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WYO

Wyoming 14 at San José State 24

SJSU
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:42 · Trent Carrizosa punt for 60 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+10.0Home team on offense+13.3Score differential+1.9Garbage-time factor+6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:21: Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 17 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:33: Evan Svoboda pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 18 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +10.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:31: Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the SJSU 34 — SJSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:25: Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 12 yds to the SJSU 26 for a 1ST down — SJSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:16: Jabari Bates run for 19 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WYO made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 9:17WYO 4th & 1 at SJSU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:33WYO 4th & 1 at SJSU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:54SJSU 4th & 6 at WYO 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:44WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:34WYO 4th & 13 at WYO 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:15WYO 4th & 19 at WYO 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:38WYO 4th & 1 at SJSU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%−1.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:18WYO 4th & 25 at SJSU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:24WYO 4th & 20 at WYO 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−2.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:08SJSU 4th & 9 at WYO 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−6.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:38WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:42SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:09WYO 4th & 8 at SJSU 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−0.6
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:50SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:52WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:55SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:36WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 38, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:54SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:02SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 21, up 17
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:45SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:21SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:33WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:16SJSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:43WYO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1480% → 80%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
80.0%
(14:59) EGET, Walker pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin thrown to the WYO35, clock 14:54. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference on EKELER, Wyett enforced 15 yards to the SJSU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
80.0%
Walker Eget run for 1 yd to the SJSU 41Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
79.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+20
79.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 20 yds to the WYO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
79.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
80.1%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 39 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 54 yds · 7:0620% → 21%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
80.0%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the WYO 23Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+4
80.0%
Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the WYO 27Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+19
80.0%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 19 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
79.8%
Sam Scott run for 8 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+2
79.6%
Evan Svoboda run for 2 yds to the SJSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
79.6%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
79.6%
Chris Durr Jr. run for 2 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+7
79.6%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Tyler King for 7 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
79.7%
Evan Svoboda run for 2 yds to the SJSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
79.2%
Evan Svoboda run for 5 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
79.1%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the SJSU 26Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
79.3%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the SJSU 24Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
79.5%
Sam Scott run for no gain to the SJSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:3480% → 80%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
79.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 4 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
80.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 7 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
80.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 6 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
80.4%
Jabari Bates run for 5 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+27
80.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 27 yds to the WYO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
80.7%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
80.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the WYO 23Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
80.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
79.9%
Kyler Halvorsen 40 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:0321% → 21%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
79.5%
Jamari Ferrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 27Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+3
79.5%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+13
79.7%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 13 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
78.9%
Jamari Ferrell run for no gain to the WYO 43Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-1
78.9%
Jamari Ferrell run for 14 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST down Wyoming Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jamari Ferrell) to the WYO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
78.8%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the WYO 45Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
78.4%
Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-2
78.2%
Sam Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 49Similar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
79.0%
Jack Culbreath punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:2780% → 81%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
79.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 11 yds to the SJSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
79.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+36
79.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 36 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
80.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+32
80.5%
Walker Eget run for 32 yds to the WYO 8 Walker Eget fumbled, recovered by WYO Keany Parks K. Parks return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:3521% → 19%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
79.4%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-4
79.5%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (Jack Walsh) to the WYO 4Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 14
OWN 4
0
79.5%
Sam Scott run for no gain to the WYO 4Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 14
OWN 4
+1
79.9%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the WYO 5Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 13
OWN 5
0
80.2%
Jack Culbreath punt for 31 yds, downed at the WYO 36Similar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
80.7%
(10:24) CHALK, Floyd rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the WYO34 (BROWN, Wrook), clock 10:17. PENALTY SJSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO36 to the WYO46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0280% → 80%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 20
OPP 46
0
80.2%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+10
80.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 10 yds to the WYO 36Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-5
80.2%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Malik Williams) to the WYO 41Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 15
OPP 41
-11
79.6%
Walker Eget pass intercepted Wyett Ekeler return for 11 yds to the WYO 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:3221% → 19%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
79.2%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Will Pelissier for 8 yds to the WYO 31Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+4
78.6%
Evan Svoboda run for 4 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.1%
Evan Svoboda run for no gain to the WYO 35Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
79.3%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-9
79.9%
Evan Svoboda sacked by John Ward for a loss of 9 yards to the WYO 26Similar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 19
OWN 26
+39
80.6%
Jack Culbreath punt for 39 yds , Matthew Coleman returns for no gain to the SJSU 35 , returns for no gain to the SJSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
9 plays · -1 yds · 3:4723% → 20%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
76.9%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
76.9%
Jamari Ferrell run for 5 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
77.5%
Evan Svoboda run for 4 yds to the SJSU 26Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+5
78.2%
Evan Svoboda run for 5 yds to the SJSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
76.3%
(04:08) SCOTT, Sam rush up the middle for no gain to the SJSU21 (FAGA, Gafa;LATU, Taniela), clock 04:05. PENALTY WYO Holding enforced 10 yards from the SJSU21 to the SJSU31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 20
OPP 31
0
77.3%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 20
OPP 31
+5
77.6%
Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the SJSU 26Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 15
OPP 26
-10
78.7%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSU 36Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 25
OPP 36
0
79.9%
Jack Culbreath punt for 33 yds, downed at the SJSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10TD
16 plays · 97 yds · 1:5080% → 89%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+46
79.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 46 yds to the SJSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
81.1%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
80.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the WYO 42Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+8
80.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 8 yds to the WYO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
81.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
81.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 8 yds to the WYO 26Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+3
80.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 3 yds to the WYO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
81.1%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
81.0%
Walker Eget run for 12 yds to the WYO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
81.1%
San José State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WYO 16Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 15
OPP 16
-1
82.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 17Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 16
OPP 17
+17
89.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 17 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.2%
(00:14) [NH] Kneel down by SVOBODA, Evan at WYO24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:2813% → 11%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
87.4%
Evan Svoboda run for 1 yd to the WYO 13Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-3
87.6%
Jamari Ferrell run for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 10Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 12
OWN 10
+15
87.8%
(13:39) SVOBODA, Evan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Alex thrown to the SJSU45, clock 13:34. PENALTY SJSU Pass Interference on DANSBY, Michael enforced 15 yards to the WYO25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
87.5%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Tyler King for 20 yds to the WYO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
86.8%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (Caden Barnett) to the WYO 40Similar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+1
87.8%
Evan Svoboda run for 1 yd to the WYO 41Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 14
OWN 41
0
88.1%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 14
OWN 41
-6
88.2%
Evan Svoboda run for a loss of 6 yards to the WYO 35Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
88.6%
Jack Culbreath punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:5389% → 90%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
89.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 5 yds to the SJSU 23Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+15
89.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 15 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
89.6%
Walker Eget pass intercepted Wrook Brown return for a loss of 5 yards to the WYO 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:3113% → 26%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
87.3%
Jake Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 44Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
87.7%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+16
88.2%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Tyler King for 16 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
87.0%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 22 yds to the SJSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
73.8%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 18 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2381% → 84%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+57
82.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 57 yds to the WYO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
83.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the WYO 7Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
83.9%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 3 yds to the WYO 4Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
83.2%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
82.1%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Nate Hale) to the WYO 9Similar
Q3 6:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
84.1%
Kyler Halvorsen 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2217% → 15%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
83.5%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Nick Miles for 2 yds to the WYO 24Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
83.7%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the WYO 27Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
84.3%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
85.5%
Jack Culbreath punt for 33 yds, downed at the SJSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4586% → 84%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the SJSU 40Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
85.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
84.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
83.5%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:2516% → 17%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
84.3%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 40 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
81.6%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
81.7%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
82.0%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
83.5%
Jack Culbreath punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1186% → 85%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
85.5%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 4 yds to the SJSU 24Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-5
85.5%
San José State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the SJSU 19Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-10
85.3%
San José State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the SJSU 9Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 21
OWN 9
+8
84.5%
Emmett Brown run for 8 yds to the SJSU 17Similar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
84.6%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 41 yds, downed at the WYO 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20INT
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:0916% → 16%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
83.7%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 19 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.5%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+15
83.6%
San José State Penalty, Personal Foul (Soane Toia) to the SJSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
82.2%
Evan Svoboda run for 3 yds to the SJSU 25Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-4
82.2%
Evan Svoboda run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSU 29 Evan Svoboda fumbled, recovered by WYO Evan Svoboda E. Svoboda return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+14
84.0%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 14 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
81.7%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
81.7%
Wyoming Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the SJSU 20Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+6
82.9%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Nick Miles for 6 yds to the SJSU 14Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
83.7%
Evan Svoboda pass intercepted Amir Wallace return for no gain to the SJSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 4:0988% → 99%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
87.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 12 yds to the SJSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
88.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 6 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+9
88.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 9 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
89.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 2 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+17
91.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 17 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
92.5%
Jabari Bates run for 12 yds to the WYO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
93.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 9 yds to the WYO 19Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+19
98.9%
Jabari Bates run for 19 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:193% → 3%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.6%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
96.7%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+7
97.0%
Jack Culbreath punt for 41 yds , Matthew Coleman returns for 7 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4899% → 99%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
98.9%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+15
98.9%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 48 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for 15 yds to the WYO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:463% → 2%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.1%
Sam Scott run for no gain to the WYO 33Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
97.6%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 5 yds to the WYO 38Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
97.7%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+7
97.8%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 7 yds to the WYO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.8%
Kaden Anderson pass intercepted Robert Rahimi return for no gain to the SJSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5199% → 99%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.2%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 3 yds to the SJSU 23Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
99.3%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 1 yd to the SJSU 24Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+3
99.3%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 38 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for 3 yds to the WYO 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26INT
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:442% → 3%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+41
97.9%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Will Pelissier for 41 yds to the SJSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.4%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
97.5%
Kaden Anderson pass intercepted Jalen Apalit-Williams return for no gain to the SJSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:5699% → 100%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.4%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 16Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
99.5%
Lamar Radcliffe run for no gain to the SJSU 16 Lamar Radcliffe fumbled, recovered by SJSU Cooper Hoch C. Hoch return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+5
99.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 5 yds to the SJSU 21Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+41
99.6%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 41 yds , Tyler King returns for no gain to the WYO 37 , returns for no gain to the WYO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 28TD
1 play · 63 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
96.8%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 63 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
98.6%
(00:14) [NH] Kneel down by EGET, Walker at WYO43 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:33
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 18 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
-10.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 8:31
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the SJSU 34
+6.9
TD · Q2 0:21
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 17 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com