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SJSU

San José State 52 at Washington State 54

WSU
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2024 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTOT2TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:06 · Dean Janikowski punt for 41 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTOT2Play 120Pregame prior+11.0Home team on offense−10.0Garbage-time factor−4.0Score differential−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Time remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 6:11: Josh Meredith 36 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski PAT failed) — WSU win probability +28.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q4 4:56: Dylan Paine 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — WSU win probability +29.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:26: TreyShun Hurry 20 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Emmett Brown Pass to Nick Nash for Two-Point Conversion) — SJSU win probability +62.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:00: Dean Janikowski 52 Yd Field Goal — WSU win probability +38.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Dylan Paine 7 Yd Run (John Mateer Run for Two-Point Conversion) — WSU win probability +22.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:22WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:57SJSU 4th & 2 at WSU 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.8%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:44SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:34WSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 29, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.6%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:07SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:02WSU 4th & 14 at SJSU 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:06WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−3.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:40SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:01WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:36SJSU 4th & 1 at WSU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%−4.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−6.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:37SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 25, down 5
    Close callPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:56WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 39, up 5
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:26SJSU 4th & 10 at WSU 20, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−6.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−7.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:00WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:19SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:31WSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:41WSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:40SJSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:02SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:43SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:48SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:41WSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:11WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−1.0
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:56WSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    80.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.6%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:26SJSU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    69.5%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 5:5381% → 81%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
80.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 4 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
80.5%
Wayshawn Parker run for no gain to the WSU 28Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+5
80.4%
John Mateer run for 5 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+8
80.2%
Dylan Paine run for 8 yds to the WSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
80.3%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Kyle Williams) to the WSU 36Similar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 15
OWN 36
-5
80.1%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Devin Kylany) to the WSU 31Similar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+4
80.1%
Dylan Paine run for 4 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+18
79.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 18 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
80.1%
John Mateer sacked by Gafa Faga for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 48Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
79.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+13
79.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 13 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
79.9%
John Mateer run for 11 yds to the SJSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+20
79.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 20 yds to the SJSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
79.8%
John Mateer run for 3 yds to the SJSU 1Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.9%
John Mateer 1 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:3720% → 22%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.4%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 9 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+66
78.4%
Floyd Chalk IV 66 Yd Run (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 5:2122% → 24%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
50
+6
78.2%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 6 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+8
77.9%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 8 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
77.6%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+13
77.6%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 13 yds to the WSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
77.2%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 11 yds to the WSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
76.9%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
76.9%
Washington State Penalty, Face mask (2 yards) (Nusi Malani) to the WSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
76.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the WSU 3Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
76.4%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 5 Floyd Chalk IV fumbled, recovered by SJSU Emmett Brown E. Brown return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
76.1%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 3 yds to the WSU 2Similar
Q1 2:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
75.7%
Kyler Halvorsen 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
16 plays · 64 yds · 6:1575% → 78%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
75.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 16 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
75.5%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 34Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
74.7%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+17
74.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 17 yds to the SJSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
75.9%
Leo Pulalasi run for 7 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
75.8%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+4
75.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for 4 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
75.6%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+10
75.4%
Wayshawn Parker run for 10 yds to the SJSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
75.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the SJSU 25Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-5
75.4%
MATEER, John pass short up the middle complete for 22 yards to HUTSON, Kris caught at the SJSU22 and advanced to the SJSU3 (POLLARD, Jordan), clock 13:27. PENALTY WSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on DIEU, Brock enforced 5 yards from the SJSU25 to the SJSU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+28
75.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 28 yds to the SJSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
75.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 4Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
75.0%
Kris Hutson run for no gain to the SJSU 4Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.2%
Cooper Mathers 4 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3525% → 24%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
75.4%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the SJSU 45Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
75.0%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 6 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-3
74.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 48Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 4
OWN 48
-5
75.5%
San José State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jalen Apalit-Williams) to the SJSU 43Similar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+1
76.3%
Dino Beslagic punt for 43 yds , Tony Freeman returns for 1 yd to the WSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:5377% → 84%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
76.8%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the WSU 17Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+25
76.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 25 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
77.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 41Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
77.8%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+15
76.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 15 yds to the SJSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
78.8%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+27
78.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 27 yds to the SJSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
78.8%
Wayshawn Parker run for 9 yds to the SJSU 8Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
83.8%
Cooper Mathers 8 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5384% → 83%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
83.9%
John Mateer run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 29Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
83.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
83.5%
John Mateer pass incomplete San José State Penalty, Targeting on RAHIMI, Robert (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+5
82.7%
Dean Janikowski run for 5 yds to the SJSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 2:5117% → 29%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
82.8%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-1
83.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 23Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+10
83.7%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 10 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+9
83.1%
Jordan Pollard run for 9 yds to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
82.4%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 4 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+15
82.1%
BROWN, Emmett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NASH, Nick thrown to the WSU25, clock 02:03. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on GUSHIKEN, Kapena enforced 15 yards to the WSU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
81.4%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+35
81.3%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 35 yds to the WSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
80.1%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the WSU 4Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.7%
Jacob Stewart 4 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 1:3475% → 81%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.1%
Wayshawn Parker run for 6 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
75.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for 1 yd to the WSU 32Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
74.6%
John Mateer run for 13 yds to the WSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
76.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Tony Freeman for 8 yds to the SJSU 47Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
77.3%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
76.4%
John Mateer run for 4 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
77.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+19
77.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 19 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
77.7%
John Mateer run for 6 yds to the SJSU 9Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-10
77.6%
MATEER, John pass short to the right incomplete intended for HUTSON, Kris thrown to the SJSU5, clock 00:17. PENALTY WSU Holding on KYLANY, Devin enforced 10 yards from the SJSU9 to the SJSU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 14
OPP 19
-8
77.2%
John Mateer sacked by Jordan Cobbs for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSU 27Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 22
OPP 27
+8
78.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Tony Freeman for 8 yds to the SJSU 19Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 14
OPP 19
+36
81.3%
Dean Janikowski 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5520% → 37%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.6%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.8%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 6 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
79.7%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 7 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+43
78.7%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 43 yds to the WSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
62.9%
Nick Nash 19 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11INT
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:1670% → 71%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
70.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 4 yards to the WSU 21Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+13
69.3%
John Mateer run for 13 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
70.1%
John Mateer run for 2 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
70.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
70.4%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+22
69.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 22 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
72.2%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Rodrick Tialavea) to the SJSU 45Similar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+11
70.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+9
73.0%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the SJSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-7
72.9%
John Mateer sacked by Jordan Cobbs for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSU 32Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 17
OPP 32
-55
71.0%
John Mateer pass intercepted Jordan Cobbs return for 55 yds to the WSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:5040% → 62%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
60.3%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 5 yds to the WSU 15Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+3
60.0%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 3 yds to the WSU 12Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
59.8%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 3 yds to the WSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
57.6%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
57.6%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
59.7%
(06:20) BROWN, Emmett pass to the left incomplete intended for NASH, Nick thrown to the WSU0; QB hurried by LATAIMUA, Jackson, clock 06:21. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on O'CONNOR, Ethan enforced 7 yards to the WSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
57.5%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 1 yd to the WSU 1Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.5%
Emmett Brown 1 Yd Run (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3747% → 42%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
47.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 34Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
46.2%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
44.2%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
43.5%
Dean Janikowski punt for 41 ydsSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
41.7%
(04:56) BROWN, Emmett pass short up the middle complete for 12 yards to LOCKHART, Justin caught at the SJSU30 and advanced to the SJSU37 (THORNTON, Kyle;WILSON, Adrian), clock 04:55. PENALTY SJSU Holding on MESA, Hudson enforced 10 yards from the SJSU25 to the SJSU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5258% → 84%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+15
42.3%
Emmett Brown pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 15 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
39.4%
Emmett Brown run for 2 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
38.5%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 4 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
36.8%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 18 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
34.5%
BROWN, Emmett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for NASH, Nick broken up by GUSHIKEN, Kapena at the WSU15; QB hurried by WEBSTER, Syrus, clock 02:17. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on GUSHIKEN, Kapena enforced 15 yards to the WSU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
33.8%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+10
32.8%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 10 yds to the WSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
16.1%
Floyd Chalk IV 18 Yd Run (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:0321% → 44%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
21.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the WSU 37Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+36
20.7%
John Mateer run for 36 yds to the SJSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
23.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the SJSU 23Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+11
23.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for 11 yds to the SJSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
23.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 13Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+13
43.7%
Kyle Williams 13 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:5969% → 68%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
31.3%
Jabari Bates run for 15 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
27.7%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
28.1%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
28.8%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+3
32.1%
Dino Beslagic punt for 55 yds , Tony Freeman returns for 3 yds to the WSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:2533% → 30%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
33.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for 8 yds to the WSU 16Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+3
33.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
33.2%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
32.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
30.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
29.6%
Dean Janikowski punt for 49 yds, downed at the SJSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:1173% → 79%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
27.0%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 1 yd to the SJSU 33Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
25.1%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+23
26.5%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 23 yds to the WSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
20.6%
Emmett Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 46Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+4
20.4%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 4 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+7
20.0%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 7 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 1
OPP 35
-1
21.2%
Emmett Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:1529% → 58%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
29.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
31.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 3 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
30.2%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+16
29.5%
John Mateer run for 16 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
58.3%
Josh Meredith 36 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4458% → 60%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.8%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.5%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 6 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
40.3%
Emmett Brown pass intercepted Kyle Thornton return for no gain to the SJSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:2060% → 89%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+31
59.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 31 yds to the SJSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.4%
Dylan Paine 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1425% → 20%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.9%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
75.4%
Emmett Brown sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSU 16 Emmett Brown fumbled, recovered by SJSU Malik Williams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+9
78.3%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the SJSU 25Similar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
80.0%
Dino Beslagic punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3189% → 87%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
88.5%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
89.4%
Wayshawn Parker run for 4 yds to the WSU 39Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
93.4%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+11
87.2%
Dean Janikowski punt for 44 yds , Matthew Coleman returns for 11 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 1:2025% → 93%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
74.6%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 7 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+5
73.3%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 5 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
72.2%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+31
68.9%
Emmett Brown pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 31 yds to the WSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
62.7%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
64.4%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
68.2%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+20
7.1%
TreyShun Hurry 20 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Emmett Brown Pass to Nick Nash for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25FG
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:2518% → 65%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+32
14.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 32 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
21.2%
John Mateer run for 8 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+52
64.6%
Dean Janikowski 52 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
41.1%
pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
41.7%
Emmett Brown pass intercepted Ethan O'Connor return for no gain to the WSU 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
65.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the SJSU 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
65.6%
John Mateer pass intercepted DJ Harvey return for no gain to the SJSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 28TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 15:0066% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
65.6%
Washington State Penalty, Illegal Block (Rodrick Tialavea) to the SJSU 32Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 17
OPP 32
+15
63.6%
Dylan Paine run for 15 yds to the SJSU 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+3
65.6%
Dylan Paine run for 3 yds to the SJSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
65.6%
John Mateer run for 7 yds to the SJSU 7Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
87.6%
Dylan Paine 7 Yd Run (John Mateer Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 29TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 15:0013% → 25%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
87.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the WSU 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
87.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the WSU 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+7
89.4%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 7 yds to the WSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
87.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 6 yds to the WSU 4Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
75.5%
Nick Nash 4 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:26
TreyShun Hurry 20 Yd pass from Emmett Brown (Emmett Brown Pass to Nick Nash for Two-Point Conversion)
-62.4
FG · Q4 0:00
Dean Janikowski 52 Yd Field Goal
+38.2
TD · Q4 4:56
Dylan Paine 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+29.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com