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GASO

Georgia Southern 20 at Nevada 17

NEV
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:13 · Alex Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Home team on offense−8.4Garbage-time factor−3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9Score differential−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9One-score game−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:08: Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK) — NEV win probability +5.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:03: JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 24 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +16.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:07: Gavin Stewart 48 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +5.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:30: Matthew Killam 27 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +5.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:35: Jalen White run for 19 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST down — GASO win probability +18.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 6 of 7GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q2 12:15GASO 4th & 3 at NEV 12, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.6%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−4.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:06NEV 4th & 16 at NEV 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:26GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:51NEV 4th & 15 at NEV 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:37GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−2.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:19NEV 4th & 14 at NEV 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−3.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:07GASO 4th & 10 at NEV 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:15NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 44, down 6
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:13GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 22, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:30NEV 4th & 7 at GASO 9, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−13.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:39GASO 4th & 15 at NEV 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−4.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:26GASO 4th & 17 at GASO 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−8.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:42NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.7%−5.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:38NEV 4th & 1 at GASO 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    29.3%−5.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−11.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:04GASO 4th & 6 at NEV 36, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    86.5%−0.4
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:33NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:30GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:08NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:03GASO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 5:2451% → 55%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
50.9%
Patrick Garwo III run for 7 yds to the NEV 22Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+5
51.0%
(14:25) GARWO III, Patrick rush up the middle for a loss of 4 yards, GARWO III, Patrick fumbled at NEV18 , recovered by GSO GILMORE, Davon at the NEV18, returned 0 yards to the NEV18, End of Play, clock 14:21. PENALTY GSO Offsides enforced 5 yards from the NEV22 to the NEV27 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
51.1%
(14:04) LEWIS, Brendon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BRAHAM, Cortez thrown to the NEV45, clock 14:02. PENALTY GSO Offsides on GAMBLE, Chance enforced 5 yards from the NEV27 to the NEV32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 5
OWN 32
0
51.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
51.1%
Patrick Garwo III run for 4 yds to the NEV 36Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+12
51.2%
Brendon Lewis run for 12 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
51.5%
Savion Red run for 13 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
51.7%
(12:22) LEWIS, Brendon pass short to the right incomplete intended for RAMSEUR, Caleb thrown to the GSO34; QB hurried by WATSON-TRENT, Marques and BROWN, Jaquari, clock 12:15. PENALTY NEV Holding on LOVELL, Spencer enforced 10 yards from the GSO39 to the GSO49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+1
51.6%
Savion Red run for 1 yd to the GASO 48Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 19
OPP 48
+5
51.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 5 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+16
51.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 16 yds to the GASO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
52.4%
Brendon Lewis run for 12 yds to the GASO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
54.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 15 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:0346% → 49%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
53.7%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
53.8%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 10 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
53.6%
JC French run for 1 yd to the GASO 48Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+2
54.1%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 7
50
+15
54.4%
(07:35) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BUNKLEY-SHELTON, LV thrown to the NEV30, clock 07:30. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on BROWN, Chad enforced 15 yards to the NEV35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
50.8%
JC French pass complete to Joshua Thompson for 35 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2252% → 59%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
51.9%
Cortez Braham Jr. run for 1 yd to the NEV 26Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
52.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jace Henry for 2 yds to the NEV 28Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
51.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 11 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
52.6%
Brendon Lewis run for 10 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
53.3%
Patrick Garwo III run for 7 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
53.6%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+10
53.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 10 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
54.1%
Patrick Garwo III run for 4 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+25
54.3%
Savion Red run for 25 yds to the GASO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
54.6%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
54.6%
(02:08) QB Keeper LEWIS, Brendon rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the GSO0, TOUCHDOWN NEV, score nullified by penalty, clock 02:04 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY NEV Personal Foul on HENRY, Jace enforced 15 yards from the GSO5 to the GSO20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+3
54.3%
Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the GASO 17Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+15
53.5%
(01:18) LEWIS, Brendon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Jaden thrown to the GSO0, clock 01:14. PENALTY GSO Pass Interference on HILL JR., Tracy enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the GSO2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.4%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 3:4842% → 45%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.7%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
57.7%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 16 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
57.3%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 4 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+9
56.9%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
56.8%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 16 yds to the NEV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
56.0%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
56.2%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+5
57.3%
Nevada Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the NEV 23Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+4
57.0%
(13:42) FRENCH, JC pass to the right incomplete intended for KENERSON, Sam thrown to the NEV15, clock 13:40. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on BROWN, Charles enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the NEV19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
56.2%
JC French sacked by Henry Ikahihifo for a loss of 2 yards to the NEV 21Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
56.6%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+9
58.0%
JC French pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 9 yds to the NEV 12Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
54.7%
Gavin Stewart 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:0856% → 55%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.7%
Savion Red run for no gain to the NEV 25Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.7%
Marcus Bellon run for 9 yds to the NEV 34Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
56.2%
Savion Red run for 1 yd to the NEV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.3%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
56.1%
Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the NEV 35Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-6
55.6%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Isaac Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the NEV 29Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
54.8%
Guy Gillespie punt for 41 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the GASO 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:3445% → 42%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
55.4%
JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 3 yds to the GASO 33Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+9
55.2%
OJ Arnold run for 9 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
54.3%
DeAndre Buchannon run for a loss of 7 yards to the GASO 35Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+4
57.0%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the GASO 39Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+2
57.1%
JC French pass complete to Jalen White for 2 yds to the GASO 41Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 11
OWN 41
-2
57.9%
Alex Smith punt for 41 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NEV 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 4:3158% → 58%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
58.2%
Patrick Garwo III run for 2 yds to the NEV 18Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
58.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+13
57.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 13 yds to the NEV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
58.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Patrick Garwo III for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 27Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+1
58.3%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 1 yd to the NEV 28Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+15
57.6%
LEWIS, Brendon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BELLON, Marcus broken up by GREEN, Prince at the GSO40, clock 03:35. PENALTY GSO Face mask on FALL, Elhadj enforced 15 yards from the NEV28 to the NEV43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
61.2%
Savion Red run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 3
50
-5
62.2%
Nevada Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEV 45Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
61.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 3 yds to the NEV 48Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-10
60.8%
(02:09) LEWIS, Brendon scrambles up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the NEV49 (RHODES, Davion), clock 02:00. PENALTY NEV Holding on GARWO III, Patrick enforced 10 yards from the NEV48 to the NEV38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 15
OWN 38
0
59.5%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
58.2%
Guy Gillespie punt for 42 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the GASO 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 1:4741% → 60%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
58.7%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 6 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
57.9%
David Mbadinga run for 6 yds to the GASO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
57.9%
(01:23) MBADINGA, David rush up the middle for no gain to the GSO32 (SEIULI, Aedan), clock 01:17. PENALTY GSO Holding on WIMBLEY, Pichon enforced 10 yards from the GSO32 to the GSO22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+17
58.9%
JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 17 yds to the GASO 39Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
58.1%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+3
58.7%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
59.0%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
58.0%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
59.1%
Nevada Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Henry Ikahihifo) to the NEV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
56.5%
(00:13) FRENCH, JC pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for COBB, Dalen thrown to the NEV5, clock 00:09. PENALTY NEV Personal Foul on ROSS, Kristopher enforced 15 yards from the NEV39 to the NEV24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
40.5%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 24 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
44.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by LEWIS, Brendon at NEV11 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2353% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.8%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
46.9%
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
48.3%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 1 yd to the GASO 25Similar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-3
49.2%
Alex Smith punt for 42 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:1848% → 45%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
48.4%
Brendon Lewis run for 10 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
50.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Patrick Garwo III for 2 yds to the NEV 42Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-10
50.9%
QB Keeper LEWIS, Brendon rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the NEV44 (WATSON-TRENT, Marques). PENALTY NEV Holding on WORLD, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the NEV42 to the NEV32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 18
OWN 32
0
47.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+4
46.5%
Patrick Garwo III run for 4 yds to the NEV 36Similar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
45.3%
Guy Gillespie punt for 19 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:1256% → 63%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
44.5%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the GASO 45Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
44.9%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 15 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
43.7%
JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 8 yds to the NEV 32Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+2
40.7%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the NEV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
41.0%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
41.1%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
42.6%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
37.2%
Gavin Stewart 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5141% → 40%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.4%
Marcus Bellon run for 7 yds to the NEV 32Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
43.4%
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the NEV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
42.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jace Henry for 3 yds to the NEV 41Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
43.9%
Savion Red run for 3 yds to the NEV 44Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
43.2%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
40.4%
Guy Gillespie punt for 43 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the GASO 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5963% → 62%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
37.3%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 14Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+1
37.4%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 15Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+7
38.1%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the GASO 22Similar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
38.1%
Alex Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:3841% → 48%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
40.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 19 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
43.8%
Savion Red run for 1 yd to the GASO 44Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+32
43.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 32 yds to the GASO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
45.3%
Savion Red run for 3 yds to the GASO 9Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
45.2%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
43.0%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
48.4%
Matthew Killam 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:4158% → 57%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
41.7%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
40.0%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
39.1%
Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (Pichon Wimbley) to the NEV 49Similar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 15
OPP 49
0
40.5%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
39.5%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 15
OPP 49
0
41.2%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
43.4%
Alex Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17FUMBLE
12 plays · 91 yds · 5:5642% → 48%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
42.2%
Patrick Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEV 7Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+10
41.8%
Savion Red run for 10 yds to the NEV 17Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+5
41.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 5 yds to the NEV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
42.9%
Brendon Lewis run for 15 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
44.5%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Personal Foul (Cam Williams) to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
47.5%
(12:38) LEWIS, Brendon pass deep to the right complete for 23 yards to HENRY, Jace caught at the GSO25 and advanced to the GSO20 (WILLIAMS, Cam), clock 12:37. PENALTY NEV Holding on LOVELL, Spencer enforced 10 yards from the GSO43 to the NEV47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+13
43.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 13 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
47.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 4 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
46.2%
Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds to the GASO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
47.1%
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the GASO 25Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+25
47.5%
Savion Red run for 25 yds Savion Red fumbled, recovered by GASO Chance Gamble C. Gamble return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 3:0166% → 66%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.8%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
34.4%
JC French run for no gain to the GASO 20Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
35.6%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 15 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
30.9%
JC French pass complete to Jalen White for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 33Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+5
32.8%
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
29.4%
(07:06) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BUNKLEY-SHELTON, LV thrown to the NEV42, clock 07:02. PENALTY NEV Offsides on ROSS, Kristopher enforced 5 yards from the GSO38 to the GSO43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-10
28.1%
(07:02) QB Keeper FRENCH, JC rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the GSO46 (CRAWFORD, Kitan;MATEIALONA, Tongiaki), clock 06:55. PENALTY GSO Holding on JOHNSON, Beau enforced 10 yards from the GSO43 to the GSO33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
32.4%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 12
OWN 33
-5
33.4%
(06:30) SMITH, Alex punt 36 yards to the NEV31 out of bounds, clock 06:27. PENALTY Before the snap, GSO Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GSO33 to the GSO28. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
33.7%
Alex Smith punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:3837% → 36%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
37.4%
Brendon Lewis run for 15 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
41.6%
Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 37Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+11
35.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 11 yds to the NEV 48Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
39.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+2
37.6%
Patrick Garwo III run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
50
-4
41.6%
Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 46Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 14
OWN 46
0
36.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+13
34.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Patrick Garwo III for 13 yds to the GASO 41Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
35.6%
Patrick Garwo III run for no gain to the GASO 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:3183% → 89%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
17.3%
Jalen White run for 19 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
11.8%
Jalen White run for no gain to the NEV 40Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
11.4%
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 41Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+5
11.3%
JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 5 yds to the NEV 36Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
11.1%
Alex Smith punt for 32 yds, downed at the NEV 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 91 yds · 0:5824% → 16%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
24.3%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the NEV 6Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+1
21.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Patrick Garwo III for 1 yd to the NEV 7Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+17
20.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 17 yds to the NEV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
18.0%
(00:20) LEWIS, Brendon pass up the middle complete for -1 yard to BRAHAM, Cortez caught at the NEV35 and advanced to the NEV23 (WATSON-TRENT, Marques;MEYERS, Justin), clock 00:18. PENALTY NEV Holding on MADRIGAL, Andrew enforced 10 yards from the NEV24 to the NEV14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+7
15.8%
Brendon Lewis run for 7 yds to the NEV 21Similar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+13
14.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 18 yds to the NEV 39 Nevada Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Savion Red) to the NEV 33Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+62
15.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 62 yds to the GASO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:35
Jalen White run for 19 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST down
-18.2
TD · Q2 0:03
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 24 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-16
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com