Try the model
USU

Utah State 28 at Washington State 49

WSU
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:59 · Nick Haberer punt for 33 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+27.0Home team on offense+10.9Score differential+4.5Garbage-time factor+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:01: Spencer Petras pass complete to Jack Hestera for 3 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK) — USU win probability +1.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:57: Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:17: John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 14 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:48: Wayshawn Parker run for 75 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:52: John Mateer run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:43USU 4th & 4 at USU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24WSU 4th & 1 at USU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:49USU 4th & 10 at USU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:09USU 4th & 3 at USU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:59WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:59WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:16USU 4th & 3 at WSU 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:34USU 4th & 1 at USU 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:55WSU 4th & 14 at USU 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:32USU 4th & 11 at USU 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:42USU 4th & 10 at WSU 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:39USU 4th & 8 at WSU 12, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:05WSU 4th & 1 at USU 3, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:24WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:01USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:57WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:17WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:48WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:52WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:02USU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:49WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:39USU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:05WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:41USU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1610% → 10%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 7 yds to the USU 32Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
90.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 3 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
90.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 6 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
90.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
90.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
90.2%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 24 yds, downed at the WSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:1190% → 90%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.2%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
90.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 7 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+9
90.0%
John Mateer pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 9 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
90.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for 11 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
89.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 12 yds to the USU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
89.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the USU 24Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+7
89.7%
Leo Pulalasi run for 7 yds to the USU 17Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
89.5%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+17
90.0%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 17 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:2210% → 13%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.8%
Herschel Turner run for 1 yd to the USU 26Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
89.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 17 yds to the USU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
89.7%
Herschel Turner run for 9 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+2
89.4%
Herschel Turner run for 2 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
89.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 49Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+7
89.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jack Hestera for 7 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+9
89.1%
Spencer Petras run for 9 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
88.8%
Herschel Turner run for 5 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+24
88.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jack Hestera for 24 yds to the WSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
88.6%
Herschel Turner run for 1 yd to the WSU 3Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jack Hestera for 3 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 4:5687% → 89%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
87.4%
Kyle Williams run for no gain to the WSU 15Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+10
87.2%
John Mateer run for 10 yds to the WSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.0%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 5 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
87.0%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 4 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
86.8%
John Mateer run for 5 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
86.9%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 2 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
86.8%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+16
86.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 16 yds to the USU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+25
86.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 25 yds to the USU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
86.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Trey Leckner for 7 yds to the USU 11Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+10
86.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for 10 yds to the USU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 1:5812% → 12%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
88.0%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the USU 25Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
87.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+8
88.0%
Bryson Barnes run for 8 yds to the USU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
87.4%
Herschel Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 31Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+2
87.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Herschel Turner for 2 yds to the USU 33Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
87.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
87.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 42 yds , Tony Freeman returns for no gain to the WSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:2688% → 91%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for 9 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
87.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Branden Ganashamoorthy for 6 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
87.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 5 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+8
87.9%
Kyle Williams run for 8 yds to the USU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
88.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for 5 yds to the USU 42Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
88.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for 3 yds to the USU 39Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+9
87.4%
John Mateer run for 9 yds to the USU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
87.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Leo Pulalasi for 12 yds to the USU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
87.8%
Wayshawn Parker run for 4 yds to the USU 14Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
90.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 14 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0710% → 10%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
89.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 7 yds to the USU 32Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
89.4%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the USU 32Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
89.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
89.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds, downed at the WSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0090% → 90%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.3%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.0%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
89.9%
Nick Haberer punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9INT
12 plays · 41 yds · 2:5711% → 12%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
89.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 6 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
89.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
50
+9
88.8%
Spencer Petras run for 9 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 1
OPP 41
-10
88.4%
(03:36) FAISON, Rahsul rush to the right for no gain to the WSU41 (STEVENSON, Raam), clock 03:34. PENALTY USU Holding on MAUI, Aloali'i enforced 10 yards from the WSU41 to the USU49 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
89.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
89.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 11
OWN 49
+15
89.8%
(02:56) MARKS, Ryan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HESTERA, Jack thrown to the WSU35, clock 02:57. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on MOKU, Tanner enforced 15 yards to the WSU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
88.6%
Kyrese White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 37Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+6
88.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 6 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+7
88.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 7 yds to the WSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
87.8%
Spencer Petras pass intercepted Kapena Gushiken return for 6 yds to the WSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:4492% → 92%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
91.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd to the WSU 14Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
92.0%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 14Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+7
92.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 7 yds to the WSU 21Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
92.0%
Nick Haberer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kahanu Davis at the USU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:389% → 9%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
90.9%
Herschel Turner run for 15 yds to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
90.7%
Herschel Turner run for 7 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
90.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
90.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
91.0%
Ryan Marks punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
92.7%
(00:10) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at WSU18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:04.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
96.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for 75 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:134% → 4%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.1%
Herschel Turner run for 7 yds to the USU 32Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
95.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 1 yd to the USU 33Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
96.0%
Herschel Turner run for 1 yd to the USU 34Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
96.1%
Herschel Turner run for no gain to the USU 34 Herschel Turner fumbled, recovered by WSU Taariq Al-Uqdah T. Al-Uqdah return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15MISSED FG
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:2797% → 97%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for no gain to the USU 34Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
97.0%
HUTSON, Kris pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MATHERS, Cooper thrown to the USU0, clock 12:44. PENALTY USU Roughing the Passer on GRAHAM II, DJ enforced 15 yards from the USU34 to the USU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
97.1%
John Mateer run for 4 yds to the USU 15Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-2
97.1%
John Mateer sacked by Bronson Olevao Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 17Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 8
OPP 17
-6
97.2%
John Mateer sacked by Isaiah Bruce and Cian Slone for a loss of 6 yards to the USU 23Similar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+40
96.9%
Dean Janikowski 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:153% → 3%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
96.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-10
96.8%
(10:40) PETRAS, Spencer pass deep to the left complete for 31 yards to TIA, Otto caught at the USU50 and advanced to the WSU46 (GUSHIKEN, Kapena), clock 10:32. PENALTY USU Holding on ALO, Falepule enforced 10 yards from the USU23 to the USU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 20
OWN 13
0
96.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 20
OWN 13
+9
96.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Herschel Turner for 9 yds to the USU 22Similar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
97.1%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 3:3297% → 100%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
97.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 29 yds to the USU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
97.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 12 yds Kris Hutson fumbled, recovered by WSU Trey Leckner T. Leckner return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+22
97.4%
Leo Pulalasi run for 22 yds to the USU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.6%
John Mateer run for 1 yd to the USU 1Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.6%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for no gain to the USU 1Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
John Mateer run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:480% → 2%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 8 yds to the USU 33Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+15
99.6%
PETRAS, Spencer pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TIA, Otto thrown to the WSU35, clock 05:20. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on HALL, Stephen enforced 15 yards to the USU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
99.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 13 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
99.7%
(04:54) PETRAS, Spencer pass short up the middle complete for 3 yards to TURNER, Herschel caught at the WSU38 and advanced to the WSU36 (TERRELL, Isaac), clock 04:53. PENALTY USU Holding on MAUI, Aloali'i enforced 10 yards from the WSU39 to the WSU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 20
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for no gain to the WSU 49Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 20
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 20
OPP 49
+10
99.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 10 yds to the WSU 39Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+10
99.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 10 yds to the WSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 15 yds to the WSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
99.7%
Herschel Turner run for 6 yds to the WSU 8Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+6
99.7%
Herschel Turner run for 6 yds to the WSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.9%
Bryson Barnes run for 2 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:0598% → 100%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.4%
Leo Pulalasi run for 6 yds to the WSU 26Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+12
98.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 12 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
98.6%
Leo Pulalasi run for 19 yds to the USU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
98.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 6 yds to the USU 37Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+10
98.7%
(00:20) QB Keeper MATEER, John rush to the right for a gain of 37 yards, MATEER, John fumbled at USU20 forced by BRUCE, Isaiah out of bounds to the USU0, clock 00:05. PENALTY USU Illegal Bat on MILLER, John enforced 10 yards from the USU20 to the USU10 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
98.7%
Utah State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Elliott Nimrod) to the USU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.7%
John Mateer run for no gain to the USU 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.7%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 5 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:590% → 1%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Herschel Turner run for 4 yds to the USU 34Similar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.8%
Jack Hestera run for 4 yds to the WSU 47Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+15
99.8%
(14:03) PETRAS, Spencer pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PAGE, Grant thrown to the WSU25, clock 14:04. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on MOKU, Tanner enforced 15 yards to the USU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+6
99.8%
Herschel Turner run for 6 yds to the WSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Will Monney for 8 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 3 yds to the WSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
99.9%
PETRAS, Spencer pass short to the left incomplete intended for HESTERA, Jack thrown to the WSU25; QB hurried by GUSTA, David, clock 11:52. PENALTY USU Holding on MOTES, Cole enforced 10 yards from the WSU30 to the WSU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+17
99.9%
Herschel Turner run for 17 yds to the WSU 23Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+9
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Herschel Turner for 9 yds to the WSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Spencer Petras run for no gain to the WSU 14Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-4
99.9%
Spencer Petras sacked by David Gusta for a loss of 4 yards to the WSU 18Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 14
OPP 18
+6
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Herschel Turner for 6 yds to the WSU 12Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 12 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
14 plays · 53 yds · 7:2999% → 100%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.1%
Kyle Williams run for 6 yds to the USU 47Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+11
99.1%
John Mateer run for 11 yds to the USU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.2%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 3 yds to the USU 33Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+5
99.3%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 5 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
99.3%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 1 yd to the USU 27Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+5
99.3%
Utah State Penalty, Offsides (Gabriel Iniguez Jr.) to the USU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
99.4%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for a loss of 4 yards to the USU 26Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+14
99.4%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 14 yds to the USU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.4%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 2 yds to the USU 10Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
99.5%
John Mateer run for 5 yds to the USU 5Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 5
-2
99.7%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 7Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+4
99.7%
(01:17) QB Keeper MATEER, John rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the USU5 (PEARSON, Jadon), out of bounds, clock 01:10. PENALTY USU Offsides enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the USU7 to the USU3 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 3 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:190% → 1%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jack Hestera for 3 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+72
99.4%
Derrick Jameson run for 72 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
(00:38) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at WSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:48
Wayshawn Parker run for 75 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q2 7:17
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 14 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q2 14:57
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com