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ORST

Oregon State 21 at San Diego State 0

SDSU
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Snapdragon Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:40 · Tyler Pastula punt for 45 yds for a 1ST down , Trent Walker returns for 8 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Pregame prior−8.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:45: Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 7 — ORST win probability +6.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:29: Anthony Hankerson run for 11 yds to the SDSU 24 for a 1ST down — ORST win probability +5.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:53: Anthony Hankerson run for 15 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +11.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:41: Salahadin Allah run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line — ORST win probability +4.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:36: Bryce Caufield 21 Yd pass from Gevani McCoy (Everett Hayes Kick) — ORST win probability +3.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11ORST made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 13:40SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:40SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:44SDSU 4th & 4 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:32ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:51ORST 4th & 5 at SDSU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    63.7%−0.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:51ORST 4th & 5 at SDSU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    63.7%−0.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:10SDSU 4th & 12 at SDSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:10SDSU 4th & 12 at SDSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:48ORST 4th & 8 at SDSU 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:48ORST 4th & 8 at SDSU 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:05SDSU 4th & 5 at SDSU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:25ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:52SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:07ORST 4th & 4 at SDSU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−1.4
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:25ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 11:33SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:20ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−2.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:53ORST 4th & 1 at SDSU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−2.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−9.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:02SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:52ORST 4th & 9 at SDSU 37, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.8%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:34SDSU 4th & 18 at SDSU 42, down 14
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:52SDSU 4th & 5 at SDSU 30, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:18ORST 4th & 7 at ORST 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:47ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:53ORST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:36ORST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1642% → 42%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.6%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 26Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
41.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 5 yds to the SDSU 31Similar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+8
42.0%
Tyler Pastula punt for 45 yds for a 1ST down , Trent Walker returns for 8 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+8
42.0%
Tyler Pastula punt for 45 yds for a 1ST down , Trent Walker returns for 8 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:4658% → 59%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
41.9%
Jam Griffin run for 8 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+16
42.0%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 16 yds to the SDSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
42.0%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jam Griffin for 7 yds to the SDSU 22Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+6
42.0%
Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the SDSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
41.0%
Jam Griffin run for 16 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:5741% → 42%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.4%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDSU 28Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+21
41.2%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 21 yds to the SDSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
41.7%
Danny O'Neil run for 4 yds to the SDSU 48Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
41.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 4
50
0
41.8%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 4
50
0
41.5%
Tyler Pastula punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trent Walker at the ORST 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4DOWNS
16 plays · 47 yds · 6:4659% → 60%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
41.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORST 11Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+5
41.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 16Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+6
41.0%
Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the ORST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
40.8%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+12
40.8%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 12 yds to the ORST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
40.4%
Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the ORST 40Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
40.0%
Salahadin Allah run for 3 yds to the ORST 43Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
40.0%
Jake Reichle run for no gain to the ORST 43Similar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+6
40.2%
Jake Reichle run for 6 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
39.9%
Jam Griffin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 9
50
+4
39.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 4 yds to the SDSU 46Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
39.7%
Jam Griffin run for no gain to the SDSU 46Similar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
40.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
40.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:3243% → 40%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
42.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 15 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+3
40.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SDSU 39Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+5
40.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 5 yds to the SDSU 44Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
40.6%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
40.3%
Tyler Pastula punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trent Walker at the ORST 12Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
40.3%
Tyler Pastula punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trent Walker at the ORST 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:1460% → 61%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
40.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORST 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
39.8%
Zachary Card run for 5 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+3
39.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
39.4%
Gabarri Johnson run for 23 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
38.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the SDSU 42Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
38.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the SDSU 39Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+2
38.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the SDSU 41Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
38.9%
Josh Green punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 9Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
38.9%
Josh Green punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:2941% → 40%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
40.5%
Danny O'Neil run for 3 yds to the SDSU 27Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+8
40.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 8 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+7
40.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the SDSU 37Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+12
40.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 12 yds to the SDSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+8
40.3%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 8 yds to the SDSU 38Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+2
40.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Michael Harrison for 2 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
39.8%
Tyler Pastula punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:3361% → 64%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
38.7%
Jam Griffin run for 4 yds to the ORST 26Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+9
38.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 9 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
36.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
36.4%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the ORST 38Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
35.4%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 5 yds to the ORST 43Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
35.6%
Josh Green punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:2738% → 37%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
38.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the SDSU 17Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+10
38.4%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 10 yds to the SDSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+2
38.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 19Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 18
OWN 19
0
38.1%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 18
OWN 19
+10
37.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 8
OWN 29
+10
37.1%
Tyler Pastula punt for 55 yds , Trent Walker returns for 10 yds to the ORST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:4064% → 68%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
35.8%
Salahadin Allah run for 2 yds to the ORST 28Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+7
34.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 7 yds to the ORST 35Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+8
33.2%
Salahadin Allah run for 8 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
31.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 6 yds to the ORST 49Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
31.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 3 yds to the SDSU 48Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+6
31.3%
Salahadin Allah run for 6 yds to the SDSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
30.8%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 15 yds to the SDSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
30.1%
Gevani McCoy run for 6 yds to the SDSU 21Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 4
OPP 21
0
30.2%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
30.5%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
32.1%
Everett Hayes 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
35.6%
Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the SDSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:2967% → 67%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
32.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
32.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 38Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
31.5%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 3 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
31.4%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+5
33.1%
Josh Green punt for 45 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 5 yds to the SDSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4535% → 33%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
34.5%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
34.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the SDSU 23Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
33.1%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+3
32.5%
Tyler Pastula punt for 52 yds , Trent Walker returns for 3 yds to the ORST 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0768% → 67%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
32.4%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+1
31.9%
Jam Griffin run for 1 yd to the ORST 32Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+9
32.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 9 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
30.2%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
30.7%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
31.5%
Oregon State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
33.4%
Josh Green punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:1537% → 38%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
36.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the ORST 46Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
38.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jude Wolfe for 4 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+35
37.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 35 yds to the ORST 7 for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kobe Singleton) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
39.4%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
39.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the ORST 2Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
37.7%
Danny O'Neil run for no gain to the ORST 2 Danny O'Neil fumbled, recovered by ORST Nikko TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16TD
15 plays · 98 yds · 7:5268% → 88%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
31.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 7Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+2
31.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 9Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+4
32.5%
Gevani McCoy run for 4 yds to the ORST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
30.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 16Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+9
30.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 9 yds to the ORST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.4%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
30.0%
(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun McCoy,Gevani rush left for 9 yards gain to the OSU34, out of bounds at OSU34 PENALTY OSU Holding (Sikorski,Dylan) 10 yards from OSU25 to OSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-5
30.1%
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun McCoy,Gevani pass complete short right to Noga,Jeremiah caught at OSU20, for 8 yards to the OSU23 (Moretti,Kyle) PENALTY OSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Terry II,Jermaine) 5 yards from OSU15 to OSU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+14
29.4%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 14 yds to the ORST 24Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+41
30.0%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 41 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
25.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 11 yds to the SDSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
24.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the SDSU 20Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
24.3%
Jam Griffin run for no gain to the SDSU 20Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+5
23.9%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the SDSU 15Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+15
12.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 15 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:3914% → 13%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
14.4%
Danny O'Neil run for 1 yd to the SDSU 24Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
14.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 9 yds to the SDSU 33Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
14.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
14.5%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
14.1%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the SDSU 35Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
13.3%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+4
13.1%
Tyler Pastula punt blocked by Amarion York blocked by Amarion YorkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:4991% → 93%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
9.0%
Salahadin Allah run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 6
50
+3
8.7%
Salahadin Allah run for 3 yds to the SDSU 47Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+9
8.4%
Jam Griffin run for 9 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
7.5%
Salahadin Allah run for 4 yds to the SDSU 34Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
7.0%
Salahadin Allah run for no gain to the SDSU 34Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-5
6.8%
PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from SDSU34 to SDSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+2
6.7%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Jam Griffin for 2 yds to the SDSU 37Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+54
7.1%
Everett Hayes 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:588% → 7%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
8.2%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 35Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+15
7.5%
(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete deep left to Brooks,Baylin thrown to OSU45 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Jordan Jr.,Andre) 15 yards from SDSU35 to SDSU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
50
+1
8.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the ORST 49Similar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 25
OWN 35
0
7.5%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 25
OWN 35
0
7.4%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 25
OWN 35
+7
7.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 7 yds to the SDSU 42Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 18
OWN 42
0
7.2%
Danny O'Neil pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:5394% → 99%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
5.8%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the SDSU 39Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+11
5.3%
Jam Griffin run for 11 yds to the SDSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
4.9%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the SDSU 25Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
4.7%
Jam Griffin run for 4 yds to the SDSU 21Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+21
1.0%
Bryce Caufield 21 Yd pass from Gevani McCoy (Everett Hayes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:371% → 1%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.3%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSU 23Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
1.2%
Jaylon Armstead run for 7 yds to the SDSU 30Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
1.2%
Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the SDSU 30Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
1.1%
Tyler Pastula punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORST 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
0.8%
Salahadin Allah run for 2 yds to the ORST 9Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+4
0.8%
Salahadin Allah run for 4 yds to the ORST 13Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+3
0.6%
Salahadin Allah run for 3 yds to the ORST 10Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
0.6%
Josh Green punt for 35 yds , Jordan Napier returns for no gain to the ORST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
1.0%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Nikko Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSU 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+6
0.8%
Jaylon Armstead run for 6 yds to the ORST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:53
Anthony Hankerson run for 15 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
-11.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:45
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 7
-6
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:29
Anthony Hankerson run for 11 yds to the SDSU 24 for a 1ST down
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com