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USU

Utah State 27 at Wyoming 25

WYO
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:14 · Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior−2.1Home team on offense−5.5Score differential−2.8Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:19: Rahsul Faison run for 8 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK) — USU win probability +13.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:36: Tyler King run for 54 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WYO win probability +24.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:58: Spencer Petras pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 10 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK) — USU win probability +23.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:57: John Hoyland 31 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +19.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Tanner Cragun 40 yd FG GOOD — USU win probability +61.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7USU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:13WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:44USU 4th & 5 at USU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:19WYO 4th & 13 at USU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:24USU 4th & 11 at USU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:49USU 4th & 5 at WYO 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    47.1%−0.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:49WYO 4th & 13 at WYO 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−2.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:19USU 4th & 9 at WYO 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−6.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:30WYO 4th & 4 at USU 9, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%−0.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−12.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:14USU 4th & 3 at USU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:08WYO 4th & 6 at USU 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−12.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:12USU 4th & 8 at USU 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−2.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:42WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:45USU 4th & 16 at USU 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−7.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:18USU 4th & 4 at WYO 47, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:57WYO 4th & 5 at USU 14, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−22.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−38.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:32USU 4th & 3 at USU 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.1%−1.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00USU 4th & 5 at WYO 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−36.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−46.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:27USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:19WYO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:19USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:36WYO Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    68.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:58USU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3356% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for no gain to the USU 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the USU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
44.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 12 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
44.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 5 yds to the USU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
44.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 6 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
44.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 15 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
43.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 36 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1444% → 44%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.2%
Evan Svoboda run for 5 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
44.2%
Tyler King run for 10 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
44.4%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Tyler King for 8 yds to the WYO 48Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
44.5%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
44.4%
Evan Svoboda run for no gain to the WYO 48Similar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
44.1%
Jack Culbreath punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:2956% → 57%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
43.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Will Monney for 8 yds to the USU 26Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+8
43.6%
Rahsul Faison run for 8 yds to the USU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
43.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 5 yds to the USU 39Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
43.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
43.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
43.3%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:2544% → 45%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+43
43.5%
Sam Scott run for 43 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
44.3%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
44.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 1 yd to the USU 37Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+14
44.1%
Evan Svoboda run for 14 yds to the USU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
44.6%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the USU 22Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
44.6%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 9
OPP 22
-4
44.3%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Cian Slone for a loss of 4 yards to the USU 26Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+43
44.8%
John Hoyland 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:5455% → 54%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
45.4%
Herschel Turner run for 8 yds to the USU 13Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+1
45.2%
Herschel Turner run for 1 yd to the USU 14Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+1
45.6%
Herschel Turner run for 1 yd to the USU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
45.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Herschel Turner for 5 yds to the USU 20Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+10
45.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 10 yds to the USU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
45.0%
PETRAS, Spencer pass up the middle incomplete intended for MONNEY, Will thrown to the USU44. PENALTY USU Holding on MAILE, George enforced 10 yards from the USU30 to the USU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 20
OWN 20
-2
45.2%
Spencer Petras sacked by DeVonne Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 18Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 22
OWN 18
0
45.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 22
OWN 18
+11
45.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 11 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q1 1:24
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
46.3%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:0545% → 53%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
45.3%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Tyler King for 4 yds to the WYO 34Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
46.1%
Jamari Ferrell run for 1 yd to the WYO 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+8
45.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 8 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
46.6%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
46.0%
Jamari Ferrell run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
50
+20
46.6%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 20 yds to the USU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
47.7%
Kaden Anderson run for 3 yds to the USU 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+7
47.7%
Jamari Ferrell run for 7 yds to the USU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
47.7%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USU 25Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+7
47.5%
Kaden Anderson run for 7 yds to the USU 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+7
47.7%
ANDERSON, Kaden pass to the left incomplete intended for STEVENSON, Justin thrown to the USU5. PENALTY USU Pass Interference on LARSEN, Ike enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the USU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
53.0%
Sam Scott run for 11 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:3049% → 49%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
51.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Colby Bowman for 6 yds to the USU 31Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
50.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
50.6%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the USU 38Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
49.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Colby Bowman for 8 yds to the USU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
49.4%
Herschel Turner run for 1 yd to the USU 47Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
49.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+11
50.3%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the right incomplete intended for TIA, Otto broken up by DAVIS, Tyrecus at the WYO43. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the WYO42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
49.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
49.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jack Hestera for 3 yds to the WYO 39Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+2
49.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the WYO 37Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
51.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:0054% → 52%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
53.5%
Kaden Anderson run for 2 yds to the WYO 39Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
54.1%
Jamari Ferrell run for 3 yds to the WYO 42Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-8
53.5%
Kaden Anderson sacked by Cian Slone for a loss of 8 yards to the WYO 34Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
51.7%
Jack Culbreath punt for 44 yds, downed at the USU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:3047% → 54%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
53.0%
Rahsul Faison run for 9 yds to the USU 31Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+9
51.6%
Rahsul Faison run for 9 yds to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
51.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 12 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
50.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 4 yds to the WYO 44Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+19
50.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 19 yds to the WYO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
49.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the WYO 21Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
49.3%
Herschel Turner run for 2 yds to the WYO 19Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+5
50.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 5 yds to the WYO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
49.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the WYO 13Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
49.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
50.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
46.4%
Tanner Cragun 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:3851% → 51%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
51.4%
Evan Svoboda run for 10 yds to the WYO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
51.9%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 4 yds to the WYO 35Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
52.7%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-10
51.0%
Evan Svoboda pass intercepted Jordan Vincent return for 10 yds to the WYO 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:1656% → 69%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+36
44.4%
Grant Page pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 36 yds to the WYO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
31.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 8 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
36.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:3037% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.7%
Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
37.3%
Sam Scott run for 7 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
37.5%
ANDERSON, Kaden pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for PELISSIER, Will broken up by DREW, JD at the USU22. PENALTY USU Pass Interference on DREW, JD enforced 15 yards to the USU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
40.1%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+20
39.6%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Tyler King for 20 yds to the USU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
41.4%
Kaden Anderson run for 4 yds to the USU 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+3
41.4%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the USU 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+6
40.0%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 6 yds to the USU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
41.4%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jamari Ferrell for 6 yds to the USU 9Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
41.4%
Kaden Anderson run for 3 yds to the USU 9Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
39.9%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-10
41.4%
Wyoming Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the USU 12Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
45.2%
John Hoyland 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1658% → 56%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
42.2%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 23Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
42.5%
Rahsul Faison run for 9 yds to the USU 32Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
42.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
43.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:0643% → 51%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
43.3%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Clay Nanke for 32 yds to the USU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
46.2%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
45.8%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the USU 40Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+14
45.4%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 14 yds to the USU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
48.1%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 27Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+12
47.9%
Tyler King run for 12 yds to the USU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
48.1%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
48.1%
Utah State Penalty, Personal Foul (JD Drew) to the USU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
48.1%
Sam Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 5Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
48.1%
Evan Svoboda run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 6Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.8%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
50.6%
John Hoyland 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5055% → 51%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
45.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Rahsul Faison for a loss of 3 yards to the USU 24Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+4
47.1%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+1
47.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 1 yd to the USU 29Similar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
49.4%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:3048% → 46%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+22
47.5%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 22 yds to the WYO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
52.1%
Jamari Ferrell run for no gain to the WYO 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
51.3%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
47.4%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
45.6%
Jack Culbreath punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:5755% → 51%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
45.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
45.6%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 19Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
47.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 11
OWN 19
-5
48.9%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Jon Ross Maye) to the USU 14Similar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
48.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
73.2%
Tyler King run for 54 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3836% → 67%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 1 yd to the USU 26Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
64.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 7 yds to the USU 33Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
62.9%
PETRAS, Spencer pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WHITE, Kyrese thrown to the WYO31. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the USU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
59.3%
Wyoming Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
58.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 10 yds to the WYO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
55.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 17 yds to the WYO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
32.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 10 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21FUMBLE
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:2746% → 56%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
46.0%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 15 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
50.7%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
48.1%
Chris Durr Jr. run for 3 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+7
46.9%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
50
+4
52.0%
Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+20
52.3%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Tyler King for 20 yds to the USU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
56.2%
Tyler King run for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 15 Tyler King fumbled, recovered by USU Isaiah Bruce I. Bruce return for 34 yds for a 1ST down Utah State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WYO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1365% → 64%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
34.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the USU 48Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
35.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+5
36.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds to the WYO 47Similar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
35.8%
Ryan Marks punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:2146% → 72%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
46.4%
Kaden Anderson run for 5 yds to the WYO 25Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
47.2%
Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the WYO 29Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+39
45.9%
Sam Scott run for 39 yds to the USU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
56.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 6 yds to the USU 26Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+3
56.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 3 yds to the USU 23Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+4
53.0%
Jamari Ferrell run for 4 yds to the USU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
56.2%
Justin Stevenson run for 6 yds to the USU 13Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
56.2%
Sam Scott run for no gain to the USU 13Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-5
53.0%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USU 18Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+4
52.8%
Justin Stevenson run for 4 yds to the USU 14Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
71.8%
John Hoyland 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 1:5735% → 94%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 2 yds to the USU 27Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
64.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
68.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 5 yds to the USU 32Similar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+6
67.6%
Bryson Barnes run for 6 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
63.6%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+18
64.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 18 yds to the WYO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
57.1%
Rahsul Faison run for 9 yds to the WYO 35Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+8
53.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 8 yds to the WYO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
51.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the WYO 26Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
53.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+4
67.6%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the WYO 22Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
6.5%
Tanner Cragun 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Tanner Cragun 40 yd FG GOOD
-61.1
TD · Q4 13:36
Tyler King run for 54 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+24.5
TD · Q4 11:58
Spencer Petras pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 10 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)
-23.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com