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USU

Utah State 30 at Boise State 62

BOIS
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.1BOIS 99.8%Jonah Dalmas 42 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 55 · Q3 5:45
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:45 · Jonah Dalmas 42 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+22.8Home team on offense+30.5Score differential+26.4Blowout margin+13.5Garbage-time factor+10.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:30: Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 59 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK) — USU win probability +1.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:18: Ashton Jeanty run for 75 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:34: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 3 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:04: Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:29: Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 75 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK) — USU win probability +0.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:12USU 4th & 8 at USU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:33USU 4th & 9 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:48BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:07USU 4th & 3 at BOIS 19, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.7%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:02USU 4th & 4 at USU 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:30BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 29, up 11
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:30USU 4th & 2 at USU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:01USU 4th & 3 at USU 30, down 11
    Close callPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:02USU 4th & 6 at BOIS 15, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:58BOIS 4th & 3 at USU 31, up 32
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:49USU 4th & 8 at USU 15, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:45BOIS 4th & 8 at USU 25, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:32USU 4th & 1 at BOIS 22, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:32BOIS 4th & 1 at USU 33, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:01BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:08BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:30USU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:18BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:34BOIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:04BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:29USU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:29BOIS Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:09USU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:06USU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:08BOIS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:424% → 4%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
96.1%
Spencer Petras sacked by Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 3 yards to the USU 23Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 23
-1
96.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Josh Sterzer for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 22Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 14
OWN 22
+6
96.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 6 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
95.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2TD
1 play · 63 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
95.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 63 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:284% → 4%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.9%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 24Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
95.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
95.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 11 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
95.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 14 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
95.9%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the BOIS 49Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
95.9%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the BOIS 49Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-1
95.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Rahsul Faison for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 9
50
+1
95.6%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 41 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 1 yd to the BOIS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4596% → 95%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
95.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 11Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+3
95.6%
Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the BOIS 14Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-2
95.6%
Malachi Nelson sacked by Lawrence Falatea for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 12Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 8
OWN 12
+9
95.3%
Taren Schive punt for 41 yds , Kahanu Davis returns for 9 yds to the BOIS 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:415% → 5%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
95.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 18 yds to the BOIS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
95.1%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the BOIS 24Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
95.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+5
95.2%
PETRAS, Spencer pass short up the middle complete for 4 yards to HESTERA, Jack caught at the BSU20 and advanced to the BSU20, End of Play. PENALTY BSU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the BSU24 to the BSU19 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 3
OPP 19
0
95.2%
Spencer Petras run for no gain to the BOIS 19Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+36
94.7%
Tanner Cragun 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5995% → 95%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
94.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 14 yds to the BOIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
94.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 44Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+12
94.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 12 yds to the USU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
94.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the USU 43Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+15
94.9%
MADSEN, Maddux pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CAPLES, Latrell thrown to the USU5. PENALTY USU Roughing the Passer on INIGUEZ JR., Gabriel enforced 15 yards from the USU43 to the USU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+22
94.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 22 yds to the USU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.9%
Jambres Dubar run for no gain to the USU 6Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:065% → 5%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 1 yd to the USU 26Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
94.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
94.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 5 yds to the USU 31Similar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
94.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the BOIS 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3295% → 94%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
94.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
94.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 23Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+6
94.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 6 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
94.3%
Taren Schive punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:006% → 7%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
94.5%
Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds to the USU 25Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
94.4%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the USU 26Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+7
94.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 7 yds to the USU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
94.4%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the USU 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
94.2%
Boise State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+8
94.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 8 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+59
92.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 59 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
94.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 75 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:126% → 6%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
94.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 5 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
94.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+2
94.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the USU 30Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+54
94.3%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 54 yds , Cooper Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:2794% → 96%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
94.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Bates for 19 yds to the BOIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
94.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 22 yds to the USU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
94.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the USU 36Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+5
94.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the USU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
94.7%
Jambres Dubar run for 22 yds to the USU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.7%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
94.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Jambres Dubar for 6 yds to the USU 3Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 3 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:004% → 5%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
95.7%
Herschel Turner run for 1 yd to the USU 21Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
95.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+23
95.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 23 yds to the USU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
95.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 6 yds Grant Page fumbled, recovered by BOIS Ty Benefield T. Benefield return for 4 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:2996% → 97%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the USU 46Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
96.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 11 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
96.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 7 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 3
OPP 28
-10
96.0%
JEANTY, Ashton rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the USU26 (GRAHAM II, DJ;SLONE, Cian). PENALTY BSU Holding on BOLT, Austin enforced 10 yards from the USU28 to the USU38 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 13
OPP 38
-10
96.0%
MADSEN, Maddux pass to the right incomplete intended for PENRY, Chase broken up by GRAHAM II, DJ at the USU28. PENALTY BSU Holding on SCHMIDT, Hall enforced 10 yards from the USU38 to the USU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 23
OPP 48
+42
96.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 42 yds to the USU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:354% → 5%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.3%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the USU 25Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
95.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 75 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:152% → 1%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
98.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 26 yds to the BOIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
98.0%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the BOIS 35Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-5
97.8%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Otto Tia) to the BOIS 40Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+7
98.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 7 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+14
97.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 14 yds to the BOIS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
97.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the BOIS 16Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
97.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+1
98.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the BOIS 15Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+1
98.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 1 yd to the BOIS 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 1:2599% → 99%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
98.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the BOIS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
98.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 10 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
98.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 18 yds to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
98.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+17
98.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 17 yds to the USU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.7%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
98.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 11 yds to the USU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
98.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the USU 9Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+5
98.8%
Utah State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the USU 4Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 4 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18END OF HALF
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
99.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 18 yds to the BOIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+18
99.5%
Herschel Turner run for 18 yds to the BOIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19FG
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:0299% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.3%
Jambres Dubar run for 3 yds to the BOIS 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
99.3%
Jambres Dubar run for 3 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+10
99.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 10 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Dylan Riley for 6 yds to the USU 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
99.3%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+5
99.3%
Tyler Crowe run for 5 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
99.3%
Maddux Madsen sacked by Carl Nesmith for a loss of 8 yards to the USU 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 46
+5
99.3%
Utah State Penalty, Offsides (Carl Nesmith) to the USU 41Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+4
99.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 4 yds to the USU 37Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+6
99.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 6 yds to the USU 31Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
99.7%
Jonah Dalmas 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
99.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 8 yds to the USU 21Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 2
OWN 21
-1
99.7%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 20Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 3
OWN 20
-5
99.7%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Rahsul Faison) to the USU 15Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
99.7%
Cameron Bates run for 17 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.7%
Jambres Dubar run for 9 yds to the USU 42Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+15
99.7%
Jambres Dubar run for 15 yds to the USU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
99.7%
Dylan Riley run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 28Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+3
99.7%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Dylan Riley for 3 yds to the USU 25Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Malachi Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
99.8%
Jonah Dalmas 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:290% → 0%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+37
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 37 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 7 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the BOIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+9
99.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jack Hestera for 9 yds to the BOIS 20Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
99.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the BOIS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
99.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 11 yds to the BOIS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.8%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the BOIS 6Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 6 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.8%
Cameron Bates run for a loss of 3 yards to the BOIS 22Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
99.8%
Jambres Dubar run for 7 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
Q3 0:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass intercepted D.J. Graham II return for no gain to the BOIS 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:330% → 1%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+24
99.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 24 yds to the BOIS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the BOIS 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-5
99.9%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Bo Maile) to the BOIS 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
99.9%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 5 yds to the BOIS 8Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
99.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25TD
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.7%
Jambres Dubar run for 4 yds to the USU 20Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+1
99.7%
Dylan Riley run for 1 yd to the USU 19Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+12
99.7%
Dylan Riley run for 12 yds to the USU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.7%
Dylan Riley run for 1 yd to the USU 6Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.7%
Dylan Riley run for 2 yds to the USU 4Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.7%
Utah State Penalty, Offsides (Yards) to the USU 2Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jambres Dubar run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:360% → 0%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 3 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 6 yds to the USU 34Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds to the USU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Spencer Petras run for 3 yds to the USU 42Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
99.9%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the right incomplete thrown to the USU45. PENALTY BSU Roughing the Passer on PHELPS, Boen USU Personal Foul on ANDERSEN, Teague , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 7 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 16 yds to the BOIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Grant Page for 5 yds to the BOIS 26Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
Spencer Petras run for 4 yds to the BOIS 22Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 1
OPP 22
-3
99.9%
Rahsul Faison run for a loss of 3 yards to the BOIS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27END OF GAME
13 plays · 62 yds · 7:32100% → 100%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for no gain to the BOIS 25Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Prince Strachan for 15 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for no gain to the BOIS 40Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Austin Terry for 7 yds to the BOIS 47Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Chase Penry for 11 yds to the USU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 7 yds to the USU 35Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 1 yd to the USU 34Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 1 yd to the USU 33Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 5 yds to the USU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 6 yds to the USU 22Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Tyler Crowe run for no gain to the USU 22Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+11
99.9%
Malachi Nelson pass complete to Austin Bolt for 11 yds to the USU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
100.0%
Kneel down by NELSON, Malachi at USU13 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:30
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 59 yds for a TD (Tanner Cragun KICK)
-1.6
TD · Q2 9:34
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 3 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q2 14:18
Ashton Jeanty run for 75 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com