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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 20 at UTEP 13

UTEP
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:56 · Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense+0.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Pregame prior+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:31: JP Pickles run for 17 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +10.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:40: Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 61 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +19.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:22: JP Pickles pass incomplete — UTEP win probability +8.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:42: Zeke Rankin 27 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +8.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:53: Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +32.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 10MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 11:16UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 38, tied
    Close callWent for it · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:29MTSU 4th & 4 at UTEP 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:35UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:23UTEP 4th & 4 at MTSU 14, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    53.2%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:58UTEP 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:37MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:09UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:51MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:44MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:01UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:00UTEP 4th & 2 at MTSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.4%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:34UTEP 4th & 6 at MTSU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−8.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:56MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.2%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:28MTSU 4th & 8 at UTEP 36, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    38.3%−0.4
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:42MTSU 4th & 2 at UTEP 10, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%−2.0
    88% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−13.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:03UTEP 4th & 6 at MTSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−14.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:13MTSU 4th & 6 at UTEP 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−5.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%−0.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:02UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−5.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 7:31UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:40MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:53MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:3952% → 53%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
52.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 9 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 1
OWN 23
-1
52.3%
JP Pickles run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+2
52.3%
JP Pickles run for 2 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
52.5%
JP Pickles run for 16 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
52.7%
JP Pickles run for 5 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-10
52.9%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-1
52.7%
Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
52.7%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
52.5%
Adam Jacklin pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:4348% → 48%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
52.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 6 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+12
52.1%
Jaiden Credle run for 12 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
52.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 19 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.2%
Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the UTEP 1Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
51.9%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 6Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
52.0%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
52.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
52.1%
Zeke Rankin 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5452% → 52%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.3%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
52.2%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
51.9%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-2
51.7%
Adam Jacklin punt for 41 yds , Omari Kelly returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5248% → 48%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+25
52.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 25 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
51.4%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-6
51.4%
Omari Kelly run for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 15
OPP 48
0
52.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted Josiah Allen return for no gain to the UTEP 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:0753% → 55%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
52.7%
JP Pickles pass complete to Ashton Nickelberry for 7 yds to the MTSU 47Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+15
53.0%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jalen Davis) to the MTSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
53.4%
JP Pickles pass complete to Emari White for 11 yds to the MTSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
53.5%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the MTSU 19Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
53.5%
JP Pickles run for 5 yds to the MTSU 14Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
51.3%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
54.5%
Buzz Flabiano 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2947% → 47%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
52.7%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 9 yds to the MTSU 32Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+6
51.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 6 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
52.0%
Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the MTSU 38Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
52.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 4 yds to the MTSU 42Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
51.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
52.9%
Grant Chadwick punt for 34 yds, downed at the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:5154% → 55%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
54.3%
JP Pickles pass complete to Ezell Jolly for 5 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-2
54.6%
Ezell Jolly run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+18
53.6%
JP Pickles pass complete to Marcus Vinson for 18 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
56.0%
Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 5
50
0
56.3%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 5
50
0
56.0%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 5
50
0
55.0%
Adam Jacklin punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Omari Kelly at the MTSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1747% → 46%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
53.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Evan Poticher for 10 yds to the MTSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.8%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the MTSU 27Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
52.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
53.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
54.2%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Delay Of Game (Grant Chadwick) to the MTSU 22Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
54.4%
Grant Chadwick punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Trey Goodman at the UTEP 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2155% → 54%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
55.0%
Ezell Jolly run for 2 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
54.9%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-5
54.0%
JP Pickles sacked by Shakai Woods for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 13
OWN 20
+20
53.5%
Adam Jacklin punt for 60 yds , Omari Kelly returns for 20 yds to the MTSU 40 Middle Tennessee Penalty, Illegal Block (Tyrell Raby) to the MTSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4847% → 46%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
52.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 6 yds to the MTSU 27Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+1
52.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 1 yd to the MTSU 28Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
52.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+24
54.2%
Grant Chadwick punt for 47 yds , Trey Goodman returns for 24 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:0558% → 69%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
57.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 19 yds to the MTSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
58.6%
JP Pickles pass complete to Emari White for 12 yds to the MTSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
58.6%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the MTSU 17Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
69.4%
JP Pickles run for 17 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4536% → 34%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
63.6%
Jekail Middlebrook run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 24Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
64.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 1 yd to the MTSU 25Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.1%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 3 yds to the MTSU 28Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+51
65.8%
Grant Chadwick punt for 51 yds , Trey Goodman returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3170% → 69%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
70.2%
JP Pickles run for 5 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
69.5%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-4
68.9%
JP Pickles sacked by Aidan Butts for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+21
69.1%
(04:12) JACKLIN, Adam punt 44 yards to the MTSU40, STEWART, Kellen returned 21 yards to the UTEP39 (NICKELBERRY, Ashton;TONGA'UIHA, Sione), clock 04:02. PENALTY Before the snap, UTEP Illegal Formation MTSU Illegal Block in the Back , Offsetting penalties [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+7
69.2%
Adam Jacklin punt for 52 yds , Kellen Stewart returns for 7 yds to the MTSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
49.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 61 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:3356% → 55%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
56.2%
JP Pickles run for 7 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+5
56.7%
JP Pickles pass complete to Kenny Odom for 5 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
56.4%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Personal Foul (Xavier Williams) to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
58.4%
JP Pickles run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 5
50
0
58.9%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 5
50
+3
58.0%
JP Pickles pass complete to Kenny Odom for 3 yds to the MTSU 47Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 2
OPP 47
-1
55.3%
JP Pickles run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16INT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:2252% → 50%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
48.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
49.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 9 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
48.1%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
47.7%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 3 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-20
50.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted Dorian Hopkins return for 20 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0359% → 57%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
58.6%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
57.4%
JP Pickles run for 3 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2060% → 62%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
59.8%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
59.9%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the MTSU 13Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+1
58.9%
JP Pickles run for 1 yd to the MTSU 12Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
61.6%
Buzz Flabiano 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 4:0540% → 40%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 4 yds to the MTSU 29Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
58.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Evan Poticher for 8 yds to the MTSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
58.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
59.1%
Omari Kelly run for 9 yds to the MTSU 46Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
57.2%
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MTSU 46Similar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+4
58.9%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
50
+12
56.6%
(10:20) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MIDDLEBROOK, Jekail thrown to the UTEP25, clock 10:15. PENALTY UTEP Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the UTEP38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
56.6%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
56.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
57.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
59.7%
Grant Chadwick punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20INT
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:5761% → 66%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
60.5%
JP Pickles pass complete to Kenny Odom for 7 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+4
61.1%
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
61.6%
Jevon Jackson run for 6 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+22
62.0%
JP Pickles pass complete to Trey Goodman for 22 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
65.1%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 7
50
0
65.5%
JP Pickles pass intercepted Xavier Williams return for no gain to the MTSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:3841% → 51%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
59.0%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Evan Poticher) to the MTSU 25Similar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 18
OWN 25
+18
60.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 18 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
57.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 23 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
54.4%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-1
54.9%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Dorian Hopkins for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+16
56.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 16 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
54.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
55.4%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (Mateo Guevara) to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+9
56.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 9 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+4
57.3%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+27
48.6%
Zeke Rankin 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 5:3856% → 58%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.6%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
55.8%
JP Pickles pass complete to Jevon Jackson for no gain to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
53.7%
JP Pickles run for 8 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
57.4%
JP Pickles pass complete to Kenny Odom for 4 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
59.5%
Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
58.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
60.1%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+11
60.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 11 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
61.5%
JP Pickles pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 13 yds to the MTSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
62.7%
JP Pickles pass complete to Emari White for no gain to the MTSU 28Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
62.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the MTSU 24Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
61.2%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
58.1%
Buzz Flabiano 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:4548% → 51%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
51.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 4 yds to the MTSU 28Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+24
50.0%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 24 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
45.7%
Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+5
47.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Evan Poticher for 5 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
46.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
49.5%
Grant Chadwick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trey Goodman at the UTEP 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0555% → 51%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
54.7%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the UTEP 6Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 6
-4
54.3%
JP Pickles sacked by Damonte Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 2Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 14
OWN 2
+5
52.3%
JP Pickles run for 5 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 9
OWN 7
0
50.7%
Adam Jacklin punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25TD
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:0156% → 96%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
43.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Taharin Sudderth for 8 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
42.3%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
42.5%
(05:34) MIDDLEBROOK, Jekail rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the UTEP35 (WILLIAMS, Dillion), clock 05:30. PENALTY UTEP Offsides on BOYD-MATTHEWS, Amier enforced 5 yards from the UTEP38 to the UTEP33 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
40.7%
Jekail Middlebrook run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+7
40.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 7 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+7
42.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 7 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
39.3%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
39.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+15
42.8%
(02:24) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass deep to the right incomplete intended for KELLY, Omari thrown to the UTEP1, clock 02:20. PENALTY UTEP Pass Interference on ALLEN, Josiah enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the UTEP4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
39.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.5%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26END OF GAME
13 plays · 56 yds · 1:4812% → 16%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
11.5%
JP Pickles pass complete to Ashton Nickelberry for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
12.7%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
11.6%
JP Pickles pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 8 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
12.7%
JP Pickles run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 1
50
+6
14.4%
JP Pickles pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 6 yds to the MTSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
11.6%
JP Pickles pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 6 yds to the MTSU 38Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
13.3%
(00:36) PICKLES, JP pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ODOM, Kenny thrown to the MTSU10, clock 00:30. PENALTY MTSU Offsides on SMITH, Damonte enforced 5 yards from the MTSU38 to the MTSU33 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
14.4%
JP Pickles pass complete to Trey Goodman for 10 yds to the MTSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
16.3%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
14.1%
JP Pickles run for 4 yds to the MTSU 19Similar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
16.4%
JP Pickles pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:53
Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)
-32.9
TD · Q2 3:40
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 61 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)
-19.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com