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IDST

Idaho State 15 at Oregon State 38

ORST
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:11 · Ross Bolger punt for 36 yds, downed at the ORST 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+45.8Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:27: Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +4.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:39: Gevani McCoy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 55 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +3.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:17: Jam Griffin run for 22 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:04: Hunter Hays pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — IDST win probability +4.9 pts (now 7%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:31: Jam Griffin run for 20 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IDST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:11IDST 4th & 16 at IDST 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:12IDST 4th & 25 at IDST 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:52ORST 4th & 2 at IDST 33, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:34ORST 4th & 9 at IDST 14, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:49IDST 4th & 3 at ORST 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:42ORST 4th & 9 at IDST 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:53IDST 4th & 12 at IDST 15, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:26IDST 4th & 15 at IDST 47, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IDST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 5:55ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:00IDST Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:27ORST Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:39ORST Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:17ORST Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:04IDST Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:31ORST Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:484% → 4%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.1%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.1%
Idaho State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IDST 20Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
96.1%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-1
96.1%
Dason Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 19Similar
Q1 14:11
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
95.9%
Ross Bolger punt for 36 yds, downed at the ORST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:2496% → 96%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
95.9%
Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the IDST 49Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
95.8%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the IDST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
95.8%
Jam Griffin run for 2 yds to the IDST 42Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+18
95.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 18 yds to the IDST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
95.6%
Jam Griffin run for 8 yds to the IDST 16 Jam Griffin fumbled, recovered by IDST Mason Young M. Young return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 3INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:475% → 5%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
95.4%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Raiden Brown for 5 yds to the IDST 21Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+10
95.3%
Dason Brooks run for 10 yds to the IDST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
95.2%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 12 yds to the IDST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.0%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
95.0%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Eric Johnson for 11 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
94.8%
Donald Austin run for 5 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
94.7%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-15
94.7%
Jordan Cooke pass intercepted Noble Thomas Jr. return for 15 yds to the ORST 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:4195% → 95%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
94.8%
Jam Griffin run for 17 yds to the IDST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
94.8%
Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the IDST 40Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+12
94.7%
Jam Griffin run for 12 yds to the IDST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
94.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the IDST 22Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+7
94.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the IDST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
95.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 15 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 2:435% → 6%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.8%
Keoua Kauhi II run for 11 yds to the IDST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
94.7%
Keoua Kauhi II run for 2 yds to the IDST 38Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
94.5%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Ian Duarte for 5 yds to the IDST 43Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+11
94.4%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 11 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.2%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-15
94.2%
(03:32) COOKE, Jordan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Eric broken up by JORDAN JR., Andre at the OSU19, clock 03:27. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Eric enforced 15 yards to the ISU39 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 25
OWN 39
0
94.4%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 25
OWN 39
0
94.5%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 25
OWN 39
0
94.5%
Ross Bolger punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trent Walker at the ORST 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6SF
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5894% → 93%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
94.4%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 13Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-3
94.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 10Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 14
OWN 10
+7
94.0%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 7 yds to the ORST 17Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 7
OWN 17
-17
92.9%
run for a loss of 17 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 7TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 1:027% → 9%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
93.0%
Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 12 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
92.7%
Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 12 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
91.2%
Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 35 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 5:2592% → 91%
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.1%
Jam Griffin run for 1 yd to the ORST 36Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+23
92.0%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 23 yds to the IDST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
92.2%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the IDST 36Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
92.1%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the IDST 33Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
91.8%
Gabarri Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+3
91.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the IDST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
91.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the IDST 26Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+11
91.7%
Gabarri Johnson run for 11 yds to the IDST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
91.4%
Gabarri Johnson sacked by Kris Sanchez for a loss of 10 yards to the IDST 25Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 20
OPP 25
+11
90.8%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Trent Walker for 11 yds to the IDST 14Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
90.6%
Gabarri Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
91.1%
Everett Hayes 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:449% → 11%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
90.8%
Keoua Kauhi II run for 17 yds to the IDST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.0%
Kobe Tracy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
90.1%
Justice Jackson run for no gain to the IDST 42Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+11
90.3%
Kobe Tracy pass complete to Eric Johnson for 11 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
89.3%
Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 6 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+4
89.1%
Justice Jackson run for 4 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
88.9%
Kobe Tracy pass complete to Ian Duarte for 4 yds to the ORST 33Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-1
88.1%
Kobe Tracy sacked by Nikko Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 34Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+4
88.3%
Kobe Tracy pass complete to Raiden Brown for 4 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+1
88.7%
Kobe Tracy run for 1 yd to the ORST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10TD
14 plays · 71 yds · 4:1390% → 92%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
89.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
89.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+7
89.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
89.4%
Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the ORST 49Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+10
89.4%
Jam Griffin run for 10 yds to the IDST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
89.5%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the IDST 38Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
89.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the IDST 35Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+21
88.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 21 yds to the IDST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
89.2%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the IDST 9 Jam Griffin fumbled, recovered by ORST Jam Griffin J. Griffin return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+3
89.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the IDST 6Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
92.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:279% → 9%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.4%
Jackson Sharman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.4%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Eric Johnson for 9 yds to the IDST 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
90.9%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 3 yds to the IDST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:1792% → 91%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
92.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
92.1%
(13:49) MCCOY, Gevani pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WALKER, Trent thrown to the ISU28, clock 13:44. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on BOHANNON, Tylor enforced 15 yards to the OSU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
50
+3
92.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the IDST 47Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-6
92.7%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Logan George for a loss of 6 yards to the ORST 47Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+4
91.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 4 yds to the IDST 49Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
91.1%
Josh Green punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:429% → 8%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
90.9%
Jackson Sharman run for a loss of 2 yards to the IDST 15 Justice Jackson fumbled, recovered by IDST Jackson Sharman J. Sharman return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 15
0
90.9%
Jackson Sharman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 12
OWN 15
0
91.3%
Jackson Sharman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
91.6%
Ross Bolger punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
95.4%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 55 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:126% → 6%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
(10:33) COOKE, Jordan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SHULIKOV, Michael broken up by JORDAN JR., Andre at the OSU43, clock 10:30. PENALTY OSU Personal Foul on SAEZ, Zakaih ISU Personal Foul on HYDE, Ty , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.5%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 7 yds to the IDST 32Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
94.2%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Raiden Brown for 4 yds to the IDST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
94.0%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 3 yds to the IDST 39Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+13
94.0%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 13 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
93.5%
Jordan Cooke sacked by Thomas Collins and Zakaih Saez for a loss of 5 yards to the IDST 47Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
94.4%
Kobe Tracy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 15
OWN 47
0
94.1%
Jordan Cooke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
94.2%
Ross Bolger punt for 33 yds, downed at the ORST 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:0094% → 99%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.3%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
94.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jam Griffin for 7 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
94.0%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jam Griffin for 4 yds to the ORST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
94.4%
Jam Griffin run for 14 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
96.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 8 yds to the IDST 47Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+23
96.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 23 yds to the IDST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
96.2%
(04:16) HANKERSON, Anthony rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the ISU12 (PITCHER, Calvin), clock 04:10. PENALTY OSU Holding on TERRY II, Jermaine enforced 10 yards from the ISU24 to the ISU34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+12
96.4%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 12 yds to the IDST 22Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+22
98.9%
Jam Griffin run for 22 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 2:082% → 7%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
98.5%
Kobe Tracy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+15
98.5%
Oregon State Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on CHISOM, Isaiah enforced (Isaiah Chisom) to the IDST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Kobe Tracy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Kobe Tracy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+18
98.5%
Kobe Tracy pass complete to Ian Duarte for 18 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
98.6%
Kobe Tracy pass complete to Eric Johnson for 12 yds to the ORST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
98.4%
(01:20) TRACY, Kobe pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FREDRICKSON, Christian thrown to the OSU5, clock 01:14. PENALTY OSU Personal Foul on CHISOM, Isaiah enforced 15 yards from the OSU33 to the OSU18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
93.5%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:3396% → 99%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 28Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
96.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
96.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
96.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+10
97.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 10 yds to the IDST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
97.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the IDST 39Similar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
97.5%
(12:31) GRIFFIN, Jam rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the ISU39 (BELL, Jayden;BOONE, Janari), 1ST DOWN, clock 12:24. PENALTY OSU Holding on JENSEN, Cooper ISU Face mask on BOONE, Janari , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+5
97.5%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the IDST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
97.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the IDST 30Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
97.5%
Jam Griffin run for 4 yds to the IDST 26Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+6
97.4%
Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the IDST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.4%
Jam Griffin run for 20 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 19INT
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.1%
Donald Austin run for 14 yds to the IDST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Jackson Sharman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+17
99.1%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Ian Duarte for 17 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Jackson Sharman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.1%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 6 yds to the ORST 38Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+17
99.1%
Donald Austin run for 17 yds to the ORST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.1%
Dason Brooks run for 1 yd to the ORST 20Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+10
99.1%
Oregon State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ORST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20END OF GAME
11 plays · 69 yds · 6:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.5%
Salahadin Allah run for 6 yds to the ORST 21Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+12
99.5%
Salahadin Allah run for 12 yds to the ORST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.6%
Salahadin Allah run for 5 yds to the ORST 38Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
99.6%
Salahadin Allah run for 4 yds to the ORST 42Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
99.6%
Jake Reichle run for 3 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.7%
Salahadin Allah run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 44Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+20
99.6%
Salahadin Allah run for 20 yds to the IDST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
99.8%
Gabarri Johnson run for 8 yds to the IDST 28Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+13
99.8%
Salahadin Allah run for 13 yds to the IDST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
99.8%
(00:33) Kneel down by JOHNSON, Gabarri at ISU16 (team loss of 1), clock 00:27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:04
Hunter Hays pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-4.9
TD · Q2 0:27
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q3 10:39
Gevani McCoy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 55 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com