Try the model
SDSU

San Diego State 27 at Wyoming 24

WYO
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · War Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:31 · Tyler Pastula punt for 42 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4One-score game+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:08: Sam Scott run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +6.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:14: Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK) — SDSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:50: Evan Svoboda run for 51 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +28.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:54: Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 27 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK) — SDSU win probability +33.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:35: Gabriel Plascencia 28 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +14.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 10SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 11:45SDSU 4th & 22 at SDSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:02WYO 4th & 15 at WYO 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:57SDSU 4th & 2 at WYO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−0.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:27SDSU 4th & 4 at WYO 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:35SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:13WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:31SDSU 4th & 8 at WYO 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 44, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:39WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00WYO 4th & 9 at SDSU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:05WYO 4th & 16 at SDSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−2.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−8.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:22SDSU 4th & 4 at WYO 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:47WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:07SDSU 4th & 16 at SDSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−6.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:11WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:35SDSU 4th & 5 at WYO 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−22.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:09WYO 4th & 9 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:27SDSU 4th & 14 at SDSU 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−10.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:17WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:21SDSU 4th & 7 at WYO 36, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 6.9 ptsPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−3.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%−6.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:46WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:02SDSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:08WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:14SDSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:50WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:54SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:1550% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.4%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
50.4%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 19 yds to the SDSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
50.4%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+5
50.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the SDSU 48Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 6
OWN 48
-15
50.5%
O'NEIL, Danny pass up the middle incomplete intended for BENNETT, Nate thrown to the SDS48. PENALTY SDS Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the SDS48 to the SDS33 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 21
OWN 33
+4
50.9%
Cam Davis run for 4 yds to the SDSU 37Similar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 17
OWN 37
-5
50.9%
San Diego State Penalty, False Start (Nate Bennett) to the SDSU 32Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 22
OWN 32
0
51.2%
Tyler Pastula punt for 43 yds , Tyler King returns for no gain to the WYO 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:4351% → 51%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
50.9%
Sam Scott run for no gain to the WYO 15Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-5
50.9%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (Jake Davies) to the WYO 10Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
50.9%
Evan Svoboda run for no gain to the WYO 10Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 15
OWN 10
0
50.7%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 15
OWN 10
+6
50.7%
Jack Culbreath punt for 46 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0550% → 49%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
50
+6
50.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 6 yds to the WYO 44Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
50.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-1
50.5%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 42Similar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
50.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-42
52.0%
Evan Svoboda pass intercepted Chris Johnson return for 42 yds to the WYO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2150% → 50%
Q1 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
50.1%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the WYO 10Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
50.1%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
50.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the WYO 4Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
50.3%
Gabriel Plascencia 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4150% → 53%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.3%
Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+70
53.3%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 70 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0447% → 45%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
53.2%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSU 19Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+9
53.4%
Danny O'Neil run for 9 yds to the SDSU 28Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
53.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSU 25Similar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
54.8%
Tyler Pastula punt for 75 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2254% → 53%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
53.8%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the WYO 22Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
53.6%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the WYO 25Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
53.4%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
52.9%
Jack Culbreath punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:4248% → 46%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
52.5%
Danny O'Neil run for 1 yd to the SDSU 44Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+12
52.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 12 yds to the WYO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
52.2%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 7 yds to the WYO 37Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
52.0%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-5
52.1%
San Diego State Penalty, False Start (Nate Bennett) to the WYO 42Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
52.4%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
53.9%
Tyler Pastula punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10INT TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:2954% → 51%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
54.4%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 19 yds to the WYO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-43
50.6%
Evan Svoboda pass intercepted Eric Butler return for 43 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:5250% → 59%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.8%
Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
50.0%
Evan Svoboda run for 1 yd to the WYO 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
49.4%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for 9 yds to the WYO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
51.2%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
50.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 4 yds to the WYO 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
50.6%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+17
49.4%
Jayden Williams run for 17 yds to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+27
51.7%
Sam Scott run for 27 yds to the SDSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
52.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 4 yds to the SDSU 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-1
52.3%
Evan Svoboda run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+7
51.5%
SVOBODA, Evan pass to the left incomplete intended for GYLLENBORG, John Michael thrown to the SDS0. PENALTY SDS Pass Interference on PHILLIPS, Bryce enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the SDS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
52.3%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the SDSU 1Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.6%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5444% → 55%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.6%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the SDSU 25Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
55.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 11 yds to the SDSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
54.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDSU 39Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+19
53.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 19 yds to the WYO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+32
53.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jude Wolfe for 32 yds to the WYO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
51.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the WYO 8Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
51.9%
Ja'Shaun Poke run for 4 yds to the WYO 4Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:3548% → 46%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
47.8%
San Diego State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kyle Moretti) to the WYO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
50.3%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Trey White for a loss of 6 yards to the WYO 38Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+5
48.3%
Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-1
47.6%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Trey White for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 42Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
45.8%
Jack Culbreath punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:1653% → 54%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
47.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the SDSU 21Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+3
45.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
46.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 5 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+10
45.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
44.1%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Sabastian Harsh for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSU 35Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
46.5%
Danny O'Neil pass intercepted Connor Shay return for no gain to the SDSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:2352% → 45%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-7
52.1%
Wyoming Penalty, Offensive Holding (-7 Yards) to the SDSU 48Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 17
OPP 41
+2
48.9%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the SDSU 39Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 15
OPP 39
-8
45.0%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Tupu Alualu for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSU 47Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 23
OPP 47
+14
43.9%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 14 yds to the SDSU 33Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
44.9%
John Hoyland 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 4:5548% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
48.4%
Sam Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
48.1%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 11 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
48.8%
Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the WYO 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
51.2%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
48.8%
San Diego State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kyle Moretti) to the SDSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
52.1%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
51.9%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
49.5%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Tyler King for 15 yds to the SDSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
53.2%
Jamari Ferrell run for 8 yds to the SDSU 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+4
53.2%
Jamari Ferrell run for 4 yds to the SDSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
53.2%
Wyoming Penalty, Personal Foul (Alex Conn) to the SDSU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 22
OPP 31
0
52.6%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 22
OPP 31
0
51.1%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 31
+6
49.3%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 6 yds to the SDSU 25Similar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+42
53.7%
John Hoyland 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:4348% → 49%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
52.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 10 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
51.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 36Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
51.1%
Danny O'Neil run for 8 yds to the SDSU 44Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
49.2%
Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
48.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
49.7%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSU 41Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+11
52.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 11 yds to the WYO 48Similar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
51.1%
Tyler Pastula punt for 46 yds, downed at the WYO 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3555% → 52%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
55.1%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+9
54.9%
Sam Scott run for 9 yds to the WYO 11Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+6
53.4%
Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the WYO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
54.7%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Kyle Moretti for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 15Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+5
54.2%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 5 yds to the WYO 20Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
52.7%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+16
51.6%
Jack Culbreath punt for 57 yds , Jordan Napier returns for 16 yds to the SDSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:4052% → 46%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
48.4%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSU 35Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 14
OWN 35
-2
51.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 33Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 16
OWN 33
0
53.2%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 16
OWN 33
0
54.2%
Tyler Pastula punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler King at the WYO 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:1755% → 83%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
55.0%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the WYO 25Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
55.2%
Evan Svoboda run for 8 yds to the WYO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
55.7%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
55.3%
Jamari Ferrell run for 3 yds to the WYO 36Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+13
55.0%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 13 yds to the WYO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
83.1%
Evan Svoboda run for 51 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:4925% → 57%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.7%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
75.2%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+53
76.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 53 yds to the WYO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
43.4%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 27 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:4356% → 55%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.5%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.0%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the WYO 28Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
53.4%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Will Pelissier for 7 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
56.1%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the WYO 38Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
58.6%
Evan Svoboda run for 3 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
57.8%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+8
55.0%
Jack Culbreath punt for 49 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 8 yds to the SDSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23FG
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:3649% → 70%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+41
51.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 41 yds to the WYO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
45.4%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the WYO 41Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
45.6%
O'NEIL, Danny sacked for a loss of 6 yards at the WYO47 (BERTAGNOLE, Jordan). PENALTY WYO Holding on DAVIS, Tyrecus enforced 10 yards from the WYO41 to the WYO31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+26
43.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 26 yds to the WYO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
42.8%
San Diego State Penalty, False Start (Bryce Phillips) to the WYO 10Similar
Q4 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
42.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the WYO 6Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
42.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the WYO 5Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
44.9%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+28
30.5%
Gabriel Plascencia 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:2639% → 36%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
38.7%
Evan Svoboda run for 24 yds to the WYO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
44.2%
Jamari Ferrell run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 9
50
0
44.2%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 9
50
0
40.5%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 9
50
0
36.3%
Jack Culbreath punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4270% → 69%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-6
29.8%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete San Diego State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the SDSU 12Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 16
OWN 12
+6
30.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 6 yds to the SDSU 18Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-5
32.0%
O'NEIL, Danny pass to the left complete for 9 yards to BROWN IV, Louis caught at the SDS27 and advanced to the SDS27 (PARKS, Keany). PENALTY SDS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the SDS18 to the SDS13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+1
32.0%
Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the SDSU 14Similar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 14
OWN 14
0
30.6%
Tyler Pastula punt for 50 yds , Tyler King returns for no gain to the WYO 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:1036% → 27%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
35.6%
Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the WYO 32Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+1
37.6%
Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the WYO 33Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-9
34.5%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Ryan Henderson for a loss of 9 yards to the WYO 24Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
27.2%
Jack Culbreath punt for 35 yds, downed at the SDSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:5683% → 93%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
17.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 43Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+18
17.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 18 yds to the WYO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
9.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the WYO 33Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-4
9.0%
Danny O'Neil run for a loss of 4 yards to the WYO 37Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+1
5.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the WYO 36Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
6.6%
Tyler Pastula punt for 29 yds, downed at the WYO 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:2117% → 13%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
16.6%
Wyoming Penalty, False Start (Wrook Brown) to the WYO 4Similar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 13
OWN 4
+19
14.7%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Tyler King for 19 yds to the WYO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-8
13.2%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Dominic Oliver and Ryan Henderson for a loss of 8 yards to the WYO 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:54
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 27 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
-33.1
TD · Q4 14:50
Evan Svoboda run for 51 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
+28.1
FG · Q4 7:35
Gabriel Plascencia 28 yd FG GOOD
-14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com