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UNM

New Mexico 21 at San Diego State 16

SDSU
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2024 · Snapdragon Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:59 · Aaron Rodriguez punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+5.0Home team on offense−4.5Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:32: Eli Sanders run for 68 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +4.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:37: Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 5 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK) — SDSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 1:39: Gabriel Plascencia 28 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:07: Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +26.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:06: Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the SDSU 45 — UNM win probability +10.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 13:24UNM 4th & 17 at UNM 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:10SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:08SDSU 4th & 4 at UNM 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.8%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52SDSU 4th & 13 at UNM 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:47UNM 4th & 3 at SDSU 28, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−0.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:47UNM 4th & 3 at SDSU 28, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−0.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:43SDSU 4th & 7 at UNM 46, down 8
    Close callPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    41.0%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:18UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 35, up 8
    Close callPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:12UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 42, up 1
    Close callPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:57SDSU 4th & 9 at UNM 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−1.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:59UNM 4th & 8 at SDSU 38, up 1
    Close callPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%−0.9
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:39SDSU 4th & 6 at UNM 10, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−15.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:11SDSU 4th & 5 at UNM 39, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    34.0%−3.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−4.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:25UNM 4th & 10 at SDSU 34, up 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.6 ptsPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%−2.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:11SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 17, down 5
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:46UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:32UNM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:37SDSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:07UNM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:2936% → 36%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
63.8%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
63.7%
New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-15
63.7%
PENALTY UNM UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sillemon,Isaiah) 15 yards from UNM39 to UNM24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 21
OWN 24
+4
63.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 4 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 17
OWN 28
+4
63.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 24 , Mekhi Shaw returns for 4 yds to the SDSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:0764% → 63%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
63.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 26Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
63.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jude Wolfe for 7 yds to the SDSU 33Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
63.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDSU 38Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-10
63.8%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny rush right for 10 yards gain to the SDSU48 (Kpai,Randolph) PENALTY SDSU Holding (McMahan,Tyler) 10 yards from SDSU38 to SDSU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+6
63.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 6 yds to the SDSU 34Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+1
63.4%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 1 yd to the SDSU 35Similar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
63.2%
Tyler Pastula punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNM 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
4 plays · 99 yds · 1:1936% → 40%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
63.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 7 yds to the UNM 8Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+6
63.6%
Devon Dampier run for 6 yds to the UNM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+35
63.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 35 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
60.3%
Eli Sanders run for 51 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4FG
17 plays · 71 yds · 5:1961% → 61%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the SDSU 30Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+40
60.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 40 yds to the UNM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
61.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 2 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+2
61.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jude Wolfe for 2 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+8
61.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 8 yds to the UNM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
61.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the UNM 15Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
61.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the UNM 9Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+4
60.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the UNM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
60.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the UNM 3Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
60.3%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass complete short left to Napier,Jordan caught at UNM02, for 3 yards to the UNM00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:27 PENALTY SDSU Pass Interference (Shaw,Mekhi) 15 yards from UNM03 to UNM18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+14
60.0%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete short left to Shaw,Mekhi thrown to UNM00 PENALTY UNM Pass Interference (Taylor,Bryson) 14 yards from UNM18 to UNM04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
60.2%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 1 yd to the UNM 3Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
60.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the UNM 4Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.3%
Jordan Napier pass incomplete to Danny O'NeilSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
61.4%
Gabriel Plascencia 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:2539% → 44%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
60.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 13 yds to the UNM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
55.7%
Eli Sanders run for 68 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1857% → 54%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
57.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the UNM 25Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+3
56.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 3 yds to the UNM 22Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+15
56.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 15 yds to the UNM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
56.2%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 5 yds to the UNM 12Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
55.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the UNM 13Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
54.8%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
54.4%
Gabriel Plascencia 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 3:5945% → 49%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.8%
Eli Sanders run for 9 yds to the UNM 34Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
53.9%
Devon Dampier run for 6 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
53.0%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Caleb MedfordSimilar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
53.3%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+7
52.3%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the SDSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
51.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 12 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
50.9%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the SDSU 33Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+4
50.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 4 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+1
50.3%
NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd to the SDSU 28Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
51.0%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Caleb MedfordSimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
51.0%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Caleb MedfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 26 yds · 3:5952% → 48%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
52.0%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
51.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 9 yds to the SDSU 37Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
52.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
52.5%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Louis Brown IVSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
51.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 42Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-5
50.3%
PENALTY SDSU False Start (McMahan,Tyler) 5 yards from SDSU42 to SDSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+14
49.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 14 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
52.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-10
51.1%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Cooper,Marquez rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNM43 (Lopez,Gabriel) PENALTY SDSU Holding (McMahan,Tyler) 10 yards from UNM46 to SDSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+7
48.5%
Danny O'Neil run for 7 yds to the UNM 49Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+3
48.6%
Cam Davis run for 3 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
47.6%
Tyler Pastula punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the UNM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:1952% → 53%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
48.3%
Devon Dampier run for 18 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
47.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for no gain to the UNM 28Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
47.8%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the UNM 35Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
46.4%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
47.2%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:3147% → 63%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
46.7%
New Mexico Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Christian Ellis) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
50
+9
49.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 9 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
49.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
48.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the UNM 35Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
49.7%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+15
48.2%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete deep right to Napier,Jordan thrown to UNM03 PENALTY UNM Pass Interference (Williams,Nigel) 15 yards from UNM35 to UNM20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
49.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Michael Harrison for 16 yds to the UNM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
49.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the UNM 5Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
62.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 5 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1144% → 44%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
56.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 10 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
55.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 5 yds to the UNM 40Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
53.7%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the UNM 42Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
53.9%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Caleb MedfordSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
55.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12END OF HALF
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:5858% → 55%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
58.1%
Danny O'Neil run for 3 yds to the SDSU 36Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+9
59.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the SDSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
60.3%
Danny O'Neil run for 6 yds to the UNM 49Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
61.0%
Cam Davis run for 3 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+8
60.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
61.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 3 yds to the UNM 35Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-9
62.3%
San Diego State Penalty, 10 Yards to the UNM 44Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 44
0
54.7%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:3458% → 56%
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
58.3%
Danny O'Neil run for 1 yd to the SDSU 36Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
58.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 4 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
59.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the SDSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
60.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDSU 48Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
60.7%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Mekhi ShawSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+7
59.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jude Wolfe for 7 yds to the UNM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
61.0%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the UNM 45Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
60.7%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the UNM 45Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+1
58.3%
Danny O'Neil run for 1 yd to the UNM 44Similar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
56.2%
Danny O'Neil punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:5045% → 46%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
55.2%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Dampier,Devon pass incomplete short right to Trujillo,Nic thrown to UNM33 PENALTY UNM Holding (Pearce,Richard) 10 yards from UNM24 to UNM14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+2
55.5%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the UNM 16Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 18
OWN 16
+1
55.7%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the UNM 17Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 17
OWN 17
+43
56.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Nic Trujillo for 43 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
51.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds to the SDSU 35Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
49.7%
Devon Dampier run for no gain to the SDSU 35Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-5
51.5%
(08:02) PENALTY UNM False Start 5 yards from SDSU35 to SDSU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+2
52.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 2 yds to the SDSU 38Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
53.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15FG
17 plays · 80 yds · 5:0756% → 66%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
55.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the SDSU 15Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+7
55.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the SDSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
55.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 15 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
57.1%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Michael HarrisonSimilar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
56.6%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the SDSU 37Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+15
54.6%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete deep left to Napier,Jordan thrown to UNM21 PENALTY UNM Pass Interference (Williams,Nigel) 15 yards from SDSU37 to UNM48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
60.4%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 12
50
0
57.2%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Mekhi ShawSimilar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 12
50
+14
55.8%
Danny O'Neil run for 14 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Defensive Offside (Noah Avinger) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
60.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jude Wolfe for 6 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+4
61.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the UNM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
61.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the UNM 23Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+9
61.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 9 yds to the UNM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
61.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the UNM 10Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
60.2%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
58.0%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Louis Brown IVSimilar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
66.3%
Gabriel Plascencia 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:1738% → 70%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
61.7%
San Diego State Penalty, (15 Yards) to the SDSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
58.2%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the SDSU 47Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+11
58.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the SDSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
58.6%
Devon Dampier run for 6 yds to the SDSU 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
56.5%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Eli SandersSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+10
58.3%
Devon Dampier run for 10 yds to the SDSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
56.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 7 yds to the SDSU 13Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+5
56.2%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the SDSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
29.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17PUNT
15 plays · 40 yds · 4:4240% → 41%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
39.8%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass complete deep right to Bennett,Nate caught at SDSU45, for 39 yards to the UNM40 (Royal,Jahvante) PENALTY SDSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Bryant,Brayden) 5 yards from SDSU21 to SDSU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+2
39.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 18Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 13
OWN 18
0
38.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 13
OWN 18
-5
37.2%
PENALTY SDSU False Start (Jones,Christian) 5 yards from SDSU18 to SDSU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 18
OWN 13
+15
37.1%
(12:11) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete deep middle to Wolfe,Jude thrown to SDSU48 PENALTY UNM Pass Interference (Cook,Skylar) 15 yards from SDSU13 to SDSU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
39.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the SDSU 34Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+8
42.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the SDSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
42.6%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Moso'oipala Tuitele for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 40Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+11
39.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 11 yds to the UNM 49Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
43.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
44.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 9 yds to the UNM 35Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
46.6%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Mekhi ShawSimilar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+4
43.9%
Cam Davis run for 4 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
40.5%
Tyler Pastula punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:3770% → 79%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+18
30.2%
Devon Dampier run for 18 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
26.0%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the UNM 22Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
25.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 9 yds to the UNM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
24.5%
Eli Sanders run for 7 yds to the UNM 38Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
22.5%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 39Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+27
20.1%
Devon Dampier run for 27 yds to the SDSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
16.1%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Michael BuckleySimilar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
16.1%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Eli SandersSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
17.5%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
21.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:0028% → 24%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
28.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 6Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+11
27.2%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 11 yds to the SDSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
28.1%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
26.0%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Louis Brown IVSimilar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
24.4%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Jordan NapierSimilar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+17
23.7%
Tyler Pastula punt for 49 yds , Ryan Davis returns for 17 yds to the SDSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20END OF GAME
12 plays · 31 yds · 3:0687% → 96%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
13.2%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+7
12.2%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
10.8%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the SDSU 38Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+10
8.2%
Eli Sanders run for 10 yds to the SDSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
7.2%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the SDSU 29Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+5
6.9%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the SDSU 24Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+7
4.7%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the SDSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
3.8%
D. Dampier takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:07
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-26.5
TD · Q2 2:37
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 5 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
+13.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:06
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the SDSU 45
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com