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2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:37 · D.Lynch 52 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-W.Brown, Holder-N.Verdugo.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Home team on offense−3.0Garbage-time factor−1.7Score differential−0.9Pregame prior−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:31: E.Gilliam rushed for 6 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — FRES win probability +20.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 2:05: D.Janikowski 34 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Harris, Holder-N.Haberer. — WSU win probability +10.1 pts (now 54%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:20: D.Lynch 27 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-W.Brown, Holder-N.Verdugo. — FRES win probability +10.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. INT · Q4 7:07: M.Keene pass INTERCEPTED at WST 39. Intercepted by E.O'Connor at WST 39. TOUCHDOWN. — WSU win probability +33.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:50: D.Janikowski 23 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Harris, Holder-N.Haberer. — WSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 14:03FRES 4th & 6 at WSU 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−4.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:37FRES 4th & 27 at WSU 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:36WSU 4th & 2 at FRES 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−2.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:46WSU 4th & 2 at FRES 49, up 6
    Close callPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:50FRES 4th & 24 at FRES 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−3.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:05WSU 4th & 17 at FRES 17, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−5.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−13.6
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:20FRES 4th & 2 at WSU 9, down 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−19.0
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:53FRES 4th & 4 at FRES 7, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:50WSU 4th & 7 at FRES 7, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−9.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:16FRES 4th & 7 at WSU 31, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:09FRES 4th & 22 at WSU 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:30FRES Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:41WSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:31FRES Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:4354% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.0%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by K.Williams for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Clark; M.Langley at WST 27.Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
46.2%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hutson.Similar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
46.2%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by J.Meredith for 12 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Embry at WST 39.Similar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.2%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by C.Mathers for 29 yards. Tackled by FRE at FRE 32. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion and the play was overturned. J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Mathers.Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
46.3%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hutson.Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+13
46.4%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by L.Pulalasi for 13 yards. Tackled by J.Davis at FRE 48.Similar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
46.3%
J.Mateer rushed for 15 yards. Tackled by T.Nomura; M.Langley at FRE 33.Similar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
46.3%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hutson.Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
46.3%
J.Mateer rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Nomura at FRE 27.Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+18
46.5%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by K.Williams for 18 yards. Tackled by J.Neal at FRE 9.Similar
Q1 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
46.4%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Sacked at FRE 10 for -1 yards (J.Holmes).Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
46.5%
J.Mateer rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Bridges at FRE 11.Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
46.8%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hutson. PENALTY on FRE-J.Neal, Defensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
46.6%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Mathers. PENALTY on FRE-FRE, Illegal Substitution, 1 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.7%
J.Mateer rushed for 1 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:3746% → 50%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
46.3%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by J.Moss for 3 yards. Tackled by S.Webster; T.Al-Uqdah at FRE 26.Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
46.2%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by T.Grear for 4 yards. Tackled by E.O'Connor at FRE 30.Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
46.0%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by J.Freeman for 5 yards. Tackled by E.O'Connor at FRE 35.Similar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
46.3%
E.Gilliam rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by K.Gushiken at FRE 43.Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
47.0%
E.Gilliam rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Wilson at FRE 43.Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+10
46.8%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by R.Sharpe for 10 yards. Tackled by WST at WST 47.Similar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
47.0%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by E.Gilliam for 3 yards. Tackled by P.McKenna at WST 44.Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+15
47.0%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by R.Sharpe for 15 yards. Tackled by WST at WST 29.Similar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
47.7%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for M.Dalena.Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
47.7%
PENALTY on FRE-FRE, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+34
50.3%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by J.Freeman for 34 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4251% → 57%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
49.3%
W.Parker rushed for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Lockridge at WST 32.Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
48.8%
J.Mateer scrambles for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Langley at WST 37. PENALTY on FRE-M.Langley, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. The Replay Official reviewed the targeting and the play was upheld.Similar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
48.3%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Hernandez.Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
48.4%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by W.Parker for -2 yards. Tackled by A.Hamilton at FRE 50.Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 12
OPP 0
+32
48.6%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by T.Freeman for 32 yards. Tackled by K.Agina at FRE 18.Similar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
47.9%
J.Mateer rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Clark at FRE 15.Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+13
48.0%
J.Mateer rushed for 13 yards. Tackled by M.Langley at FRE 2.Similar
Q1 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.1%
K.Hutson rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 1:3146% → 46%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
45.5%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by R.Sharpe for 15 yards. Tackled by T.Durant at WST 50.Similar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+28
47.9%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by M.Dalena for 28 yards. Pushed out of bounds by WST at WST 22.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
47.9%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for R.Sharpe.Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
47.6%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by J.Moss for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Moku at WST 18.Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
46.7%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Moss.Similar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 6
OPP 18
0
45.7%
D.Lynch 36 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-W.Brown, Holder-N.Verdugo.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:3755% → 59%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
44.6%
K.Williams rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by P.Jackson at WST 31.Similar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
43.1%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Williams.Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+16
43.4%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by K.Hutson for 16 yards. Tackled by J.Neal at WST 47.Similar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
42.0%
W.Parker rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by S.Noa at FRE 47.Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+5
41.3%
W.Parker rushed for 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Embry at FRE 42.Similar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
41.3%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hutson.Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
41.3%
PENALTY on FRE-J.Embry, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, offset. PENALTY on WST-K.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 15 yards, offset. No Play.Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
41.3%
J.Mateer rushed for 1 yards. J.Mateer FUMBLES, forced by K.Foreman. Fumble RECOVERED by FRE-J.Embry at FRE 40. Tackled by WST at FRE 41.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:3346% → 42%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
45.5%
B.Donelson rushed for 13 yards. Tackled by K.Thornton at WST 46.Similar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
46.3%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for M.Dalena.Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+14
46.1%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by B.Donelson for 14 yards. Tackled by T.Durant at WST 32.Similar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
47.1%
M.Keene pass INTERCEPTED at WST End Zone. Intercepted by E.O'Connor at WST End Zone. Tackled by FRE at WST 44. PENALTY on WST-Q.Roff, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, accepted. No Play. The Replay Official reviewed the targeting and the play was upheld.Similar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
47.1%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by R.Sharpe for -1 yards. Tackled by K.Brown; K.Gushiken at WST 18.Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+1
46.7%
M.Keene rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Al-Uqdah at WST 17.Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-17
45.6%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Sacked at WST 34 for -17 yards (K.Brown). PENALTY on FRE-M.Keene, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 27
OPP 34
0
42.4%
D.Lynch 52 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-W.Brown, Holder-N.Verdugo.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7INT
15 plays · 49 yds · 6:0559% → 64%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+11
41.0%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by K.Hutson for 11 yards. Tackled by C.Lockridge at WST 35.Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+15
39.8%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by J.Meredith for 15 yards. Tackled by D.Clark at WST 50.Similar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
37.9%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for A.Dollar.Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 0
+7
37.9%
J.Mateer scrambles for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Lockridge at FRE 43.Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
38.4%
J.Mateer rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Clark at FRE 42.Similar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+4
39.4%
J.Mateer scrambles for 4 yards. Tackled by M.Langley at FRE 38.Similar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
37.6%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by C.Hernandez for 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Lockridge at FRE 29.Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+10
36.7%
W.Parker rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by K.Agina; R.Miller at FRE 19.Similar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
36.4%
W.Parker rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Tarwater; D.Clark at FRE 20.Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+3
36.2%
W.Parker rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Holmes at FRE 17.Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
35.8%
J.Mateer pass INTERCEPTED at FRE End Zone. Intercepted by D.Clark at FRE End Zone. Tackled by WST at FRE End Zone. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8INT
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:1441% → 43%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
41.0%
E.Gilliam rushed for 24 yards. Tackled by WST at FRE 44.Similar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
43.0%
M.Keene pass INTERCEPTED at WST 46. Intercepted by T.Durant at WST 46. Tackled by FRE at WST 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:5164% → 63%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
36.3%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by W.Parker for yards. Pushed out of bounds by FRE at WST 50. PENALTY on WST-F.Fa'amoe, Offensive Facemask, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 25
OWN 30
-1
38.7%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by K.Hutson for -1 yards. Tackled by A.Asiata at WST 29.Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 26
OWN 29
-1
39.1%
W.Parker rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by FRE at WST 28. PENALTY on FRE-J.Holmes, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
36.2%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by K.Hutson for 8 yards. Tackled by FRE at FRE 49.Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
35.4%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Mathers.Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
36.0%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Hernandez.Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+49
37.5%
D.Janikowski punts 49 yards to FRE End Zone, Center-D.Harris. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
40.7%
E.Gilliam rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by WST at FRE 24.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 4:0741% → 38%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
41.3%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by J.Moss for 13 yards. Pushed out of bounds by WST at FRE 41.Similar
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
43.1%
B.Donelson rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Al-Uqdah at FRE 43.Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
43.0%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for A.Sullivan.Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
41.1%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for R.Sharpe. PENALTY on WST-WST, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
43.9%
J.Wood rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Thornton at WST 37.Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
43.8%
PENALTY on FRE-T.Penright, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-7
43.6%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Sacked at WST 49 for -7 yards (K.Laufau).Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 17
OPP 49
-7
40.0%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by E.Gilliam for -7 yards. Tackled by WST at FRE 44.Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 24
OWN 44
+53
38.0%
C.Lawrence punts 53 yards to WST 3, Center-W.Brown. Downed by M.Dalena.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:4045% → 63%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
45.2%
E.Gilliam rushed for 18 yards. Pushed out of bounds by WST at WST 15.Similar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
45.2%
E.Gilliam rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Durant at WST 13.Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+5
45.1%
E.Gilliam rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by Q.Roff at WST 8.Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
43.1%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for M.Dalena. PENALTY on WST-K.Thornton, Defensive Pass Interference, 2 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
63.1%
E.Gilliam rushed for 6 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 5:2143% → 54%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.4%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hutson.Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
57.6%
J.Mateer scrambles for 13 yards. Tackled by K.Baumgartner at WST 38.Similar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
55.6%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Hernandez.Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-2
55.9%
L.Pulalasi rushed for -2 yards. Tackled by J.Holmes at WST 36. PENALTY on FRE-K.Foreman, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
53.5%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by T.Leckner for 16 yards. Tackled by M.Langley at FRE 33.Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
52.4%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by K.Williams for 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by M.Langley at FRE 19.Similar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
52.1%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Williams.Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+8
52.1%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by K.Hutson for 8 yards. Tackled by A.Hamilton at FRE 11.Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+3
53.5%
J.Mateer pass complete. Catch made by K.Hutson for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Agina at FRE 8.Similar
Q3 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
51.8%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Schlenbaker.Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-12
51.8%
J.Mateer steps back to pass. Sacked at FRE 20 for -12 yards (J.Holmes).Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+3
56.2%
D.Schlenbaker rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Nomura at FRE 17.Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
46.1%
D.Janikowski 34 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Harris, Holder-N.Haberer.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 6:3347% → 63%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.4%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for FRE.Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
47.0%
E.Gilliam rushed for 20 yards. Tackled by K.Gushiken at FRE 45.Similar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
51.5%
E.Gilliam rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by WST at FRE 46.Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+11
51.8%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by M.Dalena for 11 yards. Tackled by J.Colson at WST 43.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
53.5%
E.Gilliam rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Durant at WST 40.Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+10
53.5%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by T.Grear for 10 yards. Tackled by A.Wilson at WST 30.Similar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
55.5%
E.Gilliam rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by N.Malani at WST 28.Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+4
55.6%
E.Gilliam rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Brown at WST 24.Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+7
52.5%
E.Gilliam rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Al-Uqdah at WST 17.Similar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
54.9%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by K.Beachem for 2 yards. Tackled by S.Webster at WST 15.Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
55.1%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by K.Beachem for 2 yards. Tackled by S.Webster at WST 13.Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+4
52.7%
E.Gilliam rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Al-Uqdah at WST 9.Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 2
OPP 9
0
63.4%
D.Lynch 27 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-W.Brown, Holder-N.Verdugo.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:5166% → 35%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
66.0%
E.Gilliam rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Al-Uqdah at FRE 46.Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+14
65.8%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by R.Sharpe for 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by WST at WST 40.Similar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
68.5%
E.Gilliam rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Gusta at WST 38.Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
68.2%
PENALTY on FRE-O.Velez, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 13
OPP 43
0
34.9%
M.Keene pass INTERCEPTED at WST 39. Intercepted by E.O'Connor at WST 39. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5830% → 24%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
29.7%
M.Keene rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by WST at FRE 2.Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
28.9%
E.Gilliam rushed for yards. Tackled by K.Brown at FRE 13. PENALTY on FRE-FRE, Illegal Shift, 1 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+4
28.8%
E.Gilliam rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by S.Hall at FRE 5.Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+2
27.0%
E.Gilliam rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by S.Webster; A.Edson at FRE 7.Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 4
OWN 7
+40
24.2%
C.Lawrence punts 40 yards to FRE 47, Center-W.Brown. Fair catch by T.Freeman.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 2:5484% → 95%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
16.4%
J.Mateer rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Langley at FRE 44.Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+22
15.8%
W.Parker rushed for 22 yards. Pushed out of bounds by P.Jackson at FRE 22.Similar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
13.7%
W.Parker rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Holmes at FRE 15.Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+5
10.8%
W.Parker rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Jacks at FRE 10.Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
8.2%
W.Parker rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by FRE at FRE 10.Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
8.3%
W.Parker rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Langley at FRE 10.Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
9.3%
J.Mateer rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by G.Lightfoot; T.Nomura at FRE 7.Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+23
5.5%
D.Janikowski 23 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Harris, Holder-N.Haberer.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 1:379% → 7%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
8.6%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by R.Sharpe for 7 yards. Tackled by A.Edson at FRE 32.Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
9.8%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Moss.Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
8.3%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by M.Dalena for 9 yards. Tackled by T.Durant at FRE 41.Similar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
9.6%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by E.Gilliam for 9 yards. Tackled by K.Gushiken at FRE 50.Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 1
OPP 0
+3
17.7%
E.Gilliam rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Thornton at WST 47.Similar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
9.8%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by M.Dalena for 13 yards. Pushed out of bounds by WST at WST 34.Similar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
12.2%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for FRE.Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
12.2%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by E.Gilliam for 3 yards. Tackled by S.Hall at WST 31.Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
10.7%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for FRE.Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 7
OPP 31
0
8.7%
M.Keene pass complete. Catch made by R.Sharpe for yards. Tackled by WST at WST 18. PENALTY on FRE-T.Penright, Illegal Use of Hands / Offense, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 22
OPP 46
0
6.9%
M.Keene steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Beachem.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
INT · Q4 7:07
M.Keene pass INTERCEPTED at WST 39. Intercepted by E.O'Connor at WST 39. TOUCHDOWN.
-33.3
TD · Q3 7:31
E.Gilliam rushed for 6 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+20.1
FG · Q4 10:20
D.Lynch 27 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-W.Brown, Holder-N.Verdugo.
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com