Try the model
RMU

Robert Morris 14 at Utah State 36

USU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Maverik Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadRMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreRMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:39 · Steven Earnest punt for 23 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+15.0Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:33: Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Cole Mitchell for 40 yds for a TD (Jayson Jenkins KICK) — RMU win probability +5.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: RMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:41: Delvecchio Powell II run for 31 yds for a TD (Jayson Jenkins KICK) — RMU win probability +16.3 pts (now 50%) (top driver: RMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:33: Bryson Barnes pass complete to Kyrese White for 53 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK) — USU win probability +14.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:38: Elliott Nimrod 50 yd FG GOOD — USU win probability +6.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:31: Bryson Barnes run for 63 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod PAT MISSED) — USU win probability +10.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7RMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 9:39RMU 4th & 7 at RMU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:50RMU 4th & 3 at USU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:57USU 4th & 8 at USU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:19RMU 4th & 10 at RMU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:30USU 4th & 5 at RMU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:18RMU 4th & 7 at RMU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:43USU 4th & 23 at USU 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−2.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:42RMU 4th & 17 at RMU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−2.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:54USU 4th & 1 at USU 33, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:31RMU 4th & 7 at RMU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:09RMU 4th & 6 at RMU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:05USU 4th & 3 at USU 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:34RMU 4th & 6 at RMU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:38USU 4th & 9 at RMU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:33RMU 4th & 8 at RMU 27, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:16RMU 4th & 14 at USU 47, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:49USU 4th & 6 at RMU 25, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:09RMU 4th & 1 at USU 45, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4RMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:00USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:33RMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:41RMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:33USU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:31USU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:57USU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1INT
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:3867% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
66.5%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 24Similar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
66.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Robert Briggs Jr. for 11 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
66.4%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 6 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+16
66.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 16 yds to the RMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
66.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Robert Briggs Jr. for 9 yds to the RMU 34Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+8
66.6%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 8 yds to the RMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
66.6%
(12:28) PETRAS, Spencer pass to the left complete for 5 yards to ROYALS, Jalen caught at the RMU20 and advanced to the RMU21 (HARVEY, Tyris), clock 12:21. PENALTY USU Holding on MOTES, Cole enforced 10 yards from the RMU26 to the RMU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+2
66.5%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 2 yds to the RMU 34Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 18
OPP 34
+13
66.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Otto Tia for 13 yds to the RMU 21Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 5
OPP 21
-31
66.5%
Spencer Petras pass intercepted Tyris Harvey return for 31 yds to the RMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3434% → 34%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
65.8%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 4 yds to the RMU 45Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
65.6%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+4
65.7%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to DJ Moyer for 4 yds to the RMU 49Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-5
65.7%
Robert Morris Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the RMU 44Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
66.0%
Steven Earnest punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:4566% → 66%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
66.1%
Rahsul Faison run for 15 yds to the USU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
66.5%
Rahsul Faison run for 5 yds to the RMU 47Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
66.4%
Spencer Petras pass intercepted Tyris Harvey return for no gain to the RMU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:5035% → 35%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
65.3%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 11 yds to the RMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
65.1%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 5 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+13
64.9%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Landen Lucas for 13 yds to the USU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
64.5%
Anthony Chiccitt run for 5 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
64.3%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 2 yds to the USU 26Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
64.4%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+2
64.8%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Chaz Middleton for 2 yds to the USU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4765% → 64%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
65.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
65.3%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-2
64.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Rahsul Faison for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 26Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
64.4%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tahseen Howard at the RMU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3235% → 35%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
64.7%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Noah Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the RMU 31Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+2
65.1%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Cole Mitchell for 2 yds to the RMU 33Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+1
65.2%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Noah Robinson for 1 yd to the RMU 34Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+12
65.5%
Steven Earnest punt for 41 yds , Robert Freeman IV returns for 12 yds to the USU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 1:0865% → 70%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
65.3%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 4 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
65.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jalen Royals for 2 yds to the USU 43Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+57
69.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 57 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2731% → 38%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
68.8%
Robert Morris Penalty, False Start (Cole Mitchell) to the RMU 20Similar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+16
68.9%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Tyvon Edmonds Jr. for 16 yds to the RMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
68.3%
Robert Morris Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RMU 31Similar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+9
68.9%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 9 yds to the RMU 40Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
67.9%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Tyvon Edmonds Jr. for 4 yds to the RMU 44Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
67.9%
DJ Moyer run for 5 yds to the RMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
67.8%
DJ Moyer run for 5 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
67.6%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Cole Mitchell for 6 yds to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
61.7%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Cole Mitchell for 40 yds for a TD (Jayson Jenkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:0365% → 66%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.4%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 4 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+21
63.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Kyrese White for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
50
+10
66.1%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 10 yds to the RMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
66.3%
(11:48) BRIGGS JR., Robert rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the RMU34 (MCDONNELL, Patrick), clock 11:43. PENALTY USU Holding on MAUI, Aloali'i enforced 10 yards from the RMU40 to the USU50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 20
50
+26
65.3%
Rahsul Faison run for 26 yds to the RMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
66.7%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the RMU 22Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-15
66.7%
Utah State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the RMU 32Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 18
OPP 32
+13
64.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 13 yds to the RMU 19Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
66.3%
Elliott Nimrod 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1234% → 33%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.0%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.2%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 3 yds to the RMU 28Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
66.7%
(08:40) CHICCITT, Anthony pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Noah thrown to the USU45, clock 08:33. PENALTY Before the snap, RMU Illegal Formation USU Holding on DICKERSON, Avante , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
66.7%
Anthony Chiccitt run for no gain to the RMU 28Similar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
67.5%
Steven Earnest punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Robert Freeman IV at the USU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:3067% → 65%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
66.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
66.4%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for no gain to the USU 31Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+15
65.4%
Robert Morris Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (William Barber) to the RMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
68.5%
Rahsul Faison run for 2 yds to the RMU 47Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
68.6%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-15
67.7%
Utah State Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on BRIGGS JR., Robert enforced (-15 Yards) to the USU 38Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 23
OWN 38
0
65.0%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tahseen Howard at the RMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:5534% → 32%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
66.7%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 17 yds to the RMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
64.7%
(06:04) EDMONDS JR., Tyvon rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the RMU45 (UNION, Torren), clock 06:02. PENALTY RMU Face mask on ROLLING, Jaden enforced 15 yards from the RMU42 to the RMU27 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 25
OWN 27
+3
66.5%
Delvecchio Powell II run for 3 yds to the RMU 30Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 22
OWN 30
+3
66.7%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Delvecchio Powell II for 3 yds to the RMU 33Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 19
OWN 33
+2
67.7%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Julian White for 2 yds to the RMU 35Similar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 17
OWN 35
0
68.2%
Steven Earnest punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Robert Freeman IV at the USU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3966% → 65%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
66.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Otto Tia for 9 yds to the USU 33Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 1
OWN 33
0
67.7%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 1
OWN 33
0
66.6%
Utah State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
65.1%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:0434% → 50%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
66.2%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Noah Robinson for 13 yds to the RMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
65.5%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 3 yds to the RMU 36Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-5
65.1%
Robert Morris Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RMU 31Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
66.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+29
67.4%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Delvecchio Powell II for 29 yds to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
62.6%
Delvecchio Powell II run for 2 yds to the USU 38Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-5
62.6%
Robert Morris Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USU 43Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+12
66.2%
Shawn Charles pass complete to Cole Mitchell for 12 yds to the USU 31Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+31
49.9%
Delvecchio Powell II run for 31 yds for a TD (Jayson Jenkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:4156% → 55%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
56.1%
Bryson Barnes run for 11 yds to the USU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
56.8%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+13
56.6%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Broc Lane for 13 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
58.9%
Bryson Barnes pass intercepted Robert Carter return for no gain to the RMU 13Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
55.1%
Robert Morris Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Robert Carter) to the RMU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 16
OWN 7
-2
55.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by CHICCITT, Anthony at RMU5 (team loss of 2).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2846% → 45%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.6%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Shawn Charles for 1 yd to the RMU 26Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
53.3%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 2 yds to the RMU 28Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
54.0%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
55.1%
Steven Earnest punt for 57 yds, downed at the USU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 2:4454% → 70%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
54.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jalen Royals for 8 yds to the USU 23Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+1
54.6%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the USU 24Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+8
53.1%
Rahsul Faison run for 8 yds to the USU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
54.0%
Rahsul Faison run for 9 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
56.5%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the USU 41Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+6
55.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 6 yds to the USU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
69.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Kyrese White for 53 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:2334% → 32%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
66.1%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 7 yds to the RMU 32Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
64.3%
Shawn Charles run for 2 yds to the RMU 34Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
66.1%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 2 yds to the RMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
66.1%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Tyvon Edmonds Jr. for 2 yds to the RMU 38Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-6
65.0%
Robert Morris Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Anthony Chiccitt) to the RMU 32Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+8
68.7%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Trenell Ridgley for 8 yds to the RMU 40Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
67.9%
Steven Earnest punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:5669% → 68%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+18
68.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Robert Briggs Jr. for 18 yds to the USU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
69.2%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
68.6%
Bryson Barnes run for 7 yds to the USU 36Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
69.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
68.0%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tahseen Howard at the RMU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2335% → 33%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
64.7%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 8 yds to the RMU 48Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-4
63.7%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the RMU 44Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
64.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
67.2%
Steven Earnest punt for 41 yds, downed at the USU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:4768% → 78%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+30
68.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jalen Royals for 30 yds to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
71.1%
Robert Morris Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the RMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
73.5%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
73.3%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+1
71.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Broc Lane for 1 yd to the RMU 33Similar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
78.2%
Elliott Nimrod 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 23INT
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:2324% → 27%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.1%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 2 yds to the RMU 27Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
76.1%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 4 yds to the RMU 31Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
76.4%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Tyvon Edmonds Jr. for 5 yds to the RMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
75.4%
DJ Moyer run for 5 yds to the RMU 41Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
73.6%
DJ Moyer run for 3 yds to the RMU 44Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
73.8%
DJ Moyer run for 3 yds to the RMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
73.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass intercepted Ike Larsen return for no gain to the USU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:3781% → 91%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
81.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Grant Page for 8 yds to the USU 37Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+63
91.1%
Bryson Barnes run for 63 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:589% → 8%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.6%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 4 yds to the RMU 29Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
89.9%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 2 yds to the RMU 31Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
90.9%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to DJ Moyer for a loss of 4 yards to the RMU 27Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
92.3%
Steven Earnest punt for 54 yds, downed at the USU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:2593% → 98%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+55
93.3%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 55 yds to the RMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
98.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jalen Royals for 21 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:414% → 3%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.4%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 3 yds to the RMU 28Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
96.4%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Trenell Ridgley for 12 yds to the RMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
96.3%
Utah State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on SPIRES, Blaine enforced (Blaine Spires) to the USU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
96.2%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 2 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-9
96.3%
Anthony Chiccitt sacked by Cian Slone for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 17
50
-5
96.8%
Robert Morris Penalty, Delay Of Game (Anthony Chiccitt) to the RMU 45Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 22
OWN 45
+13
96.9%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Noah Robinson for 13 yds to the USU 42Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 9
OPP 42
-5
96.8%
Robert Morris Penalty, Delay Of Game (Steven Earnest) to the USU 47Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
97.0%
Steven Earnest punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Robert Freeman IV at the USU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:2198% → 100%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
98.3%
Bryson Barnes run for 4 yds to the USU 12Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+9
98.6%
Herschel Turner run for 9 yds to the USU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
98.7%
(05:45) TURNER, Herschel rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the USU27 (BARBER, William), clock 05:38. PENALTY USU Holding on MOTES, Cole enforced 10 yards from the USU21 to the USU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+5
98.9%
Herschel Turner run for 5 yds to the USU 16Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+24
98.9%
Herschel Turner run for 24 yds to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+31
99.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Will Monney for 31 yds to the RMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.2%
Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds to the RMU 26Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
99.2%
Herschel Turner run for 6 yds to the RMU 20Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 1
OPP 20
-5
99.2%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Colby Bowman) to the RMU 25Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
99.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
99.7%
Elliott Nimrod 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 29END OF GAME
12 plays · 46 yds · 1:461% → 0%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Chaz Middleton for 6 yds to the RMU 31Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.5%
Zach Tanner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.5%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Kai Holloway for 5 yds to the RMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Zach Tanner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.5%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Trenell Ridgley for 10 yds to the RMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
99.5%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Julian White for a loss of 1 yard to the RMU 45Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+4
99.5%
Zach Tanner run for 4 yds to the RMU 49Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+6
99.5%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Kai Holloway for 6 yds to the USU 45Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+16
99.8%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Carl Smith Jr. for 16 yds to the USU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Zach Tanner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:41
Delvecchio Powell II run for 31 yds for a TD (Jayson Jenkins KICK)
-16.3
TD · Q3 10:33
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Kyrese White for 53 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod KICK)
+14.1
TD · Q4 13:31
Bryson Barnes run for 63 yds for a TD (Elliott Nimrod PAT MISSED)
+10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com