Try the model
BOIS

Boise State 42 at San José State 21

SJSU
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · CEFCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:17 · Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 8 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior−12.4Home team on offense−5.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:36: Maddux Madsen run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +7.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:36: Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +15.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:03: Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 6 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +13.1 pts (now 53%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:43: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 17 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +18.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:42: Ashton Jeanty run for 36 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +18.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:31BOIS 4th & 12 at BOIS 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:39BOIS 4th & 7 at SJSU 21, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.2%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    72.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q3 4:31SJSU 4th & 2 at BOIS 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−4.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q3 2:17BOIS 4th & 3 at SJSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−5.0
    27% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q4 10:44BOIS 4th & 12 at SJSU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−2.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−8.6
    average punt
  6. Q4 8:48SJSU 4th & 10 at BOIS 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    19.1%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:14SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:23SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:36BOIS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:36BOIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:03SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:43BOIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:42BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:23BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.7
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:42BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2985% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 28Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
15.4%
Maddux Madsen sacked by Jordan Cobbs and Soane Toia for a loss of 5 yards to the BOIS 23Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
15.7%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
15.8%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:1716% → 19%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
15.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 13 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
15.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 20 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
15.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 17 yds to the BOIS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
16.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 2 yds to the BOIS 16Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+9
17.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the BOIS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
17.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the BOIS 6Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
17.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
18.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 6 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3DOWNS
16 plays · 52 yds · 6:3582% → 76%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Bates for 5 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
18.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 34Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
19.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
19.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
19.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 5 yds to the BOIS 40Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-5
20.3%
Boise State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BOIS 35Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+11
20.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 11 yds to the BOIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
20.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 6
50
+6
20.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the SJSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
21.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the SJSU 43Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-5
21.8%
Boise State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSU 48Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+24
22.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 24 yds to the SJSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
21.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
22.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the SJSU 21Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
22.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 7
OPP 21
-2
23.6%
Jonah Dalmas run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:1624% → 35%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
24.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the SJSU 23Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
24.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+35
24.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 35 yds to the BOIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
26.0%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
26.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 10 yds to the BOIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
26.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Cooper Hoch for 3 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
27.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 7
OPP 29
-5
27.3%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Nick Nash) to the BOIS 34Similar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+26
26.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 26 yds to the BOIS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
28.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the BOIS 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
28.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the BOIS 7Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
35.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 7 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:4236% → 38%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
36.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 11 yds to the BOIS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
36.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 5 yds to the BOIS 18Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+7
37.7%
Walker Eget run for 7 yds to the BOIS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
38.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 6 yds to the BOIS 5Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
39.5%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+3
37.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the BOIS 2Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-3
37.8%
San José State Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on NOMANI, Sione enforced (-3 Yards) to the BOIS 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
12 plays · 92 yds · 5:5064% → 67%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
36.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 6Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+18
37.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 18 yds to the BOIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
37.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 6 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
37.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
38.9%
Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
39.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 5 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
39.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 41Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+9
41.7%
(07:21) MADSEN, Maddux pass up the middle incomplete intended for CAMPER, Cameron thrown to the BSU50. PENALTY SJSU Pass Interference on HARVEY, DJ enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the BSU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
50
+9
40.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+29
40.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 29 yds to the SJSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
40.9%
San José State Penalty, Personal Foul (John Ward) to the SJSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
33.0%
Maddux Madsen run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:1539% → 39%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
39.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the BOIS 48Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+1
40.1%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
40.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
40.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+10
39.3%
Walker Eget pass intercepted by Ty Benefield return for 13 yards BSU35, Boise State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Davon Banks) on the return, BSU35 to BSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:2761% → 75%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.9%
Maddux Madsen run for 6 yds to the BOIS 31Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
38.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 32Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+21
39.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 21 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
38.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 14 yds to the SJSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
36.1%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-3
36.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 36Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+17
40.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 17 yds to the SJSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
36.4%
(00:59) MADSEN, Maddux pass to the left incomplete intended for CAPLES, Latrell thrown to the SJSU13. PENALTY Before the snap, SJSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the SJSU19 to the SJSU14. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+8
36.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the SJSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
37.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the SJSU 2Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
31.9%
(00:31) [NH] Kneel down by EGET, Walker at SJSU25 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 3:5633% → 53%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
33.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 5 yds to the SJSU 7Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+4
33.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 4 yds to the SJSU 11Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+3
33.0%
Walker Eget run for 3 yds to the SJSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+27
34.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 27 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
37.4%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 45Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+45
38.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 45 yds to the BOIS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
40.2%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
40.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the BOIS 6Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
53.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 6 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 4:1251% → 68%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
48.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
47.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 43Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+15
49.1%
San José State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
48.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Jambres Dubar for 12 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
47.2%
Jambres Dubar run for no gain to the SJSU 35Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
47.5%
Maddux Madsen run for 2 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+16
50.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 16 yds to the SJSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
31.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 17 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:1240% → 43%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
40.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 22Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+26
39.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 26 yds to the SJSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
44.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 7 yds to the BOIS 45Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
45.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+1
45.1%
Jabari Bates run for 1 yd to the BOIS 44Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+9
43.1%
Walker Eget run for 9 yds to the BOIS 34 Walker Eget fumbled, recovered by BOIS Jayden Virgin-MorganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 2:3864% → 83%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
36.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 9 yds to the BOIS 43Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+6
33.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
33.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
34.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+5
34.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 5 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+8
35.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 8 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
17.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 36 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14FUMBLE
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:2520% → 21%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
19.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 15 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
20.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+2
21.0%
Jabari Bates run for 2 yds to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
20.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+14
20.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 14 yds to the BOIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
21.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 8 yds to the BOIS 34Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
22.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-9
20.9%
Nick Nash run for a loss of 9 yards to the BOIS 43 Nick Nash fumbled, recovered by BOIS Ahmed Hassanein A. Hassanein return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:2184% → 85%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
16.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 47Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+26
16.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 26 yds to the SJSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
12.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 12 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
13.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 17Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 12
OPP 17
0
12.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
13.4%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+34
15.3%
Jonah Dalmas 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:5218% → 18%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
17.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+35
17.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 35 yds to the BOIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
20.1%
Walker Eget run for 1 yd to the BOIS 44Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
21.1%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-1
20.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kejuan Bullard Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 45Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
17.7%
Dino Beslagic punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17TD
15 plays · 89 yds · 6:1885% → 99%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
14.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 5 yds to the BOIS 16Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+13
14.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the BOIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
13.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
12.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 36Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+8
10.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 8 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
9.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 22 yds to the SJSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
7.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 11 yds to the SJSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
7.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the SJSU 21Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-5
6.9%
Boise State Penalty, False Start (Hall Schmidt) to the SJSU 26Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+11
7.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 11 yds to the SJSU 15Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+10
6.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 10 yds to the SJSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
6.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the SJSU 5Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18INT TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:411% → 0%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.2%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.2%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+24
1.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 24 yds to the SJSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
1.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 16 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-70
0.3%
Walker Eget pass intercepted Davon Banks return for 70 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19END OF GAME
9 plays · 51 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
0.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Sebastian Macaluso for 20 yds to the BOIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
0.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 12 yds to the BOIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
0.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 17 yds to the BOIS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
0.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Cooper Hoch for 5 yds to the BOIS 12Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+10
0.2%
(00:55) EGET, Walker pass up the middle incomplete intended for NASH, Nick thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on OLADIPO, Seyi enforced 10 yards to the BSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the BOIS 1Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
0.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 2Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-13
0.2%
Walker Eget sacked by Seyi Oladipo for a loss of 13 yards to the BOIS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:43
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 17 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-18.9
TD · Q3 1:42
Ashton Jeanty run for 36 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-18.7
TD · Q2 0:36
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com