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WYO

Wyoming 49 at New Mexico 45

UNM
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:07 · Aaron Rodriguez punt for 50 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+4.8Home team on offense+4.8Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:57: Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +12.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:36: Eli Sanders run for 75 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +14.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:40: Devon Dampier run for 85 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +18.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:55: Devon Dampier pass intercepted Wrook Brown return for 29 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +12.5 pts (now 30%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:44: Kaden Anderson pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 27 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +40.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 3:39WYO 4th & 1 at UNM 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.5%−0.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−2.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:02WYO 4th & 2 at UNM 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    29.1%−0.4
    83% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−3.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:18UNM 4th & 21 at UNM 14, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:46UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 25, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:36WYO 4th & 19 at WYO 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−3.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:33WYO 4th & 1 at UNM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.4%−3.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:29UNM 4th & 9 at WYO 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−9.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:29WYO 4th & 1 at UNM 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:07UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:06WYO 4th & 5 at UNM 23, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−6.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:39UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:33UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:41WYO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:56UNM Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:02WYO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:55WYO Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:22UNM Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 9:54WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 5:20UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 1:57WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q2 1:36UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 0:40UNM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 12:55WYO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 4:44WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2765% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
64.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 17 yds to the UNM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
64.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
64.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 2
50
+24
64.7%
Eli Sanders run for 24 yds to the WYO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
64.8%
Eli Sanders run for 15 yds to the WYO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
64.8%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the WYO 10Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
65.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4435% → 37%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
65.1%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 12 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
65.0%
Jamari Ferrell run for 3 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
65.0%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
65.1%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WYO 35Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+47
65.3%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 47 yds to the UNM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
64.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the UNM 11Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+4
64.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the UNM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
64.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the UNM 5Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
64.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the UNM 1Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.1%
(09:09) FERRELL, Jamari rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM2 (HARRIS JR., Antoineo), clock 09:05. PENALTY UNM Offsides on TAYLOR, Bryson enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the UNM1 to the UNM0 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.4%
Jamari Ferrell run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4464% → 67%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.5%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
63.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 12 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
63.7%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
64.0%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
64.1%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
64.0%
Devon Dampier run for 12 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
64.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the WYO 34Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+34
67.4%
Eli Sanders run for 34 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:4535% → 38%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
65.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 10 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
65.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the UNM 32Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
64.9%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 4 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+2
65.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 2 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+3
65.8%
Jamari Ferrell run for 3 yds to the UNM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
64.9%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
65.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the UNM 22Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+7
65.3%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 7 yds to the UNM 15Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+15
61.7%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 15 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:4363% → 61%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.5%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-14
62.6%
(01:35) DAMPIER, Devon pass to the right incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the UNM40, clock 01:32. PENALTY UNM Personal Foul on OWENS, Lajuan enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the UNM28 to the UNM14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
62.3%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
61.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:18
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
61.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:1640% → 46%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
60.4%
Jamari Ferrell run for 5 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
60.1%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+23
60.6%
Jamari Ferrell run for 23 yds to the UNM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
54.5%
Kaden Anderson run for 7 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:2656% → 65%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
55.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 6 yds to the UNM 37Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
56.5%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 38Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+5
55.8%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the UNM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
56.1%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 44Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+13
55.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 13 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
56.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 16 yds to the WYO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
56.8%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
56.7%
Eli Sanders run for 9 yds to the WYO 18Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+18
64.9%
Devon Dampier run for 18 yds for a TD (T. Bruckler Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 1:2138% → 47%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
62.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the WYO 27Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
61.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the WYO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
53.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 68 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0254% → 51%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 15
OWN 11
-15
54.1%
(09:48) DAMPIER, Devon pass to the right complete for 15 yards to MEDFORD, Caleb caught at the UNM25 and advanced to the UNM26 (BROWN, Wrook), clock 09:36. PENALTY UNM Holding on PEARCE, Richard enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the UNM11 to the UNM6 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
54.2%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNM 11Similar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 20
OWN 6
+13
53.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 13 yds to the UNM 19Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+1
53.7%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 20Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+5
52.5%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the UNM 25Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 75 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:5949% → 48%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-16
51.3%
Kaden Anderson run for a loss of 16 yards to the WYO 4 Kaden Anderson fumbled, recovered by WYO Kaden Anderson K. Anderson return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 26
OWN 4
+1
51.7%
Jamari Ferrell run for 1 yd to the WYO 5Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 25
OWN 5
0
52.2%
Wyoming Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 19
OWN 11
-11
52.4%
Jack Culbreath punt for 39 yds , Jahvante Royal returns for a loss of 11 yards to the UNM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:0752% → 65%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
52.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 13 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
54.0%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
53.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 8 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+40
64.8%
Devon Dampier run for 40 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2040% → 58%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.7%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 4 yds to the WYO 29Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
59.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 11 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
57.9%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Nick Miles for 25 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
56.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+15
55.5%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 15 yds to the UNM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
55.1%
Justin Stevenson run for 7 yds to the UNM 6Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
42.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:1448% → 62%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
48.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 6 yds to the UNM 25Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+75
62.4%
Eli Sanders run for 75 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:3041% → 44%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
58.7%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 11 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
57.8%
Kaden Anderson run for 4 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-5
56.3%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the WYO 35Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+5
58.6%
Jamari Ferrell run for 5 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+9
56.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the WYO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:2742% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.5%
Jamari Ferrell run for 3 yds to the WYO 28Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
58.1%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Will Pelissier for 9 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
57.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 1 yd to the WYO 38Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+15
56.8%
New Mexico Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle enforced (15 Yards) to the UNM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
54.9%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
54.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the UNM 37Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
54.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the UNM 36Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-1
56.8%
Evan Svoboda run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 1:5862% → 68%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
62.3%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+14
61.9%
Devon Dampier run for 14 yds to the WYO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+35
64.6%
Eli Sanders run for 35 yds to the WYO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
65.7%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the WYO 13Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
65.8%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
64.5%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
67.5%
Luke Drzewiecki 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:5835% → 36%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
65.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 17 yds to the WYO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
62.9%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
63.6%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 41Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+10
65.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Will Pelissier for 10 yds to the UNM 49Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
63.7%
Jack Culbreath punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Michael Buckley at the UNM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1567% → 67%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.9%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 20Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
66.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 12 yds to the UNM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
67.4%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+1
69.5%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 40Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
68.0%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
66.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19INT
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:3735% → 41%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
64.9%
Jamari Ferrell run for 5 yds to the WYO 15Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+13
65.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 13 yds to the WYO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
64.8%
Jamari Ferrell run for 2 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
64.9%
Jamari Ferrell run for 3 yds to the WYO 33Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+7
66.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 7 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
63.8%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 7 yds to the WYO 47Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+15
61.6%
New Mexico Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Noa Pola-Gates) to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
59.5%
New Mexico Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the UNM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:3765% → 83%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
64.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 7 yds to the UNM 15Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+85
83.0%
Devon Dampier run for 85 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21MISSED FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:3318% → 17%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
82.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 36 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
80.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the UNM 33Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
79.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
80.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
79.3%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
80.1%
Jamari Ferrell run for 5 yds to the UNM 23Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
80.8%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
83.1%
John Hoyland 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-29
70.5%
Devon Dampier pass intercepted Wrook Brown return for 29 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1471% → 71%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.5%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 25Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
70.0%
Devon Dampier run for 14 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
72.7%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 39Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
72.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 4 yds to the UNM 43Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
72.8%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
70.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 5:4832% → 81%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
68.1%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
68.6%
Kaden Anderson run for 4 yds to the WYO 16Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+14
69.5%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 14 yds to the WYO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
66.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 6 yds to the WYO 36Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+6
63.6%
Jamari Ferrell run for 6 yds to the WYO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+39
63.9%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 39 yds to the UNM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
58.6%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Clay Nanke for 1 yd to the UNM 18Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+3
58.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the UNM 15Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+7
60.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 7 yds to the UNM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
58.1%
Wyoming Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kaden Anderson) to the UNM 13Similar
Q4 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+1
59.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the UNM 12Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-15
59.2%
(04:54) ANDERSON, Kaden pass to the left complete for 12 yards to DURR, Chris caught at the UNM5 and advanced to the UNM0, TOUCHDOWN WYO, score nullified by penalty, clock 04:51 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY WYO Pass Interference on STEVENSON, Justin enforced 15 yards to the UNM27 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 27
+27
19.0%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 27 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25FUMBLE
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:4833% → 30%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
33.2%
(04:42) DAMPIER, Devon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb broken up by DAVIS, Tyrecus at the WYO40, clock 04:37. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference on DAVIS, Tyrecus enforced 15 yards to the UNM40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
37.3%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+13
35.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Michael Buckley for 13 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
39.8%
(03:58) SANDERS, Eli rush up the middle for a gain of 20 yards to the WYO27 (DAVIS, Tyrecus), clock 03:54. PENALTY UNM Holding on OWENS, Lajuan enforced 10 yards from the WYO47 to the UNM43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+1
34.3%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the UNM 44Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 19
OWN 44
0
31.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 19
OWN 44
+5
29.9%
(03:03) DAMPIER, Devon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MILLER, Shawn thrown to the WYO14, clock 02:55. PENALTY Before the snap, WYO Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UNM44 to the UNM49. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-1
30.3%
Devon Dampier sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 48 Devon Dampier fumbled, recovered by WYO Tyce Westland , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26END OF GAME
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:1386% → 96%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
13.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the UNM 42Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
13.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
9.3%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 37Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+8
8.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
7.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 4 yds to the UNM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
4.5%
(00:33) Kneel down by TEAM at UNM27 (team loss of 2), clock 00:28.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:44
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 27 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
-40.2
TD · Q3 0:40
Devon Dampier run for 85 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+18.1
TD · Q2 1:36
Eli Sanders run for 75 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com