punt for 39 yds, downed at the WYO 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1014% → 13%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
85.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
85.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the WYO 45Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
85.9%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
86.7%
Jack Culbreath punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kobe Johnson at the CSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3989% → 89%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
88.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 6 yds to the CSU 30Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
88.8%
Avery Morrow run for 3 yds to the CSU 33Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-2
88.8%
Justin Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 31Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
88.9%
Paddy Turner punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler King at the WYO 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5812% → 12%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
87.9%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
88.8%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 14 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
87.6%
Jamari Ferrell run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 6
50
0
87.2%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 6
50
0
87.5%
Sam Scott run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 6
50
0
88.2%
Jack Culbreath punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kobe Johnson at the CSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2792% → 92%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
92.4%
Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the CSU 13Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
92.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+8
92.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 8 yds to the CSU 21Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
92.4%
Paddy Turner punt for 35 yds, downed at the WYO 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:3211% → 10%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
88.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the WYO 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
89.5%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
89.6%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 21
OWN 33
+1
91.4%
Jack Culbreath punt for 37 yds , Kobe Johnson returns for 1 yd to the CSU 31Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 6
OWN 48
-15
90.1%
Wyoming Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyler King) to the WYO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20MISSED FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:2994% → 95%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
93.7%
Justin Marshall run for 9 yds to the CSU 40Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+19
94.4%
Justin Marshall run for 19 yds to the WYO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
94.7%
Justin Marshall run for a loss of 4 yards to the WYO 45Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+4
94.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 4 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+2
94.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jalen Dupree for 2 yds to the WYO 39Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+57
94.7%
Jordan Noyes 57 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:499% → 7%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
90.9%
Kaden Anderson run for 1 yd to the WYO 40Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
91.5%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
91.9%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
92.7%
Jack Culbreath punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kobe Johnson at the CSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 4:0295% → 97%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
95.1%
Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the CSU 21Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
95.5%
Jalen Dupree run for 3 yds to the CSU 24Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+5
95.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 5 yds to the CSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
95.9%
Dane Olson run for 2 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+7
96.0%
Jalen Dupree run for 7 yds to the CSU 38Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
96.5%
Jalen Dupree run for no gain to the CSU 38Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
96.5%
Bryan Hansen punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:176% → 6%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
94.0%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
94.1%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Nick Miles for 3 yds to the WYO 21Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+1
94.3%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 1 yd to the WYO 22Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
94.5%
Jack Culbreath punt for 48 yds, downed at the CSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:4197% → 99%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
97.0%
Jalen Dupree run for 2 yds to the CSU 32Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
97.4%
Jalen Dupree run for 1 yd to the CSU 33Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+2
98.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 2 yds to the CSU 35Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
98.7%
Bryan Hansen punt for 45 yds, downed at the WYO 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:133% → 3%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
97.3%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Will Pelissier for 17 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
97.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Clay Nanke for 7 yds to the WYO 44Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+9
97.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 9 yds to the CSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.1%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 3 yds to the CSU 44Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
97.0%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
97.1%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
97.2%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.3%
Jalen Dupree run for 1 yd to the CSU 45Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
99.2%
Jalen Dupree run for 1 yd to the CSU 46Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+11
99.3%
Jalen Dupree run for 11 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
99.3%
(00:45) Kneel down by FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden at WYO44 (team loss of 1), clock 00:40.Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-1
99.3%
(00:24) Kneel down by FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden at WYO45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:19.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:42
Kaden Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q3 11:45
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tommy Maher for 53 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+8.1
TD · Q1 0:28
Dane Olson pass complete to Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi for 6 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com