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SJSU

San José State 24 at Colorado State 31

CSU
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Canvas Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:48 · Dino Beslagic punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Emmett Brown at the CSU 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Home team on offense−2.6Pregame prior+4.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:56: DJ Harvey 85 Yd Fumble Return (Kyler Halvorsen Kick) — SJSU win probability +12.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:48: Avery Morrow run for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK) — CSU win probability +17.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:07: Floyd Chalk IV run for 21 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +31.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 2:44: Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 62 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK) — CSU win probability +10.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:06: Kyler Halvorsen 31 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 19%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SJSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 6:13SJSU 4th & 2 at CSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    38.5%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:37CSU 4th & 9 at CSU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:04SJSU 4th & 5 at SJSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:34CSU 4th & 7 at CSU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:34SJSU 4th & 25 at CSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:44SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:50CSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:48SJSU 4th & 8 at CSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    43.5%−2.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:59SJSU 4th & 12 at CSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−10.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:35CSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 40, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.1%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:06SJSU 4th & 7 at CSU 14, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%−0.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:56CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:28SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:16CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:56SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:48CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:07SJSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−2.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:44CSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 5:0462% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
62.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jamari Person for 32 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
62.4%
Justin Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 45Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+5
62.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 5 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+9
62.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 9 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
62.7%
Avery Morrow run for 13 yds to the SJSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
62.7%
Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the SJSU 13Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
62.8%
Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the SJSU 9Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+7
62.7%
Avery Morrow run for 7 yds to the SJSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
64.6%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:2336% → 40%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
63.8%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 8 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+12
63.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 12 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
63.9%
Emmett Brown pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 9 yds to the CSU 48Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+8
63.7%
Emmett Brown pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 8 yds to the CSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
63.8%
San José State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 45Similar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 15
OPP 45
0
64.2%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+10
64.3%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 10 yds to the CSU 35Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+3
64.1%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the CSU 32Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+5
64.6%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 5 yds to the CSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
60.4%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 27 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:5162% → 61%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.8%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the CSU 27Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
61.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 4 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
61.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 5 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-11
62.1%
Colorado State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi) to the CSU 25Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 21
OWN 25
+7
61.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 7 yds to the CSU 32Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
61.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+5
61.1%
San José State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the CSU 37Similar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
61.1%
Paddy Turner punt for 44 yds, downed at the SJSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:3039% → 40%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
61.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 23Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+13
60.9%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Cooper Hoch for 13 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
60.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 5 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
59.7%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
59.7%
Jabari Bates run for no gain to the SJSU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
60.1%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for no gain to the SJSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:3963% → 68%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
63.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
63.1%
San José State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jordan Cobbs) to the SJSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
68.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 23 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1234% → 33%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.3%
Emmett Brown run for 1 yd to the SJSU 26Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
66.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
66.5%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
67.4%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tory Horton at the CSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2567% → 67%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
67.0%
Caleb Goodie run for 6 yds to the CSU 25Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-3
67.3%
Avery Morrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the CSU 22Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
66.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
66.1%
Paddy Turner punt for 48 ydsSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
66.6%
(11:27) CHALK, Floyd rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the SJSU39 (GARDNER, Jaylen), clock 11:20. PENALTY SJSU Holding on TALIAULI, Uluakinofo enforced 10 yards from the SJSU30 to the SJSU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
17 plays · 26 yds · 6:3533% → 30%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+15
67.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 15 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
66.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 5 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
66.2%
(10:05) EGET, Walker pass to the left complete for 36 yards to HURRY, Treyshun caught at the SJSU50 and advanced to the CSU24, out of bounds, clock 09:56. PENALTY SJSU Pass Interference on STEWART, Jacob enforced 15 yards to the SJSU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 25
OWN 25
+1
67.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the SJSU 26Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 24
OWN 26
+7
68.2%
Walker Eget run for 7 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+18
69.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 18 yds to the CSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
66.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 4 yds to the CSU 45Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
66.5%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+16
66.8%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 16 yds to the CSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
65.1%
San José State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 34Similar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+5
66.3%
(06:25) BROWN, Emmett pass short to the left complete for 5 yards to STEWART, Jacob to the CSU29 (HOWELL, Jack), clock 06:23. PENALTY CSU Offsides on MORRIS, Dominic enforced 5 yards from the CSU34 to the CSU29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
65.1%
(06:05) QB Keeper BROWN, Emmett rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the CSU25 (JOCK, Buom), clock 05:58. PENALTY SJSU Holding on LAPUAHO, Peseti enforced 10 yards from the CSU29 to the CSU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 20
OPP 39
0
67.6%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 20
OPP 39
0
67.9%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 20
OPP 39
0
69.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Floyd Chalk IV for no gain to the CSU 39Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 20
OPP 39
-5
70.3%
San José State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jabari Bates) to the CSU 44Similar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 25
OPP 44
0
70.4%
Dino Beslagic punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tory Horton at the CSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9FUMBLE RETURN TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:3370% → 63%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
69.6%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the CSU 11Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+10
69.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for 10 yds to the CSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
70.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 19 yds to the CSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
72.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 22 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
73.0%
Colorado State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSU 43Similar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+5
72.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 5 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
71.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 8 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+5
71.2%
Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the SJSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
72.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 6 yds to the SJSU 19Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+85
62.8%
DJ Harvey 85 Yd Fumble Return (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:5359% → 64%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 9 yds to the CSU 34Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
60.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jamari Person for 9 yds to the CSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
60.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 8 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
61.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for no gain to the SJSU 49Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+6
61.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 6 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+61
64.4%
Bryan Hansen 61 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1643% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the SJSU 27Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
57.0%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
58.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Cooper Hoch for 4 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
58.6%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:4861% → 60%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
61.2%
Avery Morrow run for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 33Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+9
60.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 9 yds to the CSU 42Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+8
62.1%
Jalen Dupree run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
50
+4
63.4%
Jalen Dupree run for 4 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-8
63.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by Jordan Pollard for a loss of 8 yards to the CSU 46Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+7
59.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Kobe Johnson for 7 yds to the SJSU 47Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
60.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi punt for 41 yds, downed at the SJSU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:0442% → 44%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
57.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 9Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+8
57.9%
Walker Eget run for 8 yds to the SJSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
56.9%
Jabari Bates run for 5 yds to the SJSU 22Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+31
56.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 31 yds to the CSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
52.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
53.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 7 yds to the CSU 40Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-5
52.6%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Peseti Lapuaho) to the CSU 45Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
53.1%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
56.5%
Dino Beslagic punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Emmett Brown at the CSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 4:5459% → 82%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
59.3%
Jalen Dupree run for 6 yds to the CSU 15Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+6
59.5%
Jalen Dupree run for 6 yds to the CSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
59.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 5 yds to the CSU 26Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+20
59.9%
Jalen Dupree run for 20 yds to the CSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
62.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 12 yds to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
63.6%
Avery Morrow run for 25 yds to the SJSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
64.6%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the SJSU 15Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+13
64.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 13 yds to the SJSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.2%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:4925% → 20%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
74.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 8 yds fumbled, forced by Drew Rodriguez, recovered by SJSU Matthew Coleman M. Coleman return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+6
75.2%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 6 yds to the SJSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
76.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 8 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+15
74.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
50
+12
72.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 12 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
75.3%
(14:01) EGET, Walker pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin thrown to the CSU10, clock 13:56. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on JONES, Dom enforced 15 yards to the CSU23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
72.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
73.6%
Jabari Bates run for no gain to the CSU 23Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-10
75.9%
(13:14) EGET, Walker pass to the left incomplete intended for NASH, Nick thrown to the CSU15, clock 13:12. PENALTY SJSU Holding on LAPUAHO, Peseti enforced 10 yards from the CSU23 to the CSU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 20
OPP 33
+8
78.1%
Walker Eget run for 8 yds to the CSU 25Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
79.6%
Kyler Halvorsen 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 4:2184% → 89%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.7%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the CSU 26Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
83.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 11 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
85.0%
Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the CSU 42Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
86.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
85.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
50
+8
87.3%
Avery Morrow run for 8 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+2
87.7%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
88.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
87.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
86.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+58
88.7%
Jordan Noyes 58 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2811% → 42%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
87.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the SJSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
87.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 11 yds to the SJSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
87.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Cooper Hoch for 8 yds to the CSU 44Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
85.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+11
87.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 11 yds to the CSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
87.4%
(06:24) EGET, Walker pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HURRY, Treyshun thrown to the CSU0, clock 06:17. PENALTY SJSU Face mask on LAPUAHO, Peseti enforced 15 yards from the CSU33 to the CSU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 25
OPP 48
0
89.3%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 25
OPP 48
+17
90.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Cooper Hoch for 17 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+10
88.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 10 yds to the CSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
57.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 21 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:2374% → 95%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
73.5%
Avery Morrow run for 11 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
78.6%
Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the CSU 41Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
81.7%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the CSU 43Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-5
84.6%
Colorado State Penalty, False Start (Vince Brown II) to the CSU 38Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+62
94.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 62 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:246% → 7%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 9 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
92.7%
Walker Eget pass intercepted Elias Larry return for no gain to the CSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:1495% → 98%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
94.9%
Avery Morrow run for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 40Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
97.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass intercepted DJ Harvey return for no gain to the SJSU 32Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+9
97.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 9 yds to the CSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 0:557% → 19%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+27
92.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 27 yds to the CSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+24
91.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 24 yds to the CSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
90.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Sebastian Macaluso for 3 yds to the CSU 14Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
90.5%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
91.0%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
81.4%
Kyler Halvorsen 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4298% → 97%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
97.7%
(01:05) Kneel down by FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden at SJSU45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:40.Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-2
97.1%
(00:23) Kneel down by FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden at SJSU47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:18.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:07
Floyd Chalk IV run for 21 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
-31
TD · Q3 1:48
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+17.6
TD · Q2 0:56
DJ Harvey 85 Yd Fumble Return (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com