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WKU

Western Kentucky 49 at Middle Tennessee 21

MTSU
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:20 · Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the WKU 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense−6.7Score differential−3.6Pregame prior−14.5Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:05: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +3.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:18: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 10 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +8.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:07: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 72 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +4.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:12: Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 37 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +8.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:17: Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 71 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:59MTSU 4th & 3 at WKU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    32.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:43WKU 4th & 3 at MTSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−0.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:12MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:20MTSU 4th & 1 at WKU 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:09WKU 4th & 4 at MTSU 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.6%−1.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q4 12:57MTSU 4th & 12 at WKU 36, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 0:55WKU 4th & 3 at MTSU 5, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 4:37WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:05WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:18WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:07WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:12MTSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:38WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:17MTSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:28WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:01WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:47MTSU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:5330% → 33%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
30.4%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the MTSU 2Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+6
30.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 6 yds to the MTSU 8Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+32
30.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 32 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
31.5%
Terry Wilkins run for 4 yds to the MTSU 44Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+9
31.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jacob Coleman for 9 yds to the WKU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
32.3%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 8 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-5
32.5%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKU 44Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
32.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 4 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
33.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
32.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:1568% → 70%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
32.3%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
32.4%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
32.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 7 yds to the MTSU 42Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
32.4%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the MTSU 42Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
32.8%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+18
33.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to River Helms for 18 yds to the MTSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
32.6%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-10
32.8%
TJ Finley sacked by James Stewart and Andy Nwaoko for a loss of 10 yards to the MTSU 34Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 20
OPP 34
+22
33.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for 22 yds to the MTSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
33.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 6 yds to the MTSU 6Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+2
33.2%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the MTSU 4Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
30.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 4 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2431% → 31%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
31.3%
Terry Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 24Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
31.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-2
30.9%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Terrion Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 22Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+13
30.8%
Grant Chadwick punt for 56 yds , K.D. Hutchinson returns for 13 yds to the WKU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:5569% → 74%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
30.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 3 yds to the WKU 38Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+34
30.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 34 yds to the MTSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+22
29.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 22 yds to the MTSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
29.7%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the MTSU 6Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
25.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:4327% → 26%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
27.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 17 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
27.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the MTSU 45Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+54
27.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 54 yds to the WKU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.3%
Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the WKU 1Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
27.9%
Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the WKU 1Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
27.4%
Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the WKU 1 Nicholas Vattiato fumbled, recovered by MTSU return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.3%
Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the WKU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:1175% → 77%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
24.9%
Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the WKU 2Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
24.1%
L.T. Sanders run for 1 yd to the WKU 3Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+37
24.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 37 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
23.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
22.9%
L.T. Sanders run for no gain to the WKU 46Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+11
22.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 11 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
21.9%
Dalvin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
21.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 6 yds to the MTSU 37Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
21.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
23.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7INT
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:4924% → 24%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
23.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 9 yds to the MTSU 46Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+13
24.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 13 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
24.1%
(06:55) VATTIATO, Nicholas scrambles to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the WKU37, out of bounds, clock 06:50. PENALTY MTS Holding on MILLER, Marcus enforced 10 yards from the WKU41 to the MTS49 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+27
23.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 27 yds to the WKU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
24.3%
Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+5
24.1%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Disconcerting Signals on BENJAMIN, Sebastian enforced (Sebastian Benjamin) to the WKU 15Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
24.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+7
23.5%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 7 yds to the WKU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
23.7%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Kylan Guidry for a loss of 5 yards to the WKU 13Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
23.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted Anthony Johnson Jr. return for no gain to the WKU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 99 yds · 2:5278% → 91%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
21.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+6
21.7%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 7Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+11
21.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 11 yds to the WKU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
20.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds to the WKU 22Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+19
19.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 19 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
18.8%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Jalen Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 39Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+5
19.2%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offsides (Shakai Woods) to the WKU 44Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+27
18.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Demick Starling for 27 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
18.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 7 yds to the MTSU 22Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+12
17.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Bryce Childress for 12 yds to the MTSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
17.7%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the MTSU 10Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
8.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 10 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:0713% → 14%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
13.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 17 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+32
14.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 32 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:4590% → 95%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
9.9%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 28Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+72
5.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 72 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 3:494% → 12%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
4.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 13 yds to the MTSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
4.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the MTSU 33Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-6
3.8%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Upton Stout for a loss of 6 yards to the MTSU 27Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+16
3.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 16 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
3.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 15 yds to the WKU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
3.7%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 5 yds to the WKU 37Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+37
12.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 37 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:1993% → 98%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+30
7.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 30 yds to the MTSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
6.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 9 yds to the MTSU 28Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+2
5.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to L.T. Sanders for 2 yds to the MTSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
5.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 19 yds to the MTSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
5.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 3 yds to the MTSU 4Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
4.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 3 yds to the MTSU 1Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.7%
Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13TD
1 play · 71 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
5.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 71 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:4596% → 98%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
4.2%
Easton Messer run for 10 yds to the WKU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Moussa Barry for 9 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
3.9%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
3.7%
Easton Messer run for 8 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-5
3.4%
Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Demick Starling) to the WKU 41Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+23
3.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 23 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
1.7%
Dalvin Smith pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 36 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 33 yds · 5:211% → 0%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
0.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 10 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.6%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the MTSU 44Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+11
0.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 11 yds to the WKU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
0.5%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MTSU 48Similar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 17
OWN 48
+6
0.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 6 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
0.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+12
0.4%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 12 yds to the WKU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
0.5%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKU 39Similar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+2
0.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 2 yds to the WKU 37Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 13
OPP 37
-1
0.4%
Terry Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 38Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+2
0.4%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the WKU 36Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
0.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:5099% → 100%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+31
0.6%
L.T. Sanders run for 31 yds to the MTSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
0.5%
L.T. Sanders run for 13 yds to the MTSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
0.4%
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the MTSU 18Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+12
0.4%
George Hart III run for 12 yds to the MTSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
0.3%
L.T. Sanders run for 3 yds to the MTSU 3Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.3%
L.T. Sanders run for no gain to the MTSU 3Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Trevor Borland for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:020% → 0%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
0.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 9 yds to the MTSU 45Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+11
0.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 11 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
0.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 14 yds to the WKU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
0.1%
(07:12) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass short to the right incomplete intended for KELLY, Omari thrown to the WKU25; QB hurried by EDWARDS, Zach, clock 07:03. PENALTY MTS Holding on SCOTT, Morgan enforced 10 yards from the WKU30 to the WKU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+20
0.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 20 yds to the WKU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
0.1%
Terry Wilkins run for 13 yds to the WKU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 7 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18END OF GAME
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
0.2%
George Hart III run for 14 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.2%
George Hart III run for 6 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+6
0.1%
George Hart III run for 6 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
0.1%
Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the MTSU 42Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
0.1%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
0.1%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Face mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the MTSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
0.1%
Jalen Hampton run for 6 yds to the MTSU 6Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+1
0.1%
Jalen Hampton run for 1 yd to the MTSU 5Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
0.1%
Jalen Hampton run for no gain to the MTSU 5Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+4
0.1%
Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the MTSU 1 Jalen Hampton fumbled, recovered by WKU Demick Starling D. Starling return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
0.1%
(00:48) [NH] Kneel down by HELTON, Turner at MTS2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:34.Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
0.1%
(00:19) [NH] Kneel down by HELTON, Turner at MTS3 (team loss of 1), clock 00:13.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:12
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 37 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q2 0:18
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 10 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q3 14:07
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 72 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com