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SAC

Sacramento State 24 at San José State 42

SJSU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadSAC aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreSAC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:17 · Dino Beslagic punt for 33 yds, downed at the SAC 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Home team on offense−7.4Pregame prior+5.9Garbage-time factor−1.6Score differential−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:49: Nick Nash pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 26 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +12.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: SJSU down 3 timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 12:29: Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 11 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +12.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:24: Carson Conklin pass complete to Danny Scudero for 20 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK) — SAC win probability +19.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:13: Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +20.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:09: Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 8 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +16.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5SAC made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:12SAC 4th & 4 at SAC 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:16SAC 4th & 1 at SJSU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−5.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:57SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−2.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:33SAC 4th & 1 at SJSU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%−1.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:28SAC 4th & 10 at SJSU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:17SJSU 4th & 6 at SAC 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:51SAC 4th & 14 at SAC 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:21SJSU 4th & 1 at SAC 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.8
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−5.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:37SAC 4th & 10 at SJSU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:12SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:02SJSU 4th & 3 at SAC 45, up 11
    Close callPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:18SAC 4th & 5 at SAC 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:43SAC 4th & 15 at SAC 17, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SAC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:18SAC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:30SAC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:09SJSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:49SJSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:29SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:24SAC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:13SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:09SJSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:07SJSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SACDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4741% → 40%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.5%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAC 24Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
59.5%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 5 yds to the SAC 29Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
59.6%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 2 yds to the SAC 31Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
59.6%
Cal McGough punt for 39 yds, downed at the SJSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2INT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4860% → 60%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
59.6%
San José State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Emmett Brown) to the SJSU 24Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+16
59.5%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 16 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
59.7%
Jabari Bates run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 39Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
59.7%
Emmett Brown pass intercepted Murvin Kenion III return for no gain to the SAC 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 3TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:5041% → 45%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
59.5%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 9 yds to the SAC 37Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+8
59.3%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 8 yds to the SAC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
59.1%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
59.5%
Kaiden Bennett run for 6 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+8
59.3%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 8 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
59.2%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 42Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
59.2%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+16
59.4%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 16 yds to the SJSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
59.1%
Kaiden Bennett run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 28Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+21
58.7%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 21 yds to the SJSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
58.5%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 4 yds to the SJSU 3Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
55.4%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · -14 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
56.0%
run for a loss of 14 yards to the SJSU 15 fumbled, recovered by SAC Ben Ahio B. Ahio return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 5TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:2945% → 49%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
55.4%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 6 yds to the SJSU 9Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-1
54.8%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Danny Scudero for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 10Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+8
54.4%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for 8 yds to the SJSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.6%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:1552% → 56%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
52.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the SJSU 33Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+10
51.7%
Emmett Brown pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 10 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
52.1%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
51.9%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the SJSU 45Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+31
50.4%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 16 yds to the SAC 39 for a 1ST down Sacramento State Penalty, Targeting on LEOTA, Will enforced (Will Leota) to the SAC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
55.9%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 24 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 7DOWNS
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:4747% → 50%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
53.5%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 9 yds to the SAC 41Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+2
52.7%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 2 yds to the SAC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
52.4%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 3
50
0
51.6%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 3
50
+25
51.9%
Ezra Moleni run for 25 yds to the SJSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
51.2%
Ezra Moleni run for 3 yds to the SJSU 22Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-5
50.7%
(00:39) BENNETT, Kaiden pass short to the right complete for 0 yards to RUDOLPH, Jay caught at the SJS20 and advanced to the SJS22, out of bounds, clock 00:35. PENALTY SAC Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SLATER, Jackson enforced 5 yards from the SJS22 to the SJS27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+21
50.7%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 21 yds to the SJSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
50.3%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 1 yd to the SJSU 5Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
49.9%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the SJSU 2Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
49.9%
Coleman Kuntz run for 1 yd to the SJSU 1Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
50.3%
Coleman Kuntz run for no gain to the SJSU 1 Coleman Kuntz fumbled, recovered by SJSU John Norwood J. Norwood return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1652% → 51%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
51.5%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
51.3%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
50.8%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
50.6%
San José State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) to the SJSU 1Similar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
50.6%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SJSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 9FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:2351% → 53%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
49.3%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
49.3%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 5 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
49.2%
Kaiden Bennett run for 4 yds to the SJSU 36Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+4
49.5%
Ezra Moleni run for 4 yds to the SJSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+22
48.0%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 22 yds to the SJSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
47.4%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for no gain to the SJSU 10Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
46.7%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
47.4%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
47.4%
Zach Schreiner 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:1046% → 43%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.6%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+28
45.4%
Emmett Brown pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 28 yds to the SAC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-13
47.0%
Emmett Brown run for a loss of 13 yards to the SJSU 40 Emmett Brown fumbled, recovered by SJSU Emmett Brown E. Brown return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 23
OWN 40
+17
45.1%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Floyd Chalk IV for 17 yds to the SAC 43Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
45.8%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
42.7%
Dino Beslagic punt for 33 yds, downed at the SAC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:1755% → 56%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
44.6%
Curron Borders run for 6 yds to the SAC 16Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+6
44.4%
Curron Borders run for 6 yds to the SAC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
43.8%
Kaiden Bennett sacked by Robert Rahimi for a loss of 6 yards to the SAC 16Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 16
OWN 16
-3
43.8%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Curron Borders for a loss of 3 yards to the SAC 13Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 19
OWN 13
+10
44.0%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 10 yds to the SAC 23Similar
Q2 3:54
4TH & 9
OWN 23
-5
43.9%
Sacramento State Penalty, fumbled snap, . PENALTY Before the snap Delay Of Game enforced (Kaiden Bennett) to the SAC 18Similar
Q2 3:51
4TH & 14
OWN 18
+2
44.0%
Cal McGough punt for 52 yds , Matthew Coleman returns for 2 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:3840% → 54%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
39.6%
Jabari Bates run for 8 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+10
40.7%
Jabari Bates run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line Jabari Bates fumbled, recovered by SJSU Jabari Bates , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
50
0
40.6%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
50
+1
40.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the SAC 49Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+23
38.9%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 23 yds to the SAC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
54.3%
Nick Nash pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 26 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
49.6%
Kaiden Bennett pass intercepted Ethan Powell return for no gain to the SAC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:1753% → 51%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
52.9%
(01:38) BROWN, Emmett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for NASH, Nick broken up by HIGGINS, Kaleb at the SAC6, clock 01:33. PENALTY SAC Pass Interference on HIGGINS, Kaleb enforced 15 yards to the SAC31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
54.1%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the SAC 31Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
53.9%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the SAC 22Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
52.1%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+39
50.9%
Kyler Halvorsen 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
48.9%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 4 yds to the SAC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3053% → 68%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
53.1%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 26 yds to the SAC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
56.1%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 12 yds to the SAC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
56.2%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 12 yds to the SAC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
57.4%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
57.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SAC 22Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+11
55.6%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 11 yds to the SAC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
68.2%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 11 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:3636% → 36%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
63.6%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAC 30Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-4
64.5%
Kaiden Bennett run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAC 26 Kaiden Bennett fumbled, recovered by SJSU Quincy Likio Q. Likio return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18FUMBLE
1 play · -14 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-14
68.4%
Emmett Brown sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the SAC 40 Emmett Brown fumbled, recovered by SAC Fata Puloka , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 19MISSED FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:0038% → 33%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
62.5%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for no gain to the SAC 40Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
64.9%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 14 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
62.4%
Kaiden Bennett run for 8 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+1
62.1%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 1 yd to the SJSU 37Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
62.4%
Kaiden Bennett run for 4 yds to the SJSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
61.4%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
61.5%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
63.2%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
66.8%
Zach Schreiner 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2369% → 67%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
68.5%
Jabari Bates run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 31Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
68.0%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+6
66.9%
Jabari Bates run for 6 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
67.3%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 21TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:4233% → 56%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
66.8%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 8 yds to the SAC 28Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
65.4%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 6 yds to the SAC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
66.1%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 12 yds to the SAC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
63.5%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for 13 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
63.0%
Sacramento State Penalty, False Start (Coleman Kuntz) to the SJSU 46Similar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+7
65.0%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Danny Scudero for 7 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+10
62.6%
(04:37) BENNETT, Kaiden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GIPSON, Jared broken up by POWELL, Ethan at the SJS20; QB hurried by MCNEAL-FRANKLIN, Noah, clock 04:29. PENALTY SJS Holding on REESE, Zavion enforced 10 yards from the SJS39 to the SJS29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
60.8%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
61.3%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 8 yds to the SJSU 21Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+6
62.4%
Kaiden Bennett run for 6 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
60.8%
Kaiden Bennett run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSU 20 Kaiden Bennett fumbled, recovered by SAC Elijah Tau-Tolliver E. Tau-Tolliver return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 15
OPP 20
0
62.8%
Carson Conklin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+20
43.7%
Carson Conklin pass complete to Danny Scudero for 20 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:0449% → 76%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
48.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 8Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+19
47.4%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 19 yds to the SJSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
48.6%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 8 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
51.3%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+5
49.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 5 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
51.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+26
52.0%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 26 yds to the SAC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-4
55.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAC 35Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+15
52.6%
(13:37) BROWN, Emmett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin thrown to the SAC0, clock 13:33. PENALTY SAC Pass Interference on MULLICAN, Elias enforced 15 yards to the SAC20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
55.7%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+11
55.7%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 11 yds to the SAC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
55.7%
Jabari Bates run for 5 yds to the SAC 4Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
75.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:5576% → 92%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
75.9%
(12:04) CHALK, Floyd rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the SAC7 (HIGGINS, Kaleb), clock 11:59. PENALTY SJS Holding enforced 10 yards from the SAC18 to the SAC28 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 20
OPP 28
0
75.3%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 20
OPP 28
+13
74.5%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 13 yds to the SAC 15Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+7
74.7%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 7 yds to the SAC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
91.6%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 8 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 24INT
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:0311% → 12%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
89.5%
Carson Conklin pass complete to Jared Gipson for 7 yds to the SAC 29Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
88.0%
Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 4 yds to the SAC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
89.4%
Carson Conklin pass complete to Anderson Grover for 12 yds to the SAC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.7%
Carson Conklin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
88.8%
Carson Conklin pass complete to Danny Scudero for 6 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-3
88.7%
Carson Conklin sacked by Dylan Hampsten for a loss of 3 yards to the SAC 48Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+15
90.5%
(07:37) CONKLIN, Carson pass to the right incomplete intended for GIPSON, Jared broken up by DANSBY, Michael at the SJS46, clock 07:32 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY SJS Targeting on BAINER, Jalen enforced 15 yards from the SAC48 to the SJS37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
88.7%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
89.2%
Kaiden Bennett run for 11 yds to the SJSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.2%
Kaiden Bennett pass intercepted Michael Dansby return for no gain to the SJSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:5092% → 96%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
91.9%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 8 yds to the SJSU 15Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+4
92.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
93.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the SJSU 21Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-5
93.5%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Jabari Bates) to the SJSU 16Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+15
93.5%
Sacramento State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on PULOKA, Fata enforced (Fata Puloka) to the SJSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
94.9%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 8 yds to the SAC 44Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
95.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the SAC 44Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-1
95.3%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAC 45Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+8
95.9%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 36 yds , Anderson Grover returns for 8 yds to the SAC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:416% → 3%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
94.4%
Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 2 yds to the SAC 19Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+3
94.4%
Curron Borders run for 3 yds to the SAC 22Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
94.9%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
95.1%
Kaiden Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
96.6%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Jacob Stewart) to the SAC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 27TD
1 play · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+27
99.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 27 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:172% → 2%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.0%
Carson Conklin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
97.9%
Carson Conklin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
97.9%
Carson Conklin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 10
OWN 22
-5
98.0%
Sacramento State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Eian Moore) to the SAC 17Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
98.0%
Cal McGough punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.5%
(01:30) [NH] Kneel down by SJS at SJS41 (team loss of 1), clock 01:20.Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 11
OWN 41
-1
99.5%
(01:03) [NH] Kneel down by SJS at SJS40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:58.Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 12
OWN 40
-1
99.5%
(00:37) [NH] Kneel down by SJS at SJS39 (team loss of 1), clock 00:33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:13
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+20.1
TD · Q3 2:24
Carson Conklin pass complete to Danny Scudero for 20 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)
-19.1
TD · Q4 10:09
Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 8 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+16.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com