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SDSU

San Diego State 24 at Boise State 56

BOIS
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2024 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:26 · Dylan Riley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:39: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 19 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:31: Danny O'Neil pass intercepted A'Marion McCoy return for 35 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:35: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 9:12: Gabriel Plascencia 27 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:22: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SDSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 14:15SDSU 4th & 7 at SDSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:05SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:31SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:12SDSU 4th & 7 at BOIS 8, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.9%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:46BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 33, up 25
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:22BOIS 4th & 1 at SDSU 14, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:56SDSU 4th & 16 at SDSU 19, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:45BOIS 4th & 9 at BOIS 20, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:30SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 41, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:10BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 44, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:40SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 33, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:49SDSU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:12SDSU 4th & 8 at BOIS 45, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:35SDSU 4th & 5 at BOIS 30, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:48SDSU 4th & 3 at BOIS 47, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:34BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:39BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:31BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:35BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:58SDSU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:22BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:13BOIS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:03BOIS Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:35SDSU Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:03BOIS Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:30SDSU Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:456% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.6%
San Diego State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSU 20Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+8
93.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 8 yds to the SDSU 28Similar
Q1 14:15
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
93.5%
Tyler Pastula punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:3793% → 93%
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
93.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 15 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
93.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the SDSU 43Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+3
93.2%
Tyler Crowe run for 3 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
93.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 11 yds to the SDSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
93.1%
Tyler Crowe run for 3 yds to the SDSU 26Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
92.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+8
92.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the SDSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
93.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 18 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:037% → 7%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 6 yds to the SDSU 31Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
92.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 33Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
92.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 34Similar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
92.8%
Trey White run for 4 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.6%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
92.6%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+2
92.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 2 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
92.6%
Tyler Pastula punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BOIS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:4893% → 93%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 27Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
92.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 31Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
92.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 13 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
92.4%
(05:43) MADSEN, Maddux pass to the right complete for 26 yards to WAGNER, Matt caught at the BSU42 and advanced to the SDS30 (LOUIS, Marlem), clock 05:33. PENALTY BSU Holding on JEANTY, Ashton enforced 10 yards from the BSU44 to the BSU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+5
92.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 39Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+16
92.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 16 yds to the SDSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
92.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 47Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+11
92.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 11 yds to the SDSU 36Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
92.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the SDSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
92.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Wagner for 14 yds to the SDSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
93.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 19 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-35
95.0%
Danny O'Neil pass intercepted A'Marion McCoy return for 35 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6INT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:175% → 5%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
95.0%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Braxton Fely and Michael Callahan for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSU 16Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-5
95.1%
San Diego State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSU 11Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+4
95.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 4 yds to the SDSU 15Similar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
95.3%
Danny O'Neil pass intercepted Alexander Teubner return for no gain to the BOIS 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:2995% → 98%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.4%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
95.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+8
95.2%
Maddux Madsen run for 8 yds to the SDSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
95.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 13
50
+10
95.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 10 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+15
95.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 15 yds to the SDSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
96.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 10 yds to the SDSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
96.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the SDSU 14Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
97.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:192% → 6%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
97.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 12 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.7%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-3
97.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSU 49Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+40
98.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 40 yds to the BOIS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
97.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BOIS 8Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
97.8%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
97.9%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the BOIS 8Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+27
93.6%
Gabriel Plascencia 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2695% → 96%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 27Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
96.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 6 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
95.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+14
95.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 46 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 14 yds to the SDSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:426% → 7%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.4%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for no gain to the SDSU 35Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+42
94.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 42 yds to the BOIS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
93.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 11 yds to the BOIS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
93.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BOIS 6Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
92.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:3694% → 98%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 8 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
94.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
94.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 38Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
94.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+9
94.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 9 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
94.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 16 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
94.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 8 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
94.5%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 2
OPP 29
-10
94.3%
(02:50) JEANTY, Ashton rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the SDS25 (HERMAN, DJ), clock 02:45. PENALTY BSU Illegal Block in the Back on CAMPER, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the SDS29 to the SDS39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+16
94.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 16 yds to the SDSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
94.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the SDSU 23Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-10
95.2%
(01:53) MADSEN, Maddux pass to the right incomplete intended for STRACHAN, Prince thrown to the SDS10; QB hurried by LETULI, Tano, clock 01:46. PENALTY BSU Holding on STEELE, Jake enforced 10 yards from the SDS23 to the SDS33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 20
OPP 33
+18
95.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 18 yds to the SDSU 15Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
94.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the SDSU 14Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+14
97.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
95.7%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4598% → 100%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
98.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
98.3%
Maddux Madsen run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
50
+35
98.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 35 yds to the SDSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
98.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the SDSU 11Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
98.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the SDSU 8Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
98.6%
Maddux Madsen run for 4 yds to the SDSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Danny O'Neil run for 4 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
99.4%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan and Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSU 19Similar
Q3 8:56
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Tyler Pastula punt for 79 yds, downed at the BOIS 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
99.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BOIS 9Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+6
99.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the BOIS 15 Boise State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cameron Camper) to the BOIS 7Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+12
99.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 12 yds to the BOIS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 21Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-1
99.6%
Maddux Madsen sacked by Krishna Clay and Tano Letuli for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 20Similar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
99.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 43 yds, downed at the SDSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:081% → 1%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.0%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-6
99.2%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSU 41Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.2%
Tyler Pastula punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the BOIS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 6:24100% → 100%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 12Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+3
99.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 3 yds to the BOIS 15Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+22
99.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 22 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
99.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 44Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+6
99.8%
Marco Notarainni run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the SDSU 47Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+9
99.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Wagner for 9 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
99.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 12 yds to the SDSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.8%
Cameron Bates run for 9 yds to the SDSU 17Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+13
99.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the SDSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:280% → 0%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the SDSU 32Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 33Similar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
99.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the SDSU 46Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 1
50
+3
99.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BOIS 45Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 8
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 10 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+30
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 30 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
San Diego State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for no gain to the BOIS 40Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Cameron Bates for 11 yds to the SDSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Tyler Crowe for 4 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+11
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 11 yds to the SDSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 4 yds to the SDSU 30Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 5 yds to the SDSU 25Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+15
99.9%
(04:02) NELSON, Malachi pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for PENRY, Chase broken up by NIMMO JR., William at the SDS0, clock 03:59. PENALTY SDS Pass Interference on NIMMO JR., William enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the SDS10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 6 yds to the SDSU 4Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
100.0%
(03:20) CROWE, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the SDS2 (LETULI, Tano), clock 03:17. PENALTY Before the snap, SDS Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the SDS4 to the SDS2. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Tyler Crowe run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
100.0%
Cam Davis run for 6 yds to the BOIS 48Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the BOIS 47Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+19
100.0%
Cam Davis run for 19 yds to the BOIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
99.9%
Cam Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the BOIS 33Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+3
100.0%
Cam Davis run for 3 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+30
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 30 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
100.0%
Dylan Riley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 9:12
Gabriel Plascencia 27 yd FG GOOD
-4.2
TD · Q2 0:22
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q1 1:31
Danny O'Neil pass intercepted A'Marion McCoy return for 35 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com