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SHSU

Sam Houston 23 at Kennesaw State 17

KENN
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Fifth Third Stadium
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Win probability · KENN
modelKENN aheadSHSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENN scoreSHSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:25 · Jacob Ulrich punt for 42 yds, downed at the SHSU 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 114Pregame prior−13.1Home team on offense+2.4Garbage-time factor−1.3Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:01: Michael Benefield run for 1 yd for a TD (Austin Welch KICK) — KENN win probability +19.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 1:54: Jay Ducker run for 17 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK) — SHSU win probability +31.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:25: Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 9 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK) — KENN win probability +42.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Jay Ducker run for 15 yds to the KENN 10 for a 1ST down — SHSU win probability +18.5 pts (now 59%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Hunter Watson run for 10 yds for a TD — SHSU win probability +31.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9SHSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 12:43KENN 4th & 17 at KENN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:22SHSU 4th & 9 at SHSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:26SHSU 4th & 5 at KENN 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:16KENN 4th & 1 at KENN 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:44SHSU 4th & 3 at KENN 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:17KENN 4th & 4 at SHSU 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.3%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:40SHSU 4th & 8 at KENN 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−0.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:11KENN 4th & 8 at KENN 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:56SHSU 4th & 12 at KENN 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−5.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:37KENN 4th & 11 at SHSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:28KENN 4th & 1 at KENN 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:49SHSU 4th & 10 at SHSU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−2.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:45KENN 4th & 6 at KENN 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:18SHSU 4th & 3 at SHSU 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:25KENN 4th & 5 at SHSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−4.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:13SHSU 4th & 3 at SHSU 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:00KENN 4th & 3 at KENN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SHSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 9:27SHSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:01KENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:54SHSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:25KENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−6.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:059% → 9%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
8.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Christian Moss for no gain to the KENN 27Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
9.1%
TEAM run for 4 yds to the KENN 31Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-11
9.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the KENN 20 fumbled, recovered by KENN Blake Bohannon B. Bohannon return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
9.4%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 50 yds , Emon Allen returns for no gain to the SHSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5291% → 90%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
9.3%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
9.5%
Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the SHSU 36Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-5
9.8%
Hunter Watson sacked by Jordan Miles for a loss of 5 yards to the SHSU 31Similar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+5
10.1%
Jadon Cardell punt for 46 yds , Jayven Williams returns for 5 yds to the KENN 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 3INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:2910% → 10%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
10.1%
Davis Bryson run for 5 yds to the KENN 33Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-5
10.4%
Davis Bryson pass intercepted David Fisher return for 5 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4290% → 89%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
10.0%
DJ McKinney run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
50
+3
10.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to DJ McKinney for 3 yds to the KENN 47Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
10.6%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
10.8%
Jadon Cardell punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3911% → 11%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
10.7%
Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the KENN 24Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
10.7%
Michael Benefield run for 1 yd to the KENN 25Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+4
10.6%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 4 yds to the KENN 29Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
11.2%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:3289% → 88%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
11.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 1 yd to the SHSU 19Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+18
11.4%
Jay Ducker run for 18 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
11.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 6 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
11.1%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the SHSU 46Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
11.1%
Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the KENN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
11.1%
Hunter Watson run for 4 yds to the KENN 44Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
11.1%
Hunter Watson run for no gain to the KENN 44Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+3
11.1%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Jay Ducker for 3 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q1 5:44
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
12.4%
Jadon Cardell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jayven Williams at the KENN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 7FG
14 plays · 83 yds · 7:5214% → 20%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
13.9%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 11Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+14
13.8%
Qua Ashley run for 14 yds to the KENN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
13.9%
Davis Bryson run for 8 yds to the KENN 33Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
14.3%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 34Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
16.0%
Davis Bryson run for 2 yds to the KENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
16.1%
Sam Houston Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the KENN 41Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 41
0
16.6%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+16
16.6%
Davis Bryson run for 16 yds to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
16.8%
Michael Benefield run for 18 yds to the SHSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
17.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Preston Daniels for 12 yds to the SHSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
17.0%
Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the SHSU 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+3
17.0%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the SHSU 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+1
16.7%
Davis Bryson run for 1 yd to the SHSU 7Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
20.2%
Austin Welch 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:3180% → 76%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
20.2%
DJ McKinney run for 4 yds to the SHSU 20Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+10
20.3%
DJ McKinney run for 10 yds to the SHSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
20.1%
DJ McKinney run for 5 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+11
19.6%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Michael Phoenix II for 11 yds to the SHSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
19.1%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Michael Phoenix II for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 6
50
+9
18.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 9 yds to the KENN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
18.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to DJ McKinney for 3 yds to the KENN 38Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-1
18.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 39Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
19.1%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
23.7%
Jadon Cardell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jayven Williams at the KENN 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2924% → 24%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
24.2%
Preston Daniels run for 1 yd to the KENN 7Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+1
24.1%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 8Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 8
OWN 8
0
23.4%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 8
OWN 8
0
24.2%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ife Adeyi at the SHSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:1576% → 77%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+44
23.8%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 44 yds to the KENN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
22.7%
Hunter Watson run for no gain to the KENN 9Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
24.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 2 yds to the KENN 7Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
25.7%
Hunter Watson sacked by Donelius Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the KENN 12Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
22.6%
Christian Pavon 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:1226% → 25%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
26.1%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 17 yds to the KENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
26.5%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 6 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+12
28.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 12 yds to the SHSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
28.6%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
28.4%
Davis Bryson sacked by Denver Warren for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 48Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
26.6%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the SHSU 48Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
25.3%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
23.9%
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2676% → 84%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 7 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
23.1%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
23.6%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 6 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
22.5%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the SHSU 45Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
22.7%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the SHSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
22.4%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 6 yds to the KENN 47Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+7
21.8%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 7 yds to the KENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
22.1%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 6 yds to the KENN 34Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
21.3%
DJ McKinney run for 2 yds to the KENN 32Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
22.1%
DJ McKinney run for 3 yds to the KENN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
21.3%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
21.6%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Michael Phoenix II for 4 yds to the KENN 25Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+25
15.6%
Hunter Watson run for 25 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5918% → 18%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.4%
Davis Bryson run for no gain to the KENN 25Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.3%
Davis Bryson run for 5 yds to the KENN 30Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
17.9%
Davis Bryson run for 4 yds to the KENN 34Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
17.8%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ife Adeyi at the SHSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:3983% → 82%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
16.9%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 25Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+2
16.2%
Hunter Watson run for 2 yds to the SHSU 27Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+4
16.5%
Hunter Watson run for 4 yds to the SHSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
16.0%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
16.6%
DJ McKinney run for no gain to the SHSU 31Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
17.5%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
18.5%
Jadon Cardell punt for 45 yds, downed at the KENN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0419% → 18%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
19.1%
Michael Benefield run for 7 yds to the KENN 31Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-3
20.4%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENN 28Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
18.5%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+56
17.7%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 56 yds , Ife Adeyi returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
17.4%
Hunter Watson pass intercepted JeRico Washington Jr. return for 7 yds to the SHSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 18TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3824% → 44%
Q3 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
24.4%
Michael Benefield run for 6 yds to the SHSU 1Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.6%
Michael Benefield run for 1 yd for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3866% → 62%
Q3 2:56
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
34.0%
Hunter Watson run for 4 yds to the SHSU 26Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-1
33.7%
Noah Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 25Similar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
34.0%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 22Similar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+6
38.3%
Jadon Cardell punt for 44 yds , Gabriel Benyard returns for 6 yds to the KENN 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5341% → 44%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
40.8%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for no gain to the KENN 37Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
40.2%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 7 yds to the KENN 44Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
43.3%
Qua Ashley run for 5 yds to the KENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
45.3%
Michael Benefield run for 6 yds to the SHSU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-1
46.1%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
44.8%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
43.5%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 42 yds, downed at the SHSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 5:1261% → 58%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
39.0%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the SHSU 6Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+4
39.5%
Hunter Watson run for 4 yds to the SHSU 10Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+9
40.5%
Hunter Watson run for 9 yds to the SHSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
38.2%
Hunter Watson run for 5 yds to the SHSU 24Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+11
37.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 11 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
36.6%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the SHSU 35Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
37.4%
DJ McKinney run for 1 yd to the SHSU 36Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+6
38.5%
Hunter Watson run for 6 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+8
42.4%
Jadon Cardell punt for 52 yds , Jayven Williams returns for 8 yds to the KENN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1348% → 47%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
48.1%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the KENN 20Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
47.7%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Christian Moss for 7 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
46.9%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KENN 22Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+5
45.5%
Davis Bryson run for 5 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
46.8%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:0657% → 96%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
42.6%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
44.0%
Hunter Watson sacked by Tylon Dunlap for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 29Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+13
46.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 13 yds to the SHSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
39.5%
MCKINNEY, DJ rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the SHSU44 (PORTER, Sidney). PENALTY SHSU Holding on DIETERICH, Kolt enforced 10 yards from the SHSU42 to the SHSU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+2
43.8%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 2 yds to the SHSU 34Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+3
44.5%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+15
45.4%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Targeting on REDDING, Markell enforced (Markell Redding) to the KENN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
35.0%
EVANS, Simeon rush to the right for a gain of 9 yards to the KSU7 (JOHNSON, Donelius). PENALTY Before the snap, SHSU Illegal Motion on EVANS, Simeon enforced 5 yards from the KSU16 to the KSU21. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+4
35.7%
Zach Hrbacek run for 4 yds to the KENN 17Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
4.5%
Jay Ducker run for 17 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 24TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 1:2116% → 64%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
15.8%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 18 yds to the KENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
18.2%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Christian Moss for 17 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
20.6%
(01:27) BRYSON, Davis pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BOHANNON, Blake thrown to the SHSU19. PENALTY KSU Holding on KETTELS, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the SHSU36 to the SHSU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 20
OPP 46
0
18.1%
Davis Bryson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+15
17.3%
BRYSON, Davis pass to the right incomplete intended for WALLACE, Tykeem thrown to the SHSU36. PENALTY SHSU Roughing the Passer on HAYES, Briceon enforced 15 yards from the SHSU46 to the SHSU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
24.1%
Davis Bryson run for 4 yds to the SHSU 27Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+10
26.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 10 yds to the SHSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
26.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 4 yds to the SHSU 13Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+6
26.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 6 yds to the SHSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
21.3%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the SHSU 6Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
21.3%
Davis Bryson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SHSU 9Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
64.0%
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 9 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:2551% → 54%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.0%
Jay Ducker run for 9 yds to the SHSU 34Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+16
44.8%
Jay Ducker run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
50
0
41.9%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
50
0
43.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Jay Ducker for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
50
0
45.8%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 26MISSED FG
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
59.6%
Austin Welch 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 27TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 90%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
41.1%
Jay Ducker run for 15 yds to the KENN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
9.8%
Hunter Watson run for 10 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:25
Davis Bryson pass complete to Carson Kent for 9 yds for a TD (Austin Welch KICK)
+42.7
TD · OT 0:00
Hunter Watson run for 10 yds for a TD
-31.3
TD · Q4 1:54
Jay Ducker run for 17 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)
-31.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com