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WYO

Wyoming 17 at North Texas 44

UNT
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:33 · Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 6 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+15.4Home team on offense+1.4Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score differential+0.0Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 14:12: Kali Nguma 23 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +2.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:54: Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 19 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +5.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:15: Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for 41 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +8.3 pts (now 28%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:17: Makenzie McGill run for 4 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +10.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Kali Nguma 45 Yd Field Goal — UNT win probability +2.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WYO made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 9:54WYO 4th & 8 at UNT 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:07WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:33UNT 4th & 6 at WYO 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−0.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:09UNT 4th & 3 at WYO 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:12UNT 4th & 5 at WYO 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:09WYO 4th & 4 at UNT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:04UNT 4th & 1 at WYO 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.4%−3.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:13UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:17WYO 4th & 19 at WYO 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−3.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:10UNT 4th & 2 at WYO 2, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−10.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:22WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 39, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:50WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−2.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:09UNT 4th & 16 at UNT 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−4.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:41WYO 4th & 1 at UNT 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.5%−4.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:54WYO 4th & 3 at UNT 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−3.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−4.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:10UNT 4th & 13 at WYO 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−2.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:16WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:07UNT 4th & 3 at WYO 16, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%−0.5
    81% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−5.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:56WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 35, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:18UNT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:54UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:15WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:17UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:0531% → 32%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.4%
DJ Jones run for no gain to the WYO 25Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.4%
DJ Jones run for 3 yds to the WYO 28Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
69.3%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 13 yds to the WYO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
69.1%
Sam Scott run for 7 yds to the WYO 48Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
68.9%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
50
+4
68.7%
Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the UNT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+31
68.6%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 31 yds to the UNT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
68.2%
DJ Jones run for 2 yds to the UNT 13Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
68.1%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
68.2%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
68.3%
John Hoyland 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3468% → 70%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.3%
Shane Porter run for 3 yds to the UNT 28Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
68.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 6 yds to the UNT 34Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+24
68.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 24 yds to the WYO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
68.5%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
68.5%
Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+11
68.3%
Chandler Morris run for 11 yds to the WYO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
70.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 29 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:1031% → 31%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
69.3%
(07:17) FERRELL, Jamari rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the WYO26 (VAILEA, Fatafehi;BROWN, Chavez), clock 07:14. PENALTY WYO Holding on BARNETT, Caden enforced 10 yards from the WYO25 to the WYO15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
69.4%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+9
69.5%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to DJ Jones for 9 yds to the WYO 24Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
69.7%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for 11 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
69.1%
Evan Svoboda run for 6 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
68.5%
Sam Scott run for no gain to the WYO 41Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
68.5%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+43
69.3%
Jack Culbreath punt for 43 yds , DT Sheffield returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4FG
16 plays · 80 yds · 4:4569% → 72%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+40
69.0%
Shane Porter run for 40 yds to the WYO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
70.1%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-4
70.1%
Chandler Morris run for a loss of 4 yards to the WYO 49Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+8
69.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Nick Rempert for 8 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 6
OPP 41
+6
68.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 6 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
70.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 7 yds to the WYO 28Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
70.2%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
69.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for no gain to the WYO 28Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+7
69.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 7 yds to the WYO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
70.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 11 yds to the WYO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
70.1%
Shane Porter run for 4 yds to the WYO 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
70.1%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
69.7%
Shane Porter run for 1 yd to the WYO 5Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
72.0%
Kali Nguma 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:5429% → 28%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
71.3%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+15
71.5%
(13:55) JONES, D.J. rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the WYO23 (SMITH, Jaylen;RUDER, Jace), clock 13:50. PENALTY UNT Face mask on BROWN, Jordan enforced 15 yards from the WYO23 to the WYO38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
70.7%
Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the WYO 44Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+14
70.1%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Tyler King for 14 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
69.8%
DJ Jones run for 5 yds to the UNT 37Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+5
69.6%
North Texas Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the UNT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
69.0%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
69.1%
Evan Svoboda run for 5 yds to the UNT 27Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+1
69.7%
Evan Svoboda run for 1 yd to the UNT 26Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+1
72.0%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 1 yd to the UNT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0773% → 82%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
72.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Oscar Hammond for 17 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
74.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 40Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+14
73.6%
Chandler Morris run for 14 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
74.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 8 yds to the WYO 38Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+8
75.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 8 yds to the WYO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
75.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Nick Rempert for 11 yds to the WYO 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
75.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Nick Rempert for no gain to the WYO 19Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
81.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 19 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3719% → 28%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.6%
Jamari Ferrell run for 6 yds to the WYO 31Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
80.3%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 5 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.6%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
80.8%
DJ Jones run for 1 yd to the WYO 37Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+11
81.3%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 11 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
80.6%
Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the UNT 49Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+8
80.4%
Evan Svoboda run for 8 yds to the UNT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
72.1%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for 41 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 0:5175% → 85%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
74.7%
Shane Porter run for 3 yds to the UNT 27Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+34
73.0%
Shane Porter run for 19 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST down Wyoming Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Devin Boddie Jr.) to the WYO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
75.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 24 yds to the WYO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
75.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Nick Rempert for 6 yds to the WYO 9Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
76.1%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
75.3%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+5
74.2%
(01:25) MORRIS, Chandler pass to the left incomplete intended for CARNES, Dalton broken up by PARKS, Keany at the WYO0, clock 01:23. PENALTY WYO Offsides on HARSH, Sabastian enforced 5 yards from the WYO9 to the WYO4 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.5%
Makenzie McGill run for 4 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:0173% → 77%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
73.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 8 yds to the UNT 33Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
74.4%
Shane Porter run for 6 yds to the UNT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
74.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 10 yds to the UNT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
75.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 8 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
75.0%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+1
74.1%
Makenzie McGill run for 1 yd to the WYO 42Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+15
74.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 15 yds to the WYO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+45
77.1%
Kali Nguma 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4474% → 72%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.2%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
73.9%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 4 yds to the UNT 29Similar
Q3 14:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
72.2%
Sawyer Evans punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler King at the WYO 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0029% → 26%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
71.2%
Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the WYO 38Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-10
69.5%
Tyrecus Davis run for a loss of 10 yards to the WYO 28Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 14
OWN 28
-5
73.3%
Evan Svoboda sacked by Breylon Charles for a loss of 5 yards to the WYO 23Similar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 19
OWN 23
0
73.9%
Jack Culbreath punt for 12 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:0577% → 75%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
76.7%
Shane Porter run for 1 yd to the WYO 34Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+26
76.7%
Shane Porter run for 26 yds to the WYO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
76.9%
(11:18) PORTER, Shane rush up the middle for no gain to the WYO8 (SHAY, Connor), clock 11:15. PENALTY WYO Face mask on HARSH, Sabastian enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the WYO8 to the WYO4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
76.9%
Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the WYO 2Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
77.0%
Shane Porter run for no gain to the WYO 2Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.1%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.8%
M. McGill run for 2 yds for a TD (K. Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4329% → 27%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
71.4%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
71.9%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+4
73.1%
Evan Svoboda run for 4 yds to the WYO 39Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
73.0%
Jack Culbreath punt for 53 yds, downed at the UNT 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 3:5474% → 77%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
74.2%
Makenzie McGill run for 15 yds to the UNT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+34
74.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 34 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
77.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 2 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+10
77.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 10 yds to the WYO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
77.9%
(06:41) MORRIS, Chandler pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CARNES, Dalton thrown to the WYO5, clock 06:37. PENALTY UNT Holding on MOORE III, Larry enforced 10 yards from the WYO31 to the WYO41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+4
76.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for 4 yds to the WYO 37Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+13
76.4%
Shane Porter run for 13 yds to the WYO 24Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+24
77.1%
M. McGill run for 24 yds for a TD (K. Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2627% → 25%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
72.6%
Jamari Ferrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 23Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
72.6%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the WYO 25Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
73.7%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+11
74.7%
Jack Culbreath punt for 50 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 11 yds to the UNT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:3377% → 77%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
76.6%
Chandler Morris run for 1 yd to the UNT 37Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+13
78.0%
Kiefer Sibley run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
50
-10
80.0%
(02:24) MORRIS, Chandler pass deep to the right complete for 18 yards to SHEFFIELD, DT caught at the WYO32 and advanced to the WYO32, out of bounds, clock 02:20. PENALTY UNT Holding on MOORE III, Larry enforced 10 yards from the UNT50 to the UNT40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
79.8%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+4
79.6%
Kiefer Sibley run for 4 yds to the UNT 44Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 16
OWN 44
0
78.5%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 16
OWN 44
0
76.9%
Sawyer Evans punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler King at the WYO 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:0927% → 28%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
72.7%
DJ Jones run for 4 yds to the WYO 17Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+15
72.8%
North Texas Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jace Ruder) to the WYO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
71.6%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to DJ Jones for 11 yds to the WYO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
69.8%
Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 4
50
0
68.3%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 4
50
+3
68.9%
Evan Svoboda run for 3 yds to the UNT 47Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+4
70.6%
Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the UNT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
68.3%
Evan Svoboda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
68.6%
Sam Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 44Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+8
71.3%
Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 8 yds to the UNT 36Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+2
72.5%
Evan Svoboda run for 2 yds to the UNT 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:3984% → 84%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
83.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 21 yds to the WYO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
86.2%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-8
86.1%
Makenzie McGill run for a loss of 8 yards to the UNT 47Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 18
OWN 47
-5
84.2%
North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNT 42Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 23
OWN 42
+10
84.1%
Kiefer Sibley run for 10 yds to the WYO 48Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
84.0%
Sawyer Evans punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4623% → 20%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
77.0%
DJ Jones run for 2 yds to the WYO 22Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
77.3%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Nick Miles for no gain to the WYO 22Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
78.9%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Sam Scott for no gain to the WYO 22Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+20
80.4%
Jack Culbreath punt for 34 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 20 yds to the WYO 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20FG
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:5989% → 93%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
88.7%
Kiefer Sibley run for no gain to the WYO 36Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
88.9%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Blair Conwright for 7 yds to the WYO 29Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+6
89.0%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Nick Rempert for 6 yds to the WYO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
90.2%
North Texas Penalty, False Start (Larry Moore III) to the WYO 28Similar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+2
90.5%
Kiefer Sibley run for 2 yds to the WYO 26Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+5
91.0%
Kiefer Sibley run for 5 yds to the WYO 21Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+5
93.1%
Kiefer Sibley run for 5 yds to the WYO 16Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
92.5%
Kali Nguma 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:0820% → 12%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
79.9%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 10 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
77.6%
Jamari Ferrell run for a loss of 10 yards to the WYO 25Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+10
82.0%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 10 yds to the WYO 35Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
87.4%
Kaden Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
87.8%
Jack Culbreath punt for 40 yds, fair catch by DT Sheffield at the UNT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:2596% → 96%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.6%
(00:49) [NH] Kneel down by MESTEMAKER, Drew at UNT23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:38.Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
95.6%
(00:24) [NH] Kneel down by MESTEMAKER, Drew at UNT22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:17
Makenzie McGill run for 4 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
+10.3
TD · Q2 2:15
Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for 41 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q2 5:54
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 19 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com