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UTEP

UTEP 17 at Western Kentucky 44

WKU
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 10, 2024 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:26 · Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior+23.4Home team on offense+16.2Score differential+7.7Garbage-time factor+4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:18: Michael Mathison run for 12 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +3.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:32: Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +6.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Lucas Carneiro 42 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:47: Corey Wren 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Buzz Flabiano Kick) — UTEP win probability +6.9 pts (now 9%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:32: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 14 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +6.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:12WKU 4th & 15 at WKU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:18UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:29UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:55WKU 4th & 5 at UTEP 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:15UTEP 4th & 22 at UTEP 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−1.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:30WKU 4th & 4 at UTEP 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    86.5%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:53WKU 4th & 1 at UTEP 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−0.8
    75% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:53UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.7%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:26WKU 4th & 1 at UTEP 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−1.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:13WKU 4th & 3 at UTEP 30, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:05WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:29UTEP 4th & 9 at WKU 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00UTEP 4th & 8 at midfield, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:21UTEP 4th & 3 at WKU 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:49WKU 4th & 16 at UTEP 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:40WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:02UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:18WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:32WKU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:47UTEP Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:32WKU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:27WKU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:4089% → 88%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.1%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
88.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
88.8%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 41Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
88.7%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the WKU 43Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-8
88.5%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Maurice Westmoreland for a loss of 8 yards to the WKU 35Similar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
88.3%
Cole Maynard punt for 40 yds , Kam Thomas returns for no gain to the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4312% → 12%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
88.3%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Trey Goodman for 1 yd to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+5
88.2%
Kam Thomas run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+12
88.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 12 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
87.7%
Cade McConnell sacked by Darius Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+2
87.6%
Ezell Jolly run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
87.5%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 13
OWN 39
+6
87.6%
Adam Jacklin punt for 41 yds , K.D. Hutchinson returns for 6 yds to the WKU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:2588% → 88%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+42
87.5%
K.D. Hutchinson run for 42 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
87.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 3 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-1
87.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+30
88.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 30 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:2712% → 13%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
88.1%
Ezell Jolly run for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+76
86.6%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kenny Odom for 76 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5INT
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:0387% → 87%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
86.7%
Elijah Young run for 10 yds to the WKU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
86.9%
Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+9
86.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 9 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
86.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 7 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
86.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+29
86.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 29 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.8%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
86.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Lantz Russell return for no gain to the UTEP 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:1215% → 15%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
85.2%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+4
85.2%
Ezell Jolly run for 4 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+19
85.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Ezell Jolly for 19 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
84.8%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
84.9%
Cade McConnell pass intercepted Demarko Williams return for no gain to the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
88.2%
Michael Mathison run for 12 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3213% → 12%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
87.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+10
87.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 10 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
87.3%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
87.6%
Adam Jacklin punt for 31 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:0588% → 88%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
87.8%
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the WKU 44Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
87.8%
Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
87.6%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
87.8%
Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+28
87.8%
George Hart III run for 28 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
87.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the UTEP 12Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-7
87.8%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Josiah Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 17
OPP 19
+12
87.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 12 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
87.7%
Lucas Carneiro 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:2412% → 12%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
87.7%
Ezell Jolly run for 2 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
87.7%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-14
88.1%
Skyler Locklear sacked by Sebastian Benjamin for a loss of 14 yards to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 22
OWN 1
0
88.5%
Adam Jacklin punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:3588% → 93%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
88.0%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-10
87.9%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+8
87.7%
Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
88.2%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+8
87.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 8 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
88.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 8 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
88.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
88.2%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+18
86.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 18 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.1%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:308% → 8%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.6%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
91.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 5 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
91.3%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 4 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
91.4%
Ezell Jolly run for 4 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+4
91.4%
Ezell Jolly run for 4 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+1
91.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 23 yds · 2:4694% → 98%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
94.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
94.1%
L.T. Sanders run for 5 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
94.0%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
93.7%
Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
94.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 5 yds to the UTEP 32 Western Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 15
OPP 42
-6
94.8%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Kyran Duhon for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 21
OPP 48
+5
94.8%
L.T. Sanders run for 5 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+13
93.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 13 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+6
93.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 6 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
94.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+42
97.6%
Lucas Carneiro 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 3:3091% → 91%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
90.7%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+4
90.7%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 28Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
90.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 3 yds to the WKU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
91.2%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 30Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+10
91.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 10 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
91.5%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 40Similar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-5
90.8%
PENALTY WKU False Start 5 yards from WKU40 to WKU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
90.5%
Cole Maynard punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 5:289% → 13%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
90.9%
Ezell Jolly run for 2 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+6
91.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 6 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+6
90.6%
Ezell Jolly run for 6 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
90.5%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+12
90.8%
Ezell Jolly run for 12 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
90.1%
Skyler Locklear run for 16 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
89.7%
Ezell Jolly run for 14 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
88.8%
Ezell Jolly run for 1 yd to the WKU 27Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 11
OPP 27
0
89.0%
Ezell Jolly run for no gain to the WKU 27Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+2
90.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Ezell Jolly for 2 yds to the WKU 25Similar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
87.2%
Buzz Flabiano 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4488% → 96%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+57
88.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 57 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
89.6%
Michael Mathison run for 4 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
95.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 14 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:165% → 4%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Marcus Vinson for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
95.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
95.1%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 7 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
95.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 8 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
94.9%
Ezell Jolly run for 3 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
95.1%
Ezell Jolly run for 4 yds to the WKU 48Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
95.1%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the WKU 48Similar
Q3 0:38
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+2
95.5%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 8
50
+2
95.7%
Skyler Locklear run for 2 yds to the WKU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:2897% → 99%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 48Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+25
97.0%
Caden Veltkamp run for 25 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
97.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 20 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
97.5%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:461% → 1%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Corey Wren for 6 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+7
99.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
99.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 7 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
99.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+18
99.1%
Ezell Jolly run for 3 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST down Western Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Hosea Wheeler) to the WKU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
99.1%
Skyler Locklear sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 42Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
99.1%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+8
99.1%
Skyler Locklear run for 8 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
99.2%
Ezell Jolly run for no gain to the WKU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:2399% → 100%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.3%
George Hart III run for 13 yds to the WKU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
99.3%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Hart III,George rush right for 4 yards gain to the UTEP49 (Hullaby,Landon; Allen,Josiah) PENALTY WKU Holding (Leslie,Quantavious) 10 yards from WKU47 to WKU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+14
99.3%
George Hart III run for 14 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+19
99.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 19 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
99.5%
run for 10 yds to the UTEP 40 fumbled, recovered by WKU Caden VeltkampSimilar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+4
99.5%
K.D. Hutchinson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 16
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 16
OPP 36
+54
99.9%
Lucas Carneiro 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
17 plays · 66 yds · 4:340% → 0%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
100.0%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Locklear,Skyler pass complete short right to Goodman,Trey caught at UTEP26, for 9 yards to the UTEP29 (Eugene Jr.,Jai; Hayward,Koron) PENALTY UTEP Illegal Formation 5 yards from UTEP20 to UTEP15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+2
100.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 2 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-8
100.0%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Locklear,Skyler pass complete short left to Thomas,Kam caught at UTEP23, for 8 yards to the UTEP25 (Ellis,Terreance) PENALTY UTEP Holding (Wright,Isaiah) 8 yards from UTEP17 to UTEP09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 21
OWN 9
+5
100.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 5 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+19
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 19 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 8 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 5 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 6
50
+7
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Javoni Gardere for 7 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 5 yds to the WKU 38Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+12
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 12 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
100.0%
Skyler Locklear run for 12 yds to the WKU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:47
Corey Wren 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Buzz Flabiano Kick)
-6.9
TD · Q2 5:32
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q3 4:32
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 14 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com