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WSU

Washington State 24 at Boise State 45

BOIS
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by MADSEN, Maddux at BSU20 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:19: Ashton Jeanty run for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +7.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:22: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 22 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +9.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:52: John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 33 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +16.9 pts (now 27%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:17: Ashton Jeanty run for 59 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +9.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:38: Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +3.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:34BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:58WSU 4th & 2 at BOIS 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:06WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:11BOIS 4th & 3 at WSU 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:06WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:04BOIS 4th & 17 at BOIS 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:27WSU 4th & 2 at BOIS 18, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.0%−0.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:50WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.9%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:46WSU 4th & 22 at BOIS 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:38BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:20WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.7%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:38WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:05WSU 4th & 10 at BOIS 30, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:16BOIS 4th & 1 at WSU 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:52BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:23WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:19BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:22BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:52WSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:17BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:38BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:16BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:19WSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0871% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
70.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the BOIS 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
70.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+64
71.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 64 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:2929% → 30%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+52
70.9%
John Mateer run for 52 yds to the BOIS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
70.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 14Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+14
69.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 14 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4970% → 70%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 27Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
70.1%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
69.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
69.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:3630% → 31%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
69.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 12 yds to the WSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
69.5%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
69.5%
John Mateer run for 8 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
69.4%
Leo Pulalasi run for 2 yds to the BOIS 42Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
69.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 5 yds to the BOIS 37Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
69.5%
John Mateer run for 1 yd to the BOIS 36Similar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
68.8%
John Mateer run for no gain to the BOIS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5INT
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:1669% → 70%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
69.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 37Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+28
69.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 28 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
70.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the WSU 34Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
70.1%
Maddux Madsen pass intercepted Tyson Durant return for no gain to the WSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3631% → 31%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
68.8%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
68.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 1 yd to the WSU 28Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-6
69.1%
John Mateer sacked by Herbert Gums for a loss of 6 yards to the WSU 22Similar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 15
OWN 22
+50
69.3%
Dean Janikowski punt for 50 yds , Cooper Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:5569% → 69%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
68.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 9 yds to the BOIS 36Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+2
69.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
69.1%
Jambres Dubar run for a loss of 3 yards to the BOIS 35Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
68.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+14
68.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 14 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+31
69.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 31 yds to the WSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
70.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the WSU 16Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
69.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the WSU 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+2
69.4%
Maddux Madsen run for 2 yds to the WSU 13 Maddux Madsen fumbled, recovered by BOIS Maddux Madsen M. Madsen return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+29
69.3%
Jonah Dalmas 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:0531% → 30%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.3%
Washington State Penalty, Equipment Violation on HERNANDEZ, Carlos enforced (-5 Yards) to the WSU 20Similar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
69.4%
Kyle Williams run for 4 yds to the WSU 24Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
69.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
69.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 32Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
69.9%
Washington State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Nusi Malani) to the WSU 27Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
70.2%
Dean Janikowski punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the BOIS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:0270% → 67%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
69.7%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-10
69.2%
JEANTY, Ashton rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the BSU46 (THORNTON, Kyle). PENALTY BSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the BSU40 to the BSU30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+3
68.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 3 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 17
OWN 33
0
67.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
67.4%
Taren Schive punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:3732% → 35%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
68.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Tony Freeman for 12 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
67.4%
MATEER, John pass to the left incomplete intended for FREEMAN, Tony thrown to the BSU39; QB hurried by VIRGIN-MORGAN, Jayden. PENALTY BSU Offsides on FELY, Braxton enforced 5 yards from the WSU48 to the BSU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+21
67.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for 21 yds to the BOIS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
66.4%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
66.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the BOIS 19Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-5
67.2%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BOIS 24Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+6
67.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 6 yds to the BOIS 18Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+35
64.8%
Dean Janikowski 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 5:0168% → 78%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
67.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 18Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+12
67.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 12 yds to the BOIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
68.2%
MADSEN, Maddux pass to the left incomplete dropped by LAUTER, Matt thrown to the BSU28. PENALTY BSU Holding on SCHMIDT, Hall enforced 10 yards from the BSU30 to the BSU20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+6
67.8%
Maddux Madsen run for 6 yds to the BOIS 26Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+7
67.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 7 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+12
67.6%
Maddux Madsen run for 12 yds to the BOIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
69.5%
MADSEN, Maddux pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BOLT, Austin thrown to the WSU23. PENALTY WSU Holding on O'CONNOR, Ethan enforced 10 yards from the BSU45 to the WSU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
70.0%
Jambres Dubar run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 46Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+9
69.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 9 yds to the WSU 37Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+9
69.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the WSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
70.6%
MADSEN, Maddux pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BOLT, Austin thrown to the WSU0. PENALTY WSU Face mask on O'CONNOR, Ethan enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the WSU28 to the WSU14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
78.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12INT
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:0425% → 30%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
75.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 10 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
74.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 13 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
73.0%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WSU 43Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+11
74.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 11 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+9
71.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-8
72.1%
John Mateer sacked by Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 8 yards to the BOIS 45Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 18
OPP 45
+13
73.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 13 yds to the BOIS 32Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+8
71.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the BOIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
69.9%
John Mateer pass intercepted, touchback. Ty Benefield return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
74.4%
Kneel down by MADSEN, Maddux at BSU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
16 plays · 44 yds · 8:0425% → 23%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
74.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 1 yd to the WSU 18Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
75.1%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 18Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+11
76.1%
John Mateer run for 11 yds to the WSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
74.6%
Leo Pulalasi run for 3 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+6
74.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 6 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
73.1%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 38Similar
Q3 14:50
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+2
74.8%
John Mateer run for 2 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
73.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 8 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-1
72.3%
John Mateer sacked by Ahmed Hassanein and Jayden Virgin-Morgan for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 47Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
72.9%
Leo Pulalasi run for 4 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
72.4%
Leo Pulalasi run for 9 yds to the BOIS 40Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+13
72.0%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 13 yds to the BOIS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
70.8%
John Mateer run for 1 yd to the BOIS 26Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
71.1%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 9
OPP 26
-13
72.6%
John Mateer sacked by Rodney Robinson for a loss of 13 yards to the BOIS 39Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 22
OPP 39
0
76.9%
Dean Janikowski punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the BOIS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:0879% → 79%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+29
79.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 29 yds to the BOIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
80.9%
Tyler Crowe run for 2 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
81.2%
Jambres Dubar run for no gain to the BOIS 41Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
79.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Bates for 5 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
79.4%
Taren Schive punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1823% → 22%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
76.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for 6 yds to the WSU 24Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+3
76.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WSU 27Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 1
OWN 27
0
76.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for no gain to the WSU 27Similar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
78.3%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:5884% → 94%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
84.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
83.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the WSU 22Similar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+22
93.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 22 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3010% → 27%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
89.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 19 yds to the WSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
88.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 5 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
88.4%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+15
88.6%
John Mateer run for 15 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
89.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+33
73.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 33 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3585% → 94%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 34Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
84.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
94.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 59 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -23 yds · 1:299% → 8%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.5%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the WSU 27Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-15
91.1%
John Mateer sacked by Braxton Fely for a loss of 15 yards to the WSU 12Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 23
OWN 12
-10
91.8%
John Mateer sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan for a loss of 10 yards to the WSU 2Similar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 33
OWN 2
+11
92.5%
Dean Janikowski punt for 53 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 11 yds to the WSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:1095% → 99%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
95.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 19 yds to the WSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
95.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the WSU 19Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+10
95.0%
Washington State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Keith Brown) to the WSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
95.0%
Jambres Dubar run for 1 yd to the WSU 8Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
95.0%
Washington State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Taariq Al-Uqdah) to the WSU 4Similar
Q4 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the WSU 2Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
98.8%
John Mateer run for a loss of 4 yards to the WSU 21Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+4
98.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 4 yds to the WSU 25Similar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+45
98.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 45 yds to the BOIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.6%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.6%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
98.7%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 10
OPP 30
-14
98.9%
John Mateer sacked by Davon Banks for a loss of 14 yards to the BOIS 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:4999% → 100%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
98.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 47Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+10
98.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 10 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
98.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the WSU 37Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
98.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the WSU 34Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+34
99.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 34 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:570% → 1%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd to the WSU 26Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+36
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 36 yds to the BOIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 6 yds to the BOIS 32Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
99.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 4
OPP 32
-5
99.9%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Rodrick Tialavea) to the BOIS 37Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+9
99.9%
John Mateer run for 9 yds to the BOIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
99.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 30Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 12
OPP 30
0
99.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
MATEER, John pass up the middle complete for -5 yards to PULALASI, Leo caught at the BSU40 and advanced to the BSU35 (VIRGIN-MORGAN, Jayden). PENALTY BSU Offsides on FELY, Braxton enforced 5 yards from the BSU30 to the BSU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+21
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 21 yds to the BOIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Leo Pulalasi run for 2 yds to the BOIS 2Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Leo Pulalasi run for 1 yd to the BOIS 1Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Leo Pulalasi run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
99.8%
Kneel down by MADSEN, Maddux at BSU20 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:52
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 33 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-16.9
TD · Q4 13:17
Ashton Jeanty run for 59 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q3 1:22
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 22 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com