Try the model
UNLV

UNLV 33 at Oregon State 25

ORST
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Reser Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:36 · Josh Green punt for 51 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 28 yds to the UNLV 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Home team on offense+1.8Pregame prior−7.7Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:36: Gevani McCoy run for 71 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +13.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:25: Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK) — UNLV win probability +14.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:21: Hajj-Malik Williams run for 9 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK) — UNLV win probability +21.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:53: Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 22 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK) — UNLV win probability +8.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:14: Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds for a TD (Gevani McCoy pass to Jermaine Terry II for Two-Point Conversion) — ORST win probability +11.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 7:57ORST 4th & 2 at UNLV 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:51UNLV 4th & 1 at ORST 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%−1.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    59.7%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:34UNLV 4th & 2 at ORST 2, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    55.2%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:55ORST 4th & 1 at UNLV 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:12UNLV 4th & 9 at ORST 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−6.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:26ORST 4th & 14 at ORST 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:45UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:36ORST 4th & 16 at ORST 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−4.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:24UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 44, down 1
    Close callPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:32ORST 4th & 13 at ORST 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−4.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:28UNLV 4th & 1 at ORST 11, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%−3.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−14.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:11ORST 4th & 5 at UNLV 48, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:04ORST 4th & 24 at ORST 43, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−4.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:33UNLV 4th & 24 at UNLV 30, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−4.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:05ORST 4th & 17 at ORST 22, down 9
    Numbers favored punt by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:27ORST 4th & 3 at UNLV 23, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:05ORST 4th & 4 at UNLV 17, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−4.0
    80% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 8:55ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:36ORST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:25UNLV Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:21UNLV Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:53UNLV Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:14ORST Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.8%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1FG
11 plays · 76 yds · 6:5732% → 36%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
32.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 24Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
32.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+2
32.7%
Bryce Caufield run for 2 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
33.0%
Gevani McCoy run for 4 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+12
33.4%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 12 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
33.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+44
34.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 44 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
34.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the UNLV 4Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
35.3%
Trent Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 5Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
35.2%
Gevani McCoy run for 3 yds to the UNLV 2Similar
Q1 7:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
36.1%
Everett Hayes 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2FG
16 plays · 82 yds · 7:1564% → 63%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
36.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+6
36.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+13
36.7%
Jacob De Jesus run for 13 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
36.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 12 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
36.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the ORST 46Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
36.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
36.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+10
37.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 10 yds to the ORST 34 Hajj-Malik Williams fumbled, recovered by UNLV return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
36.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
36.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the ORST 26Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+18
37.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 18 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
36.9%
UNLV Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORST 13Similar
Q1 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
37.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the ORST 6Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
37.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
37.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 4 yds to the ORST 2Similar
Q1 0:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
36.8%
Caden Chittenden 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:3938% → 50%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.4%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 4 yds to the ORST 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
38.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 13 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
40.1%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Johnathan Baldwin and Mani Powell for a loss of 4 yards to the ORST 38Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+21
39.5%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 21 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
41.5%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 13 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
42.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+7
42.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 7 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
43.0%
Gevani McCoy run for 14 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
43.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
43.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
43.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 8:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.6%
Gevani McCoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:4351% → 54%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
48.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 13 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
48.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 16 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
47.7%
Devin Green run for no gain to the ORST 46Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
48.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 9 yds to the ORST 37Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
48.2%
Devin Green run for 2 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
47.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the ORST 39Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 14
OPP 39
0
50.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+22
51.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Casey Cain for 22 yds to the ORST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
48.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
48.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the ORST 16Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
50.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+34
45.9%
Caden Chittenden 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:3548% → 61%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 26Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
48.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 29Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+71
61.4%
Gevani McCoy run for 71 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1138% → 58%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
61.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 43 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
58.7%
Kylin James run for 5 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+6
56.3%
Kylin James run for 6 yds to the ORST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+19
56.6%
Kylin James run for 19 yds to the ORST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
42.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:5150% → 48%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
49.5%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+11
49.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 11 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
50.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-10
49.6%
(00:49) MCCOY, Gevani pass to the right incomplete intended for WALKER, Trent broken up by OLIVER, Cameron at the OSU37; QB hurried by POWELL, Mani, clock 00:42. PENALTY OSU Holding on STARCK, Grant enforced 10 yards from the OSU30 to the OSU20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 20
OWN 20
0
49.4%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+6
48.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 26Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
48.4%
punt blocked by Ricky White III blocked by Ricky White IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8FG
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:1653% → 58%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
47.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 6 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+15
45.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 15 yds to the ORST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+34
41.7%
Caden Chittenden 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1552% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.7%
Kylin James run for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.3%
Kylin James run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
49.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+1
50.9%
Marshall Nichols punt for 51 yds , Trent Walker returns for 1 yd to the ORST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 4:0050% → 49%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
49.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 26Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
50.0%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 3 yds to the ORST 29Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
49.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 6 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
50.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 37Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
51.6%
Darrius Clemons run for 1 yd to the ORST 38Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-9
50.9%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Antonio Doyle Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the ORST 29Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 16
OWN 29
+28
48.9%
Josh Green punt for 51 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 28 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:5849% → 47%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
51.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
51.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 14Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+9
53.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 9 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
51.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+8
50.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 8 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
50.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
49.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 3 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
49.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+2
52.8%
Marshall Nichols punt for 46 yds , Trent Walker returns for 2 yds to the ORST 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0654% → 53%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
53.7%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+7
53.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the ORST 19 Anthony Hankerson fumbled, recovered by UNLV Cameron Oliver C. Oliver return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:3753% → 74%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
46.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 10 yds to the ORST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
25.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 9 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:4933% → 31%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
33.2%
Gevani McCoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 22Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
32.7%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
31.3%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+3
30.5%
Josh Green punt for 53 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 4:4971% → 79%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
28.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
29.4%
Kylin James run for 3 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+9
29.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 9 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
25.4%
Jacob De Jesus run for 4 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
25.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 4 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
25.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 4 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
24.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 7 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
24.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
24.9%
Kylin James run for 5 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
24.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 16 yds to the ORST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
23.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 4 yds to the ORST 16Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
23.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+5
23.8%
Kylin James run for 5 yds to the ORST 11Similar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+29
21.5%
Caden Chittenden 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:2323% → 17%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
22.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 22 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
24.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
26.0%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
25.3%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 5
OPP 48
+5
22.5%
Gevani McCoy run for 5 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
26.4%
Darrius Clemons run for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 17
50
0
22.3%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 17
50
-7
21.4%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Jalen Catalon for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 43Similar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 24
OWN 43
+18
16.8%
Josh Green punt for 44 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 18 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 3:1782% → 85%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
18.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
16.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 9 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
13.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-3
13.6%
Jai'Den Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-13
13.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Oluwaseyi Omotosho for a loss of 13 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 24
OWN 30
+5
14.8%
Marshall Nichols punt for 46 yds , Trent Walker returns for 5 yds to the ORST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2315% → 12%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
15.0%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Antonio Doyle Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the ORST 23Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+6
13.0%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 6 yds to the ORST 29Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-7
12.5%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Antonio Doyle Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 22Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 17
OWN 22
0
11.5%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
1 play · 22 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
2.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 22 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:394% → 15%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.9%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.8%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 7 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
3.7%
UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (Tony Grimes) to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
3.8%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
3.8%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+18
3.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 18 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
4.4%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 5 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
4.4%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+2
4.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 2 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+16
4.0%
Gevani McCoy run for 16 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (Jett Elad) to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
15.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds for a TD (Gevani McCoy pass to Jermaine Terry II for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:1994% → 96%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
4.1%
Kylin James run for 1 yd to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
4.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass intercepted Jack Kane return for 5 yds to the ORST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22Uncategorized
12 plays · 48 yds · 1:398% → 9%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
7.9%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 6
50
+9
8.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 9 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
8.4%
Gevani McCoy run for 3 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
6.3%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+15
5.8%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 15 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
7.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 2 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-5
8.3%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Alexander Whitmore and Jett Elad for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+9
5.8%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 9 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+11
6.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 11 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
8.5%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:21
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 9 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)
-21.2
TD · Q2 1:25
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)
-14.1
TD · Q2 2:36
Gevani McCoy run for 71 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
+13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com