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SJSU

San José State 24 at Oregon State 13

ORST
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:08 · Dino Beslagic punt for 36 yds, downed at the ORST 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Home team on offense−0.5Pregame prior+6.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:06: Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 36 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +7.9 pts (now 47%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:36: Anthony Hankerson run for 10 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +13.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:02: Ben Gulbranson pass intercepted DJ Harvey return for 16 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +31.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:37: Walker Eget run for 8 yds to the ORST 38 — SJSU win probability +11.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:22: Floyd Chalk IV run for 11 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +13.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:49SJSU 4th & 5 at SJSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:45SJSU 4th & 4 at ORST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    41.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:25ORST 4th & 9 at SJSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:08SJSU 4th & 10 at ORST 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:30ORST 4th & 7 at SJSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:36ORST 4th & 17 at SJSU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:11SJSU 4th & 4 at ORST 15, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    41.8%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:00ORST 4th & 4 at SJSU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−1.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:47ORST 4th & 8 at SJSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    50.1%−9.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:42ORST 4th & 5 at SJSU 5, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.2%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−13.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:49SJSU 4th & 26 at SJSU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−5.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:41ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.0%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 12:06SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:36ORST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:02SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:22SJSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1043% → 42%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
57.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
57.5%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
57.6%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:3958% → 58%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+38
57.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 38 yds to the SJSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
57.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the SJSU 24Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
58.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the SJSU 20Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+5
58.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the SJSU 15 Anthony Hankerson fumbled, recovered by SJSU Taniela Latu T. Latu return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:1242% → 43%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+40
57.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 40 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
57.3%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
57.3%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+6
57.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 6 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
57.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1558% → 58%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
57.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORST 43Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
58.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 4 yds to the ORST 47Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
58.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
50
+1
58.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the SJSU 49Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
58.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
57.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
57.6%
Josh Green punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:1043% → 42%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
57.5%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the SJSU 10Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+33
57.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 33 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
56.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
57.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 15 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
56.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the ORST 42Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
56.7%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
57.0%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
57.6%
Dino Beslagic punt for 36 yds, downed at the ORST 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 7:3058% → 60%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
57.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 9 yds to the ORST 15Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+1
57.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
57.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 4 yds to the ORST 20Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+6
57.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 6 yds to the ORST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
57.9%
(03:19) GULBRANSON, Ben pass up the middle incomplete intended for CLEMONS, Darrius thrown to the OSU38; QB hurried by POLLARD, Jordan, clock 03:15. PENALTY OSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GONZALEZ, Flavio enforced 5 yards from the OSU26 to the OSU21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+5
57.7%
Salahadin Allah run for 5 yds to the ORST 26Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
57.9%
Salahadin Allah run for 9 yds to the ORST 35Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
58.3%
Ben Gulbranson run for 2 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
58.5%
Salahadin Allah run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
50
+4
59.5%
Salahadin Allah run for 4 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+16
59.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 16 yds to the SJSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
60.1%
Salahadin Allah run for 3 yds to the SJSU 27Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
60.2%
Salahadin Allah run for no gain to the SJSU 27Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
59.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
59.6%
Everett Hayes 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2340% → 47%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 24Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
59.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+40
60.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 40 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
52.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 36 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:2555% → 53%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+43
54.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 43 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
56.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the SJSU 39Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-3
56.7%
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Soane Toia for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 42Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
54.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 12
OPP 42
-5
53.1%
Oregon State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the SJSU 47Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
52.8%
Josh Green punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:1947% → 56%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
53.5%
Jabari Bates run for 8 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+37
52.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 37 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
50.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
49.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+14
50.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 14 yds to the ORST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
49.1%
(07:09) EGET, Walker pass short to the right incomplete intended for NASH, Nick broken up by SAEZ, Zakaih at the OSU18, clock 07:06. PENALTY OSU Offsides on SALUNI, Semisi enforced 5 yards from the OSU21 to the OSU16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 5
OPP 16
0
49.0%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+1
47.8%
Jabari Bates run for 1 yd to the ORST 15Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
48.5%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
43.8%
Kyler Halvorsen 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:2946% → 60%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
46.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 33Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+1
46.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 34Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+7
45.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 7 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
47.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 13 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
48.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 4 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
47.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-3
46.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 40Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+17
45.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 17 yds to the SJSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
48.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the SJSU 18Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+4
48.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the SJSU 14Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+4
46.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the SJSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
60.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 10 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 67 yds · 0:3446% → 52%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.0%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
54.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 21 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
50.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 16 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
49.5%
(00:14) EGET, Walker pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NASH, Nick thrown to the OSU11, clock 00:08. PENALTY OSU Roughing the Passer on POME'E, Tevita enforced 15 yards from the OSU38 to the OSU23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
48.1%
(00:07) EGET, Walker pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin broken up by JORDAN JR., Andre at the OSU0, clock 00:00. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on JORDAN JR., Andre enforced at the spot of the foul for 23 yards to the OSU0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
48.0%
Kyler Halvorsen 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 5:1358% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
58.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 22Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+27
58.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 27 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
61.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+13
61.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 13 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
61.8%
Salahadin Allah run for 17 yds to the SJSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
62.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the SJSU 18Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-1
62.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 19Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+2
61.3%
Ben Gulbranson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 17Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
64.9%
Everett Hayes 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13INT
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:5237% → 43%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 29Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
61.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 14 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
59.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 22 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
57.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Sebastian Macaluso for 4 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
57.1%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+14
59.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 14 yds to the ORST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-24
57.1%
Walker Eget pass intercepted Sailasa Vadrawale III return for 24 yds to the ORST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:5965% → 66%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
64.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 19 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
67.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 19 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
68.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+2
69.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
67.7%
Ben Gulbranson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
69.3%
(04:23) HANKERSON, Anthony rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the SJS22 (POLLARD, Jordan;STEARNS, Justin), clock 04:17. PENALTY OSU Holding on WELLS, Van enforced 10 yards from the SJS27 to the SJS37. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+8
67.3%
Salahadin Allah run for 8 yds to the SJSU 29Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+9
69.2%
Salahadin Allah run for 9 yds to the SJSU 20Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+12
68.2%
San José State Penalty, Face mask (12 yards) (Robert Rahimi) to the SJSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
69.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 6Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
70.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the SJSU 5Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
68.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
66.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:4934% → 31%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+14
66.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 14 yds to the SJSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+40
65.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 40 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-15
60.4%
(15:00) EGET, Walker pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin thrown to the OSU0, clock 14:51. PENALTY SJS Pass Interference on LOCKHART, Justin enforced 15 yards to the SJS44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 25
OWN 44
+22
64.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Floyd Chalk IV for 22 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-5
59.7%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Marist Talavou) to the ORST 39Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
61.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 8
OPP 39
-15
62.4%
(13:40) EGET, Walker pass deep to the right complete for 39 yards to NASH, Nick caught at the OSU1 and advanced to the OSU0, TOUCHDOWN SJS, score nullified by penalty, clock 13:31 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY SJS Pass Interference on NASH, Nick enforced 15 yards to the SJS46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 23
OWN 46
-15
67.2%
San José State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Floyd Chalk IV) to the SJSU 31Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 38
OWN 31
+12
69.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 12 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 26
OWN 43
-2
69.2%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 46 yds , Trent Walker returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16INT TD
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:3669% → 38%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
69.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORST 5Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 5
-3
68.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 2Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 13
OWN 2
-16
37.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass intercepted DJ Harvey return for 16 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:0840% → 40%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
40.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 17 yds to the ORST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
41.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
40.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 13 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
43.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
41.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Salahadin Allah for 4 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+2
41.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 46Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
40.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:1572% → 90%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
28.4%
Walker Eget run for 8 yds to the ORST 38Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+3
26.4%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
24.2%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
23.4%
Oregon State Penalty, Face mask (9 yards) (Jaden Robinson) to the ORST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
22.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the ORST 11Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
9.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 11 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19INT
17 plays · 71 yds · 4:3511% → 7%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 1 yd to the ORST 26Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
11.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 18 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
13.0%
Oregon State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Joshua Gray) to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
12.5%
Ben Gulbranson sacked by DJ Harvey for a loss of 6 yards to the ORST 37Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 16
OWN 37
-5
10.4%
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Justin Stearns for a loss of 5 yards to the ORST 32Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 21
OWN 32
+15
9.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 15 yds to the ORST 47Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+10
9.3%
(03:46) GULBRANSON, Ben pass deep to the right intercepted by REVIS, Isiah at the SJS33 intended for REDDICKS, Taz. Revis return for 0 yards to the SJS33, End of Play, clock 03:33. PENALTY SJS Holding on HARVEY, DJ enforced 10 yards from the OSU47 to the SJS43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
9.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
9.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+15
8.5%
(03:18) GULBRANSON, Ben pass short up the middle incomplete intended for WELLS JR., David thrown to the SJS38; QB hurried by RAHIMI, Robert and STEARNS, Justin, clock 03:11. PENALTY SJS Targeting on POLLARD, Jordan enforced 15 yards from the SJS43 to the SJS28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
11.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 3 yds to the SJSU 25Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+6
11.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 6 yds to the SJSU 19Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+4
9.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
10.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 7 yds to the SJSU 8Similar
Q4 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
6.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass intercepted Michael Dansby return for 1 yd to the SJSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20END OF GAME
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:0396% → 96%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
4.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 6Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+5
4.4%
Walker Eget run for 5 yds to the SJSU 11Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+3
4.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
4.0%
(00:52) Kneel down by EGET, Walker at SJS13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:47.Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-1
4.0%
(00:31) Kneel down by EGET, Walker at SJS12 (team loss of 1), clock 00:26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:02
Ben Gulbranson pass intercepted DJ Harvey return for 16 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
-31.1
TD · Q2 0:36
Anthony Hankerson run for 10 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q4 6:22
Floyd Chalk IV run for 11 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
-13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com