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KENN

Kennesaw State 5 at Middle Tennessee 14

MTSU
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 15, 2024 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadKENN aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreKENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:40 · Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+13.6Home team on offense+5.2Garbage-time factor+1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score differential−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:00: Timeout Middle Tennessee, clock 02:00 — MTSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:42: Timeout Middle Tennessee, clock 00:42 — KENN win probability +9.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q3 5:09: Jacob Ulrich punt for 43 yds , Omari Kelly returns for 61 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +13.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:26: Braden Bohannon pass incomplete — KENN win probability +6.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:37: Timeout Middle Tennessee, clock 02:37 — MTSU win probability +6.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10KENN made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 13:17MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52KENN 4th & 2 at MTSU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:01KENN 4th & 11 at KENN 35, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:21KENN 4th & 3 at KENN 30, down 5
    Close callPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:09MTSU 4th & 14 at MTSU 16, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:51MTSU 4th & 16 at MTSU 14, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:33KENN 4th & 7 at KENN 43, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:30MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 32, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:42KENN 4th & 25 at KENN 37, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:40MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 47, up 5
    Close callWent for it · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:30KENN 4th & 5 at KENN 28, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:20MTSU 4th & 2 at KENN 17, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%−1.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−9.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:09KENN 4th & 9 at KENN 18, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:49KENN 4th & 12 at MTSU 20, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−5.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:52MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 9, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:48KENN 4th & 13 at KENN 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−2.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:39MTSU 4th & 9 at KENN 33, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−0.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:09KENN 4th & 10 at KENN 33, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:18MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 32, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:37KENN 4th & 10 at KENN 20, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:33MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 32, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:59KENN 4th & 4 at KENN 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:22MTSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:4176% → 76%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
75.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 10 yds to the MTSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
75.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 6 yds to the MTSU 41Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-1
75.8%
Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 40Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
75.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
75.5%
Grant Chadwick punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 80 yds · 3:1625% → 26%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+60
75.5%
Qua Ashley run for 60 yds to the MTSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
75.0%
Michael Benefield run for 13 yds to the MTSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
74.8%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the MTSU 5Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
74.6%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the MTSU 3Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
74.5%
Preston Daniels run for 1 yd to the MTSU 2Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
74.5%
Preston Daniels run for 1 yd to the MTSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
74.3%
Jekail Middlebrook run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2826% → 26%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
74.2%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 5 yards to the KENN 32 Michael Benefield fumbled, recovered by KENN Qua Ashley Q. Ashley return for 1 ydsSimilar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 14
OWN 32
0
74.0%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+8
74.1%
Khalib Johnson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 8 yds to the KENN 40Similar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 6
OWN 40
-5
73.9%
Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KENN 35Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
74.1%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:3174% → 76%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
73.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 22 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
74.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 6 yds to the MTSU 48Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+6
74.1%
Terry Wilkins run for 6 yds to the KENN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
74.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 8 yds to the KENN 38Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+8
73.9%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 8 yds to the KENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
74.1%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Disconcerting Signals on SCOTT, Tyler enforced (5 Yards) to the KENN 25Similar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+4
74.1%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the KENN 21Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+20
74.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 20 yds to the KENN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.5%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5025% → 25%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
74.8%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the KENN 25Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
74.8%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 26Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+4
75.1%
Braden Bohannon run for 4 yds to the KENN 30Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
74.8%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:0474% → 73%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
73.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 18Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-6
73.7%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Garland Benyard for a loss of 6 yards to the MTSU 12Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+4
73.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 4 yds to the MTSU 16Similar
Q1 0:09
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+47
72.7%
Grant Chadwick punt for 47 yds , Jayven Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 8INT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:4826% → 29%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
73.6%
Tykeem Wallace run for 3 yds to the KENN 39Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
73.2%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+8
73.7%
Khalib Johnson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 8 yds to the KENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
72.6%
Michael Benefield run for 14 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
72.2%
Khalib Johnson run for 8 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+4
71.4%
Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the MTSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
71.2%
Khalib Johnson pass intercepted, touchback. Marvae Myers return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:1273% → 72%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
73.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 4 yds to the MTSU 24Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
73.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
72.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-5
72.1%
(11:16) CHADWICK, Grant punt 60 yards to the KSU16 downed by MYERS, Marvae, clock 11:03. PENALTY Before the snap, MTSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MTSU24 to the MTSU19. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 11
OWN 19
-5
71.9%
(10:59) CHADWICK, Grant punt 48 yards to the KSU33, fair catch by WILLIAMS, Jayven, clock 10:55. PENALTY Before the snap, MTSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MTSU19 to the MTSU14. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 16
OWN 14
+5
72.3%
Grant Chadwick punt for 51 yds , Jayven Williams returns for 5 yds to the KENN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0928% → 28%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
72.5%
Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the KENN 45Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+2
71.7%
Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the KENN 47Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+1
71.4%
Michael Benefield run for 1 yd to the KENN 48Similar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+41
73.1%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 41 yds , Omari Kelly returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 15Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-5
71.9%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Khalib Johnson) to the KENN 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:5375% → 75%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
74.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 12 yds to the MTSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
75.7%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
75.9%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd to the MTSU 32Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
75.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
74.6%
Grant Chadwick punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 4:3627% → 26%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
73.3%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the KENN 11Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+30
73.4%
Braden Bohannon pass complete to Carson Kent for 30 yds to the KENN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
71.4%
Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the KENN 44Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+1
70.7%
Braden Bohannon run for 1 yd to the KENN 45Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+7
71.2%
Braden Bohannon pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 7 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
69.8%
Braden Bohannon run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 12
50
0
70.8%
Qua Ashley run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 12
50
-13
72.1%
Kennesaw State Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on BOHANNON, Braden enforced resulting in a (-13 Yards) to the KENN 38Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 25
OWN 37
+14
74.4%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 46 yds , Omari Kelly returns for 14 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:5776% → 67%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
75.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 12 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
77.0%
(01:26) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass deep to the left complete for 32 yards to WILLIS, Holden caught at the KSU41 and advanced to the KSU25 (PAUL, Isaac), clock 01:20. PENALTY Before the snap, MTSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MTSU43 to the MTSU38. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+11
75.9%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 11 yds to the MTSU 49Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
77.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-2
76.4%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Garland Benyard for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 47Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
66.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 14INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0331% → 32%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
68.9%
Khalib Johnson pass complete to Carson Kent for 7 yds to the MTSU 40Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
68.2%
Khalib Johnson pass intercepted De'Arre McDonald return for no gain to the MTSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0668% → 70%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
67.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 12 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-8
69.5%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Tylon Dunlap for a loss of 8 yards to the MTSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2027% → 25%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
73.4%
Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+1
72.7%
Braden Bohannon run for 1 yd to the KENN 28Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
73.8%
Braden Bohannon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 5
OWN 28
-2
74.8%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 50 yds , Omari Kelly returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17DOWNS
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:5675% → 76%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
75.0%
Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 10Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+9
74.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 9 yds to the MTSU 19Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+5
73.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 5 yds to the MTSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
74.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 10 yds to the MTSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
74.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-6
74.7%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Garland Benyard for a loss of 6 yards to the MTSU 28Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+17
73.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 17 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
76.4%
Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 5
50
0
76.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 5
50
+25
76.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 25 yds to the KENN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
78.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
78.2%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the KENN 24Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+7
77.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 7 yds to the KENN 17Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 2
OPP 17
0
75.7%
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the KENN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 18PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1127% → 12%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
72.6%
Qua Ashley run for 5 yds to the KENN 22Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+1
72.2%
Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 23Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 4
OWN 23
-5
73.5%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Khalib Johnson) to the KENN 18Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
74.2%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 9
OWN 18
+61
87.9%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 43 yds , Omari Kelly returns for 61 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 5:1113% → 16%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
86.7%
Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
86.3%
Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the KENN 46Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
86.0%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the KENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
86.0%
Khalib Johnson pass complete to Christian Moss for 12 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
85.9%
Khalib Johnson run for 4 yds to the MTSU 35Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
83.1%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+17
84.6%
Khalib Johnson pass complete to Carson Kent for 17 yds to the MTSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
83.2%
Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the MTSU 16Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-4
83.3%
Khalib Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTSU 20Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 12
OPP 20
0
85.4%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+37
84.1%
Austin Welch 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4583% → 82%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
82.9%
Terry Wilkins run for 3 yds to the MTSU 9Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 9
0
82.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
81.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:52
4TH & 7
OWN 9
0
81.9%
Grant Chadwick punt for 41 yds , Jayven Williams returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5419% → 14%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
50
0
81.4%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 10
50
-3
82.1%
Michael Benefield run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENN 47Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 13
OWN 47
0
85.1%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
86.0%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Omari Kelly at the MTSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22MISSED FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:0385% → 88%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+20
84.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 20 yds to the MTSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
86.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 2 yds to the MTSU 32Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+11
86.1%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 11 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
87.3%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Que Billingsley) to the KENN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
88.0%
Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the KENN 29Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+19
88.4%
Jaiden Credle run for 29 yds Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Simon Wilson) to the KENN 30Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
88.4%
Terry Wilkins run for 3 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-1
88.0%
Terry Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 28Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 4
OPP 28
-5
87.5%
(08:45) RANKIN, Zeke field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at KSU35], score nullified by penalty, clock 08:41. PENALTY Before the snap, MTSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the KSU28 to the KSU33. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
87.6%
Zeke Rankin 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2314% → 11%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
85.9%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
86.5%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
88.5%
Khalib Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
88.8%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 57 yds, downed at the MTSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3889% → 92%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
88.5%
Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTSU 6Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 14
OWN 6
0
88.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+23
90.6%
Jaiden Credle run for 23 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
92.4%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the MTSU 30Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-5
92.7%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (Zach Clayton) to the MTSU 25Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 14
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+7
92.1%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 7 yds to the MTSU 32Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
92.0%
Grant Chadwick punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jayven Williams at the KENN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:329% → 8%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
91.0%
Braden Bohannon pass complete to Carson Kent for 5 yds to the KENN 25Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
89.8%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Illegal Snap on NORCROSS, Jacob enforced (Jacob Norcross) to the KENN 20Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
91.1%
Braden Bohannon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
91.8%
Braden Bohannon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
91.9%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 49 yds, downed at the MTSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5493% → 96%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
93.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the MTSU 32Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
93.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
96.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
96.4%
Grant Chadwick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jayven Williams at the KENN 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:2711% → 9%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
89.5%
Braden Bohannon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
90.6%
Braden Bohannon pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 6 yds to the KENN 36Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
89.3%
Braden Bohannon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+3
90.9%
Braden Bohannon pass complete to Christian Moss for 3 yds to the KENN 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28END OF GAME
9 plays · -6 yds · 2:0598% → 99%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
97.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the KENN 36Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
97.7%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the KENN 31Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
97.5%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the KENN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
98.5%
(02:00) [NH] Kneel down by VATTIATO, Nicholas at KSU37 (team loss of 10), clock 01:46.Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 20
OPP 37
-5
98.4%
(01:12) [NHSG] Kneel down by VATTIATO, Nicholas at KSU42 (team loss of 5), clock 01:06.Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 25
OPP 42
-3
98.6%
(00:31) [SG] Kneel down by VATTIATO, Nicholas at KSU45 (team loss of 3), clock 00:27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q3 5:09
Jacob Ulrich punt for 43 yds , Omari Kelly returns for 61 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)
+13.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:42
Timeout Middle Tennessee, clock 00:42
-9.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:26
Braden Bohannon pass incomplete
-6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com